Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1125

#101 | ZFS | Posted 8/22/2013 11:27:07 AM | message detail
augh
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tune in tokyo 142.94
#102 | TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 8/22/2013 11:27:16 AM | message detail
what a thrill
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F*** BT
#103 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 8/22/2013 11:28:00 AM | message detail
That update...

*Salutes*
#104 | xp1337 | Posted 8/22/2013 11:29:28 AM | message detail
Order restored!
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#105 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/22/2013 11:29:59 AM | message detail
This is good... isn't it?
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#106 | Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 8/22/2013 11:30:05 AM | message detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
89------1------------100.00
88------0------------0.00
87------2------------100.00
86------8------------100.00
85------12----------100.00
84------34----------100.00
83------69----------100.00
82------93----------100.00
81------104--------100.00
80------137--------100.00
79------141--------99.29
78------154--------98.70
77------177--------98.31
76------227--------99.56
75------265--------97.74
74------337--------97.33
73------405--------97.53
72------434--------97.70
71------522--------96.93
70------627--------95.85
69------668--------95.36
68------722--------94.04
67------757--------92.73
66------726--------92.56
65------748--------93.05
64------686--------88.78
63------676--------88.02
62------614--------86.97
61------562--------81.67
60------525--------79.62
59------451--------80.04
58------446--------79.82
57------394--------75.89
56------343--------72.59
55------301--------72.09
54------287--------62.37
53------253--------63.64
52------232--------65.09
51------262--------48.85
50------175--------54.29
49------187--------51.34
48------188--------56.91
47------141--------45.39
46------121--------46.28
45------131--------42.75
44------100--------40.00
43------93----------40.86
42------76----------30.26
41------79----------20.25
40------77----------31.17
39------62----------35.48
38------52----------36.54
37------52----------21.15
36------38----------26.32
35------33----------27.27
34------35----------22.86
33------34----------29.41
32------27----------18.52
31------16----------6.25
30------17----------11.76
29------12----------16.67
28------17----------17.65
27------8------------0.00
26------6------------33.33
25------12----------0.00
24------4------------50.00
23------4------------25.00
22------5------------0.00
21------2------------0.00
20------5------------0.00
19------1------------0.00
18------2------------50.00

All omitted scores got it wrong.

An easy Sephiroth match. The top 460 gets it right. Prediction percentage is above 90 as far down as the -34 brackets (65 points).

No one fell off the Top 49.
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Pokemon VGC2013 US National - 39th place
Pokemon VGC2013 Worlds LCQ - Top 32
#107 | ZFS | Posted 8/22/2013 11:32:23 AM | message detail
is Europe still awake don't they sleep
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tune in tokyo 142.94
#108 | swirIdude | Posted 8/22/2013 11:32:31 AM | message detail
Take it home, Boss!
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"The people who play Final Fantasy 7 actually have lives and dont NEED polls" ~MajinUltima
SuperNiceDog: Bracket: Good, Taste: Bad
#109 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/22/2013 11:33:21 AM | message detail
3.5 hours until Europe sleeps
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#110 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/22/2013 11:33:29 AM | message detail
Closing in on the 100 vote barrier and based on Bowser, Luigi's got plenty of percentage to give away still. Steady on, Snake.
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Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
#111 | Ultimaphazon | Posted 8/22/2013 11:35:16 AM | message detail
It's around 8PM in most of Europe. We're not going to sleep any time soon
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Proud supporter of DogFAQs
#112 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 8/22/2013 11:37:20 AM | message detail
Team Rocket Elite posted...
Score-Brackets-% Right
89------1------------100.00
88------0------------0.00
87------2------------100.00

An easy Sephiroth match. The top 460 gets it right. Prediction percentage is above 90 as far down as the -34 brackets (65 points).

No one fell off the Top 49.


what?
#113 | ZFS | Posted 8/22/2013 11:37:26 AM | message detail
Big Boss's greatest ally is the PK flash
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tune in tokyo 142.94
#114 | swirIdude | Posted 8/22/2013 11:38:31 AM | message detail
ZFS posted...
Big Boss's greatest ally is the PK flash


Or as Ness calls it, PK Cross.
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"The people who play Final Fantasy 7 actually have lives and dont NEED polls" ~MajinUltima
SuperNiceDog: Bracket: Good, Taste: Bad
#115 | GloryChaos | Posted 8/22/2013 11:44:30 AM | message detail
I guess nobody cares enough to rally for Luigi on Reddit or wherever.
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Brawl FC - 1332 8069 6690
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#116 | superange128 | Posted 8/22/2013 11:45:58 AM | message detail
GloryChaos posted...
I guess nobody cares enough to rally for Luigi on Reddit or wherever.


