Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1126

#151 | Kotetsu534 | Posted 8/23/2013 9:39:18 AM | message detail
What the hell is Snake doing. Good lord.
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Abound with so much information
#152 | legendmusketeer | Posted 8/23/2013 9:40:28 AM | message detail
He just doesn't want to stop!
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LM
#153 | Then00bAvenger | Posted 8/23/2013 9:40:49 AM | message detail
Snake going for the tripling against Alucard
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
#154 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/23/2013 9:41:05 AM | message detail
I wish I could care about this result. F*** Draven.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#155 | red sox 777 | Posted 8/23/2013 9:41:08 AM | message detail
Bacon, if Link saves us from Draven, you should reward him by granting him a 1v1 match with Snake as the bonus poll. Because at this point with Mario in the poll it's looking like Snake's going to stomp him. (as far as you trust today's numbers and things haven't changed a lot in 3 years)
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Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick
your 7 time champion, Link.
#156 | abdou | Posted 8/23/2013 9:41:53 AM | message detail
man if only Draven was not in the way this would have been an AMAZING contest
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#157 | handsomeboy2012 | Posted 8/23/2013 9:41:56 AM | message detail
Snake is our new savior
F*** off Link
#158 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/23/2013 9:42:16 AM | message detail
Updated Top 10

Top 10 Closest Matches
1. Kratos Aurion – 20.72% vs. Boko – 20.70% - Round 1 – 0.02%
2. Missingno – 40.58% vs. Tidus – 40.50% - Round 1 – 0.08%
3. Lloyd Irving – 23.62% vs. Big Daddy – 23.45% - Round 1 – 0.17%
4. Elizabeth – 24.48% vs. Crash Bandicoot – 24.24% - Round 2 – 0.24%
5. Alucard – 36.32% vs. Captain Falcon – 35.95% - Round 1 – 0.37%
6. Ike – 35.81% vs. Proto Man – 35.26% - Round 1 – 0.55%
7. Sub-Zero – 29.63% vs. The Boss – 28.87% - Round 2 – 0.76%
8. Recette Lemongrass – 25.28% vs. Travis Touchdown – 24.43% - Round 1 – 0.85%
9. Tharja – 36.21% vs. Tiny Tina – 35.35% - Round 1 – 0.86%
9. Big Boss – 43.63% vs. Luigi – 42.77% - Round 2 – 0.86%

Top 10 Smallest Night Vote Gaps
1. Missingno – 11567 vs. Tidus – 11544 – Round 1 – 23
2. Lloyd Irving – 6223 vs. Big Daddy – 6177 – Round 1 – 46
3. Elizabeth – 6496 vs. Crash Bandicoot – 6433 – Round 2 – 63
4. Alucard – 10242 vs. Captain Falcon – 10139 – Round 1 – 103
5. Tharja – 11016 vs. Tiny Tina – 10753 – Round 1 – 263
6. Claptrap – 7483 vs. Lenneth Valkyrie – 7056 – Round 1 – 427
7. Captain Viridian – 3128 vs. Peacock – 2685 – Round 1 – 443
8. Tom Nook – 7496 vs. Pyramid Head – 7000 – Round 1 – 496
9. Nathan Drake – 9667 vs. Pac-Man – 8974 – Round 1 – 693
10. Isaac – 4443 vs. Tingle – 3463 – Round 1 – 980
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 85/105 Today's Picks: Kirby and Solid Snake
#159 | hylianknight3 | Posted 8/23/2013 9:42:23 AM | message detail
KamikazePotato posted...
I wish I could care about this result. F*** Draven.


Guess I'm not the only one who has been plagued by apathy ever since that match.
#160 | tennisboy213 | Posted 8/23/2013 9:46:54 AM | message detail | (edited)
Yeah F*** Draven and LoL and reddit. *******.
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POKEFEAR
#161 | Nanis23 | Posted 8/23/2013 9:43:13 AM | message detail
Heh,funny..no one in the spread betting took Elizabeth over 23%

Anyway,about Epona
At first I thought that she is supposed to be an improvment missingno
First there was L-Block which is a pure joke (don't start with "it also got Tetris power!" because we know how weak Tetris is)
Then there was missingno,which is also a joke but also Pokemon...
And what is a stronger joke than just pure joke and Pokemon joke? a Zelda joke

But even if Mordin turns out to be strong,her performance in the previous round wasn't good..I would expect more from a Zelda joke character that is not hated like Tingle
But maybe people are just too tired of jokes or Epona is not funny at all

