Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1129

#1 | AxemRedRanger | Posted 8/25/2013 8:50:35 AM | message detail
If Cloud gives everything he's got, he might just beat the Hero of Time this contest.
Unfortunately for him, I'm referring to Crono and not Link!

~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://www.thengamer.com/
http://thengamer.com/xstats

~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame

~*Character Contest Histories*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the Match Pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Leonhart4's Trend Charts*~
https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?hl=en&key=tOGmynfNIiNy5VukpEF-PdA&hl=en#gid=0

~*Daily Vote Trends - An Explanation for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Daily_Vote_Trends

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense.

Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated.
---
[NO BARKLEY NO PEACE]
#2 | xp1337 | Posted 8/25/2013 8:51:36 AM | message detail
Pfft, Crono could put up 65% on Frog before SFF, what chance does Cloud have? >_>
---
xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#3 | Denzokuken | Posted 8/25/2013 8:53:39 AM | message detail
Yeah, it's a shame we don't get to see Link vs Cloud this contest because Link is going out so early. Crono will have to do.
---
Fine! I'll go to the store and get your Goddamn drain cleaner!
Character Battle IX Tingle Victory Parade - the journey is over....
#4 | ZFS | Posted 8/25/2013 9:01:40 AM | message detail
Zidane over 20% I'll take this
---
tune in tokyo 142.94
#5 | XIII_rocks | Posted 8/25/2013 9:01:45 AM | message detail
MONSTROUS
---
XIII_rocks, the cream of XIII fanboyism.
#6 | Denzokuken | Posted 8/25/2013 9:02:01 AM | message detail
By the way, Zidane is keeping up with Dante
---
Fine! I'll go to the store and get your Goddamn drain cleaner!
Character Battle IX Tingle Victory Parade - the journey is over....
#7 | ChenKenichiFan | Posted 8/25/2013 9:02:02 AM | message detail
#8 | xp1337 | Posted 8/25/2013 9:02:30 AM | message detail
not liking dante not doing anything yet
---
xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#9 | Then00bAvenger | Posted 8/25/2013 9:02:31 AM | message detail
...Wow

This is not what I expected. Even if Squirtle drops after this... there's no way in hell Dante is getting this in winning range
---
A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
#10 | abdou | Posted 8/25/2013 9:02:43 AM | message detail
The only thing worse than Draven is pokemon
---
...
#11 | Greyfeld | Posted 8/25/2013 9:02:49 AM | message detail
Phoenix Down vs Materia, who you got?
---
PSN - Aevio
"I'm on a Goomba." - BlackMageJawa
#12 | ZFS | Posted 8/25/2013 9:02:52 AM | message detail
Zidane for second!
---
tune in tokyo 142.94
#13 | tennisboy213 | Posted 8/25/2013 9:02:56 AM | message detail
Noble Nine Breaker!
---
POKEFEAR
#14 | vcharon | Posted 8/25/2013 9:03:01 AM | message detail
Zidane might be doing too well for Dante to win this. Squirtle's gonna plunge but I'm not sure it'll be far enough for Dante to catch up if he can't separate any from Zidane.
---
Still smilin'
:>
#15 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 8/25/2013 9:03:05 AM | message detail
Greyfeld posted...
Phoenix Down vs Materia, who you got?


Masamune
#16 | Kibago | Posted 8/25/2013 9:03:35 AM | message detail
100 breached!
---
Leafs / Raptors / Blue Jays / TFC / Argos / Tottenham
We'll get 'em next year.
#17 | ChenKenichiFan | Posted 8/25/2013 9:03:36 AM | message detail
#18 | Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 8/25/2013 9:03:39 AM | message detail
Dante looks like crap glorious

You finally did something right tribal
---
Oh SuperNiceDog's doing it again dude.
SuperNiceDog, you ain't no pimp dude
#19 | Nanis23 | Posted 8/25/2013 9:03:46 AM | message detail
abdou posted...
The only thing worse than Draven is pokemon


