Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1123

#251 | LeonhartFour | Posted 8/21/2013 3:46:32 PM | message detail
Spoilers Sonic Team wasn't bad because of the format

They were just bad

Same with Mega Man
---
http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v516/Sensui22/1248835958206.png
#252 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/21/2013 3:47:05 PM | message detail
lol Liquid

Coupled with that Altair bomb last time and it's almost certain he would have wrecked brackets if he'd made the contest. Maybe it's better that he didn't for our poor prediction percentages.
---
http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif
Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
#253 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 8/21/2013 3:50:17 PM | message detail
Karma Hunter posted...
lol Liquid

Coupled with that Altair bomb last time and it's almost certain he would have wrecked brackets if he'd made the contest. Maybe it's better that he didn't for our poor prediction percentages.


That or he could've bomba'd harder than ever. Liquid is the Neo-Kefka.
#254 | Fayt_Esteed | Posted 8/21/2013 3:51:00 PM | message detail | (edited)
Karma Hunter posted...
lol Liquid

Coupled with that Altair bomb last time and it's almost certain he would have wrecked brackets if he'd made the contest. Maybe it's better that he didn't for our poor prediction percentages.


Does anything Liquid does in these ever make sense...? I mean, going from going even with Alucard to getting trashed for no apparent reason just seems off...
---
"Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
#255 | ZinsanityCraze | Posted 8/21/2013 3:51:39 PM | message detail
It's a blessing Liquid didn't make it. Knowing Bacon, he would just give Liquid that MGS5 pic in the first round.

Eli
---
Zinsanity of the Helix Board
#256 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 8/21/2013 3:52:01 PM | message detail
Fayt_Esteed posted...
Does anything Liquid does in these ever make sense...?


hmmmm.....
LIQUID VS KEFKA LET'S DO THIS
#257 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 8/21/2013 3:53:10 PM | message detail
1337gamerpr0 posted...
Fayt_Esteed posted...
Does anything Liquid does in these ever make sense...?


hmmmm.....
LIQUID VS KEFKA LET'S DO THIS


Poll gets 130% votes, CATS makes an appearance, Gordon Freeman beats Cloud the next day, and GameFAQS explodes.
#258 | Fayt_Esteed | Posted 8/21/2013 3:54:02 PM | message detail
KanzarisKelshen posted...
1337gamerpr0 posted...
Fayt_Esteed posted...
Does anything Liquid does in these ever make sense...?


hmmmm.....
LIQUID VS KEFKA LET'S DO THIS


Poll gets 130% votes, CATS glitches the poll, Gordon Freeman beats Cloud the next day, and GameFAQS explodes.


Fix'd
---
"Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
#259 | nkansas13 | Posted 8/21/2013 3:59:21 PM | message detail
KanzarisKelshen posted...
1337gamerpr0 posted...
Fayt_Esteed posted...
Does anything Liquid does in these ever make sense...?


hmmmm.....
LIQUID VS KEFKA LET'S DO THIS


Poll gets 130% votes, CATS makes an appearance, Gordon Freeman beats Cloud the next day, and GameFAQS explodes.

And Link loses.
---
Hey I just met you, and this is crazy, but you have died of dysentery.
#260 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 8/21/2013 4:00:17 PM | message detail
nkansas13 posted...
And Link loses.


to Shepard
#261 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/21/2013 4:01:10 PM | message detail
I know a lot of this is just joking around but I'd actually have a really hard time deciding on Kefka v Liquid. <_<
---
http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif
Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
#262 | Fayt_Esteed | Posted 8/21/2013 4:03:41 PM | message detail
nkansas13 posted...
KanzarisKelshen posted...
1337gamerpr0 posted...
Fayt_Esteed posted...
Does anything Liquid does in these ever make sense...?


hmmmm.....
LIQUID VS KEFKA LET'S DO THIS


Poll gets 130% votes, CATS makes an appearance, Gordon Freeman beats Cloud the next day, and GameFAQS explodes.

And Link loses.