Probably helps the slight Guru favorite is Big boss
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#117 | swirIdude | Posted 8/22/2013 11:46:37 AM | message detail
Big Boss' secret is that he respects Luigi as a soldier and as a man.
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"The people who play Final Fantasy 7 actually have lives and dont NEED polls" ~MajinUltima
SuperNiceDog: Bracket: Good, Taste: Bad
#118 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/22/2013 11:47:05 AM | message detail
And there it is...!

Let's hope for some acceleration now. Shagohod escape velocity here we come.
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Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
#119 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/22/2013 11:47:19 AM | message detail
Most of us don't care/want rallies.
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 74/99 Today's Picks: Sephiroth and Big Boss
#120 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/22/2013 11:48:38 AM | message detail
What are the votals looking like, anyway? It's a Luigi day match and there might be rallying on either/both sides, I'd expect they'd be more than decent.
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#121 | Scarlettail | Posted 8/22/2013 11:49:17 AM | message detail
I wish Luigi was rallyable.
#122 | The Mana Sword | Posted 8/22/2013 11:49:44 AM | message detail
mgs has always been the biggest contest cheater tbqh
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i'll do rydia -Dante
#123 | TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 8/22/2013 11:51:09 AM | message detail
Bigger than red sox and his CT vote stuffers?
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F*** BT
#124 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/22/2013 11:51:44 AM | message detail
I'd go with Luigi should the match still be in doubt with around 15 minutes to go.
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 74/99 Today's Picks: Sephiroth and Big Boss
#125 | red sox 777 (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/22/2013 11:51:52 AM | message detail
Big Boss looking good to end over 45%, outside shot at 46%.
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Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick
your 7 time champion, Link.
#126 | red sox 777 (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/22/2013 11:53:09 AM | message detail
The CT rallying wasn't me. I've rallied probably less than 10 votes total in 10 years of following these contests. I'm too busy working out trends during those matches anyway.
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Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick
your 7 time champion, Link.
#127 | The Owner of FF9 | Posted 8/22/2013 11:53:30 AM | message detail
1337gamerpr0 posted...
Team Rocket Elite posted...
Score-Brackets-% Right
89------1------------100.00
88------0------------0.00
87------2------------100.00

An easy Sephiroth match. The top 460 gets it right. Prediction percentage is above 90 as far down as the -34 brackets (65 points).

No one fell off the Top 49.


what?


lol, I had to reread that too.
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FFIXOwner
Character Battle IX Bracket: 85/102
#128 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/22/2013 11:53:37 AM | message detail
The Big Boss ASV is arriving

Hail
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Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
#129 | red sox 777 (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/22/2013 11:54:42 AM | message detail
So Luigi/Ness gets 52-53% on Kirby/Lucas/Jinjo. Sounds about right!
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Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick
your 7 time champion, Link.
#130 | The Mana Sword | Posted 8/22/2013 11:55:46 AM | message detail
crono wishes he could do what snake did against sephiroth in the battle royale
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i'll do rydia -Dante
#131 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/22/2013 11:56:52 AM | message detail
Sephiroth cheated in the BR tbqh, what else could explain Snake doubling him the next time they met?
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Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
#132 | red sox 777 (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/22/2013 11:58:30 AM | message detail
FFVII are definitely the biggest cheaters. How else could Cloud beat Link even once?
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Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick
your 7 time champion, Link.
#133 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/22/2013 12:00:54 PM | message detail | (edited)
Square in general, is it to anyone's shock that FF and CT became weaker after stricter voting standards were in place