More like
The only thing that can beat Draven is Pokemon
#20 | Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 8/25/2013 9:04:12 AM | message detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
104----1------------100.00
103----1------------100.00
102----0------------0.00
101----3------------100.00
100----3------------100.00
99------11----------100.00
98------37----------100.00
97------46----------100.00
96------49----------100.00
95------84----------100.00
94------80----------100.00
93------119--------100.00
92------109--------100.00
91------131--------100.00
90------145--------100.00
89------188--------100.00
88------252--------99.60
87------248--------99.60
86------290--------98.62
85------344--------99.13
84------394--------99.75
83------449--------99.33
82------508--------98.03
81------527--------97.53
80------576--------98.26
79------572--------96.50
78------579--------97.06
77------605--------96.53
76------620--------94.52
75------563--------95.74
74------575--------93.91
73------509--------92.93
72------488--------93.24
71------463--------92.87
70------419--------87.35
69------421--------87.17
68------351--------84.33
67------378--------84.92
66------328--------85.06
65------284--------84.51
64------264--------81.06
63------249--------78.71
62------216--------79.63
61------220--------71.36
60------221--------64.25
59------193--------63.73
58------183--------60.11
57------195--------61.54
56------138--------52.90
55------146--------56.16
54------156--------51.28
53------120--------53.33
52------105--------42.86
51------121--------46.28
50------81----------44.44
49------71----------39.44
48------79----------48.10
47------81----------30.86
46------73----------38.36
45------70----------30.00
44------52----------17.31
43------61----------21.31
42------34----------29.41
41------48----------33.33
40------45----------26.67
39------35----------22.86
38------22----------31.82
37------22----------9.09
36------28----------25.00
35------19----------0.00
34------19----------21.05
33------15----------26.67
32------14----------28.57
31------13----------0.00
30------9------------0.00
29------9------------11.11
28------5------------20.00
27------4------------25.00
26------1------------0.00
25------11----------0.00
24------2------------0.00
23------3------------0.00
22------4------------25.00
21------2------------50.00

Omitted scores get it wrong.

Cloud matches are easy if he doesn't get upset. Everyone in the top 1007 gets it right.

No one falls off the Top 49.
---
Pokemon VGC2013 US National - 39th place
Pokemon VGC2013 Worlds LCQ - Top 32
#21 | ChenKenichiFan | Posted 8/25/2013 9:04:22 AM | message detail
Holy s***, Zidane's trying to do it!
---
Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
http://i.imgur.com/NQTthNf.jpg
#22 | pjbasis | Posted 8/25/2013 9:04:22 AM | message detail
Getting Vincent vibes
---
http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png
SuperNiceDog - 1, pjbasis - 0
#23 | TheCodeisBosco | Posted 8/25/2013 9:04:34 AM | message detail
This one might be over already.

Holy hell at Zidane though, he's on fire right now.
---
[NO BARKLEY NO PEACE]
#24 | Ultimaphazon | Posted 8/25/2013 9:04:36 AM | message detail
The Pokemon board vote makes me sick.
---
Proud supporter of DogFAQs
#25 | ZFS | Posted 8/25/2013 9:04:46 AM | message detail
C'mon Old Square
---
tune in tokyo 142.94
#26 | 2Dover3D | Posted 8/25/2013 9:04:52 AM | message detail
Its kinda sad how this contest has fallen so far that random Pokemon can beat strong unique characters.
---
http://i.minus.com/jbiGPMGVHJkJ5F.png http://i.minus.com/jbjrjeszi5Bojs.jpg
http://i.minus.com/jDswy1q7MCAye.jpg http://i.minus.com/jX6dhkFSD8ugm.jpg
#27 | BK_Sheikah00 | Posted 8/25/2013 9:04:54 AM | message detail
It's Game of the Decade all over again. People forget just how much of a gap there is between RBY and GSC.
---
Hey, its that SuperNiceDog! Congrats to the Guru 2011 winner
#28 | Nanis23 | Posted 8/25/2013 9:04:56 AM | message detail
Come to think of it I wonder what would be a joke entry for a "inanimate objects" contest
FISH-FILLED BOTTLE FOR THE UPSET OF THE CENTURY
#29 | xp1337 | Posted 8/25/2013 9:05:06 AM | message detail
I'm going to be so sick if I mis-pick pokemon back-to-back.

