Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1127

#201 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 8/24/2013 4:08:25 AM | message detail
-LusterSoldier- posted...
Because several users humiliated me for something I posted on Reddit, I have to redeem myself by taking part in any kind of activities that would stop the Reddit rallies.


The f***?

If people seriously gave you s*** about that post, then they deserve a Draven win. It's pretty clear that you root for the best interests of GameFAQs itself rather than Board 8's, which is completely fine considering how much time you spend obsessed with the site itself (which may be a bit too much, but we'll overlook that for now).

It's pretty f***ed up that people would humiliate you just because you support Draven over Link. Hell, it's pretty damn horrible that people would get s*** for supporting any character in a contest. Do we really need another suicide here?
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#202 | LeonhartFour | Posted 8/24/2013 4:09:26 AM | message detail
Everyone knows Luster's greatest weakness is ePop, and he essentially got blackmailed at the prospect of getting blackballed in UotY.
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#203 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 8/24/2013 4:11:15 AM | message detail
creativename posted...
(and I hope the guy to punch paulg in the face is Wolverine...bone claws or adamantium claws, either will do! >_> )


Someone did pic sabotage in a video game character popularity contest, we should inflict physical harm on him!
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#204 | _SecretSquirrel | Posted 8/24/2013 4:14:53 AM | message detail
LeonhartFour posted...
(Although Allen would never go for it because it'd make him look bad if Vincent won)


Ryu H vs. Jill Valentine showed that running the same match back to back won't show too much variance in the trends or results, so pretty much any notable dissent from the original match would show how stupid of a picture that was.
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#205 | Nanis23 | Posted 8/24/2013 4:17:27 AM | message detail
#206 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 8/24/2013 4:20:00 AM | message detail
That was just one match, though, and a few years ago at that.

Plus the bonus match will be a Sunday afternoon compared to Wednesday night.
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#207 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 8/24/2013 4:20:59 AM | message detail
And if you seriously want to rally Epona, try the MLP subreddit and make a convincing argument as to why Epona should get votes from bronies.
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#208 | _SecretSquirrel | Posted 8/24/2013 4:21:20 AM | message detail
Not_Wylvane posted...
That was just one match, though, and a few years ago at that.

Plus the bonus match will be a Sunday afternoon compared to Wednesday night.


Well, I hadn't considered the day trends, so there would be a difference there.

Still, I'm not proposing that Vincent would replace Mewtwo in R3 if he won. I just want to see a fairer match.
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#209 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 8/24/2013 4:23:51 AM | message detail | (edited)
On one hand, it seems like a waste of a bonus match just to see how much Vincent would have sucked even without a pic.

On the other hand, I can't really think of a better bonus match right now, so I'd go with it until somebody came up with something better.

e: Oh, how about that bonus match, except Vincent gets an excellent pic while Mewtwo and Phoenix get horrible pics?
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#210 | -LusterSoldier- (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/24/2013 4:23:35 AM | message detail
Nanis23 posted...
http://www.reddit.com/r/leagueoflegends/search?q=gamefaqs&restrict_sr=on&sort=relevance&t=all
Either reddit search sucks or that topic was deleted?


http://www.reddit.com/r/leagueoflegends/comments/1kpnus/we_have_to_vote_for_draven_voting_will_begin_10/

Apparently, that doesn't show up in the search anymore.
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#211 | Whupassman | Posted 8/24/2013 4:24:46 AM | message detail
*has no sympathy for anyone who uses reddit be it positive or negative*
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#212 | Nanis23 | Posted 8/24/2013 4:25:43 AM | message detail
-LusterSoldier- posted...
Nanis23 posted...
http://www.reddit.com/r/leagueoflegends/search?q=gamefaqs&restrict_sr=on&sort=relevance&t=all
Either reddit search sucks or that topic was deleted?


http://www.reddit.com/r/leagueoflegends/comments/1kpnus/we_have_to_vote_for_draven_voting_will_begin_10/

Apparently, that doesn't show up in the search anymore.


I found it by searching "draven" but on the SECOND PAGE
but it doesn't make sense how the hell does this search work
I would expect it to search for relevance or by date,in either case it was supposed to be like..top 10 result..I don't get it
#213 | _SecretSquirrel | Posted 8/24/2013 4:27:30 AM | message detail
Not_Wylvane posted...
e: Oh, how about that bonus match, except Vincent gets an excellent pic while Mewtwo and Phoenix get horrible pics?


