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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1115
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Yeah I'm not much surprised either. I was expecting 62% + for the first freeze. Though he might fall later a little bit. --- I have Cloud winning this contest, which means I'll beat most of you... Nawt gonna happen >_> |
Ok
drop there, and he'll probably bleed percentage for most of the night.
Charizard looks good, but he isn't looking like a Mario killer if he
manages to get past MM. --- http://i.imgur.com/32RNLnc.gif |
Okay that's a big drop. This probably ends up looking strong, but normal. --- http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer) |
Achromatic posted... 71.49% 2010 Snake got 64% on Riku. |
ZeldaTPLink posted... Achromatic posted...71.49% ...Snake never even faced Riku. --- http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer) |
Alright now that's a HUGE drop. I'm correct about MM>Zard>Zero now. --- I have Cloud winning this contest, which means I'll beat most of you... Nawt gonna happen >_> |
Karma Hunter posted... ZeldaTPLink posted...Achromatic posted...71.49% My bad. 2007 Snake. And it's on the wiki. http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Riku%27s_Contest_History |
Magikarp vs. Riku who ya got --- http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png RIP Paul Bearer. Ohhhh nooooo. :( |
spooky96 posted... Alright now that's a HUGE drop. I'm correct about MM>Zard>Zero now. Charizard is going to be projected to beat Mega Man until he stops doubling him. Riku is probably overrated in 2010 though. --- http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer) |
53% picked DK --- POKEFEAR |
Fun fact for everyone: The Charizard that got 54% on Bowser is expected to get 65% on Riku. This is a beatdown either way <_<. --- www.dudewheresmyfreedom.com Proud to share the same beliefs as SmartMuffin |
ZeldaTPLink posted... My bad. 2007 Snake. use the round 2 match if anything, why would you even try to extrapolate through an L-Block match |
Achromatic posted... Fun fact for everyone: The Charizard that got 54% on Bowser is expected to get 65% on Riku. Charizard gets stronger as the contest goes on. --- nt |
ZeldaTPLink posted... Karma Hunter posted...ZeldaTPLink posted...Achromatic posted...71.49% 2007 Snake is significantly weaker than 2010 Snake. That's pre-Brawl and pre-MGS4. Snake's projection is well above this even considering that Riku 2010 is probably overrated. --- http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer) |
SnoicFactor posted... Achromatic posted...Fun fact for everyone: The Charizard that got 54% on Bowser is expected to get 65% on Riku. ...That's my point. Mega Man is screwed. --- www.dudewheresmyfreedom.com Proud to share the same beliefs as SmartMuffin |
Excellent. Riku's looking like crap! --- Drop it to the floor... |
From: spooky96 | #206 Alright now that's a HUGE drop. I'm correct about MM>Zard>Zero now. The argument isn't that Zard > Mega Man directly. The argument is that the MM/Zero fanbases are distinct enough that Mega Man can't SFF Zero enough to make up the difference! I don't see how 3% at the beginning of a match can make that much of a difference for you. --- "Pokefear has been one of the best things for a bracket the last four contests." -Yoblazer |
SnoicFactor posted... Achromatic posted...Fun fact for everyone: The Charizard that got 54% on Bowser is expected to get 65% on Riku. so he really is L-Block-lite huh |
Charizard
is bleeding like crazy, actually. This could end up close to my
expectation or even worse if he continues this trajectory. --- http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer) |
Karma Hunter posted... ZeldaTPLink posted...Karma Hunter posted...ZeldaTPLink posted...Achromatic posted...71.49% Ok then. Still, that's one scary performance by Charizard. |
Charizards bleed should be fairly similar to what happened with Squirtle. --- http://i.imgur.com/32RNLnc.gif |
WarThaNemesis2 posted... Magikarp vs. Riku Magikarp. --- Drop it to the floor... |
He's bled a few percent and he's being ruled out of beating Mega Man. Good grief. --- XBL Gamertag - Tiirshak |
Pokefear posted... From: spooky96 | #206Alright now that's a HUGE drop. I'm correct about MM>Zard>Zero now. I already had faith in MM to beat Zard despite Zero being there anyways. Any drop, even though just the 2nd freeze is a good indicator for me >_> Kratos has shown Zard his true strength. Not Zard's match against FREAKING Mario. HG/SS were probably #1 for most popular games in the top 100 list when Zard faced Bowser and Mario. --- I have Cloud winning this contest, which means I'll beat most of you... Nawt gonna happen >_> |
Qwaar posted... He's bled a few percent and he's being ruled out of beating Mega Man. Good grief. If he bleeds too much more he won't be in contention to be stronger than him based on projections... though obviously, that's not at issue. The Pokemon's still the favorite. --- http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer) |
