Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1125

#351 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 8/22/2013 9:04:27 PM | message detail
Max lead of 312, #3 all-time and #1 in a non-1v1 (both of the top two came from GotD).
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RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed.
#352 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 8/22/2013 9:04:30 PM | message detail
xp1337 posted...
Argh, Crash.

I believed in you!


I have confidence in Crash's night vote to pull him through. BioShock shouldn't have a good night vote as it's more popular on the Xbox 360 than the PS3. And the Xbox 360 is weak in Europe and Asia.
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#353 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/22/2013 9:05:18 PM | message detail
Kirby is weaker than Luigi, he's an underdog to beat Big Boss in a 24 hour match.

If you're even remotely impressed with decimating Crash, note that he's under worthless Elizabeth. It's called Pac-Man Factor for a reason.
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#354 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 8/22/2013 9:05:58 PM | message detail
...Wait, that total I posted was a freeze? S***, that was fast!
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RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed.
#355 | pjbasis | Posted 8/22/2013 9:06:10 PM | message detail
#356 | Then00bAvenger | Posted 8/22/2013 9:07:06 PM | message detail | (edited)
Kirby beating Crash that bad doesn't mean much for his chances against Sephiroth. Most people knew that Crash would get disproportionally crushed here. Wouldn't be surprised if quite a few people took Elizabeth over him for that very reason despite thinking she was trash
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#357 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/22/2013 9:06:14 PM | message detail
Kirby board vote.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#358 | tennisboy213 | Posted 8/22/2013 9:06:17 PM | message detail
lol
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POKEFEAR
#359 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/22/2013 9:06:19 PM | message detail
No the percent is suppose to go to Crash
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Points: 85/105 Today's Picks: Kirby and Solid Snake
#360 | Sorozone | Posted 8/22/2013 9:06:19 PM | message detail
#361 | TheOneAboveAll | Posted 8/22/2013 9:06:24 PM | message detail
Wow. GG Crash.
#362 | Achromatic | Posted 8/22/2013 9:06:36 PM | message detail
Liz showing she has a little bit left in the tank!
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#363 | Fayt_Esteed | Posted 8/22/2013 9:06:37 PM | message detail
Wow, Kirby dropped hard. And all that percentage went to Elizabeth.
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#364 | 2Dover3D | Posted 8/22/2013 9:06:52 PM | message detail
#365 | MegatokyoEd | Posted 8/22/2013 9:06:55 PM | message detail
Jesus Crash, you suck.

I should have known he'd collapse against an actual icon.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
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#366 | ChenKenichiFan | Posted 8/22/2013 9:06:59 PM | message detail
Son of a panky stanky. Why didn't I just bank like I wanted.
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#367 | hylianknight3 | Posted 8/22/2013 9:07:02 PM | message detail
Is that why they call him Crash?
#368 | xp1337 | Posted 8/22/2013 9:07:22 PM | message detail
...crash.

why
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#369 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/22/2013 9:07:24 PM | message detail
For reference:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/3788

I figured the same thing would happen here.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#370 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 8/22/2013 9:07:28 PM | message detail
Well, that update makes Elizabeth look more like a low midcarder now that she's beating Crash.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#371 | im317 | Posted 8/22/2013 9:07:48 PM | message detail
this is all because i read the spread betting topic and it convinced me to change 2 minutes before the poll opened.
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#372 | pjbasis | Posted 8/22/2013 9:08:04 PM | message detail
I would not say that Luster just yet.

Unless Kirby drops some more
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#373 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/22/2013 9:08:12 PM | message detail
Well, that update makes Elizabeth look more like a low midcarder now that she's beating Crash.

Not when you compare her to Kirby.
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Points: 85/105 Today's Picks: Kirby and Solid Snake
#374 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/22/2013 9:08:32 PM | message detail
Elizabeth is not a low mid-anything, she's getting 70/30'd by Kirby. She's fodder.
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#375 | pjbasis | Posted 8/22/2013 9:08:48 PM | message detail
I figure Board 8 actually plays less new games than the average GameFAQer
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#376 | Achromatic | Posted 8/22/2013 9:08:52 PM | message detail
Also glados' quote made me burst out laughing. I think that quote will help her a lot.
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I am Sir Chris, the Knight that says NICK!!!
#377 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 8/22/2013 9:08:56 PM | message detail
...Beating Crash doesn't make you a low midcarder.
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RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed.
#378 | LordoftheMorons | Posted 8/22/2013 9:09:07 PM | message detail
Ugh down from 8th to "35 more users tied at 89"
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#379 | TheOneAboveAll | Posted 8/22/2013 9:09:14 PM | message detail
Karma Hunter posted...
Elizabeth is not a low mid-anything, she's getting 70/30'd by Kirby. She's fodder.


