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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1128
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Man, that Lugia pic is such a damn eyesore though. --- [NO BARKLEY NO PEACE] |
RockMFR posted... Pikachu is going to double Crono. I still have serious doubts about Pikachu beating Crono. --- XBL Gamertag - Tiirshak |
Kotetsu534 posted... Lugia is near 60-40ing Frog at the freeze. Prepare yourself, Crono. Frog putting up 40% on Cloud. pikachu doomed --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX |
It masterfully blends in to the background. If Vincent had gotten a normal pic, Lugia's would easily be the worst of the round. --- Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer) http://i.imgur.com/a4GuDV3.gif |
Frog already stalling --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls Points: 89/111 Today's Picks: Cloud and Dante |
Come on Frog, I just got through six hours of tests. You have to redeem this day! --- I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword |
Wow, Frog is looking very strong. Held steady and everything while Cloud gained exclusively from Lugia. --- Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer) http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif |
So
what % does Cloud have to finish at for this to be a disappointing
showing? He's going to rise a ton from here, but how much is 'a ton'? --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
I think Frog is at the advantage with this being a morning match (errr, U.S. morning). --- Every day the rest of your life is changed forever. |
Yeah not confident in lugia at all --- http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png SuperNiceDog - 1, pjbasis - 0 |
I'd be stunned if Frog didn't beat Lugia, even with him being down like this. Lugia's picture is abysmal. I still think Pika's a stone-cold lock. Heck, even if Dante wins easily I won't change my conviction on that. --- http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer) |
This says great things about Magus more than Crono to me although Magus barely tripled Jade Curtiss. |
Didn't Samus 70/30 Frog in the 4-ways? Anything much less than what she got would be disappointing, I feel. --- We are living our lives Abound with so much information |
I think this is a very good showing from Frog. But I also found Lugia's R1 performance more impressive than most people did. --- [NO BARKLEY NO PEACE] |
From: Achromatic | Posted: 8/25/2013 12:06:02 AM | #095 Kotetsu534 posted...Lugia is near 60-40ing Frog at the freeze. Prepare yourself, Crono. Lugia was facing some pretty weak competition. the only reason it even had a chance here is Square LFF. --- http://24.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_lxkdr0uNc91qlu5jao1_r1_400.gif |
Frog wins the night vote, right? I know CT was never released in Europe and all but he's against a Pokemon. --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
Wouldnt be suprised if frog is 60-40ing lugia by the end |
Xuxon posted... From: Achromatic | Posted: 8/25/2013 12:06:02 AM | #095Kotetsu534 posted...Lugia is near 60-40ing Frog at the freeze. Prepare yourself, Crono. ... and clearly Frog's competition was stifling. --- And I would do anything for bets, but I won't do that! No I won't do that! I am Sir Chris, the Knight that says NICK!!! |
Karma Hunter posted... I'd be stunned if Frog didn't beat Lugia, even with him being down like this. Lugia's picture is abysmal. I won't say stone-cold lock, but I agree that Pikachu should win. The closer that match gets, the more I feel like it's going to be a really close finish one way or the other. I just don't see Pikachu blowing out Crono. --- Every day the rest of your life is changed forever. |
Lugia is done --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls Points: 89/111 Today's Picks: Cloud and Dante |
Jesus, Frog. This really IS a good result for Crono! --- Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer) http://i.imgur.com/a4GuDV3.gif |
So uh... Frog. Let's ignore his % on Lugia for a moment. His % on Cloud. Yikes. --- And I would do anything for bets, but I won't do that! No I won't do that! I am Sir Chris, the Knight that says NICK!!! |
how many contests has Frog been in? we know where he stands. --- http://24.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_lxkdr0uNc91qlu5jao1_r1_400.gif |
And that's a cut. I think Frog is safe here. If he can cut in the Power Hour, he should win easily overnight. |
Julian_Caesar posted... Karma Hunter posted...I'd be stunned if Frog didn't beat Lugia, even with him being down like this. Lugia's picture is abysmal. I kinda do! That's just my personal vibe so I won't bother to try and 'stat it up', but yeah. --- http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer) |
And here...we...go.... --- Every day the rest of your life is changed forever. |
there we go, Frog. --- Leafs / Raptors / Blue Jays / TFC / Argos / Tottenham We'll get 'em next year. |