That goes completely against the reason I suggested it in the first place.

That, and I refuse to have anything to do with Hobo Phoenix getting on the front page.
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#214 | LeonhartFour | Posted 8/24/2013 4:29:24 AM | message detail
Well, if Vincent crushes the poll in that situation, it would pretty much prove the point either way.
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#215 | Whupassman | Posted 8/24/2013 4:30:12 AM | message detail
_SecretSquirrel posted...
Not_Wylvane posted...
e: Oh, how about that bonus match, except Vincent gets an excellent pic while Mewtwo and Phoenix get horrible pics?


That goes completely against the reason I suggested it in the first place.

That, and I refuse to have anything to do with Hobo Phoenix getting on the front page.


He'd actually make a cool Hobo.
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#216 | DSRKVRTheDealer | Posted 8/24/2013 4:36:01 AM | message detail
I'd support such a bonus poll.
#217 | Nanis23 | Posted 8/24/2013 4:47:50 AM | message detail
Oh screw it
Lopen,can you please explain to me where i'm wrong?
I tried a different approch-using the average vote totals per hour/total votes at the end of the match,of 3 matches before the round 1 Draven match and three matches after
It looks something like this
%
19.9411109
11.8134021
8.736291506
6.914625831
5.674412153
5.030959212
5.254407376
6.153786465
6.947329411
7.587808089
8.018367036
7.927499917
Using this,I calculated that according to the three first hours,the match was supposed to get 29345 votes without rally (sounds high today,but it's less than Tharja/Tina/Juliet!)
Then I used the vote totals * % per hour (for example,first hour should be 19.94*29345=5851)
Now,I used a constant 44-35-21 Jak/Chie/Draven and calculated how many votes each of them was supposed to get without a rally

But it just..doesn't work..it looks like there were 10348 rallied votes now,and Draven got 9901 of them (95.6%)
I believe the problem lies in the fact I used a constant value...or maybe because I gave Draven 21? but I just don't believe he could get a better % without a rally really
#218 | creativename | Posted 8/24/2013 4:48:31 AM | message detail
Lopen posted...
Mewtwo would almost certainly beat Vincent even without the pic. That would be the biggest pic vote swing we've ever seen by a lot otherwise.

Yes Mewtwo should still win. But Solid S*** costs Snake ~10 points and this pic was even worse than that. So at least Vincent should've boosted to 45+% on Mewtwo, which is still quite the drop from him but at least it would be a real match.

As for why Vincent's board vote wasn't ass probably because it was a highly debated match and he was the bracket vote.

I'd buy this if it was anything but Vincent and FF7. None of the three main FF7 males has ever had a good board vote to my recollection. Definitely not one against two characters like PW and Mewtwo.

Also if this was brackets there would have been *some* trends - instead Vincent flatlined for the entire Power Hour.

There was just no resemblance at all between Vincent's trends there and his normal trends.

Also the SFFing between Phoenix and Mewtwo doesn't make sense IMO - they should be able to double team Vincent down to hell with their powers combined.

If Cloud was next gonna face Phoenix and Meetwo, I don't think anyone would expect him to hold up. He'd collapse laughably before rising. He'd look worse facing them both together than separate.
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#219 | The_Djoker | Posted 8/24/2013 4:49:06 AM | message detail
Complete this fictional bracket

Goku
Han Solo

Spiderman
Harry Potter

Superman
Vegeta

Vader
Jack Bauer

The Joker
Venom

God
Lincoln

Terminator
Dumbledore

Batman
Ironman
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#220 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 8/24/2013 4:51:05 AM | message detail
The Elite 8 would be all ponies.
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#221 | Dilated Chemist | Posted 8/24/2013 4:57:19 AM | message detail
The_Djoker posted...
Goku
Han Solo

Spiderman
Harry Potter

Superman
Vegeta

Vader
Jack Bauer

The Joker
Venom

God
Lincoln

Terminator
Dumbledore

Batman
Ironman


Goku
Spiderman
Superman
Vader
The Joker
God
Terminator
Batman

Spiderman
Vader
The Joker (loll)
Batman

Vader
Batman

Batman
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#222 | The_Djoker | Posted 8/24/2013 5:01:23 AM | message detail
I'd go

Goku
Spiderman
Vegeta
Vader
Joker
God
Terminator
Batman

Goku
Vader
Joker
Batman

Goku
Batman

Batman
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#223 | creativename | Posted 8/24/2013 5:15:58 AM | message detail
Not_Wylvane posted...
It's pretty f***ed up that people would humiliate you just because you support Draven over Link. Hell, it's pretty damn horrible that people would get s*** for supporting any character in a contest. Do we really need another suicide here?

