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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1120
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Welcome to the League of Draven! ~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~ www.gamefaqscontests.com ~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/ ~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~ http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html ~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~ http://www.thengamer.com/ http://thengamer.com/xstats ~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame ~*Character Contest Histories*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories ~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~ A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA ~*All the Match Pics*~ http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php ~*Leonhart4's Trend Charts*~ https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?hl=en&key=tOGmynfNIiNy5VukpEF-PdA&hl=en#gid=0 ~*Daily Vote Trends - An Explanation for Dummies*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Daily_Vote_Trends ~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages ~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~ SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense. Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated. |
A
little early for this topic, although I guess the previous topic will
quickly hit 500 given the match that is going on right now. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ! |
That was my thinking. Apologies though if I offended. |
Eh,
he's earned it. This is like the biggest shock in contest history.
L-Block was a relatively slow burn that turned into an inferno during
the last few days of a contest. Draven just supernova'd in one round. --- Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer) http://i.imgur.com/NQTthNf.jpg |
Just
woke up, voted for Draven despite him being my least favored character.
Annoying Link fangirls, go f*** yourself, i am going to rally for
Draven too. --- Zinsanity of the Helix Board |
I am anti-voting Link next round... I know that. Tired of him winning when he isn't even that much of a character. Still think LTTP is one of the best games ever made though. --- Currently playing WoW on Magtheridon: Main = Corrik Xbox Live GT = "Corrik" |
up |
IF this is legit, IF Draven wins this whole thing... does anyone here take anything OTHER than League of Legends to win the next game contest? I mean, there will be on Draven/Teemo/other character bickering. It'll be the whole enchilada. --- Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer) http://i.imgur.com/a4GuDV3.gif |
what in the **** I liked L-Block and Missingno, but this is lame lol --- http://i.imgur.com/GhorUQg.jpg ~Masa |
You now realise that Sonic the Hedgehog is going to outlast Link in this contest. --- Fine! I'll go to the store and get your Goddamn drain cleaner! Character Battle IX Tingle Victory Parade - the journey is over.... |
Freakin Sora can outlast Link! --- Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer) http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif |
Masato_Tanaka posted... what in the **** Me too. Just wasn't around when L Block won, but would have enjoyed voting for L block and seeing it winning the contest. |
I loved L-Block winning and I am going to love Draven winning too. --- Many people, of course, use 'sentimentalism' as a term of abuse for other people's decent feelings, and realism as a disguise for their own brutality. G H Hardy |
JJH777 posted... does anyone remember how many votes kerrigan finished at in the gamespot contest finals? I cant seem to find it and I think that would be a good indicator to see how legit this is. Kerrigan got so many rallies from high profile sc2 community members. I have trouble believing a simple reddit rally can compare. If there was a LoL version of Husky rallying it might be believable but AFAIK there isn't. https://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=0AgBWiYjlMLwYdFd1cGVuQ2xhaXhwT2dsQ3Z0TnB2R1E&gid=1 151420 votes, but that match lasted for 6 days. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ! |
Masato_Tanaka posted... So is Draven the new L-Block this contest? WTF L-Block was an original and hilarious joke that had the full support of GameFAQs, and was rooted in a classic video game that everyone knows and loves Draven is another in a long line of generic and lame pay-to-win heroes that loses to Chie on GameFAQs, and is rooted in one of the worst video games ever created. --- Game of the decade? More like Guru of the decade mirite? However, the Guru of the next decade so far is SuperNiceDog |
StealThisSheen posted... Either way If these rallies drive off interest in future contests, that's definitely more harmful for the site long term than some more hits on a handful of days a year. --- "What's the matter with bootblacking? We both like it very much!" This is Yesmar. |
Thanks
