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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1113
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LOL Lenneth? Also yyyyyyeah Kratos by 7 votes. I WENT PLATINUM SELLIN' RHYMES... I WENT PLATINUM SEVEN TIMES. --- ... as if rights are like muscles - the more you use it, the better it gets. Indeed he may be exercising his first amendment-- but he's an IDIOT! - A. Scalia |
KamikazePotato posted... On GameFAQs, playing western games in itself makes you part of a unique fanbase! Heh, yes, this is true :) UltimaterializerX posted... charmander6000 posted...Can we have some all-time top 10 lists? No, they should definitely be separated, comparing 12 hour to 24 hour makes little sense. Plus if they're separated initially it's much easier to combine them later. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
Using
the updated vote total data for the poll maps, I can now create an
updated trend chart for Marisa's match. The vote totals for each
character at the start of each hour were obtained by viewing the source
code of this page: http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/map?id=5207 I also used that to figure out each character's vote totals at 12:06 AM, which is what I used for the board vote in my updated trend chart. Time | Vivi | Jensen | Marisa | Votes 0:05 | 56.25% | 23.53% | 20.22% | 816 1:00 | 57.78% | 23.08% | 19.14% | 4853 2:00 | 61.84% | 23.72% | 14.44% | 2833 3:00 | 61.58% | 25.50% | 12.92% | 2090 4:00 | 62.85% | 25.40% | 11.74% | 1669 5:00 | 61.86% | 25.68% | 12.47% | 1476 6:00 | 60.89% | 23.66% | 15.45% | 1327 7:00 | 63.57% | 21.95% | 14.48% | 1312 8:00 | 63.54% | 23.93% | 12.53% | 1429 9:00 | 64.42% | 22.45% | 13.13% | 1630 10:00 | 65.91% | 22.73% | 11.36% | 1883 11:00 | 65.12% | 24.40% | 10.49% | 1955 12:00 | 64.46% | 24.83% | 10.71% | 1933 Also, the number of stuffed votes for each hour of the match: 1:00 | 208 2:00 | 117 3:00 | 0 4:00 | 0 5:00 | 0 6:00 | 52 7:00 | 312 8:00 | 166 9:00 | 290 10:00 | 280 11:00 | 330 12:00 | 240 For the second hour of the match, I had to estimate the number of removed votes since there were some votes were removed during that hour. The 117 votes for the second hour is based on an estimate of 325 votes removed during the early part of the match. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ! |
Fayt_Esteed posted... Shoenin_Kakashi posted...We shouldve gotten Torgue in here tbh LOGIC AND COMMON SENSE DONT ACCOUNT FOR NOMINATIONS. --- Oh SuperNiceDog's doing it again dude. SuperNiceDog, you ain't no pimp dude |
So was there a board rally for Lenneth? Can't think of any other reason for her to be a 5 seed beyond "Bacon felt like it." --- [NO BARKLEY NO PEACE] |
AxemRedRanger posted... So was there a board rally for Lenneth? This fodderbracket has many confounding mysteries, this will remain one of them. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
So Claptrap has second place firmly within its grasp. Speaking of which, did Claptrap appear in Borderlands 2? Is it possible that it could have gotten stronger then? --- Drop it to the floor... |
I just set up another voting topic to decide the bonus poll on Sunday: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/66995815 Out of the 10 suggestions from the first voting topic, I narrowed it down to 5 options. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ! |
Huh, checked the updated vote map for Vivi's match. Marisa still got a ridiculous percentage in China. Cirno is even worse. But Reimu isn't; she got third there. Something's almost certainly still screwy if Cirno can octuple Tifa and Reimu loses to Barret. Luster, any idea what China's minimum possible number of votes are in those matches and what the approximate usual China numbers are for day matches and night matches? --- [NO BARKLEY NO PEACE] |
Shoenin_Kakashi posted... We shouldve gotten Torgue in here tbh EXPLOSIONS LET ME PLAY YOU A SICK GUITAR SOLO *wooowooweeewaaaaaaaa* The problem is that he's a DLC character. Oh well. --- Chrono1219 |
