Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1127

#51 | ChenKenichiFan | Posted 8/23/2013 9:17:59 PM | message detail
The silver lining here is that this is giving me some renewed hope in Nathan Drake. Do it guy!
---
Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
http://i.imgur.com/gdl8lcn.jpg
#52 | FantomXD | Posted 8/23/2013 9:18:25 PM | message detail
Kind of a boring match tonight. *Yawn*. Getting sleepy.
---
Never a dull moment.
#53 | _SecretSquirrel | Posted 8/23/2013 9:18:55 PM | message detail
KamikazePotato posted...
GlaDOS has very, very clearly boosted from Portal 2. We should've seen this coming from when she did very well in Rivalry Rumble despite an obvious anchor in Chell.


Is Chell really an anchor? I don't think she'd do gangbusters, but I think she holds her end of the bargain in a rivalry team quite well.
---
Agent Triple Zero at your service!
The artist formerly known as greatone10.
#54 | FFDragon | Posted 8/23/2013 9:19:22 PM | message detail
pjbasis posted...
I have not heard of any of those FFD


http://img.photobucket.com/albums/0903/coyote23/portal2potato.png
---
If you wake up at a different time, in a different place, could you wake up as a different person? [HERO'S PLUNGE]
http://img.imgcake.com/finegifdy.gif
#55 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/23/2013 9:19:37 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/4532

Chell and Giygas are both fairly big anchors, so this is kinda close to a 1 v 1 match. GlaDOS 60-40s Ness, who is going to be close to Ike/Epona tier.

The writing was on the wall. Maybe we should be looking at Rivalry Rumble a bit closer - it's predicted some things (Phoenix, Red/Blue) pretty well. Not sure what data there would be left to mine from it, though.
---
Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#56 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/23/2013 9:19:38 PM | message detail
I was wrong about Ike taking it to Epona though, at least for the moment. Impressive on that end, but they both don't seem to be worth terribly much looking at GlaDOS.

We can see with Snake next round though.
---
http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif
Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
#57 | ZeldaTPLink | Posted 8/23/2013 9:22:41 PM | message detail | (edited)
And Ike cuts.
#58 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/23/2013 9:21:32 PM | message detail
Yes Ike cut

Fight for your friends
---
BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 86/105 Today's Picks: GlaDOS and Ryu Hayabusa
#59 | vcharon | Posted 8/23/2013 9:21:38 PM | message detail
And Ike makes his 1 vote cut after Epona's best update.
---
Still smilin'
:>
#60 | xp1337 | Posted 8/23/2013 9:22:03 PM | message detail
Missed the match start and so any opportunity to change my expert pick but at least I'm pretty sure I wouldn't have taken GlaDOS here so it wouldn't have helped!
---
xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#61 | ChenKenichiFan | Posted 8/23/2013 9:22:55 PM | message detail
WAIT A MINUTE SOMEONE TELL ME IF NINTENDO LOOKS GOOD OR BAD THIS YEAR
---
Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
http://i.imgur.com/NQTthNf.jpg
#62 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 8/23/2013 9:23:16 PM | message detail
KamikazePotato posted...
The writing was on the wall. Maybe we should be looking at Rivalry Rumble a bit closer


>Cloud and Sephiroth really have fallen off a cliff
>Mario has suddenly resisted SFF from Link, Snake>Link>Mario would've happened
damn it LoL

(lol RR analysis)
#63 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/23/2013 9:23:31 PM | message detail
By the way, if you take out Epona LFF and assume that GlaDOS gets uh...57% on Ike 1 v 1 or whatever, then that puts her on the level of Aeris and Fox.

So that's something.
---
Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#64 | creativename | Posted 8/23/2013 9:24:03 PM | message detail
Hope that ike cut isn't a pattern starting, if Ike can cut again this early then things look grim for my horsey.
---
www.gamefaqscontests.com
www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery
#65 | Qwaar | Posted 8/23/2013 9:24:35 PM | message detail
Glados is slowing down as well.
---
XBL Gamertag - Tiirshak
#66 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/23/2013 9:25:19 PM | message detail
ChenKenichiFan posted...
WAIT A MINUTE SOMEONE TELL ME IF NINTENDO LOOKS GOOD OR BAD THIS YEAR


