Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1125

#251 | Sorozone | Posted 8/22/2013 3:57:33 PM | message detail
Big Boss now has the largest lead of the day @ 147.
---
http://i.imgur.com/32RNLnc.gif
#252 | red sox 777 (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/22/2013 3:57:44 PM | message detail
And Big Boss surpasses his biggest lead of the match.
---
Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick
your 7 time champion, Link.
#253 | Korayashi | Posted 8/22/2013 3:58:34 PM | message detail
Boss getting ready to destroy the dreams of this being the closest wire-to-wire match. How sinister.
---
Nominate Spring Breeze Dancin' from Mystical Ninja Starring Goemon for Character Battle IX!
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NJrnlFW4IMc
#254 | Sorozone | Posted 8/22/2013 4:14:37 PM | message detail
Losing out on hope with these gains by Big Boss!

I know the map lags, but it's the only thing giving me hope, and Luigi still looks like he could steal it at the end.
---
http://i.imgur.com/32RNLnc.gif
#255 | abdou | Posted 8/22/2013 4:15:11 PM | message detail
shouldn't BB be losing now that most of Europe has gone to sleep? or is he getting rallied?
---
...
#256 | nkansas13 | Posted 8/22/2013 4:16:21 PM | message detail
Theoretically, shouldn't BB be winning the night vote since Luigi is day-oriented? I think he's just going to pull away from here on.
---
Hey I just met you, and this is crazy, but you have died of dysentery.
#257 | Sorozone | Posted 8/22/2013 4:23:04 PM | message detail
And that update may have killed Luigi. Good lord.
---
http://i.imgur.com/32RNLnc.gif
#258 | TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 8/22/2013 4:24:10 PM | message detail
r/atruepatriot doing work
---
F*** BT
#259 | red sox 777 (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/22/2013 4:25:13 PM | message detail
As has been said, geolocation isn't everything as far as trends go. The time effects within a geographical area are often bigger, and Nintendo is much worse at night than in the day in North America.
---
Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick
your 7 time champion, Link.
#260 | GloryChaos | Posted 8/22/2013 4:52:05 PM | message detail
I voted against Kirby in Round 1 and I was planning on doing the same thing in round 2. But it was all for naught.
---
Brawl FC - 1332 8069 6690
http://i.imgur.com/OZ9aS.png
#261 | nkansas13 | Posted 8/22/2013 4:58:00 PM | message detail
Well, we'll always have Kirby>Sephiroth to look forward to.
---
Hey I just met you, and this is crazy, but you have died of dysentery.
#262 | Masato_Tanaka | Posted 8/22/2013 5:00:11 PM | message detail
yay big boss with a decent lead
---
http://i.imgur.com/GhorUQg.jpg
~Masa
#263 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 8/22/2013 5:00:32 PM | message detail
nkansas13 posted...
Well, we'll always have Kirby>Sephiroth to look forward to.


aww yeah, Kirby to validate his 2008 performance....!
#264 | Whiskey_Nick | Posted 8/22/2013 5:01:18 PM | message detail
has the gap been 231 or 232 for like 4 updates?
---
Not changing this sig until the Bengals, Bills, 49ers and Lions win the Super Bowl (10/10/10)
Professional UotY Mentor to Leo3Leo, McFlubbin and Jeff Zero
#265 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 8/22/2013 5:35:46 PM | message detail
Max lead is 238, which occurred on three different updates: 7:21, 7:56, and 8:02.

Third all-time, but since we keep the records for 1v1s and non-1v1s separate, it's still got a comfortable cushion for a #1 spot as the non-1v1 record is 399 in Tidus-Missingno earlier this contest.
---
RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed.
#266 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 8/22/2013 5:40:42 PM | message detail
as long as Draven winning doesn't beat L-Block's prediction %....(I doubt it, after the dropoff from round 3 99% of them will have him winning it all)
#267 | ZFS | Posted 8/22/2013 6:28:55 PM | message detail
Well, it looks like Ness was just enough of a problem for Luigi to lose it. Shame! Luigi would definitely win in a 1v1, but this isn't that! Sux.
---
tune in tokyo 142.94
#268 | TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 8/22/2013 6:30:03 PM | message detail
You gave it a good shot, HM
---
F*** BT
#269 | Sorozone | Posted 8/22/2013 6:30:41 PM | message detail
I blame Earthbound fans.
---
http://i.imgur.com/32RNLnc.gif
#270 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 8/22/2013 6:33:01 PM | message detail
Sorozone posted...
I blame Earthbound fans.