Yeah, he shouldn't get crap for supporting a character he likes. But I suspect most people were just busting his balls. If anyone was actually mean-spirited, they'd be a clown! Boo those people.

Luster though if he helps can save the contest. I mean look at what Snake just did - LOOK at it!! He just put on a legit Link-slayer performance, one where to could say he could hang real close 1v1 with Link. And where he would deserve to be the favorite with Mario there.

And NO ONE GIVES A F***. It's just apathy all around. People's interest in what should be a great remaining contest has crumbled.

I hate NoFunFAQs :( Seeing everyone else lose interest has made me lose even more interest, apathy is contagious.

But if we can downvote the reddit rallies off before they gain momentum, we have a chance. But I have no faith in people here doing that.

Luster however is highly motivated and not-lazy, which means he's our best hope for the return of FunFAQs!! Yippee!! He loves these contests like the rest of us and is one of the few willing to make the effort to make this enjoyable again. Rather than just moodily watch from the sidelines.

Not_Wylvane posted...
creativename posted...
(and I hope the guy to punch paulg in the face is Wolverine...bone claws or adamantium claws, either will do! >_> )


Someone did pic sabotage in a video game character popularity contest, we should inflict physical harm on him!

Did the humor truly fly over your head there? The guy I responded to said paulg should be punched, I made a joke about it. Have a sense of humor man :)
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#224 | Nanis23 | Posted 8/24/2013 5:24:14 AM | message detail
I care,too
But when most of the comments here are "Screw Link go Draven! destroy the LAW!" and "I will vote Draven just to see how salty you guys will be,delicous tears" it kinda discourge me

I wouldn't care if the people that said it were reddit invasors or anything...some long-time members here share this opinion
It's stupid
#225 | creativename | Posted 8/24/2013 5:43:40 AM | message detail
Goku
Han Solo - people would overrate DBZ characters so much...and even if they didn't and Goku had excellent strength, Han Solo is too big a hurdle for him. Han Solo's floor is barely lower than Goku's ceiling.

Spider-Man - blow out
Harry Potter

Superman - not sure about this one, both have wide ranges
Vegeta

Vader - Bauer would be made to look like turbofodder
Jack Bauer

The Joker - if Spider-Man 3 didn't ruin Venom he'd have a much better shot. Venom was probably a top 20 character before SM3. Now his popularity has waned a lot. Though at no point would he have ever beaten The Joker.
Venom

God
Lincoln - uhh...Lincoln? Fodder-fest.

Terminator - easy win
Dumbledore

Batman - he's Batman
Iron-Man

---Round 2---

Han Solo
Spider-Man - Spider-Man but it should be close, both would have beastly strength.

???
Vader - easy win for Vader

The Joker - Joker in a laugher.
Lincoln/God

Terminator
Batman - Batman wins by more than against Iron-Man

---Round 3---

Vader - Vader wins, but Spidey keeps it competitive
Spider-Man

The Joker
Batman - hmph. An SFF setup. Batman wins via SFF.

---Finals---

Vader
Batman - Vader does his best, but Batman is probably the most popular US created fictional character ever. Vader crushes most opponents but Batman is too much to ask.
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#226 | creativename | Posted 8/24/2013 5:44:50 AM | message detail
Speaking of the Joker...