Luigi match leans good, this match leans bad, Mewtwo match would lean a heavy good but it's compromised (and 60% on Phoenix isn't great), Link match is neutral.
---
http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif
Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
#67 | vcharon | Posted 8/23/2013 9:26:18 PM | message detail
Another cut
---
Still smilin'
:>
#68 | hylianknight3 | Posted 8/23/2013 9:26:58 PM | message detail
no my epona :(
#69 | ChenKenichiFan | Posted 8/23/2013 9:27:07 PM | message detail
Oh man, just realized that Lugia's match is before Squirtle's and Pikachu's, so there's gonna be a lot of renewed hope in here during those hours. It's false hope people!
---
Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
http://i.imgur.com/gdl8lcn.jpg
#70 | ZFS | Posted 8/23/2013 9:27:12 PM | message detail
Damn, at least hold second Epona!
---
tune in tokyo 142.94
#71 | LordoftheMorons | Posted 8/23/2013 9:27:54 PM | message detail
So are we thinking quote factor is a thing?
---
I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword
#72 | Greyfeld | Posted 8/23/2013 9:28:04 PM | message detail
This is what happens when you get a round 1 match against untested fodder: nobody knows what your strength is for the next round.
---
PSN - Aevio
"I'm on a Goomba." - BlackMageJawa
#73 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/23/2013 9:28:24 PM | message detail
ChenKenichiFan posted...
Oh man, just realized that Lugia's match is before Squirtle's and Pikachu's, so there's gonna be a lot of renewed hope in here during those hours. It's false hope people!


I don't think anyone is going to take Lugia's match as a grim sign for Pokemon. It's going to look laughable. At the hands of CLOUD.

Which is a shame because he was my gauge on how FF7 was gonna look this round! dammit bacon
---
http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif
Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
#74 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/23/2013 9:28:46 PM | message detail
The most surprising part of this match is that it implies that Ragna the Bloodedge isn't completely terrible.

I don't know what's what, anymore.
---
Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#75 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/23/2013 9:29:51 PM | message detail | (edited)
Also - Ike goes ANOTHER year where we don't get a completely accurate read on him due to ending on a match with Nintendo overlap. One of these days.
---
Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#76 | TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 8/23/2013 9:29:50 PM | message detail
KamikazePotato posted...
The most surprising part of this match is that it implies that Ragna the Bloodedge isn't completely terrible.

I don't know what's what, anymore.


nominate Hazama
---
Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (is also Yoblazer)
http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif
#77 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/23/2013 9:29:54 PM | message detail
BlazBlue isn't a completely niche game.
---
BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 86/105 Today's Picks: GlaDOS and Ryu Hayabusa
#78 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/23/2013 9:30:43 PM | message detail
Also - Ike goes ANOTHER year where we don't get a completely accurate read on him due to ending on a match with Nintendo overlap. One of these days.

At least we have Proto Man
---
BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 86/105 Today's Picks: GlaDOS and Ryu Hayabusa
#79 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/23/2013 9:30:48 PM | message detail
I've played the first two BlazBlue games! It's still pretty weird to me! Ragna might look close-ish to Mordin by the end of this!
---
Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#80 | thunderstruck9 | Posted 8/23/2013 9:31:45 PM | message detail
It would be hilarious if next round there is no rally and link triples driven. Lol
---
Always move fast, you never know who's catching up!
#81 | LOLContests | Posted 8/23/2013 9:32:20 PM | message detail
KamikazePotato posted...
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/4532

Chell and Giygas are both fairly big anchors, so this is kinda close to a 1 v 1 match. GlaDOS 60-40s Ness, who is going to be close to Ike/Epona tier.

The writing was on the wall. Maybe we should be looking at Rivalry Rumble a bit closer - it's predicted some things (Phoenix, Red/Blue) pretty well. Not sure what data there would be left to mine from itythough.


Yeah, the 1 or 2 game rivalries were just averages of their character's popularities. That should have clued us in on The Boss and GladDOS (I foolishly thought that GladDOS/Chell was just a series proxy). That being said The Lawyers/Trainers were ongoing series rivalries,* so their popularities were proxies for their respective series probably.


*I know that the Trainers were only really from the first game, but that same basic rivalry is ongoing throughout the series.
---
"What's the matter with bootblacking? We both like it very much!"
This is Yesmar.
#82 | LordoftheMorons | Posted 8/23/2013 9:32:33 PM | message detail
Link would get like 85% on Draven with no rally

With a rally he will get like 30%
---
I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword
#83 | hylianknight3 | Posted 8/23/2013 9:33:13 PM | message detail
If Ike passes, I guess I feel better about "foolishly" switching 3rd from Ike to No-Pick at the last second...

But I'd rather see Epona do well.
#84 | hylianknight3 | Posted 8/23/2013 9:33:34 PM | message detail
thunderstruck9 posted...
It would be hilarious if next round there is no rally and link triples driven. Lol


Nothing would make me happier.
#85 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/23/2013 9:33:37 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/4553

Stuff like this now makes a lot more sense!
---
Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#86 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/23/2013 9:36:32 PM | message detail
Epona not going down
---
BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 86/105 Today's Picks: GlaDOS and Ryu Hayabusa
#87 | vcharon | Posted 8/23/2013 9:36:39 PM | message detail
Ike can't make up his mind what he wants to do. I'm not terribly interested enough to stay up and find out!
---
Still smilin'
:>
#88 | creativename | Posted 8/23/2013 9:40:49 PM | message detail
So on this talk I saw of how are best shot to save the contest is to all make Reddit accounts and downvote any Draven rallies as soon as they spring up, the problem there is that most of Draven's strength seems to be plain stuffing, not the actual rally which is just a cover story.

