Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1115

#151 | xp1337 | Posted 8/17/2013 7:44:39 PM | message detail
Just saw this match for the first time today.

what the. augh.
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#152 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 8/17/2013 7:48:07 PM | message detail
1337gamerpr0 posted...
Karma Hunter posted...
Rallying, the solution to every match

Welcome to the Contest of DRAVEN


*calls Kanz*
(imagine if Serebii manipulated an entire contest to get all the Pokemon as far as possible starting from round 1 *gasp*)


Rallying is worthless in that match. I know you're joking about asking for my opinion, but it is. You cannot rally in a fight where you have two nigh-equally matched entrants splitting votes left and right AND a third option who has no relationship to either of the first two. It'd be like putting in two liked LoL characters against Squall and hoping they'd catch a mega rally to win as everybody focuses on one of them. If that sounded stupid to you, it's because it is. One entrant must fall if you want the other to have a chance.
#153 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 8/17/2013 7:51:53 PM | message detail
charmander6000 posted...
I have reservations about this smart voter theory. Not that voters aren't smart (clearly, they must be for DK is winning today), but you think these smart voters that are abandoning Falco would give up voting for DK when they see that the big ape has a 10% lead on Lightning. Yet, we're not seeing that.

Do people check the results before voting?


http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/5001

16.85% of the site checks the results of every single match before voting. Then you have another 21.34% of the site that will check out the results sometimes.
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#154 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 8/17/2013 7:54:03 PM | message detail
KanzarisKelshen posted...
Rallying is worthless in that match. I know you're joking about asking for my opinion, but it is. You cannot rally in a fight where you have two nigh-equally matched entrants splitting votes left and right AND a third option who has no relationship to either of the first two. It'd be like putting in two liked LoL characters against Squall and hoping they'd catch a mega rally to win as everybody focuses on one of them. If that sounded stupid to you, it's because it is. One entrant must fall if you want the other to have a chance.


I said rally all Pokemon
Blue isn't a Pokemon ;)

(lol this whole point is stupid)
#155 | FantomXD | Posted 8/17/2013 8:05:32 PM | message detail
Sorry for doubting you DK. I thought a Final Fantasy lead would be wayyyyy stronger than this.

Never again!
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Never a dull moment.
#156 | xp1337 | Posted 8/17/2013 8:06:45 PM | message detail
You know, I wonder how many people in Expert took this. Just using myself as a reference because I'm at the bottom of the named portion, I don't think it's reasonable to assume everyone behind me who could pass me on this will miss, but I don't actually expect to fall that far.
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#157 | kinsho3 | Posted 8/17/2013 8:12:01 PM | message detail
xp1337 posted...
You know, I wonder how many people in Expert took this. Just using myself as a reference because I'm at the bottom of the named portion, I don't think it's reasonable to assume everyone behind me who could pass me on this will miss, but I don't actually expect to fall that far.


I took the upset in expert, but I'm so far behind, i'm not gonna gain much ground
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Drop it to the floor...
#158 | Sorozone | Posted 8/17/2013 8:16:20 PM | message detail
This division has killed me in the expert, but I'm expecting to stay around in the same spot on the leaderboard.

2nd round will probably kill a lot off people off. It'll probably make or break mine, because I'm gonna go for some questionable upsets. Like Ryu > X, being one of them.
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#159 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 8/17/2013 8:19:26 PM | message detail
Karma Hunter posted...
Pokemon seems more independent to me. If anything I think Zelda's already kinda slim upset chances just went out the window.


Yeah, if this is supposed to be a good thing for Zelda, then you can throw my bracket in the trash now. "Pokémon is more independent" is pretty much the linchpin of my bracket--namely, that Charizard can make like Blue did and take advantage of a Nintendo split in Round 4. So if that fundamental assumption is wrong...well, okay, it was always a kind of crazy upset, but Charizard did fairly well on Mario in a 1v1 so a rematch with Samus in the poll, the upset has to be possible, right?
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#160 | Korayashi | Posted 8/17/2013 8:20:42 PM | message detail
So..what happens if Nier somehow scores 3% tomorrow?
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#161 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/17/2013 8:22:07 PM | message detail
I could see Zelda winning as a longshot. With three Nintendo fanbases you have the potential for something really screwy to go on. Wario once beat the hell out of Captain Falcon thanks to screwy Nintendo SFF.
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#162 | spooky96 (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/17/2013 8:22:22 PM | message detail
Most independent or least dependent would me more appropriate for Pokemon if you ask me.
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I have Cloud winning this contest, which means I'll beat most of you...
Nawt gonna happen >_>
#163 | Julian_Caesar | Posted 8/17/2013 8:23:28 PM | message detail
So what is the consensus right now concerning Division 9?