Yeah, but Kirby is a Noble Niner now, apparently.
#380 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 8/22/2013 9:09:34 PM | message detail
charmander6000 posted...
Well, that update makes Elizabeth look more like a low midcarder now that she's beating Crash.

Not when you compare her to Kirby.


http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/3800

Elizabeth has almost the same percentage on Kirby right now that GlaDOS pulled off in that match. And most people would agree that GlaDOS is above the fodder line in that contest.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#381 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/22/2013 9:10:53 PM | message detail
Elizabeth has almost the same percentage on Kirby right now that GlaDOS pulled off in that match. And most people would agree that GlaDOS is above the fodder line in that contest.

Who are those people?
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 85/105 Today's Picks: Kirby and Solid Snake
#382 | The Real Truth | Posted 8/22/2013 9:11:09 PM | message detail
I really wish I would have taken more time with my bracket. I'm barely off the leader board as is.
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#383 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/22/2013 9:11:30 PM | message detail
I think Kirby drops some more after this. Doesn't he have one of the strongest early votes ever?
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#384 | TheOneAboveAll | Posted 8/22/2013 9:12:10 PM | message detail
charmander6000 posted...
Elizabeth has almost the same percentage on Kirby right now that GlaDOS pulled off in that match. And most people would agree that GlaDOS is above the fodder line in that contest.

Who are those people?


I thought GlaDOS was the fodder line that contest.
#385 | MegatokyoEd | Posted 8/22/2013 9:16:08 PM | message detail | (edited)
If you can barely get 30% on Kirby then you're fodder to me.

High fodder, but still fodder.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
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#386 | Greyfeld | Posted 8/22/2013 9:13:43 PM | message detail
And this is what I get for listening to all the people saying that Kirby wouldn't SFF Crash into third place -.-
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#387 | Lopen | Posted 8/22/2013 9:13:52 PM | message detail
Kirby's board vote is really good but that's already dissipated. Kirby probably doesn't drop too much more.
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#388 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/22/2013 9:15:17 PM | message detail
Elizabeth might end up higher than this mark against Kirby by the end but she'd definitely end lower in a 24 hour match. And Kirby's probably suffering a touch of Icon leeching from Crash. She's fodder.
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#389 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/22/2013 9:15:47 PM | message detail
Updated Top 10

Top 10 Closest Matches
1. Kratos Aurion – 20.72% vs. Boko – 20.70% - Round 1 – 0.02%
2. Missingno – 40.58% vs. Tidus – 40.50% - Round 1 – 0.08%
3. Lloyd Irving – 23.62% vs. Big Daddy – 23.45% - Round 1 – 0.17%
4. Alucard – 36.32% vs. Captain Falcon – 35.95% - Round 1 – 0.37%
5. Ike – 35.81% vs. Proto Man – 35.26% - Round 1 – 0.55%
6. Sub-Zero – 29.63% vs. The Boss – 28.87% - Round 2 – 0.76%
7. Recette Lemongrass – 25.28% vs. Travis Touchdown – 24.43% - Round 1 – 0.85%
8. Tharja – 36.21% vs. Tiny Tina – 35.35% - Round 1 – 0.86%
8. Big Boss – 43.63% vs. Luigi – 42.77% - Round 2 – 0.86%
10. Guybrush Threepwood – 18.06% vs. Max Payne – 16.76% - Round 1 – 1.30%

Top 10 Smallest Day Vote Gaps
1. Kratos Aurion – 6063 vs. Boko – 6056 – Round 1 – 7
2. Ike – 11023 vs. Proto Man – 10854 – Round 1 – 169
3. Sub-Zero – 9605 vs. The Boss – 9359 – Round 2 – 246
4. Recette Lemongrass – 7419 vs. Travis Touchdown – 7167 – Round 1 – 252
5. Big Boss – 14931 vs. Luigi – 14638 – Round 2 – 293
6. Guybrush Threepwood – 4888 vs. Max Payne – 4537 – Round 1 – 351
7. Viewtiful Joe – 7315 vs. Handsome Jack – 6901 – Round 1 – 415
8. Missile – 6138 vs. Sarah Kerrigan – 5654 – Round 1 – 484
9. Catherine – 12092 vs. Neku Sakuraba – 11493 – Round 1 – 599
10. Mr. Game & Watch – 10500 vs. Lee Everett – 9808 – Round 1 – 692