Achromatic posted... So uh... Let's look at it again when the match ends. Cloud is gonna kill Europe. --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
CT
has looked really good all contest. Even with the pic advantage,
Pikachu's going to have a difficult time based on these results. --- Hey I just met you, and this is crazy, but you have died of dysentery. |
ChenKenichiFan posted... Jesus, Frog. This really IS a good result for Crono! man i was kidding before but wow also argh lugia but i never saw frog doing this well so you're almost off the hook --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX |
This
is the fourth straight match in a row where I'm really glad I played it
safe with Expert picks. I'm within striking distance of the leaderboard
and feel I can easily find myself in contention if Kirby > Sephiroth
plays out. Biding one's time and betting big on the matches you can
really feel in your gut is such a better strategy than always risking it
(and risking it more and more when you fall behind). Too bad I don't
have the discipline to always play this way. --- Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer) http://i.imgur.com/a4GuDV3.gif |
Score-Brackets-% Right 104----1------------0.00 103----0------------0.00 102----0------------0.00 101----2------------0.00 100----3------------33.33 99------8------------0.00 98------34----------2.94 97------38----------2.63 96------42----------7.14 95------74----------5.41 94------70----------12.86 93------102--------9.80 92------90----------15.56 91------107--------17.76 90------117--------23.08 89------153--------21.57 88------190--------22.63 87------205--------26.83 86------254--------26.77 85------318--------33.02 84------348--------28.16 83------421--------24.70 82------487--------26.90 81------518--------27.80 80------534--------24.72 79------571--------26.62 78------590--------25.93 77------645--------26.98 76------641--------23.87 75------570--------24.91 74------608--------22.04 73------561--------23.53 72------538--------25.09 71------464--------21.77 70------425--------18.82 69------439--------19.36 68------401--------24.94 67------389--------19.02 66------351--------19.09 65------281--------17.79 64------293--------21.50 63------253--------17.39 62------245--------21.63 61------223--------15.25 60------231--------17.32 59------183--------13.11 58------184--------16.85 57------200--------15.00 56------146--------23.29 55------155--------19.35 54------153--------16.34 53------128--------20.31 52------104--------20.19 51------139--------20.14 50------88----------20.45 49------84----------26.19 48------75----------13.33 47------84----------13.10 46------74----------12.16 45------79----------17.72 44------54----------14.81 43------63----------12.70 42------36----------13.89 41------47----------12.77 40------45----------13.33 39------34----------8.82 38------28----------25.00 37------24----------25.00 36------25----------16.00 35------18----------5.56 34------22----------18.18 33------21----------33.33 32------15----------13.33 31------13----------7.69 30------10----------10.00 29------9------------11.11 28------6------------16.67 ... 26------2------------50.00 ... 19------2------------50.00 ... 2--------3------------33.33 Omitted scores got it wrong We knew this was coming after Kefka wrecked us in Round 2. The last -10 (104 points) falls. We didn't have any -11s or -12s to begin with. Prediction percentage rises as you go down and finally reached the double digits consistantly at -22 (92 points). The casuals still beat us with prediction percentages in the 20s. A 2 bracket (as in 2 points) gets the match right. 7 people fell off the Top 49. transience, Vortex268, Were_Tiger, Xcarvenger, YasumiWatahashi, Yleffl and Achromatic did not have Kefka winning. 40 people got it wrong and survived. Current first place SuorGenoveffa, former second place Billy_Gates, former third place ChenKenichiFan, CarveyFAQs, Karma_Hunter, greengravy294, InvisibleOmega, JaySolano, KamikazePotato, KingLionel, Pondos, th3l3fty, wakeuptogashi, Ambertwo, Astro1446, Board8_BOP, Cipher_Miror_B, dimi161, Djungelurban, Doooooooooougie, ecksgem, Eikei, foxhead84, Gandalfsam, Greenmonkey034, iGenesis, KCGemini, Kumatora, Leebo86, LinkMarioSamus, Link_Fanboy, Luis_Sera89, mathmagus37, NewerShadow, Pinkish_Hue, Safer_777, scaryice, scolletti105, strikerkid and TeamMagmaElite also did not have Kefka winning the match. 2 people on the Top 49 got it right. Current second place EdBellis and current fifth place Flock_Masta_P knew that Kefka was going to screw us over twice. --- Pokemon VGC2013 US National - 39th place Pokemon VGC2013 Worlds LCQ - Top 32 |
KamikazePotato posted... Achromatic posted...So uh... This logic you are employing is disturbing. Mostly because it is correct. --- And I would do anything for bets, but I won't do that! No I won't do that! I am Sir Chris, the Knight that says NICK!!! |
In
an alternate universe, Frog > Cloud and Board 8 implodes with glee.