Still..this is not up to stats discussion,this is about "what will the voters prefer" and we need a poll sample
#162 | tgs2 | Posted 8/23/2013 9:44:52 AM | message detail
I'm kind of cautious with putting Epona as the winner. Glados could leech away her joke support as hard as Ike can leech away the Nintendo support.
#163 | Denzokuken | Posted 8/23/2013 9:45:31 AM | message detail
Alucard can only just beat Bayonetta, and Snake IS only getting 60% on these two chumps... wow.
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Fine! I'll go to the store and get your Goddamn drain cleaner!
Character Battle IX Tingle Victory Parade - the journey is over....
#164 | red sox 777 | Posted 8/23/2013 9:46:13 AM | message detail
Snake still rising. Uh....Alucard should win the SNV, right?
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Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick
your 7 time champion, Link.
#165 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/23/2013 9:46:36 AM | message detail
For reference,

Ike (2010c) VS GlaDOS (2010c)

Ike has a strength of 26.54.
GlaDOS has a strength of 20.98.

Ike wins with 60.47% of the vote!
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#166 | xp1337 | Posted 8/23/2013 9:47:27 AM | message detail
Oh, that match has made me fairly apathetic and down too. But rather than go on about it some more I've just been trying to have some fun in the matches that are unaffected. I definitely haven't been anywhere near the same level of seriousness or focus since the MMX match.

Zooming out, yeah, this is just pretty sad given what Link is about to run into but I'm just trying not to think about it.

Snake could very well have lost his best opportunity to take Link down. Here's hoping against the odds that we get some kind of Link/Snake bonus match!
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GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#167 | TheOneAboveAll | Posted 8/23/2013 9:47:38 AM | message detail
Seriously, can we all just make reddit accounts to massively downvote any Draven rally as soon as it shows up? I have 11 friends in on it with me to do this and I'm gathering more. Kanz wants a fight, we'll give it to him. Let's kill any rallies before they start.
#168 | Sorozone | Posted 8/23/2013 9:48:06 AM | message detail
Snake looking mighty impressive. Too bad about Draven. Link/Snake/Mario would have been great.
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http://i.imgur.com/32RNLnc.gif
#169 | hylianknight3 | Posted 8/23/2013 9:48:10 AM | message detail
red sox 777 posted...
Bacon, if Link saves us from Draven, you should reward him by granting him a 1v1 match with Snake as the bonus poll. Because at this point with Mario in the poll it's looking like Snake's going to stomp him. (as far as you trust today's numbers and things haven't changed a lot in 3 years)


Bonus poll should be Link vs. Snake regardless. If Draven wins, the last thing I want is to see him in another poll.
#170 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/23/2013 9:48:11 AM | message detail
Oh

hey guys

Snake's crushing Alucard on Link's level huh man isn't that dandy

any takers for Samus
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#171 | Nanis23 | Posted 8/23/2013 9:48:15 AM | message detail
I wonder if everyday until the Link/Draven match there is going to be a discussion about it
#172 | StarStormScream | Posted 8/23/2013 9:48:57 AM | message detail
KamikazePotato posted...
I wish I could care about this result. F*** Draven.


Heh, like I said in the last topic, this 2nd Round has been awesome, even if the Draven thing hurt the overall excitement of the remainder of the contest.
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Now Playing:
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#173 | red sox 777 | Posted 8/23/2013 9:50:02 AM | message detail
In a weird way, Link/Draven could be what saves him from Snake. Because if he can somehow summon the 100k+ votes it will likely take to beat Draven- I think we may see Link return to his old form for the rest of the contest.
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Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick
your 7 time champion, Link.
#174 | ZinsanityCraze | Posted 8/23/2013 9:50:12 AM | message detail
Lol, to think Draven of all people would steal the rightful contest win away from Snake.

F*** you Reddit
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Zinsanity of the Helix Board
#175 | Denzokuken | Posted 8/23/2013 9:51:31 AM | message detail
ZinsanityCraze posted...
Lol, to think Draven of all people would steal the rightful contest win away from Snake.

F*** you Reddit


Snake will never win a contest dude. Sorry to break it to ya.
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Fine! I'll go to the store and get your Goddamn drain cleaner!
Character Battle IX Tingle Victory Parade - the journey is over....
#176 | BK_Sheikah00 | Posted 8/23/2013 9:51:58 AM | message detail
Remember how Crono/Pikachu/Magus was so important because it could decide the winner of the contest? By deciding whether Sora/Crono would be there to weaken Cloud, or Pikachu/Blue to weaken Snake, and then whether Snake or Cloud would have the best shot at beating LFF'd Link?