And the champion is CAPTAIN FALCON.
---
"Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
#263 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/21/2013 4:09:05 PM | message detail
Bowser now you're seriously getting cut by The Boss

man remember when you almost beat Solid Snake

...I certainly still do KILL HIM BOSS
---
http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif
Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
#264 | red sox 777 | Posted 8/21/2013 4:10:33 PM | message detail
And in the ASV time period too (I know the ASV is dead, but it makes it even more ironic).
---
Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick
your 7 time champion, Link.
#265 | creativename | Posted 8/21/2013 4:10:46 PM | message detail
Seriously, when did Bowser's SNV get this pitiful?
---
www.gamefaqscontests.com
www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery
#266 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 8/21/2013 4:15:52 PM | message detail
creativename posted...
Seriously, when did Bowser's SNV get this pitiful?


he got First Place Factored, the opposite of LPF
(yeah I dunno)
#267 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/21/2013 4:17:33 PM | message detail
Vote totals are not as good today and that's with a rally.
---
BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 71/93 Today's Picks: Vincent and Bowser
#268 | red sox 777 | Posted 8/21/2013 4:18:27 PM | message detail
Nintendo's SNV has always been pretty bad. Excepting Mario's miracle stuffing.....I mean rallying.
---
Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick
your 7 time champion, Link.
#269 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/21/2013 4:20:18 PM | message detail
If there's a rally it's got to be, like... the wimpiest rally ever. Boss/Sub-Zero would still be essentially 50/50 naturally.
---
http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif
Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
#270 | Janus5000 | Posted 8/21/2013 4:20:47 PM | message detail
I'm actually sort of wondering if First Place Factor could be a thing

probably not much of one unless people really care about Expert challenges/orderings
---
Fight like dragons, have no fear, swords are made of STEEEEEEEEL~
#271 | ZFS | Posted 8/21/2013 4:21:04 PM | message detail
Oh, there was a rally for The Boss?
---
tune in tokyo 142.94
#272 | hylianknight3 | Posted 8/21/2013 4:24:08 PM | message detail
Somebody go rally r/mortalkombat. There are like 7 users online right now. >.>
#273 | Sorozone | Posted 8/21/2013 4:24:59 PM | message detail
There was a rally for The Boss on the MGS subreddit that got some attention. That subreddit isn't all that big, but it probably did contribute a fair share of votes.
---
http://i.imgur.com/32RNLnc.gif
#274 | Fayt_Esteed | Posted 8/21/2013 4:25:56 PM | message detail
Karma Hunter posted...
Bowser now you're seriously getting cut by The Boss

man remember when you almost beat Solid Snake

...I certainly still do KILL HIM BOSS


/reminds me of Solid ****

dammit
---
"Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
#275 | hylianknight3 | Posted 8/21/2013 4:27:07 PM | message detail
Wouldn't have to be too big to make a difference.
#276 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/21/2013 4:30:20 PM | message detail
Well, I mean, this match is essentially 50/50, almost anything could make a difference. I don't doubt there was a small rally, there usually is in close matches. My only point is that Boss is doing this almost 100% on pure strength and would have comfortably beat Subz in a night or 24 hour match, no rallies needed.
---
http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif
Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
#277 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/21/2013 4:44:24 PM | message detail
Oh! Assuming a constant Bowser, we can extrapolate about how strong HG/SS release Charizard looks! Sorta. Making a minor 24 hour adjustment and pushing Sub-Zero up to 43% on Bowser, that would make him worth about 39% on HG/SS release day Charizard.

Using a constant Sub-Zero and Bowser it looks like Bowser was worth around 52% on Ryu 2010, while HG/SS Charizard was about half a percent weaker than Squall.
---
http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif
Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
#278 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 8/21/2013 4:46:02 PM | message detail
Karma Hunter posted...
Oh! Assuming a constant Bowser, we can extrapolate about how strong HG/SS release Charizard looks! Sorta. Making a minor 24 hour adjustment and pushing Sub-Zero up to 43% on Bowser, that would make him worth about 39% on HG/SS release day Charizard.

Using a constant Sub-Zero and Bowser it looks like Bowser was worth around 52% on Ryu 2010, while HG/SS Charizard was about half a percent weaker than Squall.


I am 99.9% sure that is not remotely accurate
#279 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/21/2013 4:49:34 PM | message detail
It should be valid assuming a constant Bowser and Sub-Zero, at the least. If you're sore about it making Bowser or Charizard look too weak, then you're the next in a long line of people getting snakebit about Bowser's strength. The guy's letting The Boss put up 41% on him in a day match, after all.