Star Fox fans=smart voters
Earthbound fans=dumb voters

inb4 Earthbound fans call me a hater
#271 | thunderstruck9 | Posted 8/22/2013 6:33:01 PM | message detail
I picked Luigi so I'm not real happy with how this is looking. Not that it really matters cause I don't have draven winning it all either. Lol. But on name alone I'd still take Luigi. I did not realize big boss looks exactly like snake with an eye patch. Which is like pirate snake, the coolest entity ever.lol
---
Always move fast, you never know who's catching up!
#272 | Surskit | Posted 8/22/2013 6:35:36 PM | message detail
I voted Ness AND I REGRET NOTHING.
---
.-#Elements of Water#-.
#273 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/22/2013 6:35:48 PM | message detail
Surskit posted...
I voted Ness AND I REGRET NOTHING.

---
Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#274 | ChenKenichiFan | Posted 8/22/2013 6:37:48 PM | message detail
Hoooo man, Boss is looking good! I'd like to thank Karma Hunter for willing this into happening.
---
Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
http://i.imgur.com/NQTthNf.jpg
#275 | ChenKenichiFan | Posted 8/22/2013 6:38:22 PM | message detail
Also I'd just like to say

WHOOOOAAAAA HOOOOOOOOOOOOO

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MdfTC5BgxIQ
---
Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
http://i.imgur.com/gdl8lcn.jpg
#276 | thunderstruck9 | Posted 8/22/2013 6:38:52 PM | message detail
And don't diss Ness fans. Earthbound rocks! One of my favorite games of all time.
---
Always move fast, you never know who's catching up!
#277 | Fr0zoN | Posted 8/22/2013 6:39:07 PM | message detail
Dammit I'm struggling so much with the expert next match. I mean Crash should win right? But then Elizabeth looks so adorable.....
#278 | ChenKenichiFan | Posted 8/22/2013 6:42:18 PM | message detail
Fr0zoN posted...
Dammit I'm struggling so much with the expert next match. I mean Crash should win right? But then Elizabeth looks so adorable.....


Same. I wanted to ask everyone for their opinions because I feel lost about tonight's match. On the one hand, I have a hard time seeing Crash doing worse relative to Kirby, yet I have a similarly hard time seeing Elizabeth lose to Crash. My expert will be Kirby > Bank > Bank, but I don't even have a good percentage prediction for Kirby, let alone the other two.
---
Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
http://i.imgur.com/NQTthNf.jpg
#279 | im317 | Posted 8/22/2013 6:43:50 PM | message detail | (edited)
Fr0zoN posted...
Dammit I'm struggling so much with the expert next match. I mean Crash should win right? But then Elizabeth looks so adorable.....


bank it, its what im doing and im not even in the top 1000

what do you guys think about Alucard v Bayonetta?
---
"L-Block 2007 Character Battle Champion"Always remember
"L-Block, shaped like a boot to kick your ass"
#280 | Sorozone | Posted 8/22/2013 6:45:10 PM | message detail
I'm gonna take a -18 tumble in the expert. Wonder how far I'll fall on the leaderboard.

I have Crash for second in the next match.
---
http://i.imgur.com/32RNLnc.gif
#281 | TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 8/22/2013 6:45:51 PM | message detail
bankings for suckers, go big or go home
---
F*** BT
#282 | ChenKenichiFan | Posted 8/22/2013 6:46:01 PM | message detail
Alucard/Bayonetta is another good bank candidate, but Bayo is my girl and I'll be risking it on her. Plus:

- Both Konami
- Both night-based characters on GameFAQs
- Both originally appeared on the NES but didn't get their big games until the PS1

The similarities between Snake and Alucard are kinda funny. Can Bayonetta take advantage?