Draven sucks.
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Hey, its that SuperNiceDog! Congrats to the Guru 2011 winner
#177 | ChenKenichiFan | Posted 8/23/2013 9:52:10 AM | message detail
How many times do I have to pound reality into you people. Remember the Mega Man > Mario talk of 2010? I sure do!
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#178 | Nanis23 | Posted 8/23/2013 9:52:12 AM | message detail
Come on guys we can still have Mewtwo/Mario/Snake if you cooperate...!
And Snake will win because I will be too tired to do a third rally for Mewtwo by that point
#179 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/23/2013 9:52:53 AM | message detail
ChenKenichiFan posted...
How many times do I have to pound reality into you people. Remember the Mega Man > Mario talk of 2010? I sure do!


are you seriously comparing Mega Man/Mario to Samus/Snake

seriously
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#180 | FranzyvonKarma | Posted 8/23/2013 9:53:28 AM | message detail
Karma Hunter posted...
Oh

hey guys

Snake's crushing Alucard on Link's level huh man isn't that dandy

any takers for Samus


Pfft Master Chief almost broke 70% on Alucard.

Snake's lucky he's not running into a character of real strength like Yuna.
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~War~
#181 | im317 | Posted 8/23/2013 9:53:38 AM | message detail
if Epona wins does Ike finish 3rd?

i mean i figure Epona is worth 15% from Zelda, 5% from Horse and 5% from joke. why do i think Epona can win you ask when i have her at 25%? MLP factor, which if activated is probably worth 15%
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#182 | xp1337 | Posted 8/23/2013 9:54:00 AM | message detail
Crono/Pikachu/Magus is still important!

the legacy guys

the legacy

This is the match I am hyped for beyond all others. And really at this point part of me feels like it's the only match I genuinely care about left! I am so hyped for this.
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#183 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/23/2013 9:54:37 AM | message detail
If Ike or Epona wins, it's because they managed to sap away the Ninty support from the other. I don't think it happens to either of them though, which is why I have GlaDOS in 1st.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#184 | FranzyvonKarma | Posted 8/23/2013 9:54:47 AM | message detail
Yes that's right this result totally makes Snake 2007 = Snake 2013 through MASTER CHIEF 2007 look fine.

Clearly Snake hasn't boosted at all since 2006 and Samus will still 53/47 him.
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~War~
#185 | Then00bAvenger | Posted 8/23/2013 9:55:06 AM | message detail | (edited)
I had a Snake > Link final too

Would have been nice to see if it came through!
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
#186 | red sox 777 | Posted 8/23/2013 9:55:03 AM | message detail
I think that was always very tenuous of a contest-deciding match. Rather like people calling Link/Magus the match that would decide SC2K3. Cloud/Crono LFF and Snake/Pokemon LFF are going to be tiny. Like, probably less than 1%. That match isn't deciding anything unless Cloud and Snake start off within 51/49 of each other, and one of them beats Link with Mario while the other doesn't- which is hard considering that we just said they need to be within 51/49 of each other.
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Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick
your 7 time champion, Link.
#187 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/23/2013 9:55:10 AM | message detail
ChenKenichiFan posted...
How many times do I have to pound reality into you people. Remember the Mega Man > Mario talk of 2010? I sure do!


I'd say Snake outperforming Link against a direct opponent is a result to take notice about, even if he still probably wins a 1 v 1.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#188 | ChenKenichiFan | Posted 8/23/2013 9:56:00 AM | message detail
Probably wins? Proooooobably wins? Snake has a long shot at best against Link with MARIO IN THE POLL.
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#189 | Nanis23 | Posted 8/23/2013 9:57:00 AM | message detail
FranzyvonKarma posted...
Karma Hunter posted...
Oh

hey guys

Snake's crushing Alucard on Link's level huh man isn't that dandy

any takers for Samus


Pfft Master Chief almost broke 70% on Alucard.

Snake's lucky he's not running into a character of real strength like Yuna.