Luster. So the votals tonight are about the same as L-Block's
semifinal. So Link can win if we somehow jump back to 2007 votals next
round. --- Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick your 7 time champion, Link. |
Denzokuken posted... You now realise that Sonic the Hedgehog is going to outlast Link in this contest. Too bad Link got fed to Draven early on. Link got fed Link got fed Link got fed |
At the rate this match is going, we should surpass Sephiroth/Missingno as the most popular night match in vote totals. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ! |
LOLContests posted... StealThisSheen posted...Either way A great way to generate traffic is to turn the contests into a farce and alienate your core userbase. Didn't you get the memo? --- Game of the decade? More like Guru of the decade mirite? However, the Guru of the next decade so far is SuperNiceDog |
LOLContests posted... StealThisSheen posted...Either way Will they though? Maybe they cripple Board 8's interest, but I'm not even sure they'd do that. I'm not at all prepared to say just because this kind of thing lessens my interest means it will for everyone else. --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX |
The
only thing I find really disappointing about this is, as Turtle says,
Draven just seems like an extremely lame and generic character. That
YouTube video posted in here with his one-liners was really sub par. --- Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer) |
Draven has more votes at this point than LoZ did in the series final at the same point. --- We are living our lives Abound with so much information |
-LusterSoldier- posted... JJH777 posted...does anyone remember how many votes kerrigan finished at in the gamespot contest finals? I cant seem to find it and I think that would be a good indicator to see how legit this is. Kerrigan got so many rallies from high profile sc2 community members. I have trouble believing a simple reddit rally can compare. If there was a LoL version of Husky rallying it might be believable but AFAIK there isn't. Not 150k. http://www.gamespot.com/greatest-video-game-villain/vote/index.html 250k votes. Biggest match ever. Period. |
If
the rally doesn't result in sustained traffic it's useless to Bacon.
And there's no way this is anywhere near legit; the rally was on the
front page of the subreddit last time too, and the votals were nowhere
near this insane. --- I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword |
2 and a quarter hours in, Draven now has more votes than the entirety of the bonus poll. --- http://24.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_lxkdr0uNc91qlu5jao1_r1_400.gif |
KanzarisKelshen posted... Not 150k. I was referring to Kerrigan's vote total, not the overall vote total. But yeah, there were over 250000 votes overall, including over 100000 votes just for the loser. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ! |
http://www.gamespot.com/greatest-video-game-villain/vote/battle-hub/index.html?battle_id=63 252,459 votes for the Kerrigan-Vader match - someone wanted to know. |
MMX now projected over 65% on Ryu based on Dravenstats! Closing in on Cloud level strength! --- http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer) |
Karma Hunter posted...
Soap/Big Daddy had 55k. Yoshi/Jak had 48k Sephiroth/Marth had 54k Sephiroth/Marth was BEFORE Missingno/Crono, but had similar votals. It didn't increase them noticeably. Hell, Leon/Vault Boy had higher votals than Soap/Big Daddy, and that was nowhere near Missingno. --- SEP Nash, Smelling Like the Vault since 1996 Step FOUR! Get Paid! http://img27.imageshack.us/img27/456/2z6v0qcgif.gif |
Everyone is free to vote right? The entire world! --- ~ The Dilated One IX: Link-VV-BB-SS-Cloud-Sora-Samus-Mario-Zard |
LordoftheMorons posted... If the rally doesn't result in sustained traffic it's useless to Bacon. And there's no way this is anywhere near legit; the rally was on the front page of the subreddit last time too, and the votals were nowhere near this insane. Exactly, I can see LoL fanboys rallying against Jak and Chie, since who cares or knows about those 2. X and Ryu are 2 gaming icons, and I have to think that at least 20% of the LoL fanboys would support them, especially since Draven isn't particularly liked even in his own game. --- Game of the decade? More like Guru of the decade mirite? However, the Guru of the next decade so far is SuperNiceDog |
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster] |
Remember
when people thought L-Block was going to strike again in 2008? (I think
people were saying that after he made it past round 2 anyway) ...Yeah, I don't see this having a lasting impact on anything. All this does is make the finals even more predictable (spoilers Link was going to win anyway). --- Fight like dragons, have no fear, swords are made of STEEEEEEEEL~ |
Draven should really have like 4000 votes right now. Without the rallying. Dravens wins the contest. --- ~ The Dilated One IX: Link-VV-BB-SS-Cloud-Sora-Samus-Mario-Zard |
