Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1121

#101 | Nanis23 | Posted 8/20/2013 9:20:21 AM | message detail
The Real Truth posted...
lol, I got 6 points for having Ryu > X > Draven

thank you weird point system


It's actually -6,no?
Instead of the -18 I got for calling X>Ryu correctly
This is stupid
#102 | swordz9 | Posted 8/20/2013 9:21:27 AM | message detail
Look at all those Draven voters who sta...oh wait.
---
http://myanimelist.net/animelist/swordz9
#103 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/20/2013 9:22:15 AM | message detail
Like, to put into perspective how bad getting doubled by Sonic is, pre-release Lightning put up 36% on him. Obviously she was more popular then than she'll ever be again, but yeah.
---
http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif
Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
#104 | xp1337 | Posted 8/20/2013 9:23:03 AM | message detail
Was really hoping Dracula wouldn't lose the stall-off.

Still, down 5 isn't all that bad!
---
xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#105 | Then00bAvenger | Posted 8/20/2013 9:23:35 AM | message detail
Honestly, it's not a bad performance for someone who barely got over 60% on Professor Layton!
---
A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
#106 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/20/2013 9:24:55 AM | message detail
I put about as much stock into the Layton percentage for Barret as I do for Vincent's KOS-MOS percentage at this point (which is to say, throwing in the towel on Mewtwo unless one of you jokers goes all out on a Pokemon subreddit).
---
http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif
Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
#107 | OrangeCrush980 | Posted 8/20/2013 9:25:02 AM | message detail
Barret wasn't able to beat Layton as badly as Isaac was.
---
If you believe in the Lord FE7 and you accept FE7 as the Savior of video games and are 100% proud of it, put this in your sig.
#108 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/20/2013 9:28:02 AM | message detail
Aside from Layton probably being stronger, that just doesn't matter so much anymore for FF7 characters. They just can't stomp fodder but they won't go down to just anyone.

Case in point, RIP RacistFAQs
---
http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif
Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
#109 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 8/20/2013 9:29:10 AM | message detail
Reposting this: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/67029040

I highly doubt anyone in the stats topics cares enough to try to get things done, but hey, you never know. Gonna be doing a whoooooooole load of heavy lifting next round.
#110 | Then00bAvenger | Posted 8/20/2013 9:29:17 AM | message detail
This just means they're racist against Romanians!
---
A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
#111 | xp1337 | Posted 8/20/2013 9:29:32 AM | message detail
quick based on shepard/aerith trends what is dracula's status?

never give up hope
---
xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#112 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/20/2013 9:30:33 AM | message detail
xp1337 posted...
quick based on shepard/aerith trends what is dracula's status?

never give up hope


Dracula wins easily, all he needs to do is have a day vote like Mass Effect's
---
http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif
Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
#113 | tennisboy213 | Posted 8/20/2013 9:31:33 AM | message detail
This match is on pace to get more votes than yesterday's day match (about 39000 to 36500).
---
POKEFEAR
#114 | red sox 777 | Posted 8/20/2013 9:33:24 AM | message detail
Oh, next round is 24 hours. Well, there's a very small bit of hope for Link.
---
Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick
your 7 time champion, Link.
#115 | xp1337 | Posted 8/20/2013 9:33:57 AM | message detail
Karma Hunter posted...
xp1337 posted...
quick based on shepard/aerith trends what is dracula's status?

never give up hope


Dracula wins easily, all he needs to do is have a day vote like Mass Effect's

No problem!

if there's anything castlevania is known for it's its killer day vote
---
xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#116 | paulg235 | Posted 8/20/2013 9:34:37 AM | message detail
Percentages and vote totals look the norm here, so hopefully the rest of round 2 will go as we expected.
---
The Gamer In Me
"Ike and Ash & Co. saw a Yoshi and didn't catch it." - Mer telling us his dream.
#117 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/20/2013 9:34:44 AM | message detail
Assuming the votals stay elevated that would at least argue for some rally overspill, unlike Draven's last match... which, considering that we just took in over 80,000 votes in half a day, would make sense.
---
http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif
Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
#118 | spooky96 | Posted 8/20/2013 9:34:53 AM | message detail
red sox 777 posted...
Oh, next round is 24 hours. Well, there's a very small bit of hope for Link.