Nanis23 posted...
I care,too
But when most of the comments here are "Screw Link go Draven! destroy the LAW!" and "I will vote Draven just to see how salty you guys will be,delicous tears" it kinda discourge me

I wouldn't care if the people that said it were reddit invasors or anything...some long-time members here share this opinion
It's stupid

"Some men just want to watch the world burn"
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#227 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/24/2013 6:53:39 AM | message detail
Match XCIII: (25) Altair vs. (4) Lara Croft vs. (7) Kefka

Previous Round

Altair – 44.43%
Ratchet – 32.73%
Shulk – 22.85%

Lara Croft – 57.55%
Slime – 32.46%
Yuri Hyuga – 10.00%

Kefka – 37.82%
Zack Fair – 32.59%
Ryu Hayabusa – 29.59%

Analysis

Sadly my predicted winner was eliminated last round as Kefka surprises the board and outright won a match he was expected to finish last in. Naturally this makes him the favourite to win this match unless he decides to screw with our minds again. Even assuming a total drop from Zack and Hayabusa Kefka is still the favourite to win the match as his performance in 2010 against Bowser was still decent.

If 2010 never happened Altair’s performance against Ratchet would have been considered to be terrible, but Ratchet has shown to have some strength. It is a bit hard to imagine Ratchet now having strength, but considering how many games he has to his series it would be weird if he never had any. This does place Altair as a bit weaker than what we saw in 2010, but it was to be expected given that the series has moved past him.

Lara Croft is a bit of a wild card. Without her new game she finishes in last, but with it she could potentially win the entire match. I do not think that will be the case, but she could threaten Altair. I am not sure how to rank her performance against Slime. Dragon Quest has historically been shown to be weak, but Slime is iconic and Hero did perform half decent against Aerith, even considering Rinoa was in the poll.

I am going to go with Lara Croft for second place, her performance in 2007 was decent and I feel the boost from her new game will be enough to finish above Altair. While I have Kefka in first I do not trust him and I honestly will not be surprised if he turns around from last round’s performance and finishes in last here.

charmander6000’s Bracket: Ryu Hayabusa > Lara Croft and Altair

charmander6000’s Prediction: Kefka – 38.34%, Lara Croft – 32.35%, Altair – 29.31%
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Points: 86/105 Today's Picks: GlaDOS and Ryu Hayabusa
#228 | LeonhartFour | Posted 8/24/2013 6:54:29 AM | message detail
For some reason, Kefka being the safe pick is making me nervous.

This is brand new territory.
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#229 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 8/24/2013 6:56:15 AM | message detail
Reminder: This is still Kefka we're talking about. He has just as good a chance of getting last place as he does getting first, just because he doesn't f***ing give a s*** how he does.

Truly the most chaotic character.
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#230 | Ultimaphazon | Posted 8/24/2013 6:57:33 AM | message detail
Kefka will finish last. That spot in the contest Bingo doesn't say "Kefka matches make absolutely no sense" without a reason.
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#231 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 8/24/2013 6:57:55 AM | message detail
LeonhartFour posted...
For some reason, Kefka being the safe pick is making me nervous.

This is brand new territory.


Kefka's matches never make sense, Altair scrubs it up after round 1
Lara victory confirmed
#232 | LinkMarioSamus | Posted 8/24/2013 7:03:07 AM | message detail
Lara always chokes though.

-Was held under 30% as a 1 seed in 2002 (yes it was against Crono, but still! She also failed to break 70% on some Chop Chop Onion dude and failed to break 60% on Ryo Hazuki).
-Did worse against Zelda in 2003 than expected (I guess now it's fine since Zelda is considered to be a near-elite, but meh)
-Became the first character to fail to break 20% on Samus in 2004.
-...I guess she did better in '06 than expected, but she still suffered a seeding upset to Chun-Li, who isn't very strong.
-Almost lost to pre-RE5 Wesker in '07.
-Hasn't been in a contest between then and now. Needed that reboot to get into this contest.
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#233 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/24/2013 7:06:13 AM | message detail
There's a difference between choking and being weak

Like if she lost to Wesker, that would be choking. She still got 38% on Sora in that match, oddly enough she performed worse when Squall and Aerith were thrown in.
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Points: 86/105 Today's Picks: GlaDOS and Ryu Hayabusa
#234 | _SecretSquirrel | Posted 8/24/2013 7:06:34 AM | message detail
On the topic of Kefka never making any sense, it doesn't need to pay off in this match either.

