Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1119

#1 | spooky96 | Posted 8/19/2013 9:33:02 PM | message detail
Save us, Link.

~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://www.thengamer.com/
http://thengamer.com/xstats

~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame

~*Character Contest Histories*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the Match Pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Leonhart4's Trend Charts*~
https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?hl=en&key=tOGmynfNIiNy5VukpEF-PdA&hl=en#gid=0

~*Daily Vote Trends - An Explanation for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Daily_Vote_Trends

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense.

Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated.
#2 | pjbasis | Posted 8/19/2013 9:33:24 PM | message detail
#3 | paulg235 | Posted 8/19/2013 9:33:46 PM | message detail
What have you done!?
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The Gamer In Me
"Ike and Ash & Co. saw a Yoshi and didn't catch it." - Mer telling us his dream.
#4 | ExThaNemesis | Posted 8/19/2013 9:34:01 PM | message detail
Where do I go to start rallying for Link?
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Die young and save yourself.
Brace for the G's, and fast heel-toe work.
#5 | Dark Silvergun | Posted 8/19/2013 9:34:20 PM | message detail
Draven may not be making an exit now.
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Warning, the self-destruct system has been activated, all personnel should evacuate immediately, 5 minutes to detonation.
#6 | TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 8/19/2013 9:34:23 PM | message detail
LOLX-Stats
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F*** BT
#7 | spooky96 (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/19/2013 9:34:44 PM | message detail
ExThaNemesis posted...
Where do I go to start rallying for Link?


I don't KNOW BUT BY TIME WE SHOULD KNOW. OR ELSE....
#8 | LOZLTTP | Posted 8/19/2013 9:35:04 PM | message detail
ahahahaha

my body is ready
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Many people, of course, use 'sentimentalism' as a term of abuse for other people's decent feelings, and realism as a disguise for their own brutality. G H Hardy
#9 | xp1337 | Posted 8/19/2013 9:35:14 PM | message detail
TheKoolAidShoto posted...
LOLX-Stats

Jak v Link who ya got?

...

Chie v Link who ya got?
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#10 | Dark Silvergun | Posted 8/19/2013 9:35:27 PM | message detail
Draven over takes MMX 2471 to 2009
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Warning, the self-destruct system has been activated, all personnel should evacuate immediately, 5 minutes to detonation.
#11 | MegatokyoEd | Posted 8/19/2013 9:35:46 PM | message detail
THAT UPDATE

THAT UPDATE!

Link just **** his pants.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
http://www.last.fm/user/crazydom
#12 | SnoicFactor | Posted 8/19/2013 9:36:00 PM | message detail
xD he's gonna get over 60% of the votes at this rate
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nt
#13 | IngmarBirdman | Posted 8/19/2013 9:36:04 PM | message detail
So we have to rally Link now? Fate has a sense of humor...
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... as if rights are like muscles - the more you use it, the better it gets. Indeed he may be exercising his first amendment-- but he's an IDIOT!
- A. Scalia
#14 | jacko_vdz | Posted 8/19/2013 9:36:07 PM | message detail
Kill shot.
#15 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 8/19/2013 9:36:10 PM | message detail
1217 votes on that update.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#16 | Sorozone | Posted 8/19/2013 9:36:13 PM | message detail
This is disgusting.
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http://i.imgur.com/32RNLnc.gif
#17 | 2Dover3D | Posted 8/19/2013 9:36:16 PM | message detail
That was like a 500 vote difference... How the hell are they getting this many votes from one Reddit post?
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http://i.minus.com/jbiGPMGVHJkJ5F.png http://i.minus.com/jbjrjeszi5Bojs.jpg
http://i.minus.com/jDswy1q7MCAye.jpg http://i.minus.com/jX6dhkFSD8ugm.jpg
#18 | Nintendoboy375 | Posted 8/19/2013 9:36:16 PM | message detail
#19 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/19/2013 9:36:20 PM | message detail
ChenKenichiFan posted...
Karma Hunter posted...
ChenKenichiFan posted...
There's not that much salt in here. People are just laughing and trying to enjoy it despite the fact that Draven is going to win the contest unless votes are removed.


If he does this to Link that's not going to be the case.