Think of the of the bad side. LoL players get an entire day to vote.
#119 | Mega Mana | Posted 8/20/2013 9:38:03 AM | message detail
#120 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/20/2013 9:38:19 AM | message detail
Oh, this is probably gonna look real bad for Dracula, especially once we get out of the first hour. Sonic possibly breaking 70% on ya yeesh
---
http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif
Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
#121 | xp1337 | Posted 8/20/2013 9:39:02 AM | message detail
Man, Dracula, couldn't you keep this respectable? I'm going to feel real sad now. =(
---
xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#122 | red sox 777 | Posted 8/20/2013 9:39:45 AM | message detail
Can we please take Shepard out of the poll? If you give 99% of Ryu's votes to MMX, he's only getting doubled. It's not out of the realm of possibility for Link to double MMX indirectly.
---
Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick
your 7 time champion, Link.
#123 | GloryChaos | Posted 8/20/2013 9:39:57 AM | message detail
Terrible picture for Dracula.
---
Brawl FC - 1332 8069 6690
http://i.imgur.com/OZ9aS.png
#124 | Denzokuken | Posted 8/20/2013 9:40:34 AM | message detail
Go Barret
---
Fine! I'll go to the store and get your Goddamn drain cleaner!
Character Battle IX Tingle Victory Parade - the journey is over....
#125 | xp1337 | Posted 8/20/2013 9:41:06 AM | message detail
red sox 777 posted...
Can we please take Shepard out of the poll? If you give 99% of Ryu's votes to MMX, he's only getting doubled. It's not out of the realm of possibility for Link to double MMX indirectly.

I'd rather have Shepard stay but be reduced to some comically unrealistic number.

Like 2%. I'd just be laughing so hard if that happened. Probably going to be more like 9% though.
---
xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#126 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/20/2013 9:41:22 AM | message detail
red sox 777 posted...
Can we please take Shepard out of the poll? If you give 99% of Ryu's votes to MMX, he's only getting doubled. It's not out of the realm of possibility for Link to double MMX indirectly.


...I don't think Shepard is going to be the thing deciding victory and defeat for Link but I'll pretend it is if you do
---
http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif
Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
#127 | red sox 777 | Posted 8/20/2013 9:41:25 AM | message detail
Alternatively, make the bonus poll Link vs. Cloud.
---
Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick
your 7 time champion, Link.
#128 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/20/2013 9:48:26 AM | message detail
Hey, Drac showing some life.

ASV won't be kind but hey, moral victories.
---
http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif
Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
#129 | xp1337 | Posted 8/20/2013 9:49:26 AM | message detail
ffvii power hour ending.

dracula has got this.
---
xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#130 | AxemRedRanger | Posted 8/20/2013 9:50:01 AM | message detail
Sonic's stomping the other two in Indonesia and that's the only country that matters anymore.
...
...
...
GUYS GUYS GUYS
WYOMING HAD A THREE WAY TIE LAST MATCH
---
[NO BARKLEY NO PEACE]
#131 | Nanis23 | Posted 8/20/2013 9:50:18 AM | message detail
Can't believe people still think that if Draven is going to be stopped by anyone,it has to be Link
It won't be Link and in fact he is the least favorable strong character that stands a chance
People jumped on the Draven>Link bandwagon because they want him to beat Link
After that? He might weaken a bit,THEN someone will have to beat him
Also Link doesn't have enough votes from this site alone
Combine Ryu and X votes and mulitply them by 2-Draven still wins
There is no way Link will get that much votes from this site alone and there is no reason he will somehow leech tons of vote from the Draven rally.
There is no place in the internet to rally for Link
Link is doomed,100%