Note that this does not make the assumption that Charizard did not jump *again* in strength at the Mario match. He most certainly did, because Bowser is not worth 42% indirectly on Mario.
---
http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif
Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
#280 | ZeldaTPLink | Posted 8/21/2013 4:49:50 PM | message detail
Enjoy your x-stats while you can, they are going to be laid to waste after the next Draven match.
#281 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 8/21/2013 4:52:33 PM | message detail
Karma Hunter posted...
It should be valid assuming a constant Bowser and Sub-Zero, at the least. If you're sore about it making Bowser or Charizard look too weak, then you're the next in a long line of people getting snakebit about Bowser's strength. The guy's letting The Boss put up 41% on him in a day match, after all.

Note that this does not make the assumption that Charizard did not jump *again* in strength at the Mario match. He most certainly did, because Bowser is not worth 42% indirectly on Mario.


oh nvm
I was about to say, Charizard got that percentage on Mario and was still weaker than Squall?
looks like Mario is really a FRAUD
#282 | tgs2 | Posted 8/21/2013 4:53:15 PM | message detail
All I hear from this is that Mario is on upset alert from either Squall or DogFAQs
#283 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 8/21/2013 5:21:23 PM | message detail
tgs2 posted...
All I hear from this is that Mario is on upset alert from either Squall or DogFAQs


you mean PokeFEAR, Red gonna take him out in style
#284 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/21/2013 5:23:34 PM | message detail
aw dang here's that SNV come to ruin Boss's little upset

you can hold on, true patriot, you can do it
---
http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif
Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
#285 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 8/21/2013 5:27:27 PM | message detail
rofl at all the alts at the bottom of the expert leaderboard
#286 | red sox 777 | Posted 8/21/2013 5:32:51 PM | message detail
So Mario/Squall goes about 53/47. That looks right. Squall is approximately equal to Crono and I've had Mario/Crono pegged at 53/47 for a long time. Mario/Snake goes 53/47 the other way.
---
Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick
your 7 time champion, Link.
#287 | eaglesarebeasts | Posted 8/21/2013 5:35:52 PM | message detail
Yay a really close match and no draven topics on the front page. Much better.
---
http://i.imgur.com/CQVaT6Xl.jpg
#288 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/21/2013 5:39:21 PM | message detail
The Boss and Sub-Zero deadlocked at 50/50 taking turns hitting each other with some of Bowser's percentage each time, amazing.
---
http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif
Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
#289 | VeryInsane | Posted 8/21/2013 5:43:00 PM | message detail
Man I wish Luigi wasn't facing so much SFF because I'm starting to think he's not only incredibly legit now, but has a chance of getting dangerously close to Seph... If there wasn't a pink ball or psychic kid in the way.

I mean, he somehow did better on Link than Sonic, Mario characters have looked pretty good this contest, and this is the year of Luigi
---
Currently Playing: Persona 3 FES
Currently Reading: Nothing Currently Currently Watching: Dr. Who
#290 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 8/21/2013 5:43:21 PM | message detail
Karma Hunter posted...
The Boss and Sub-Zero deadlocked at 50/50 taking turns hitting each other with some of Bowser's percentage each time, amazing.


we all know Bowser will fold to Mewtwo to allow PokeFEAR to be unleased :P
#291 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/21/2013 5:44:46 PM | message detail
VeryInsane posted...
Man I wish Luigi wasn't facing so much SFF because I'm starting to think he's not only incredibly legit now, but has a chance of getting dangerously close to Seph... If there wasn't a pink ball or psychic kid in the way.

I mean, he somehow did better on Link than Sonic,


He actually didn't, though the percentages were close.

Mario characters have looked pretty good this contest


uh are you seeing Bowser today
---
http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif
Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
#292 | red sox 777 | Posted 8/21/2013 5:45:23 PM | message detail
And if you want to say that Charizard boosted further between the Bowser and Mario matches- which I've been skeptical of in the past, but I suppose looks right as Bowser being worth 42% on Mario seems wrong- then Squall comes in around 45%, say, on Mario. Which looks fine too.
---
Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick
your 7 time champion, Link.
#293 | VeryInsane | Posted 8/21/2013 5:49:07 PM | message detail
...Oh. Thought he did for some reason.

uh are you seeing Bowser today

Yes, over 40% on Subby and Boss isn't terrible at all. Both are pretty quality opponents.

I mean, it's not Pokemon or Draven amazing but Mario's about as good as I'd expect, which is more than I can say about FF7.
---
Currently Playing: Persona 3 FES
Currently Reading: Nothing Currently Currently Watching: Dr. Who
#294 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/21/2013 6:00:35 PM | message detail | (edited)
The 'traditional' proportion of Mario to Bowser that I've generally assumed is that Bowser's worth 37-38% indirectly on Mario in any given year.