(and he's gonna do it to Snake not long afterward, so I won't be far behind!)


He's shredding a quasi-Noble 9er already. I think everyone in this topic already expects it to happen to Link. We may get heat from newbies popping into the board to vent, but B8 already sees the writing on the wall.


No, I mean, I see the writing on the wall

and I'm *still* going to whine like a b**** when it happens to Snake

that's just how I roll
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http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif
Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
#20 | The Real Truth | Posted 8/19/2013 9:36:23 PM | message detail
MMX received 261 votes that update.
Draven received 801 votes that update.

He's getting more votes every update.
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Tornadoman78:
tornadoman and tornadogirl like to kick box each other in my tornaolayzers and she dosent even mind getting hit
#21 | BK_Sheikah00 | Posted 8/19/2013 9:36:25 PM | message detail
Plot twist: Allen has Draven winning the entire contest in his bracket.
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Hey, its that SuperNiceDog! Congrats to the Guru 2011 winner
#22 | General_Zimbad | Posted 8/19/2013 9:36:26 PM | message detail
Well draven sure showed me.

Guess that is that QQ moar etc.
#23 | Fr0zoN | Posted 8/19/2013 9:36:28 PM | message detail
This is actually hilarious now. It's making a mockery of the whole contest but its weirdly amusing. Draven is going to end up 60%+
#24 | Spontaneousness | Posted 8/19/2013 9:36:34 PM | message detail
lol that last update
draven - 801
ryu - 155
x - 261
#25 | nintendogirl1 (Moderator) | Posted 8/19/2013 9:36:36 PM | message detail
Woops quickpost.
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*shrug*
#26 | hockeydude15 | Posted 8/19/2013 9:36:45 PM | message detail
Man Draven needs to win the contest now just to see how salty BT and Ulti get.
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Yawn
#27 | Fayt_Esteed | Posted 8/19/2013 9:36:52 PM | message detail
Holy **** on a **** sandwich with **** on top... and a side helping of ****!
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"Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
#28 | Korayashi | Posted 8/19/2013 9:36:59 PM | message detail
So, what are the odds Draven is up 4000 by end of power hour?
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Nominate Spring Breeze Dancin' from Mystical Ninja Starring Goemon for Character Battle IX!
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NJrnlFW4IMc
#29 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/19/2013 9:37:00 PM | message detail
I find myself oddly enjoying this. Watching the board cry foul about a week after they vehemently defended blatant Missingno stuffing is pretty great, honestly.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#30 | pjbasis | Posted 8/19/2013 9:37:03 PM | message detail
ExThaNemesis posted...
Where do I go to start rallying for Link?


Planet Gamecube or whatever!
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http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png
SuperNiceDog - 1, pjbasis - 0
#31 | Nanis23 | Posted 8/19/2013 9:37:05 PM | message detail
Can someone give the link to the reddit page? Im on mobile and can't find it
#32 | vcharon | Posted 8/19/2013 9:37:30 PM | message detail
KamikazePotato posted...
I find myself oddly enjoying this. Watching the board cry foul about a week after they vehemently defended blatant Missingno stuffing is pretty great, honestly.


I know right? Where's all that "HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA" mess at now?
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Still smilin'
:>
#33 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 8/19/2013 9:37:49 PM | message detail
#34 | spooky96 (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/19/2013 9:37:50 PM | message detail
HOLY CRAP THAT WAS MONSTROUS.

RIP Link.
#35 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/19/2013 9:38:06 PM | message detail
Like, this is the only solace I can see

somehow, all of GameFAQs and constant LoZ reddit rallies and fansite rallies and s*** save Link from Draven by the skin of his teeth

somehow

LoL decides to take revenge on Link and Snake wins in the finals

acceptable losses
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http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif
Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
#36 | _SecretSquirrel | Posted 8/19/2013 9:38:07 PM | message detail
pjbasis posted...
ExThaNemesis posted...
Where do I go to start rallying for Link?


Planet Gamecube or whatever!


Now, that would be the perfect ending to GameFAQs Contests.
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Agent Triple Zero at your service!
The artist formerly known as greatone10.
#37 | SnoicFactor | Posted 8/19/2013 9:38:11 PM | message detail
2Dover3D posted...
That was like a 500 vote difference... How the hell are they getting this many votes from one Reddit post?