kinsho3 posted... So Claptrap has second place firmly within its grasp. Claptrap is in Borderlands 2 He does have an awesome quote in it about Teabagging Jack's corpse. --- Oh SuperNiceDog's doing it again dude. SuperNiceDog, you ain't no pimp dude |
Shoenin_Kakashi posted... kinsho3 posted...So Claptrap has second place firmly within its grasp. See, I'm trying to figure out what this match implies about Rikku/? Block, but I gave up on this. There's too many intangible factors here at play to adequately judge. You have two blocks facing off against one human character. You have a character in Claptrap that could have possibly boosted given how significant a role he plays in Borderlands 2. And you have a character in WCC whose strength could have faded once its meme started getting played out a year or two ago. --- Drop it to the floor... |
Looks like 4 points three matches in a row Maybe I should be bolder in my predictions --- I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword |
AxemRedRanger posted... Huh, checked the updated vote map for Vivi's match. Marisa still got a ridiculous percentage in China. Cirno is even worse. Night matches - Usually between 14 and 30 votes per match. Day matches - Usually between 9 and 18 votes per match. When I asked Bacon to fix the poll maps for Marisa's match and to investigate China for vote stuffing in Cirno's match, this is what I got from him: Message From GameFAQs on 08/15/2013 The poll maps are updated with the removed votes - we won't be looking into any other vote removals, since they would not impact the result of the battle and any remaining stuffed votes are very nominal. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ! |
Wow,
I didn't think this division would be that painful on the Expert
challenge. Come on Lenneth, do something against these boxes. --- Agent Triple Zero at your service! The artist formerly known as greatone10. |
Lenneth
is doing very well in Europe and Asia right now, yet Claptrap is
holding up pretty well with the night vote. If Lenneth pulls off the
comeback, the morning vote will favor Claptrap because of the US and
Canada. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ! |
Shoenin_Kakashi posted... kinsho3 posted...So Claptrap has second place firmly within its grasp. STAIRS? Noooooooooooooooooooo!!! Also,Birthday party |
Lenneth vs. Claptrap has been impressively consistent. No change since like 01:30 --- A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice. |
I hate this division 0 points so far thanks to first place +3 and then -3 for second and third place If Claptrao finish second I finally get +6 but this is so close he might bomb it And tommorow I believe RDR guy will suck and easy +6 but everything can happen and he might be considered a hidden beast that sadly got matched with Zelda At least DK>Falco and Riku>Nier are locks |
Yeah
I'm at 3 matches in a row scoring 0. And had a -6 because of Wrex, so
I've been stuck at 287 points for a while now. I'm also worried that
?-block might drop the ball after Missingno barely scraped by Tidus. Boko losing at the last second made me cringe. Gonna need to get really lucky in round 2, but there's some tough picks to make there. |
I'd be at 24 points this div is Boko actually saw it through. :( Oh well. 18 is pretty good still. --- NGirl@work or on phone. |
just
for fun, assuming constant Lenneth and no funny business in anything,
based on this match WCC is comfortably below 2006 Tingle also don't look now but Lenneth is actually closing in --- Fight like dragons, have no fear, swords are made of STEEEEEEEEL~ |
Janus5000 posted... just for fun, assuming constant Lenneth and no funny business in anything, based on this match WCC is comfortably below 2006 Tingle Expected Im just going to lose another match |
I don't know, but I think trends should favor Claptrap. If all else fails, rallies... I guess. --- Proud supporter of DogFAQs |
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster] |
Jack and Claptrap sucking so much makes Tharja look...so weak If it wasn't obvious she is the weakest character in the second round,it's obvious now |