ZeldaTPLink posted... Karma Hunter posted...ZeldaTPLink posted...Achromatic posted...71.49% http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Kratos_vs_L-Block_vs_Solid_Snake_vs_Riku_2007 Sprite Snake got 64% on Riku. --- The cycle of life and death continues. We will live. And they will die. |
how much did squirtle bleed from the boardvote? |
I'm really hoping Charizard loses to MM (my bracket is pretty much depending on it), but I definitely wouldn't count him out yet. --- I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword |
spooky96 posted... Pokefear posted...From: spooky96 | #206Alright now that's a HUGE drop. I'm correct about MM>Zard>Zero now. Charizard doesn't really need to be a near-elite to beat an SFFed Mega Man. Any high midcarder could do it if you think 33% on 2008 Cloud is doable by today's high midcarders. |
This probably ends up being close to a 65% performance on Riku, which isn't all that great when it comes down to it. --- http://i.minus.com/jbiGPMGVHJkJ5F.png http://i.minus.com/jbjrjeszi5Bojs.jpg http://i.minus.com/jDswy1q7MCAye.jpg http://i.minus.com/jX6dhkFSD8ugm.jpg |
Score-Brackets-% Right 75------1------------0.00 74------1------------0.00 73------11----------0.00 72------22----------4.55 71------46----------4.35 70------87----------4.60 69------103--------6.80 68------110--------10.00 67------102--------17.65 66------109--------25.69 65------119--------31.09 64------148--------47.97 63------206--------49.03 62------240--------52.92 61------360--------53.61 60------469--------60.55 59------528--------61.17 58------652--------58.44 57------820--------55.61 56------908--------58.59 55------928--------59.16 54------1004------56.18 53------951--------55.73 52------893--------54.42 51------830--------56.99 50------727--------60.11 49------706--------56.80 48------516--------58.72 47------508--------54.92 46------445--------56.40 45------390--------51.79 44------361--------49.86 43------290--------48.97 42------253--------46.25 41------191--------48.69 40------180--------50.56 39------173--------47.40 38------115--------47.83 37------124--------53.23 36------98----------42.86 35------93----------35.48 34------72----------47.22 33------68----------39.71 32------47----------53.19 31------28----------39.29 30------39----------25.64 29------26----------26.92 28------31----------25.81 27------21----------23.81 26------11----------18.18 25------12----------25.00 24------9------------55.56 23------6------------50.00 22------5------------20.00 21------5------------40.00 20------6------------16.67 19------6------------0.00 18------1------------0.00 17------4------------25.00 16------1------------0.00 15------0------------0.00 14------1------------100.00 13------4------------0.00 12------0------------0.00 11------2------------50.00 10------12----------0.00 9--------2------------0.00 8--------1------------0.00 7--------0------------0.00 6--------1------------0.00 5--------4------------0.00 4--------1------------100.00 3--------6------------0.00 2--------3------------0.00 1--------1------------0.00 We got hilariously destroyed by the casuals on this match. For them it was a slightly tough match. For us, we had no idea what we were doing. A random number generator would have been a better place to go for advice than us. The last -4 (75 points) falls and becomes the new last -5 since the existing -5 (74 points) got it wrong as well. In turn, that's now the only -6 since all the previous -6s (73 points) failed. A single -7 (72 points) got the match right. Just 2 -8s (71 points) picked DK. You need to go to the -11s (68 points) for prediction percentage to crack the double digits. From there prediction percentage ramps up quickly until it reaches the 60s. Roughly 60% of the casuals knew DK would win. For them DK was the clear favourite to win and only a handful of us saw it coming. 1 person fell off the Top 49. GloriousSweater did not expect DK to win the match. 45 people got it wrong and survived. CarveyFAQs, KingLionel, Astro1446, ChenKenichiFan, Fr0zoN, KCGemini, LordoftheMorons, Luis_Sera89, RAMS, Sorozone, SuorGenoveffa, voltch, Xcarvenger, alblito, AsurasKordoth, Colegreen_c12, Crossfiyah, Denzokuken, dethfdddddh, FFIXOwner, Hagankefs, Hitagi, jkmill550, Jobi1, KateWilder, Kotetsu534, metaIslugg, Nintendoboy375, PSU_Jer, Rex915, Runemistress, TeamRocketElite, yoyoyoyrlozer, _SecretSquirrel, ahirsch101, AlecTrevylan006, Als52, Blairville, ChronoT7, Clichokeet, ContestScrub, creativename, DarkFalconX, davidponte and frodragon also did not have DK winning the match. 3 people on the Top 49 brilliantly predicted DK's victory. Current 4th place Billy_Gates, Dr_Football and EdBellis knew DK was going to win and they all shoot up the leaderboard. --- Pokemon VGC2013 US National - 39th place Pokemon VGC2013 Worlds LCQ - Top 32 |