God. Crono, you are my last hope.

this isn't even about brackets or points anymore

it's for me.
---
xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#30 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 8/25/2013 9:05:08 AM | message detail
4 minute freeze today.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#31 | Kibago | Posted 8/25/2013 9:05:09 AM | message detail
Shoenin_Kakashi posted...
Dante looks like crap glorious

You finally did something right tribal


this!
how is Zidane holding what in the world
---
Leafs / Raptors / Blue Jays / TFC / Argos / Tottenham
We'll get 'em next year.
#32 | Denzokuken | Posted 8/25/2013 9:05:10 AM | message detail
dat Badass Decline Factor


all hail Smurf
---
Fine! I'll go to the store and get your Goddamn drain cleaner!
Character Battle IX Tingle Victory Parade - the journey is over....
#33 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/25/2013 9:05:45 AM | message detail
Gotta wait for that 2nd update. Dante was stalling it out at the end, there.
---
Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#34 | Averia | Posted 8/25/2013 9:06:00 AM | message detail
Squirtle will probably drop at least 7% but I think he has it.
#35 | vcharon | Posted 8/25/2013 9:06:21 AM | message detail
Next character battle should just go ahead and be League of Legends versus Pokemon!
---
Still smilin'
:>
#36 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 8/25/2013 9:06:35 AM | message detail
Nanis23 posted...
Come to think of it I wonder what would be a joke entry for a "inanimate objects" contest
FISH-FILLED BOTTLE FOR THE UPSET OF THE CENTURY


LoZ Fishing Rod
#37 | SuorGenoveffa | Posted 8/25/2013 9:06:39 AM | message detail
2Dover3D posted...
Its kinda sad how this contest has fallen so far that random Pokemon can beat strong unique characters.


"random Pokemon".

Really.
---
SuperNiceDog won the Guru contest super nicely!
#38 | Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 8/25/2013 9:06:53 AM | message detail
Squirtle isnt some radom pokemon
Hes a starter from the original gen.
---
Oh SuperNiceDog's doing it again dude.
SuperNiceDog, you ain't no pimp dude
#39 | raginbull911 | Posted 8/25/2013 9:07:07 AM | message detail
Ultimaphazon posted...
The Pokemon board vote makes me sick.

---
I pwn you all!
#40 | Greyfeld | Posted 8/25/2013 9:07:21 AM | message detail
As much as this is looking good for Squirtle, I'm REALLY hoping that Zidane doesn't pull ahead of Dante. I could use the 18 points right about now.
---
PSN - Aevio
"I'm on a Goomba." - BlackMageJawa
#41 | Kotetsu534 | Posted 8/25/2013 9:07:28 AM | message detail
Bit worried here. Squirtle built up only an 8 vote lead over the last two minutes.
---
We are living our lives
Abound with so much information
#42 | XIII_rocks | Posted 8/25/2013 9:07:41 AM | message detail
Squirtle doing work. Bless his little cotton socks. <3
---
XIII_rocks, the cream of XIII fanboyism.
#43 | vcharon | Posted 8/25/2013 9:07:56 AM | message detail
Yeah Squirtle only gained 4 votes in the final minute there and was crashing. We'll have to see if Dante continued/improved on that.
---
Still smilin'
:>
#44 | YoboD | Posted 8/25/2013 9:08:16 AM | message detail
I still say Blastoise would be stronger.
---
Not today
#45 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/25/2013 9:09:04 AM | message detail
After Lugia fell 12% and Dante rose 9% in their last respective matches I don't feel like calling this just yet. Next update should be telling, though.
---
Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#46 | White_Tiger | Posted 8/25/2013 9:09:05 AM | message detail
We have bunch of pokemon that are near elites now and would beat the likes of Dante and Ryu? this is disgusting . I will blame the extremely low votals.
#47 | pjbasis | Posted 8/25/2013 9:09:13 AM | message detail
please update, save us
---
http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png
SuperNiceDog - 1, pjbasis - 0
#48 | Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 8/25/2013 9:09:13 AM | message detail
Did N have a strong board vote?
---
Oh SuperNiceDog's doing it again dude.
SuperNiceDog, you ain't no pimp dude
#49 | xp1337 | Posted 8/25/2013 9:09:16 AM | message detail
Frog finished at 35.93% on Cloud.

year of crono

he's going to save us from pokemon just you wait
---
xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#50 | Denzokuken | Posted 8/25/2013 9:09:35 AM | message detail
OVVVVVERRRRR
---
Fine! I'll go to the store and get your Goddamn drain cleaner!
Character Battle IX Tingle Victory Parade - the journey is over....