Darn,
missed all day yesterday and now it's too late to talk about
Kratos/Boko! I was able to keep up with the updaters on my work
computer, but never had free time to post here. Kinda surprised Kratos
actually pulled through on the last update! Thought for sure if it was
close at the end, Boko would "find" a way to win. Good work, Kratos! Also I never even entertained Lenneth finishing 2nd here, but I wonder how much she's benefiting from "I don't want to vote for an inanimate object," or I guess you could call it BoxFAQs. That's why I voted for Lenneth. AxemRedRanger posted... So was there a board rally for Lenneth? Yep, Valkyrie Profile board rallied noms for Lenneth. --- http://gifsoup.com/view/874243/big-boss-o.gif |
Wow, another close match for second place, but look how awful Cube is here. Anti-JokeFAQs confirmed. ...Magikarp is legit? --- http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer) |
I don't recall WCC being strong? |
Nanis23 posted... I don't recall WCC being strong? Certainly never as strong as L-Block at its height, but if you assume 2010 Cube = 2013 Cube, The Boss vs. Lenneth Valkyrie would be quite the barnburner. --- http://www.miscupload.com/upload/452457071929141623517416.gif |
Nanis23 posted... I don't recall WCC being strong? WCC beat Mega Man (with Zero in the match), dude. It also put up 54% on The Boss last contest. Who in their right mind doesn't take The Boss to blow Lenneth off the face of the planet? --- http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer) |
LeonhartFour posted... Darn, missed all day yesterday and now it's too late to talk about Kratos/Boko! I was able to keep up with the updaters on my work computer, but never had free time to post here. Kinda surprised Kratos actually pulled through on the last update! Thought for sure if it was close at the end, Boko would "find" a way to win. Good work, Kratos! A robot with personality is a character This is like calling GlaDOS an inanimate object |
I
am speaking from the perspective of someone who has never played
Borderlands (a perspective I would imagine the majority of this site
shares). I look at Claptrap and I see a box. That's all. --- http://i52.tinypic.com/2zfiu09.gif http://i54.tinypic.com/10729w2.gif |
Nanis23 posted... Jack and Claptrap sucking so much makes Tharja look...so weak Unrallied Draven is probably the weakest character in the second round. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ! |
And
I mean, Lenneth isn't just regularly cutting Claptrap here, she's doing
the same thing to Cube. If it weren't up by so much it could have been
in trouble. --- http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer) |
Also,
I saw a couple of people saying Zero's performance is "Star of the
Round" worthy. I didn't realize you guys didn't think Zero would blow
the doors off that match! He did pretty much exactly as I expected
(Oracle had Zero at 59%). Kratos and Boko isn't THAT great of
competition. --- http://media.tumblr.com/tumblr_lo22vfguji1qzxr43.gif |
Anyway, I've got a couple of charts to get caught up on! From the night match yesterday: Time | Bird | Haggar | Jill | Votes 0:05 | 19.89% | 24.30% | 55.81% | 568 1:00 | 17.11% | 24.51% | 58.38% | 4618 2:00 | 15.76% | 23.93% | 60.32% | 2583 3:00 | 15.31% | 24.38% | 60.30% | 1985 4:00 | 15.63% | 24.13% | 60.25% | 1600 5:00 | 15.19% | 21.63% | 63.18% | 1290 6:00 | 15.31% | 21.41% | 63.28% | 1163 7:00 | 16.97% | 23.16% | 59.87% | 1373 8:00 | 17.68% | 23.45% | 58.87% | 1629 9:00 | 17.43% | 23.63% | 58.94% | 1773 10:00 | 17.84% | 23.47% | 58.69% | 1934 11:00 | 17.47% | 24.13% | 58.40% | 1935 12:00 | 18.81% | 23.21% | 57.99% | 1797 Red Bird shows some bonafide trends, including a decent morning vote! Haggar does his best work at the beginning of the match. Jill dominates overnight. X-Stats: Jill Valentine 50.00% Mike Haggar 28.45% Red Bird 22.00% Jill's prediction percentage was 64.69% --- http://gifsoup.com/view/874243/big-boss-o.gif |
Didn't
Lenneth have a bunch of recent games to make her more relevant again?