NO ONE SAID YOU COULD TOUCH
---
Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif
#283 | Fr0zoN | Posted 8/22/2013 6:47:04 PM | message detail
I have Kirby > Crash > Elizabeth atm but that was before the pic and those eyes http://img.gamefaqs.net/images/cbnine/battle/5233.jpg

I have Alucard > Bayonetta as well
#284 | red sox 777 (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/22/2013 6:48:55 PM | message detail
Link sat on his L-shaped throne atop the Fortress of Victory, looking extremely bored. Only 2 others had ever put real fear in his heart. One of them had been turned to stone and made into the chair on which he was sitting. The other was currently sweeping the floors of his kitchen.

His top general Mario was kneeling in front of him, making a report on the current positions of the Nintendo army. They were being overrun everywhere by a mysterious new horde of enemies. Link hardly heard a word. It didn't matter. He knew he would win. Again.

The grand door to the throne room burst open. A madman with two axes entered.

Link: Who dares approach the divine presence of my radiance?

The axeman said nothing and walked forward, weapon raised, without a hint of a bow.

Link: Guards, destroy him.

Mega Man X and Ryu moved to intercept the new threat. A blast from X's arm cannon and a hadouken from Ryu had precisely zero effect on him. Then X and Ryu both burst into white-hot flame.

The axeman hurled an axe across the room directly at Link. Link rolled his eyes and raised his little finger to block it. His eyes widened in shock when the axe cleanly severed the finger.

The axeman threw his other axe at Link. A blue forcefield burst to life in front of the king, but the axe went straight through the shield, and straight through his heart. Link gasped and fell at the foot of his throne.

Those gathered in the audience chamber looked on in stunned disbelief. Most of them pinched themselves to try to wake up from the dream. Finally, they saw Link's spirit rise from his body, and fly off into the distance, to be reincarnated again.

Draven seated himself upon the throne. A moment later, Link appeared in the doorway. Behind him, outside, an inferno raged, roasting to death a large part of Draven's army.

Link: For me, it has been 17 years since you killed me. For you, a minute. I have traveled through time, to regain my throne. Now you will die.

To Be Continued
---
Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick
your 7 time champion, Link.
#285 | Fayt_Esteed | Posted 8/22/2013 6:48:59 PM | message detail
Fr0zoN posted...
Dammit I'm struggling so much with the expert next match. I mean Crash should win right? But then Elizabeth looks so adorable.....


I'd expect Crash to win, but who knows what Kirby being there means for him..
---
"Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
#286 | LordoftheMorons | Posted 8/22/2013 6:53:35 PM | message detail
Well, glad I no picked second...

I feeling pretty decent about Elizabeth > Crash with Kirby in the poll. Crash's pacman factor should be diminished.
---
I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword
#287 | Fr0zoN | Posted 8/22/2013 6:55:58 PM | message detail
I would of taken Elizabeth > Crash if Booker didn't look SO BAD

In fact screw it I'm no picking
#288 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/22/2013 6:58:24 PM | message detail
Match XC: (3) Elizabeth vs. (4) Kirby vs. (12) Crash Bandicoot

Previous Round

Elizabeth – 41.45%
Poison – 33.09%
Thrall – 25.46%

Kirby – 46.44%
Terra Branford – 36.55%
Princess Peach – 17.01%

Crash Bandicoot – 42.59%
Wheatley – 36.76%
Tommy Vercetti – 20.65%

Analysis

Kirby has an excellent chance at finishing with a higher percentage; Terra would have no issue easily winning over Elizabeth and Crash. Peach should also win, but she was SFF last round and would likely lose in that form, regardless I would take Terra/SFF Peach over these two opponents.

While my expectations for Elizabeth were low she was still able to look quite bad. Letting Poison perform so well says very little about your strength and after watching the other Bioshock characters my opinion has not changed. Add the fact that Mike Haggar was crushed by Jill and things keep looking down for Elizabeth.