I picked the division final to be MM/Zero/Charizard. MM and Charizard are fairly obvious (unless DK pulls off some kind of absurd miracle, which isn't impossible considering that he's Nintendo's Kefka when it comes to predictions), but I'm not as confident about having picked Zero>Rikku. Maybe more confident after Zero made that huge showing in Round 1 but I just don't know anything about FF characters and their strength aside from FFVII and Auron/Squall.

Good pick, then?
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#164 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 8/17/2013 8:24:09 PM | message detail
-LusterSoldier- posted...
charmander6000 posted...
I have reservations about this smart voter theory. Not that voters aren't smart (clearly, they must be for DK is winning today), but you think these smart voters that are abandoning Falco would give up voting for DK when they see that the big ape has a 10% lead on Lightning. Yet, we're not seeing that.

Do people check the results before voting?


http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/5001

16.85% of the site checks the results of every single match before voting. Then you have another 21.34% of the site that will check out the results sometimes.


Yeah. I usually just vote right away, but when I know there's a chance of a close match and my vote normally would've gone to the third contestant, I sometimes wait to see if it might be prudent to give it to the one I want to win out of those two.

Of course, DK's winning so commandingly here that if I'd waited, I would've just stuck with voting for Falco! But, yes. I'm not normally one to check the results before voting, but did so for Tidus-Missingno because I had a feeling Missingno might need my help and my vote would've otherwise gone to Banjo.
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#165 | Julian_Caesar | Posted 8/17/2013 8:24:37 PM | message detail
TsunamiXXVIII posted...
"Pokémon is more independent" is pretty much the linchpin of my bracket--namely, that Charizard can make like Blue did and take advantage of a Nintendo split in Round 4. So if that fundamental assumption is wrong...well, okay, it was always a kind of crazy upset, but Charizard did fairly well on Mario in a 1v1 so a rematch with Samus in the poll, the upset has to be possible, right?


Kinda my thoughts too. I still picked Mario to win but I thought a very long time about picking Charizard.
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#166 | xp1337 | Posted 8/17/2013 8:26:01 PM | message detail
MM/Zero/Zard should be the overwhelming favorite for the division final.

Not sure who is favored to win that. Zero is out, obviously. I get the feeling that Zard probably is the Guru favorite in a similar fashion to Crono/Pikachu but someone who knows/is willing to check can say for sure.
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#167 | spooky96 (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/17/2013 8:27:23 PM | message detail
I'm actually one of the few (probably) who'll have Megaman winning in MM/Zero/Zard match.
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I have Cloud winning this contest, which means I'll beat most of you...
Nawt gonna happen >_>
#168 | Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 8/17/2013 8:35:37 PM | message detail
Charizard is the favourite to beat Mega Man in the guru by quite a bit.
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#169 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/17/2013 8:45:22 PM | message detail
If you consider Charizard's performance on Mario legit (or legit enough to be replicated by the time he gets back to him) you should have put him in the finals without so much as a second thought. Mario's 53.5% was a ridiculously wimpy performance, and the most a Non-Noble allowed from any outsider that entire contest bar Missingno. Samus will blow that away beyond any shadow of a doubt to turn it into a rout for Charizard.
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#170 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 8/17/2013 8:54:35 PM | message detail
what if....
Mario/Samus/Charizard turns into a close 3-way match *gasp*
#171 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/17/2013 8:56:47 PM | message detail
hahaha expecting good close all Nintendo matches

prepare yourself for all-day same percentages where each of them are never in contention against the others
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#172 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 8/17/2013 8:57:16 PM | message detail
1337gamerpr0 posted...
what if....
Mario/Samus/Charizard turns into a close 3-way match *gasp*



Not a chance in hell. Samus will fold super hard if Mario is threatened. Mr. Nintendo will never allow intra-company upstarts to beat him.
#173 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 8/17/2013 8:58:33 PM | message detail
Karma Hunter posted...
hahaha expecting good close all Nintendo matches

prepare yourself for all-day same percentages where each of them are never in contention against the others


Charizard>Mario>Samus CONFIRMED
by proxy, Snake>Link>Charizard CONFIRMED because Pokemon doesn't fold
thank you KH ;)
#174 | 15_and_counting | Posted 8/17/2013 8:58:50 PM | message detail
Megaman is going to win, and for what it's worth, it is never going to be in doubt. He's going to hurt Charizard, even with Zero there...
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From: Regaro_Ukiera |
MWC is god-tier
#175 | tennisboy213 | Posted 8/17/2013 8:59:22 PM | message detail
#176 | 15_and_counting | Posted 8/17/2013 8:59:50 PM | message detail
1337gamerpr0 posted...
Karma Hunter posted...
hahaha expecting good close all Nintendo matches

prepare yourself for all-day same percentages where each of them are never in contention against the others