Watch, he'll dominate Lara and Altair, move on to the next round and draw four pictures that all have laughing sprites in them, and then get like 10% in that poll.
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#235 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 8/24/2013 7:12:34 AM | message detail
_SecretSquirrel posted...
On the topic of Kefka never making any sense, it doesn't need to pay off in this match either.

Watch, he'll dominate Lara and Altair, move on to the next round and draw four pictures that all have laughing sprites in them, and then get like 10% in that poll.


laughing Kefka vs Solid S***
allows Snake to overperform on him anyway

(Kefka vs Draven, what would happen)
#236 | _SecretSquirrel | Posted 8/24/2013 7:14:24 AM | message detail
1337gamerpr0 posted...
_SecretSquirrel posted...
On the topic of Kefka never making any sense, it doesn't need to pay off in this match either.

Watch, he'll dominate Lara and Altair, move on to the next round and draw four pictures that all have laughing sprites in them, and then get like 10% in that poll.


laughing Kefka vs Solid S***
allows Snake to overperform on him anyway

(Kefka vs Draven, what would happen)


With GLaDOS no less, who may very well be the least photogenic of all the non-fodder characters we have.

If anything, she's been like suit Vincent for all of her appearances.
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#237 | Ultimaphazon | Posted 8/24/2013 7:21:15 AM | message detail
Oh, I'm still going with Kefka in first here, but I really don't feel good about it. Lara's performance was very impressive IMO, and I could certainly see her winning. As for Altair... Well he's almost like Kefka, in that his matches never make sense either. He crushes fodder, but folds as soon as he faces actual competition. Do Kefka and Lara count as actual competition? I guess we'll see in 2 hours.
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#238 | spooky96 | Posted 8/24/2013 7:23:29 AM | message detail
PC gamers will split and vote for boobs.

Kefka > Lara > Altair

Don't make things complicated and simply trust me on this.
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#239 | Ultimaphazon | Posted 8/24/2013 7:28:56 AM | message detail
I have a hard time trusting you there, when you talk about PC gamers in a match featuring 3 characters who are mostly console oriented. You can buy AC and TR on PC, but that doesn't mean Lara and Altair are PC characters.
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#240 | _SecretSquirrel | Posted 8/24/2013 7:38:36 AM | message detail
I just realized something. I'm one point off the leaderboard, and I've got GLaDOS. I'll probably make it back on there depending on how bloody this match ends up.

But I have Zack, so it's not going to last. :'(
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#241 | pjbasis | Posted 8/24/2013 8:13:43 AM | message detail
Cloud is the strongest PC character
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#242 | -Zelmor- | Posted 8/24/2013 8:15:08 AM | message detail
pjbasis posted...
Cloud is the strongest PC character


http://www.gamefaqs.com/pc/367316-metal-gear-solid
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#243 | _SecretSquirrel | Posted 8/24/2013 8:15:11 AM | message detail
Pssh, I bet most people played FF6 on the PC anyway.
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#244 | spooky96 | Posted 8/24/2013 8:16:20 AM | message detail
_SecretSquirrel posted...
Pssh, I bet most people played FF6 on the PC anyway.


LOL Yup like me :3
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#245 | Nanis23 | Posted 8/24/2013 8:16:43 AM | message detail
MGS was released for the PC?
wait what
#246 | pjbasis | Posted 8/24/2013 8:41:02 AM | message detail
Darn it, Bayo.


Snake - 8.40¢
Alucard - 3.16¢
Falcon - 3.13¢
Rydia - 2.41¢
Isaac - 2.40¢
Bayonetta - 2.31¢
N - 1.34¢
Wander - 1.01¢
Keen - 1.00¢
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#247 | Qwaar | Posted 8/24/2013 8:42:48 AM | message detail
Tough match coming up, but I'm going for Kefka -> Lara -> Altair.

My main bracket has Lara for some reason.
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#248 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 8/24/2013 8:43:19 AM | message detail
Solid S*** vs PotaDOS vs Laughing Kefka
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#249 | Lilligant | Posted 8/24/2013 8:50:26 AM | message detail
I'd say that the best bonus match that has a realistic chance of actually happening is Draven vs. the 2 losers of the R1 bonus match.
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#250 | lightsout06 | Posted 8/24/2013 8:51:32 AM | message detail
*Looks at poll for the first time*

Wow Draven really did runoff all of the Zelda fanboys
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