In some years this ends up making Samus look stronger than Mario. She has a tendency to do that, though, so it's not a dealbreaker.

Edit: If you're wondering what that looks like, assuming a constant Sub-Zero and him getting 43.5% in a 24 hour match with Bowser, Mario is worth about 43.25% on Link, right between Snake and Samus. Very close to creativename's adjustment, actually.
---
http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif
Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
#295 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 8/21/2013 5:52:44 PM | message detail
clearly, what will happen:
Red catches a rally and beats Mario
Luigi upsets Sephiroth because it's his year
Luigi advances further than Mario, finally making up for 2007!

(I wish)
#296 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 8/21/2013 5:59:28 PM | message detail
red sox 777 posted...
And if you want to say that Charizard boosted further between the Bowser and Mario matches- which I've been skeptical of in the past, but I suppose looks right as Bowser being worth 42% on Mario seems wrong- then Squall comes in around 45%, say, on Mario. Which looks fine too.


Squall being 45% on Mario either puts Mario at 42 on Base Link, or Squall at that level and Mario at 45. I'm not gonna say no to my two favorite characters in the contest being able to massacre absolutely everybody except maybe Cloud, but those numbers are serious ****.
#297 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 8/21/2013 6:00:55 PM | message detail
KanzarisKelshen posted...
Yeah, I can buy this. On the other hand, this could mean Reddit was interested in Draven's result enough to monitor it. That's even scarier than the possibility of an untapped base.


Well, we know that they were interested in the result, because they came here. And were making fun of BlAcK TuRtLe.

pjbasis posted...
When Sonic and Mewtwo face off we'll be able to see how accurate the bonus poll was in terms of Caim vs. Chester


The bonus poll was weird. Also it was a bonus poll. I don't trust bonus polls, because they convince people that nominating a freaking ? Block is a good idea.

AxemRedRanger posted...
Indonesian Banjo sacrificed himself to preserve the integrity of Indonesia's results.

HAIL BANJO


Hail Banjo.

KamikazePotato posted...
Chrom should be easily above Lucina and Tharja, for a lot of reasons. Not a way above, but yeah.


For starters, Chrom's one of the two main characters. (As in, the ones that you get a Game Over if they die.) And furthermore, except for a few levels, he's the only one that you absolutely have to field.

MegatokyoEd posted...
I don't get this match. This contest has been bizarre since Draven's slaughter.


Maybe a significant enough number of those people actually did stick around. Not enough for us to notice in the vote totals...or, wait, if enough of our usual voters were disgusted enough with the Draven thing to leave, we might not even notice any change in vote totals even if the voter base was turning over...!

That's probably it. The Dravenfen know us as "a bunch of whiny Nintendo/FF fans who can't stand the idea of anything else winning", and obviously they would've seen the plans to rally for Mewtwo, so it would only make sense for them to flock to the one option that was neither Nintendo nor Final Fantasy--Phoenix Wright. If only they knew that most of us would kill for Phoenix to be awesome...

I wonder if we can use reverse psychology on them to try to influence the contest the way we want it. Well, one thing's for sure--if they're really still trying to toy with us, GlaDoS > Ike and Epona is probably a near-lock. Also, Mega Man's screwed, because there's no way Rikku wins the match against Zero now.
---
RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed.
#298 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/21/2013 6:03:37 PM | message detail
Aw man, looks this one's gonna get away from The Boss again unless something really funny happens with the trends.

The miracle never happen, truly the tagline of this contest.
---
http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif
Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
#299 | pjbasis | Posted 8/21/2013 6:05:01 PM | message detail
Dang I wish I cared more but losing so badly on Vincent and the Draven thing killed me
---
http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png
SuperNiceDog - 1, pjbasis - 0
#300 | red sox 777 | Posted 8/21/2013 6:06:31 PM | message detail
Squall being 45% on Mario either puts Mario at 42 on Base Link, or Squall at that level and Mario at 45. I'm not gonna say no to my two favorite characters in the contest being able to massacre absolutely everybody except maybe Cloud, but those numbers are serious ****.

I don't follow? I was putting Mario at more like 38% on Base Link (very possibly 42% on the super weakened Link 2010).
---
Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick
your 7 time champion, Link.