Crash was able to get his first win since 2002. While it is difficult to judge how strong Wheatley is I think Crash should be able to take second. Spyro was able to show his first round strength was not just because he was the most recognizable character and I expect something similar from Crash. Still even if Crash went back to his old strength I still think he will be able to take second.

I kind of hoped Kirby was given a more interesting path; maybe he will repeat his 2008 performance against Sephiroth, without Cloud too. I do not see Elizabeth putting up much of a fight against Crash, but if she does Kirby will likely fail to outdo his round 1 performance.

charmander6000’s Bracket: Kirby > Tommy Vercetti and Elizabeth

charmander6000’s Prediction: Kirby – 49.57%, Crash Bandicoot – 29.34%, Elizabeth – 21.09%
---
BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 74/99 Today's Picks: Sephiroth and Big Boss
#289 | LordoftheMorons | Posted 8/22/2013 6:59:08 PM | message detail
Well really how could you vote for Booker when basking in the glory of GILGAMESH's presence?
---
I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword
#290 | TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 8/22/2013 6:59:22 PM | message detail
Charmander has predicted, everyone switch your Experts to Elizabeth for 2nd pls
---
F*** BT
#291 | Sorozone | Posted 8/22/2013 6:59:32 PM | message detail
Yeah I'm on the go big or go home train. I haven't banked or no picked, or double picked, or w.e else you can do. I'm gonna take a decent fall on this match, but this strategy hasn't exactly bite me in the ass so far!
---
http://i.imgur.com/32RNLnc.gif
#292 | homsar555 | Posted 8/22/2013 7:00:06 PM | message detail
I wasn't sure where to say this, but I noticed that there's an outdated match pic on gamefaqscontests.com. I had missed a spot in removing the background in Lyn's match pic, and I sent in a fixed version after the ? Block/Lyn//Rikku pic went up, which SBAllen eventually switched to.
#293 | im317 | Posted 8/22/2013 7:03:12 PM | message detail
who else thinks Luigi wins this if he quote was I'ma Luigi, number one ?
---
"L-Block 2007 Character Battle Champion"Always remember
"L-Block, shaped like a boot to kick your ass"
#294 | pjbasis | Posted 8/22/2013 7:03:25 PM | message detail
Elizabeth will wreck crash.

He won because he was against garbage
---
http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png
SuperNiceDog - 1, pjbasis - 0
#295 | Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 8/22/2013 7:04:46 PM | message detail
I don't think Crash will get Pac-man factored that badly. I think all the drama surrounding how he got snubbed from PASBR has shown that there are people who legitimately like him and he doesn't get votes purely on recognition. I guess it's against Sephiroth but Spyro didn't completely die in the face of a more recognizable character. Also, after Big Daddy and Booker's performances, it seems likely that our initial impression of Poison being weak was correct and Elizabeth is also very weak.
---
Pokemon VGC2013 US National - 39th place
Pokemon VGC2013 Worlds LCQ - Top 32
#296 | GloryChaos | Posted 8/22/2013 7:16:15 PM | message detail
Given the arguments over pictures lately, I propose the only solution.

MS paint round. All pictures are custom MS paint jobs made to faithfully look like the characters they'll be representing.
---
Brawl FC - 1332 8069 6690
http://i.imgur.com/OZ9aS.png
#297 | Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 8/22/2013 7:17:10 PM | message detail
****ing Ness

You ruin everything
---
Oh SuperNiceDog's doing it again dude.
SuperNiceDog, you ain't no pimp dude
#298 | TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 8/22/2013 7:17:17 PM | message detail
Ertyu pic round
---
F*** BT
#299 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/22/2013 7:17:44 PM | message detail
Charmander has predicted, everyone switch your Experts to Elizabeth for 2nd pls

More points for me

>_>
---
BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 74/99 Today's Picks: Sephiroth and Big Boss
#300 | GloryChaos | Posted 8/22/2013 7:17:55 PM | message detail
TheKoolAidShoto posted...
Ertyu pic round


Perfect
---
Brawl FC - 1332 8069 6690
http://i.imgur.com/OZ9aS.png