I mean Tidus and Crono "stuffed" twice as much against Missingno.
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 74/99 Today's Picks: Sephiroth and Big Boss
#134 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/22/2013 12:03:51 PM | message detail
Luigi's edge in the USA now down to about 2.5 pts. He needs to turn around that general trajectory because even with stalls like that, Big Boss is going to win if he keeps coming back like that in America.
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Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
#135 | red sox 777 (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/22/2013 12:05:28 PM | message detail
Stop fighting, Luigi. Roll over and die.
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Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick
your 7 time champion, Link.
#136 | Then00bAvenger | Posted 8/22/2013 12:05:49 PM | message detail
Is the second night vote going to be MGS's undoing once again?
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
#137 | ChenKenichiFan | Posted 8/22/2013 12:06:16 PM | message detail
I've given it some thought, and I think 2003 Cloud and 2004 Link might be the two strongest contest entrants we've ever seen (barring artificially boosted and outside rallied entrants like L-Block and Draven). The things those two did were just insane and I don't really buy the idea that Link in later years beats his 2004 self. Link doesn't get 82 f***ing percent on Yoshi in 2008.
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#138 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/22/2013 12:08:17 PM | message detail
Then00bAvenger posted...
Is the second night vote going to be MGS's undoing once again?


That may not quite apply this time. Bowser gained minimal percentage on The Boss with the SNV and, uh, MGS has a tendency to overperform its SNV projections in close matches that are worth points <_<
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#139 | im317 | Posted 8/22/2013 12:10:29 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
#140 | swirIdude | Posted 8/22/2013 12:10:30 PM | message detail
MGS does have a history of winning close matches...remember the FFT battle?
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"The people who play Final Fantasy 7 actually have lives and dont NEED polls" ~MajinUltima
SuperNiceDog: Bracket: Good, Taste: Bad
#141 | im317 | Posted 8/22/2013 12:10:35 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
#142 | red sox 777 (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/22/2013 12:10:38 PM | message detail
It's so hard to see where Link was from 2005-8 because he was never in any 1v1 matches except against Cloud and Sephiroth. I think the Battle Royale (culminating on the release date of TP) was as impressive as anything he's ever done though.

I've been using 2004-8 Link as equals, but if I were to use finder gradations, 2008 would be the weakest of those 5 years. Maybe by a non-insignificant amount. It's hard for me to believe that Link didn't boost even a little bit when the big Nintendo Boost came in 2005, but it's hard to tell. I'm going to go with TP Release Day Link as our strongest non-joke character ever.
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Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick
your 7 time champion, Link.
#143 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/22/2013 12:10:52 PM | message detail
You can't really measure SFF, too bad Link was not in the main bracket in 2005 and 2006

In 2007 Link almost got 65% on Vincent with Zelda and Bidoof in the poll. He then proceeded to double him and Crono despite Vincent/Crono being a hyped close match.
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 74/99 Today's Picks: Sephiroth and Big Boss
#144 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 8/22/2013 12:11:29 PM | message detail
charmander6000 posted...
Square in general, is it to anyone's shock that FF and CT became weaker after stricter voting standards were in place

I mean Tidus and Crono "stuffed" twice as much against Missingno.


no, that one is just evidence of BS numbers by SBFraud
#145 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/22/2013 12:13:31 PM | message detail
Luigi's looking better now as he's gone up half a point in America, we may be seeing a minor ASV here. It should be mostly present in bits and spurts, though, so I'm still feeling good about about BB unless he just tanks over the next couple hours.
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Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
#146 | The Mana Sword | Posted 8/22/2013 12:14:25 PM | message detail
tank tank tank
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i'll do rydia -Dante
#147 | red sox 777 (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/22/2013 12:14:56 PM | message detail
Darn you ASV. I thought you'd finally died. You have ruined so many great results with your horribleness.

Like, the clock striking 3 should be enough to give me nightmares by now.
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Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick
your 7 time champion, Link.
#148 | red sox 777 (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/22/2013 12:15:40 PM | message detail
In seriousness, I'm not really worried about BB here though. Bowser had the same ASV if there is one going for him yesterday, and he got nothing from it.
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Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick
your 7 time champion, Link.
#149 | Ultimaphazon | Posted 8/22/2013 12:16:34 PM | message detail
Dammit Luigi, stop it.
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#150 | Nanis23 | Posted 8/22/2013 12:18:01 PM | message detail
If anyone should stop doing anything,it's Ness
Gotta hate that 3rd place losers that leech from stronger characters