However, maybe if we can make the cover story weaker, we can get some more investigation into things. Or maybe the stuffer(s) will lose hope. Or something.

On that front - @Luster - can you use your mutant cyborg powers to create like 200 Reddit accounts and immediately downvote and Draven rally threads as soon as they pop up?

We've seen the incredible apathy that most around here have developed for this contest. A contest that looks like it would have been a LOT of fun from here out otherwise. Would be so depressing to have such a potentially enjoyable contest just ruined so bad that nobody gives a damn about the good stuff.

You could single handedly be our lord and savior!

Save_us.Luster ^_^
---
www.gamefaqscontests.com
www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery
#89 | creativename | Posted 8/23/2013 9:41:51 PM | message detail
Epona just busted out of Lon-Lon Ranch that update.

Good to see, looks like she'll hold second.
---
www.gamefaqscontests.com
www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery
#90 | xp1337 | Posted 8/23/2013 9:42:03 PM | message detail
If Epona can hold 2nd at least I'm only getting a -12 instead of a -18.

that's something
---
xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#91 | -hotdogturtle-- | Posted 8/23/2013 9:42:10 PM | message detail
So is Kefka strong again?
---
Hey man, LlamaGuy did encrypt the passwords.
With what? ROT-13? -CJayC
#92 | AxemRedRanger | Posted 8/23/2013 9:44:35 PM | message detail
Probably.
Kefka/GlaDOS could be a pretty interesting fight for second next round actually.
---
[NO BARKLEY NO PEACE]
#93 | -LusterSoldier- (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/23/2013 9:44:37 PM | message detail
creativename posted...
On that front - @Luster - can you use your mutant cyborg powers to create like 200 Reddit accounts and immediately downvote and Draven rally threads as soon as they pop up?

We've seen the incredible apathy that most around here have developed for this contest. A contest that looks like it would have been a LOT of fun from here out otherwise. Would be so depressing to have such a potentially enjoyable contest just ruined so bad that nobody gives a damn about the good stuff.

You could single handedly be our lord and savior!

Save_us.Luster ^_^


Sure, I can do that.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#94 | spooky96 | Posted 8/23/2013 9:46:00 PM | message detail
This should keep on. I'll get a good +18. Glados 1st, horse 2nd and Ike 3rd.
---
Beggars can't be choosers. gg Link.
#95 | CrushDavis | Posted 8/23/2013 9:47:16 PM | message detail
#96 | thunderstruck9 | Posted 8/23/2013 9:47:33 PM | message detail
If this holds I'll get +18. Course I only have 212 so it's not too big a deal. Lmao
---
Always move fast, you never know who's catching up!
#97 | creativename | Posted 8/23/2013 9:48:53 PM | message detail
-LusterSoldier- posted...
creativename posted...
On that front - @Luster - can you use your mutant cyborg powers to create like 200 Reddit accounts and immediately downvote and Draven rally threads as soon as they pop up?

We've seen the incredible apathy that most around here have developed for this contest. A contest that looks like it would have been a LOT of fun from here out otherwise. Would be so depressing to have such a potentially enjoyable contest just ruined so bad that nobody gives a damn about the good stuff.

You could single handedly be our lord and savior!

Save_us.Luster ^_^


Sure, I can do that.

Who says the miracle never happen? We have a chance! Hope is not lost.
---
www.gamefaqscontests.com
www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery
#98 | scaryice | Posted 8/23/2013 9:55:35 PM | message detail
I'm very hesitant to make a prediction for Altair/Lara/Kefka. I might just pass.
#99 | pjbasis | Posted 8/23/2013 9:57:40 PM | message detail
Kefka > Lara > Altair BOOK IT
---
http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png
SuperNiceDog - 1, pjbasis - 0
#100 | ChenKenichiFan | Posted 8/23/2013 9:59:50 PM | message detail
While the idea of LusterSoldier single-handedly shutting down the Reddit machine tickles my fancy, it's not terribly realistic. Draven went from high fodder to strongest entrant ever in between matches when his fanbase had to wait 40 days to even see him again. I honestly thought they would have just forgotten about the whole thing given that insane timeframe between matches. Also, his R1 rallied were spurred largely by B8ers posting on Reddit, and most of us didn't give a crap this time because no one had him in our brackets anymore. And yet, he still exploded.

This time, the fanbase is more pumped (some of them seemed to really get a kick out of how displeased we were getting at the result and they're probably all too willing to do it again) and they only have to wait 12 days for their crack at Link, not 40. The odds of countering something like that are simply futile.

Plus, I'm going to have Draven in my Expert bracket and will be giving him like 66% in the Oracle, so hell, I might get more miffed if the rallies are a bust and he ends at 12%.
---
Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
http://i.imgur.com/gdl8lcn.jpg