Top 10 Most Popular Day Polls
1. Raiden vs. Waluigi vs. Alan Wake – Round 1 – 37721
2. Commander Shepard vs. Aerith Gainsborough vs. Tharja – Round 2 – 36597
3. Big Boss vs. Luigi vs. Ness – Round 2 – 34223
4. Sonic the Hedgehog vs. Barret Wallace vs. Dracula – Round 2 – 34205
5. Barret Wallace vs. Professor Layton vs. Reimu Hakurei – Round 1 – 33945
6. Commander Shepard vs. Captain Olimar vs. Kain – Round 1 – 33313
7. Yuna vs. Master Chief vs. Claire Redfield – Round 1 – 32792
8. Ryu vs. Yuri Lowell vs. Face McShooty – Round 1 – 32704
9. Solid Snake vs. Isaac vs. Commander Keen – Round 1 – 32667
10. Kirby vs. Terra Branford vs. Princess Peach – Round 1 – 32535

Top 10 Most Impressive Day Losers
1. Waluigi – Round 1 – 14794
2. Luigi – Round 2 – 14638
3. Aerith Gainsborough – Round 2 – 14507
4. Fox McCloud – Round 1 – 13207
5. Ridley – Round 1 – 13037
6. Terra Branford – Round 1 – 11893
7. ? Block – Round 1 – 11714
8. Neku Sakuraba – Round 1 – 11493
9. Master Chief – Round 1 – 11426
10. Lightning – Round 1 – 11181

Top 10 Least Predictable Matches
1. Draven vs. Mega Man X vs. Ryu – Round 2 – 9.20%
2. Yuna vs. Master Chief vs. Claire Redfield – Round 1 – 15.40%
3. Urdnot Wrex vs. Cecil Harvey vs. Pit – Round 1 – 23.71%
4. Mr. Game & Watch vs. Lee Everett vs. Meat Boy – Round 1 – 26.40%
5. Catherine vs. Neku Sakaruba vs. Vaas Montenegro – Round 1 – 30.43%
6. Pokemon Trainer Blue vs. Fox McCloud vs. Wolf O’Donnell – Round 1 – 32.98%
7. Big Boss vs. Luigi vs. Ness – Round 2 – 33.61%
8. Mewtwo vs. Phoenix Wright vs. Vincent Valentine – Round 2 – 33.98%
9. Rikku vs. ? Block vs. Lyndis – Round 1 – 35.60%
10. Draven vs. Jak vs. Chie Satonaka – Round 1 – 38.19%
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Points: 85/105 Today's Picks: Kirby and Solid Snake
#390 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 8/22/2013 9:16:02 PM | message detail
IMO, to have a chance at being called a midcarder, you either have to beat another midcarder in a fair fight or put up a good enough percentage on a near-elite or Noble Niner that you can't be denied. I for one don't consider Raiden to be a midcarder yet! Best he's done so far is beaten a Link-SFFed Yoshi and finished ahead of Yuna in the RR vote-ins.

IIRC someone said that Raiden wasn't fodder before the match with Link and Yoshi. I'm pretty sure that eating the a** end of SFFed by against someone under consideration for the fodder line makes you guaranteed to be fodder yourself.
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RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed.
#391 | TheCodeisBosco | Posted 8/22/2013 9:16:36 PM | message detail
Kirby's pic is so awesome. Same with his quote.

And holy s***, he just gained percentage!
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[NO BARKLEY NO PEACE]
#392 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/22/2013 9:17:54 PM | message detail
TsunamiXXVIII posted...
IMO, to have a chance at being called a midcarder, you either have to beat another midcarder in a fair fight or put up a good enough percentage on a near-elite or Noble Niner that you can't be denied. I for one don't consider Raiden to be a midcarder yet! Best he's done so far is beaten a Link-SFFed Yoshi and finished ahead of Yuna in the RR vote-ins.

IIRC someone said that Raiden wasn't fodder before the match with Link and Yoshi. I'm pretty sure that eating the a** end of SFFed by against someone under consideration for the fodder line makes you guaranteed to be fodder yourself.


You have no idea what being fodder is. Link isn't weak enough to let fodder score 27% on him.
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#393 | Lightning Strikes | Posted 8/22/2013 9:18:17 PM | message detail
If Kirby can keep this up, Sephiroth is going down. Doing better on Crash than Sephiroth did on Spyro, and no way Spyro is much stronger than Crash.
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#394 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/22/2013 9:18:38 PM | message detail
Just based on this, Sephiroth's result looks more impressive. I'd take Morrigan over these guys easy.

Maybe Kirby can scrounge up some standout factor and pray the fabled 'basically never happens but people used to talk about it all the time' FF/MGS fanbase split.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#395 | TheCodeisBosco | Posted 8/22/2013 9:20:14 PM | message detail
Lightning Strikes posted...
If Kirby can keep this up, Sephiroth is going down. Doing better on Crash than Sephiroth did on Spyro, and no way Spyro is much stronger than Crash.