We got 3 options
1.Make a massive bandwagon on a joke character
Epona,WCC,L Block
2.Get a Pokemon character to face Draven
There are tons of Pokemon characters that made it to the second round,but in order to stop Draven before he gets out of control...we will need Mewtwo in the second round
Yeah I know Mewtwo might not beat Vincent and even if he is there is a Sonic in the way
But we have seen the power of reddit,and Pokemon subreddit and fan sites are the most active of any character here...aside from LoL
Which would mean that if we want to win=need to rally=need to rally a Pokemon
3.combination of 1 and 2....we will need a Missingno rally
It can work...it WILL work if people here will cooperate
It must be fate that missingno won by 23 votes after all!
But first things first,vote for Mewtwo next match. Im serious
#132 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/20/2013 9:53:04 AM | message detail
Link is the only one who can beat Draven, and he doesn't really have a realistic chance. He's the last match Draven will be in where his primary opponent won't have much of an anchor weighing him down. Semifinals and finals are way too much.

Honestly it would need to be stopped at Link, and stopped at the source - burying the rally topic with a mass downvote effort or something. I'm not sure if people care enough about the contests to do that (and there's so many different points of view that I'm pretty sure it'd be a pointless endeavor anyway, b8 is like herding cats).
---
http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif
Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
#133 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 8/20/2013 9:53:13 AM | message detail
Okay, okay, no need to worry guys.

Draven only got 54.94% on Jak. Last contest, Yoshi got 76.62% on Jak. Link just got 77.07% on Yoshi. So Link's projected to get, like, 88.22% on Draven. Even when you adjust for Link/Yoshi being an SFF match, that's still a huge blowout.

...

...Yes, that's seriously possible to do with X-stats. Projecting through the Draven/Jak/Chie and Link/Raiden/Yoshi matches with Yoshi vs. Jak 2010 actually gives Link being expected to get 88.22% on Draven. And then you use the Draven/X/Ryu match and project through Link vs. X 2010 and it comes out as Draven with 69.93%. (Of course, 1v1 X-stats and multiway X-stats don't really work together, because just using this last match as an example, projecting Mega Man X vs. Ryu based on X's percentage on Draven and Ryu's percentage on Draven gives you X beating Ryu with 60.38% of the vote, whereas X's actual percentage on Ryu in this match was 57.21%. This is a fundamental flaw in the way we calculate multi-way X-stats).
---
RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed.
#134 | red sox 777 | Posted 8/20/2013 9:53:14 AM | message detail
Man, if Link can still win after this, I will be so happy.

If not.......it feels like the final death blow to these contests. Which have already been slowly dying since 2010 when the votals fell off a cliff. Now they've fallen so far that this can happen. I am becoming resigned to the prospect of only visiting this site to vote for Crono and Link on their match days.
---
Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick
your 7 time champion, Link.
#135 | LordoftheMorons | Posted 8/20/2013 9:56:49 AM | message detail
Well, f*** it. I'm out.
---
I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword
#136 | OrangeCrush980 | Posted 8/20/2013 9:59:23 AM | message detail
I can't believe this website isn't CarveyFAQs anymore. When I looked at the leaderboard I thought I had misclicked since Carvey wasn't at the top.
---
If you believe in the Lord FE7 and you accept FE7 as the Savior of video games and are 100% proud of it, put this in your sig.
#137 | Nanis23 | Posted 8/20/2013 9:59:40 AM | message detail
B8 will not downvote the rally for Link
They would do it for Mario and Snake but not Link
#138 | lightsout06 | Posted 8/20/2013 10:02:16 AM | message detail
It's funny how Link has become a total underdog, and now all of his fans are calling an end to the contests. I will enjoy Link's defeat, he has done nothing but win since I have joined this website. Now you guys will see how the rest of us feel, who are not Zelda or FFVII fans.
---
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/BMcwhStCYAAr-mC.jpg
Dallas Cowboys and Mavs
#139 | xp1337 | Posted 8/20/2013 10:03:30 AM | message detail
FFVII power hour over for real now.