The "FrogWagon" builds up steam and flattens Draven in an epic 200,000
vote match in the final. I need to stay away from the Nerds before bedtime @_@ --- Every day the rest of your life is changed forever. |
ChenKenichiFan posted... This is the fourth straight match in a row where I'm really glad I played it safe with Expert picks. I'm within striking distance of the leaderboard and feel I can easily find myself in contention if Kirby > Sephiroth plays out. Biding one's time and betting big on the matches you can really feel in your gut is such a better strategy than always risking it (and risking it more and more when you fall behind). Too bad I don't have the discipline to always play this way. I'm not sure I agree with this. I Go Big Or Go Home in every match and I'm currently in the Top 10. It can and probably will bite me in the ass soon enough, but I feel like it's your only option if you actually want to win money. Just getting onto the leaderboard isn't enough - when there's a fairly large disparity between people. I mean, the #1 guy is like 3-4 matches ahead of me. Not gonna close that gap by banking! --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
Can't bear to see Cloud with a percent as low as 42... fast-forward to the TDZ please! --- ... as if rights are like muscles - the more you use it, the better it gets. Indeed he may be exercising his first amendment-- but he's an IDIOT! - A. Scalia |
Team Rocket Elite posted... Score-Brackets-% Right That stings. --- "Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia |
Did Cloud just go down --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
Ed Bellis is in 2nd place. What is this world we live in? --- Agent Triple Zero at your service! The artist formerly known as greatone10. |
Oh yeah Cloud going down .04% --- |
Ed Bellis rocking the world. Also goodbye leaderboard =(. Hopefully will be back when Dante beats that dum blue ball. --- And I would do anything for bets, but I won't do that! No I won't do that! I am Sir Chris, the Knight that says NICK!!! |
I have a feeling we're going to get people spinning this in favor of Kirby > Seph pretty soon. I know it's the power hour, but Cloud is not looking good here. Like, at all. --- [NO BARKLEY NO PEACE] |
Seph > Cloud confirmed |
At this rate it won't matter who makes it from Crono's division with how awful Cloud is doing right now. |
If you went Cloud > Bank > Bank and he went with Cloud > Wrong > Wrong, you've already cut his lead by over a third. --- Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer) http://i.imgur.com/a4GuDV3.gif |
KamikazePotato posted... ChenKenichiFan posted...This is the fourth straight match in a row where I'm really glad I played it safe with Expert picks. I'm within striking distance of the leaderboard and feel I can easily find myself in contention if Kirby > Sephiroth plays out. Biding one's time and betting big on the matches you can really feel in your gut is such a better strategy than always risking it (and risking it more and more when you fall behind). Too bad I don't have the discipline to always play this way. Unless you get lucky and they net a -18 match or two :P --- PSN - Aevio "I'm on a Goomba." - BlackMageJawa |
Okay so let's spin this in cloud's favor. Frog has returned to form and Lugia is as strong as Pikachu. There we go, good result Cloud. --- And I would do anything for bets, but I won't do that! No I won't do that! I am Sir Chris, the Knight that says NICK!!! |
Cloud's
antivotes seem to be sticking around longer much like Sephiroth's did
in his last match. Based on that Cloud should finish at around 50% - but
I expect more from him because Frog is going to collapse once the TDZ
hits and Lugia is going to fall apart more severely than usual because
the picture's influence will become more pronounced as the match goes
on. --- http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer) |
I
have absolutely no faith in Dante beating Squirtle. I took him in
everything, but yeah. Squirtle is going to have such a ridiculous early
vote, Dante will be playing catchup all day. I'd feel much more
confident in Dante if it was 24-hours long. --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
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