StealThisSheen posted... Karma Hunter posted... Soap/Big Daddy had more votes than Sephiroth/Marth (Clinkeroth and a Nintendo character) despite being a fight of scrubs. Your argument is ludicrously wrong and you know it. --- http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer) |
The Great Reddit Character Battle X After a year-long hiatus, the Character Battle is back, bigger than ever, and ready to crown a new "Redditest Video Game Character Ever." With an enormous 512 character bracket, eight-way battles, full character histories, seven different contests to enter, and $20,000 in prizes, it could be our Redditest battle yet. --- Ace Detective for Hire I assure you, my dear, all Ace Detectives are perfect gentlemen! |
Character Battle Bonus: Link/Link/Link/Link Classic Link 62.34% 95234 Young Link 6.22% 9502 Toon Link 14.47% 22108 CD-I Link 16.97% 25919 TOTAL VOTES 152763 Link needs to pull out these kinds of votals. --- Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick your 7 time champion, Link. |
Karma Hunter posted... StealThisSheen posted...Karma Hunter posted... Explain Leon/Vault Boy having higher votals, then. --- SEP Nash, Smelling Like the Vault since 1996 Step FOUR! Get Paid! http://img27.imageshack.us/img27/456/2z6v0qcgif.gif |
StealThisSheen posted... Karma Hunter posted...StealThisSheen posted...Karma Hunter posted... Fallout too top tier man, too good |
The
big thing to look for with this match is how Ryu and MMX's votes slow
down. If they stop getting more votes than you'd expect in updates and
Draven is still spiking over, you have roughly how many votes are being
stuffed per update. Right now the extra votes are starting to drop-- Draven not so much. We'd normally be pulling about 200-210 votes at this time of night, which means Ryu + MMX would have around 180 or so given Draven's starting percentage. They have about 220 so they're still getting a little more. About 40 extra votes given about 700 extra votes per 5. Compare this to an hour ago when the rally was still relatively fresh. You expect about 250-300 votes per 5 then. Ryu + MM would be expected to have around 200-250 there. We were pulling about 1150, with Ryu + MM getting about 300-350. That's about 100-150 more given about 900 extra per five. So yeah this implies there's a lot of stuffing here. Ryu and MM are dropping off a lot harder relative to the extra vote totals than they should be as the night goes on and presumably the rally loses some steam. --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
pretty
much all the stuff that makes draven popular is fan made and has very
little to do with his character besides his comically bad design. I certainly don't mind people whining about this while thinking l-block was great, since l-block was stupid. |
StealThisSheen posted... Karma Hunter posted...StealThisSheen posted...Karma Hunter posted... Leon Kennedy is a high midcarder that brings in a lot of votes and Vault Boy is a touch above the fodder line. Soap/Big Daddy was a terrible scrubfight, and we've already seen what happens to the votals when we get those in the bonus match. Spoilers: they f***ing tank. Ludicrous argument. --- http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer) |
I would like to say, for posterity: Called it. --- Q. If your canoe is in a tree with its headlights on, how many pancakes does it take to get to the moon? A. None. Snakes don't have armpits. |
LordoftheMorons posted... If the rally doesn't result in sustained traffic it's useless to Bacon. And there's no way this is anywhere near legit; the rally was on the front page of the subreddit last time too, and the votals were nowhere near this insane. The rally was never #1 on the subreddit though, and never received this much attention in terms of upvotes/downvotes. --- Q. If your canoe is in a tree with its headlights on, how many pancakes does it take to get to the moon? A. None. Snakes don't have armpits. |
lmao and all you guys counted him out I had faith in Kanz. Always --- XIII_rocks, the cream of XIII fanboyism. |
XIII_rocks posted... lmao and all you guys counted him out The greatest tell that this was going to happen was probably me winning a testicle bet against Chris. The planets are out of orbit this year. |
Karma Hunter posted... StealThisSheen posted...Karma Hunter posted...StealThisSheen posted...Karma Hunter posted... ...So, wait. You say that the rally shot the totals on Soap/Big Daddy up But then when presented with other matches that had votes higher than it that you say are just... Legit character strength (Leon/Vault Boy, Charizard/Duke Nukem, etc.)... You still insist rallies have THAT much of a lasting impact? The "rally increase" of Soap/Big Daddy lost to the LEGIT result of Charizard/Duke Nukem and Leon/Vault Boy, meaning the "Rally increase" isn't nearly as big as you're trying to say it is. --- SEP Nash, Smelling Like the Vault since 1996 Step FOUR! Get Paid! http://img27.imageshack.us/img27/456/2z6v0qcgif.gif |
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