(I wonder if someone will take the bait and respond for this seriously)
#190 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/23/2013 9:57:14 AM | message detail
Why? Just looking at their R1 and R2 matches, Snake's looks a lot better. Considering that people have seem to finally realized the LAW outside of this board, Link being a little weaker wouldn't surprise me.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#191 | red sox 777 | Posted 8/23/2013 9:57:59 AM | message detail
are you seriously comparing Mega Man/Mario to Samus/Snake

seriously


I think he's talking about Link/Snake. It's definitely what I'm talking about! And not this Link/Snake/Mario, which is a match Snake can't hope to really win because Link can always point at Mario to explain his defeat. I mean Link vs. Snake 1v1.

........

.......In which I'll still take Link. But this match feels a lot like Cloud/Sonic.
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Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick
your 7 time champion, Link.
#192 | Fayt_Esteed | Posted 8/23/2013 9:58:14 AM | message detail
KamikazePotato posted...
So, what's everyone thinking for tonight? I personally think it can legitimately go all three ways, although I have a clear pecking order in mind.

Glados: Is probably the weakest in the poll, but is benefiting from a Ninty split and it being a night match.

Ike: His R1 performance looks better with every match. I think I'd take him over the other two in 1 v 1 affairs in a heartbeat, but with overlap and the possibility of weirdness, his fate here is uncertain.

Epona: Still a big question mark. She depends on how well you think 60-40ing Mordin is. If you respect that, she could be good. If you don't...she's not! There's also the question of whether or not she dies with another Nintendo character in the poll. She might...or might not. Big ole' question mark.


I dunno... This looks like it could go either way.
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#193 | xp1337 | Posted 8/23/2013 9:59:03 AM | message detail
I'd take Link against anyone 1v1 regardless of the situation or stats.

not betting against that guy.

snake could have 70% here and he'd still find a way. >_>
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GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#194 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/23/2013 10:01:08 AM | message detail
Also, I hate being resigned to the Ike Defense Force, but the way people acted about him after his Round 1 match was weeeird. MORE STATS:


Ike (2010c) VS Proto Man (2010c)

Ike has a strength of 26.54.
Proto Man has a strength of 25.72.

Ike wins with 51.54% of the vote!


And that's with Proto Man getting a night match against Snake, and with every MM character rocking the house. Ike basically performed exactly like the stats said he would, and he's shown the ability to hold up Nintendo in the past...and everyone abandoned him. I don't get it. Is everyone here really that scared of HorseFAQs?
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#195 | Ultimaphazon | Posted 8/23/2013 10:01:34 AM | message detail
What the hell is that Snake performance? This is insane.
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#196 | FranzyvonKarma | Posted 8/23/2013 10:01:54 AM | message detail
Epona gonna eat all the voats.

Delicious, delicious voats.
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~War~
#197 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/23/2013 10:03:18 AM | message detail | (edited)
It could also be MGSV hype. A little weird considering Big Boss, but Snake stole Big Boss's MGS3 boost so stealing his MGSV hype boost wouldn't be out of order. BB still looks to be 49%+ at worst against Luigi in a 24 hour match.

But I kinda called these two Link+ results beforehand. <_< Snake is worth 45% on Link in 2010 and went up against two overrated opponents so far - Isaac is overrated through Charizard and Alucard is overrated through Link. These results are very, very good, but to me they're proof that Samus wouldn't beat him, not that he's quite up to Link level yet. Have to get an MGSV release during the contest for that probz.
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#198 | red sox 777 | Posted 8/23/2013 10:02:41 AM | message detail
Is everyone here really that scared of HorseFAQs?

In this environment, yes. Jokes, animals, and inanimate objects are overperforming left and right.
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Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick
your 7 time champion, Link.
#199 | Nanis23 | Posted 8/23/2013 10:03:15 AM | message detail
KamikazePotato posted...
Also, I hate being resigned to the Ike Defense Force, but the way people acted about him after his Round 1 match was weeeird. MORE STATS:


Ike (2010c) VS Proto Man (2010c)

Ike has a strength of 26.54.
Proto Man has a strength of 25.72.

Ike wins with 51.54% of the vote!


And that's with Proto Man getting a night match against Snake, and with every MM character rocking the house. Ike basically performed exactly like the stats said he would, and he's shown the ability to hold up Nintendo in the past...and everyone abandoned him. I don't get it. Is everyone here really that scared of HorseFAQs?


I think it's Wrex fault,tbh
#200 | LinkMarioSamus | Posted 8/23/2013 10:03:35 AM | message detail
hylianknight3 posted...
KamikazePotato posted...
I wish I could care about this result. F*** Draven.


Guess I'm not the only one who has been plagued by apathy ever since that match.


Well there's a reason I haven't been on the board as much ever since that.
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