JustForFun1988 posted... http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Kratos_vs_L-Block_vs_Solid_Snake_vs_Riku_2007 Solid S*** AND L-Block shenanigans, why don't we use this match to base our predictions on! /sarcasm |
Assuming
Charizard beats Mega Man how long until his R4 match? Pokemon X/Y is
due out by like October 12th though I don't think this will take that
much longer. --- http://myanimelist.net/animelist/swordz9 |
2Dover3D posted... This probably ends up being close to a 65% performance on Riku, which isn't all that great when it comes down to it. Except that it puts him in line with his strength at the end of last contest and Riku had no reason to be overrated as he went through Falcon who was said to be equal to Alucard which proved to be true. You guys confuse me sometimes. --- www.dudewheresmyfreedom.com Proud to share the same beliefs as SmartMuffin |
Qwaar posted... He's bled a few percent and he's being ruled out of beating Mega Man. Good grief. It was ruled out the SECOND the SSB4 Trailer happened... --- From: Regaro_Ukiera | MWC is god-tier |
SnoicFactor posted... Achromatic posted...Fun fact for everyone: The Charizard that got 54% on Bowser is expected to get 65% on Riku. I don't know, it has only been ONE contest for him, and that too when he got one of the big release for him. --- I have Cloud winning this contest, which means I'll beat most of you... Nawt gonna happen >_> |
JustForFun1988 posted... ZeldaTPLink posted...Karma Hunter posted...ZeldaTPLink posted...Achromatic posted...71.49% Damn pic factor. |
2Dover3D posted... This probably ends up being close to a 65% performance on Riku, which isn't all that great when it comes down to it. Unless you actually expected Zard's real strength to be N9 level, that is just fine. It's more than enough to beat a MM stuck with Zero in the poll. --- Demyx is better than Axel. http://www.last.fm/user/crazydom |
CP724 posted... how much did squirtle bleed from the boardvote? Squirtle was 66% at the freeze, 62% a half hour in, 61% at the end of the Power Hour, and and 59.5% by the end of the match. Ramza's night vote should be worlds better than Riku's though. So far Charizard's bleeding has been worse, but comparable. --- http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer) |
Achromatic posted... 2Dover3D posted...This probably ends up being close to a 65% performance on Riku, which isn't all that great when it comes down to it. This is all wrong. All of it. I'm not even sure where to start. --- http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer) |
3 people on the Top 49 brilliantly predicted DK's victory. Current 4th place Billy_Gates, Dr_Football and EdBellis knew DK was going to win and they all shoot up the leaderboard. slowly but surely DFF will rise again and then crash and burn --- Dr voltchball - best in the world. |
3 people on the Top 49 brilliantly predicted DK's victory. Current 4th place Billy_Gates, Dr_Football and EdBellis knew DK was going to win and they all shoot up the leaderboard. ME! I had DK winning too! Oh wait I already predicted like 10 matches wrong. --- I have Cloud winning this contest, which means I'll beat most of you... Nawt gonna happen >_> |
and nier falls into the basement... --- Leafs / Raptors / Blue Jays / TFC / Argos / Tottenham We'll get 'em next year. |
Karma Hunter posted... Achromatic posted...2Dover3D posted...This probably ends up being close to a 65% performance on Riku, which isn't all that great when it comes down to it. Okay if you can explain to my how Falcon and Alucard were projected to be very similar in strength and then that happened is wrong I'll blow you. --- www.dudewheresmyfreedom.com Proud to share the same beliefs as SmartMuffin |
Charizard % gain!?!?!?! /typical board overreaction |
Achromatic posted... 2Dover3D posted...This probably ends up being close to a 65% performance on Riku, which isn't all that great when it comes down to it. Except if 2010 trends were any indication, Sora and his ilk are likely to have weakened over these past 3 years. This Riku is likely much weaker than 2010 Riku. --- Drop it to the floor... |
kinsho3 posted... Achromatic posted...2Dover3D posted...This probably ends up being close to a 65% performance on Riku, which isn't all that great when it comes down to it. Now THAT might be a fair conjecture to make, but someone was arguing Riku was somehow overrated in the stats. --- www.dudewheresmyfreedom.com Proud to share the same beliefs as SmartMuffin |
Alucard/Falcon is a eerily similar mirror of Shadow/Tidus, only it was antivotes screwing with the percentage instead of Magus. |
From: Achromatic | Posted: 8/18/2013 12:23:09 AM | #245 Karma Hunter posted...Achromatic posted...2Dover3D posted...This probably ends up being close to a 65% performance on Riku, which isn't all that great when it comes down to it. they faced Link and Cloud who both got anti-voted. look at Thrall. --- http://24.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_lxkdr0uNc91qlu5jao1_r1_400.gif |
- Team Aqua Elite (37)
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