It just started.. not many have seen that post yet I'd take it.. This is going to be a huge stomp. I wouldn't be surprised if draven breaks 65%
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nt
#38 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 8/19/2013 9:38:11 PM | message detail
I think this match is going to break 40000 votes at this rate. Maybe even 50000 votes if the rally is more than twice as strong as the round 1 rally.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#39 | xp1337 | Posted 8/19/2013 9:38:14 PM | message detail
Yeah, Link (and everyone else) is done and the entire board should know it.

It'd be one thing if Draven just barely beat MMX but this is something else.
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#40 | UltimaterializerX | Posted 8/19/2013 9:38:26 PM | message detail
2Dover3D posted...
That was like a 500 vote difference... How the hell are they getting this many votes from one Reddit post?


I'm looking at the map and I'm still not seeing where it's actually coming from. A lot of stuff like 33/33/33 or 50/25/25.

Even if the rally is legit, I doubt it's from Reddit. It's probably from within LoL games or the forum, alt-tabbing isn't hard.
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Explicit Content hates Assassin's Creed.
#41 | The Real Truth | Posted 8/19/2013 9:38:27 PM | message detail
I'm not at all upset about this match. I'm actually curious to see how high he can go here.
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Tornadoman78:
tornadoman and tornadogirl like to kick box each other in my tornaolayzers and she dosent even mind getting hit
#42 | transcience | Posted 8/19/2013 9:38:41 PM | message detail
I need to go to bed but I can't stop watching this

not even L could pull this - it's been ten years since the carriers arrived quite like this
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add the c and back away
iphonesience
#43 | ChenKenichiFan | Posted 8/19/2013 9:38:43 PM | message detail
Was there really obvious stuffing for Missingno? I missed pretty much that whole match.
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Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
http://i.imgur.com/NQTthNf.jpg
#44 | ExThaNemesis | Posted 8/19/2013 9:38:51 PM | message detail
Are there popular Zelda sites out there?

Surely there must be some places we can band together and rally support for Link? Zelda fans are f***ing mindless if we link to the poll they'll come out in droves. With enough concerted effort we could combat this.

Couldn't we?
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Die young and save yourself.
Brace for the G's, and fast heel-toe work.
#45 | yoyoyoyrlozer | Posted 8/19/2013 9:38:53 PM | message detail
The irony is that most of the top comments on the Draven post on reddit are saying that they voted for MMX.
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3DS FC: 2707-1839-1832 Name: Chomp
#46 | BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 8/19/2013 9:38:54 PM | message detail
Anyone who thinks this is anything but massive stuffing is kidding themselves. The reddit thread has 40 comments, no way this is resulting in thousands of votes for Draven only. If this was a real rally, Ryu and X would be increasing as well, since half the comments in the reddit thread are people saying they are voting X or Ryu
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Game of the decade? More like Guru of the decade mirite?
However, the Guru of the next decade so far is SuperNiceDog
#47 | MegatokyoEd | Posted 8/19/2013 9:38:55 PM | message detail
Draven has gained tremendously in every single part of the world.

There are no real signs this is stuffing.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
http://www.last.fm/user/crazydom
#48 | spooky96 (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/19/2013 9:38:57 PM | message detail
-LusterSoldier- posted...
I think this match is going to break 40000 votes at this rate. Maybe even 50000 votes if the rally is more than twice as strong as the round 1 rally.


Was about to say 50k.

Genius people think alike.

...
#49 | kinsho3 | Posted 8/19/2013 9:39:13 PM | message detail
ExThaNemesis posted...
Where do I go to start rallying for Link?


Nowhere. There's no concentrated LoZ community out there on the internet. Our best hope is a Pokemon.
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Drop it to the floor...
#50 | vcharon | Posted 8/19/2013 9:39:14 PM | message detail
ChenKenichiFan posted...
Was there really obvious stuffing for Missingno? I missed pretty much that whole match.


Allen credited the last minute odd surge to a "Reddit rally".

Yep, Reddit! Let's praise them!
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Still smilin'
:>