I wouldn't go that far, but I do fully expect Kirby to tear Seph a new one with the board vote.
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[NO BARKLEY NO PEACE]
#396 | Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 8/22/2013 9:20:15 PM | message detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
92------1------------100.00
91------0------------0.00
90------2------------50.00
89------8------------50.00
88------12----------33.33
87------34----------50.00
86------69----------75.36
85------93----------63.44
84------104--------50.00
83------137--------50.36
82------140--------42.14
81------152--------41.45
80------174--------29.89
79------227--------25.55
78------261--------22.99
77------331--------25.08
76------396--------26.26
75------430--------26.05
74------515--------26.60
73------611--------28.64
72------647--------31.53
71------695--------27.77
70------728--------28.16
69------703--------29.73
68------739--------31.12
67------664--------33.89
66------649--------34.05
65------586--------38.05
64------536--------34.51
63------499--------37.68
62------441--------39.00
61------459--------34.20
60------406--------39.90
59------339--------39.53
58------307--------45.60
57------274--------35.77
56------255--------33.33
55------235--------35.32
54------236--------38.98
53------187--------38.50
52------177--------40.11
51------241--------37.76
50------144--------38.89
49------147--------40.82
48------137--------35.77
47------117--------37.61
46------103--------39.81
45------98----------29.59
44------76----------36.84
43------79----------29.11
42------75----------37.33
41------82----------31.71
40------64----------31.25
39------50----------44.00
38------42----------26.19
37------49----------36.73
36------38----------34.21
35------29----------44.83
34------28----------28.57
33------26----------3.85
32------24----------25.00
31------18----------38.89
30------15----------26.67
29------12----------33.33
28------14----------21.43
27------10----------10.00
26------5------------40.00
25------12----------25.00
24------2------------50.00
23------3------------33.33
22------5------------20.00
21------3------------0.00
20------5------------20.00
19------1------------0.00
18------1------------0.00
17------2------------0.00
16------1------------100.00

Omitted scores got it wrong.

Support was divided for this one even among the top tiers. Big Boss winning keeps the last -10 (92 points) alive. The -16s (86 points) and -17s (85 points) showed strong support for Big Boss. The support quickly fades as prediction percentage falls into the 20s. It actually rises back to the high 30s again for some reason before fading away.

25 people fell off the Top 49. LordoftheMorons, scolletti105, Sorozone, AsurasKordoth, Kirbydamasta, metaIslugg, MrDew, Runemistress, VincentLauw, Vitocos, YetAnothrShadow, Als52, Bane_Of_Despair, ContestScrub, davidponte, kbe2k2, kenrmcha, Kibago, Lord_Kawaii, Naveplayer, Prankster928, ps2rulezzz, Qwaar, Robazoid and scarletspeed7 did not have Big Boss winning.

2 people got it wrong and survived. Former third place KingLionel and former fourth place Astro1446 also did not have Big Boss winning.
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#397 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/22/2013 9:21:02 PM | message detail
Lightning Strikes posted...
If Kirby can keep this up, Sephiroth is going down. Doing better on Crash than Sephiroth did on Spyro, and no way Spyro is much stronger than Crash.


Snake 2003 did 7% better on Raiden than Link did, Link no longer Noble Nine tier
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#398 | TheOneAboveAll | Posted 8/22/2013 9:21:14 PM | message detail
Karma Hunter posted...
TsunamiXXVIII posted...
IMO, to have a chance at being called a midcarder, you either have to beat another midcarder in a fair fight or put up a good enough percentage on a near-elite or Noble Niner that you can't be denied. I for one don't consider Raiden to be a midcarder yet! Best he's done so far is beaten a Link-SFFed Yoshi and finished ahead of Yuna in the RR vote-ins.

IIRC someone said that Raiden wasn't fodder before the match with Link and Yoshi. I'm pretty sure that eating the a** end of SFFed by against someone under consideration for the fodder line makes you guaranteed to be fodder yourself.


You have no idea what being fodder is. Link isn't weak enough to let fodder score 27% on him.


If the fodder line used to be at around 22% on BL and current Link is around 47% of BL, then 27% of a slightly-SFFed Link could conceivably be borderline fodder.

Which just lets us ask, does the fodder line move with Link or is based on BL.

Hilarious thought: At the end of this contest, everyone except for Jak and Chie will be below the Draven-based fodder line. Maybe Link can also avoid it, but unlikely.
#399 | Surskit | Posted 8/22/2013 9:21:37 PM | message detail
aww yeah kirby
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#400 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/22/2013 9:21:43 PM | message detail
Crash getting close to cutting, I think he does well at night too...
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 85/105 Today's Picks: Kirby and Solid Snake