Dracula comeback incoming! >_>
---
xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#140 | red sox 777 | Posted 8/20/2013 10:07:43 AM | message detail
*goes off to reread the stats topics from the day of MM/FFX*
---
Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick
your 7 time champion, Link.
#141 | HyperSage | Posted 8/20/2013 10:08:15 AM | message detail
Phew stayed on the leaderboard and only dropped 1 rank, best I could hope for. Though I think my main account is screwed from ever reappearing.
Well now that I think about not much will change with the expert challenge, just gotta replace Link with Draven.
Though it shatters any hope of Cloud or Snake winning.
---
WhiteLens while on the Expert Leaderboard.
#142 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 8/20/2013 10:08:37 AM | message detail
OrangeCrush980 posted...
Barret wasn't able to beat Layton as badly as Isaac was.


Like I said, multi-way X-stats are flawed. Just within a single match, you take the first-place character's percentage on the second place character and the second-place character's percentage on the third-place character and the first-place character's percentage on the third-place character and you wind up with the first place character being projected to score something other than 50% on itself. And the percentages for that match are especially certain to be messed up because that was the one Touhou match where no votes were removed.
---
RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed.
#143 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/20/2013 10:10:34 AM | message detail
TsunamiXXVIII posted...
OrangeCrush980 posted...
Barret wasn't able to beat Layton as badly as Isaac was.


Like I said, multi-way X-stats are flawed. Just within a single match, you take the first-place character's percentage on the second place character and the second-place character's percentage on the third-place character and the first-place character's percentage on the third-place character and you wind up with the first place character being projected to score something other than 50% on itself. And the percentages for that match are especially certain to be messed up because that was the one Touhou match where no votes were removed.


Barret came in first, there's no way to change his proportion to Layton.

And besides, the votes were ultimately removed.
---
http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif
Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
#144 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/20/2013 10:12:52 AM | message detail
Anyone find the humor that the person trying to start a Link rally is also trying to get Riot to link to our contest?
---
BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 68/87 Today's Picks: Mega Man X and Sonic
#145 | xp1337 | Posted 8/20/2013 10:13:39 AM | message detail
Not sure if humor is the word I'd use there!
---
xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#146 | ShatteredElysium | Posted 8/20/2013 10:15:59 AM | message detail
lightsout06 posted...
It's funny how Link has become a total underdog, and now all of his fans are calling an end to the contests. I will enjoy Link's defeat, he has done nothing but win since I have joined this website. Now you guys will see how the rest of us feel, who are not Zelda or FFVII fans.


I've never liked Link winning nor have I ever voted for him but it doesn't make this whole Draven BS any less stupid.
---
Crucifying my Oracle average one match at a time
#147 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/20/2013 10:17:18 AM | message detail
Kanz has just whipped himself into a... well, it's something. It's just rebounding off of one contradictory proposal to another in an attempt to maintain interest in a foregone conclusion.
---
http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif
Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
#148 | Fayt_Esteed | Posted 8/20/2013 10:17:22 AM | message detail
lightsout06 posted...
It's funny how Link has become a total underdog, and now all of his fans are calling an end to the contests. I will enjoy Link's defeat, he has done nothing but win since I have joined this website. Now you guys will see how the rest of us feel, who are not Zelda or FFVII fans.


I don't exactly like Link winning all the time, but I still think this bullcrap about Draven is deplorable.
---
"Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
#149 | Fayt_Esteed | Posted 8/20/2013 10:18:41 AM | message detail | (edited)
Karma Hunter posted...
Kanz has just whipped himself into a... well, it's something. It's just rebounding off of one contradictory proposal to another in an attempt to maintain interest in a foregone conclusion.


It's official. That guy's delusional...
---
"Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
#150 | JustForFun1988 | Posted 8/20/2013 10:18:39 AM | message detail
Is it me or are Link fans really boorish to the point, where they feel that there is a need to hog all the limelight. The moment someone is perceived as a legitimate threat, they will groan about such threat being a blight to the contest and how they are planning to boycott it.

As if Link winning for the next millennium isn't dooming these tournaments.
---
The cycle of life and death continues. We will live. And they will die.