Charizard>Mario>Samus CONFIRMED
by proxy, Snake>Link>Charizard CONFIRMED because Pokemon doesn't fold
thank you KH ;)


LOL at thinking the final is ANYTHING except

Link>Cloud>Megaman.
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From: Regaro_Ukiera |
MWC is god-tier
#177 | BK_Sheikah00 | Posted 8/17/2013 9:00:03 PM | message detail
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iB7qHNrRX08
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#178 | Dr_Football | Posted 8/17/2013 9:00:20 PM | message detail
Charizard
89.47%
17 Votes
Your Pick

Riku
10.53%
2 Votes

Nier
0%
0 Votes

hahah
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#179 | hylianknight3 | Posted 8/17/2013 9:00:28 PM | message detail
Charizard
100%
5 Votes
Your Pick

Riku
0%
0 Votes

Nier
0%
0 Votes
#180 | tennisboy213 | Posted 8/17/2013 9:00:30 PM | message detail
Vote Accepted


Charizard
100%
8 Votes
Your Pick

Riku
0%
0 Votes

Nier
0%
0 Votes
Total Votes: 8
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POKEFEAR
#181 | paulg235 | Posted 8/17/2013 9:00:34 PM | message detail
Vote Accepted
Charizard
81.48%
22 Votes
Riku
18.52%
5 Votes
Your Pick
Nier
0%
0 Votes
Total Votes: 27
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#182 | ZFS | Posted 8/17/2013 9:00:51 PM | message detail
woo Nier
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tune in tokyo 142.94
#183 | xp1337 | Posted 8/17/2013 9:00:53 PM | message detail
Poor Nier.

He deserves a lot better!
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#184 | Sorozone | Posted 8/17/2013 9:01:17 PM | message detail
Nier Dad getting killed.
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#185 | abdou | Posted 8/17/2013 9:01:19 PM | message detail
damn looks like we are getting the strong charizard
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...
#186 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/17/2013 9:01:31 PM | message detail
Well that's a Charizard.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#187 | Korayashi | Posted 8/17/2013 9:01:56 PM | message detail
Seriously, what happens if Nier does worse than Caim somehow? >.>
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Nominate Spring Breeze Dancin' from Mystical Ninja Starring Goemon for Character Battle IX!
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NJrnlFW4IMc
#188 | raytan7585 | Posted 8/17/2013 9:02:02 PM | message detail
Charizard
100%
4 Votes
Your Pick

Riku
0%
0 Votes

Nier
0%
0 Votes

Total Votes: 4
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#189 | 2Dover3D | Posted 8/17/2013 9:02:12 PM | message detail
#190 | spooky96 (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/17/2013 9:02:44 PM | message detail
yay today's freeze is longer than previous match's.
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I have Cloud winning this contest, which means I'll beat most of you...
Nawt gonna happen >_>
#191 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 8/17/2013 9:02:46 PM | message detail
what were predictions for Charizard's % anyway?
#192 | ffmasterjose | Posted 8/17/2013 9:02:56 PM | message detail
What the **** Lightning. Donkey Kong winning despite Falco.

Lightning doesn't deserve to appear in these things anymore
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#193 | abdou | Posted 8/17/2013 9:03:18 PM | message detail
if Charizard stay above 65% he win the contest
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...
#194 | tennisboy213 | Posted 8/17/2013 9:03:29 PM | message detail
2Dover3D posted...
I really hope Charizard drops a lot from here since that percentage is kinda scary


POKEFEAR!
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POKEFEAR
#195 | xp1337 | Posted 8/17/2013 9:04:41 PM | message detail
XD Expert Challenge.

I dropped one place with Lightning > DK.

I should have kept track how many times I've been that "1 more users tied at." >_>
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#196 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/17/2013 9:04:41 PM | message detail
I honestly wouldn't be surprised if this didn't drop, which would definitely infer that Charizard has retained the bulk of its strength. May still have lost a touch because this is just such a lopsided picture but you can't argue with 72% on Riku if it holds.
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#197 | hylianknight3 | Posted 8/17/2013 9:05:04 PM | message detail
2Dover3D posted...
I really hope Charizard stays around this level since that percentage is kinda scary


Fixed.
#198 | Achromatic | Posted 8/17/2013 9:05:49 PM | message detail
71.49%

What is "% Snake is expected to get on Riku"
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#199 | The Real Truth | Posted 8/17/2013 9:06:11 PM | message detail
How is anyone surprised by Charizard here? Nier is garbage and Riku is below Frog.
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#200 | Achromatic | Posted 8/17/2013 9:07:05 PM | message detail
Okay so Charizard isn't Solid Snake yet, good for the rest of the bracket I guess.
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