No doubt WCC is sucking it up here, but part of this looks to be Lenneth
showing some bit of legit strength here. Also, forget Rikku, at this point I'm questioning ? Block's ability to beat Lyndis. --- Current Let's Play: Final Fantasy II - http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3557012 Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64 |
Very
nice. I was hoping Claptrap would have some jokey trends when I last
checked the poll, and I might have been right. Come on Lenneth! --- Agent Triple Zero at your service! The artist formerly known as greatone10. |
Lenneth closing in fast, she's also surpisingly winning almost every part of the world besides North America. |
Not_Wylvane posted... Didn't Lenneth have a bunch of recent games to make her more relevant again? At first I thought her last contest appearance was after VP2 but apparently not. It was like, just a few weeks before it was out. Actually, even the PSP port was only like 40 days old by that point. I doubt many people played it yet.either. I think for all practical purposes, her 2006 performance was running almost solely off of the limited print PS1 game --- A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice. |
We're
getting even closer until the morning vote gets into full swing here
and Claptrap has a 6% lead on Lenneth in the US. Almost a 3% lead in
Canada, so I think the trends are going to work against her. She wasn't
able to come back fast enough and build up a decent lead for herself. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ! |
Then00bAvenger posted... Not_Wylvane posted...Didn't Lenneth have a bunch of recent games to make her more relevant again? I won't deny a stronger Lenneth here, but she's still going 50/50 with Claptrap. That's better, but The Boss would flat out murder either of those characters. Heck, you've got a good argument for picking either of the characters she just 60/40'd this year over Lenneth/Claptrap. Heavy finished well above Claptrap last contest, for what it's worth. --- http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer) |
Trend chart from the day match: Time | Zero | Kratos | Boko | Votes 0:05 | 54.27% | 19.60% | 26.13% | 597 1:00 | 58.35% | 19.54% | 22.11% | 4514 2:00 | 57.90% | 21.32% | 20.78% | 3475 3:00 | 58.35% | 20.76% | 20.89% | 2963 4:00 | 59.24% | 20.71% | 20.04% | 2699 5:00 | 57.09% | 21.43% | 21.47% | 2510 6:00 | 58.17% | 21.78% | 20.04% | 2355 7:00 | 59.26% | 20.75% | 19.99% | 2106 8:00 | 58.50% | 21.35% | 20.16% | 1930 9:00 | 58.96% | 20.15% | 20.90% | 1876 10:00 | 60.12% | 20.95% | 18.93% | 1680 11:00 | 60.30% | 19.66% | 20.04% | 1607 12:00 | 58.44% | 20.69% | 20.88% | 1547 Zero nets a couple of 60% hours after Europe calls it a day. To no one's surprise, Boko is a little frontloaded, but he and Kratos go back and forth after that first hour. X-Stats: Zero 50.00% Kratos Aurion 26.13% Boko 26.10% Zero's prediction percentage was 84.59% --- http://img38.imageshack.us/img38/7760/222bj.jpg |
Nanis23 posted... LeonhartFour posted...Darn, missed all day yesterday and now it's too late to talk about Kratos/Boko! I was able to keep up with the updaters on my work computer, but never had free time to post here. Kinda surprised Kratos actually pulled through on the last update! Thought for sure if it was close at the end, Boko would "find" a way to win. Good work, Kratos! Yes. People aren't calling Zero or Mega Man inanimate objects, and Claptrap's as much of a character as them. --- Proud supporter of DogFAQs |
Also,
I think someone pointed out that Leon Kennedy's proportion to Dante in
my 2010 adjusted stats is exactly the same was it was in the 2008 stats.
That should come as no surprise considering that's what I used to
adjust Leon! --- "The great GF...Bahamut." "...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..." |
Not_Wylvane posted... Also, forget Rikku, at this point I'm questioning ? Block's ability to beat Lyndis. Oh good, I'm not the only one wondering about this. I fully expect Lyndis to be weak (has she done anything since FE7 aside from I think being an assist in Brawl?), but then I also don't see ? Block having any strength at all, especially if people hate blocks after this match --- Fight like dragons, have no fear, swords are made of STEEEEEEEEL~ |
Hey, one vote lead for Claptrap. Doesn't feel that thrilling since it's not 10 minutes before the match end this time. --- Agent Triple Zero at your service! The artist formerly known as greatone10. |
Ultimaphazon posted... Yes. People aren't calling Zero or Mega Man inanimate objects, and Claptrap's as much of a character as them. Yes, but there's a difference between looking human and looking like a box. To an outsider, Claptrap doesn't look like a character. --- http://i.imgur.com/CbfFb.jpg |
Updated trend chart for Leon to look at: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/66995039/754796204 I had to wait a while to make that trend chart as it took longer than I thought for Bacon to respond to my feedback ticket about fixing the poll map for Marisa's match. So now I have a trend chart with the stuffed votes removed. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ! |
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