Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1113

#1 | ChocoboKweh141 | Posted 8/15/2013 8:56:17 PM | message detail
KWEH!

~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://www.thengamer.com/
http://thengamer.com/xstats

~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame

~*Character Contest Histories*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the Match Pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Leonhart4's Trend Charts*~
https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?hl=en&key=tOGmynfNIiNy5VukpEF-PdA&hl=en#gid=0

~*Daily Vote Trends - An Explanation for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Daily_Vote_Trends

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense.

Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated.
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NGirl@work or on phone.
#2 | FFDragon | Posted 8/15/2013 8:56:34 PM | message detail
wark
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If you wake up at a different time, in a different place, could you wake up as a different person? [HERO'S PLUNGE]
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#3 | BK_Sheikah00 | Posted 8/15/2013 8:56:38 PM | message detail
1 vote.
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Hey, its that SuperNiceDog! Congrats to the Guru 2011 winner
#4 | whatisurnameplz | Posted 8/15/2013 8:56:51 PM | message detail
#5 | ChocoboKweh141 (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/15/2013 8:56:56 PM | message detail
I'm not actually ngirl on work or on phone.
#6 | MegatokyoEd | Posted 8/15/2013 8:56:59 PM | message detail
If Kratos loses this, Tales characters should be banned from the contest.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
http://www.last.fm/user/crazydom
#7 | DSRKVRTheDealer | Posted 8/15/2013 8:57:00 PM | message detail
This is ... fun.
#8 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/15/2013 8:57:02 PM | message detail
It's been a long time since the last update mattered
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 60/74 Today's Picks: Jill Valentine and Zero
#9 | TheOneAboveAll | Posted 8/15/2013 8:57:12 PM | message detail
What a freaking epic irrelevant match. 1 vote difference with 4 minutes to go.
#10 | Kotetsu534 | Posted 8/15/2013 8:57:29 PM | message detail
My kingdom for a vote! Damn, if only this match mattered things would be going crazy.
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We are living our lives
Abound with so much information
#11 | Sorozone | Posted 8/15/2013 8:57:30 PM | message detail
So when the next match starts how long does it typically take for this match the be updated for the final result?
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http://i.imgur.com/32RNLnc.gif
#12 | Qwaar | Posted 8/15/2013 8:57:49 PM | message detail
This is incredible.
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XBL Gamertag - Tiirshak
#13 | TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 8/15/2013 8:57:59 PM | message detail
Boko

I need these f***in' expert points
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F*** BT
#14 | Kibago | Posted 8/15/2013 8:58:00 PM | message detail
MegatokyoEd posted...
If Kratos loses this, Tales characters should be banned from the contest.


this.
please, this
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Leafs / Raptors / Blue Jays / TFC / Argos / Tottenham
We'll get 'em next year.
#15 | UltimaterializerX | Posted 8/15/2013 8:58:13 PM | message detail
Don't honestly care who wins, I just want it closer than 3 votes.
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Main_Page, Rest in peace Kazbar :(
#16 | yoyoyoyrlozer | Posted 8/15/2013 8:58:19 PM | message detail
Kratos leading by 1 vote, oh god
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3DS FC: 2707-1839-1832 Name: Chomp
#17 | kinsho3 | Posted 8/15/2013 8:58:30 PM | message detail
Holy Moly....


LET'S DO THIS, KRATOS!!!! FOR THE HONOR OF TALES OF!!!!
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Drop it to the floor...
#18 | Xuxon | Posted 8/15/2013 8:58:38 PM | message detail
i guess Luster will be voting for Kratos right about now
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#19 | Janus5000 | Posted 8/15/2013 8:58:38 PM | message detail
is this poll real life
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Fight like dragons, have no fear, swords are made of STEEEEEEEEL~
#20 | Lieutenant Kettch | Posted 8/15/2013 8:58:38 PM | message detail
Is Liquid/Alucard still our closest match at 3 votes? Could be in danger here.
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SuperNiceDog is also a SuperSmartDog.
#21 | Then00bAvenger | Posted 8/15/2013 8:58:39 PM | message detail
2 vote victory for... Boko. Calling it now!
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
#22 | Fayt_Esteed | Posted 8/15/2013 8:58:42 PM | message detail
Kibago posted...
MegatokyoEd posted...
If Kratos loses this, Tales characters should be banned from the contest.


this.
please, this


Exactly - but I guess Tales fans love seeing them get humiliated year in and year out.
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"Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
#23 | SebVettel | Posted 8/15/2013 8:58:48 PM | message detail
One Vote.

Oh my lord.
#24 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/15/2013 8:58:48 PM | message detail
So when the next match starts how long does it typically take for this match the be updated for the final result?

It'll be the usual update so 12:01:15 based on the updator
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 62/76 Today's Picks: WCC and ? Block
#25 | RockMFR | Posted 8/15/2013 8:58:49 PM | message detail
holy crap
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Be a good little washing machine, now... o_0
#26 | backinblack167 | Posted 8/15/2013 8:58:50 PM | message detail
i believe in the tie
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sc2us: MileS.151
#27 | TheOceIot | Posted 8/15/2013 8:58:50 PM | message detail
tie tie tie
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you just can't live in that negative way...make way for the positive day
#28 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/15/2013 8:59:06 PM | message detail
Tie tie tie tie tie
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#29 | xp1337 | Posted 8/15/2013 8:59:26 PM | message detail
I'm cynically thinking Boko has this, but then I never would have thought Kratos could recover from that INSURMOUNTABLE 7 vote lead.
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#30 | whatisurnameplz | Posted 8/15/2013 8:59:28 PM | message detail
#31 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 8/15/2013 8:59:30 PM | message detail
UltimaterializerX posted...
Don't honestly care who wins, I just want it closer than 3 votes.


same here
I'd prefer Kratos by 1-2 though
#32 | Glenn_and_Toad | Posted 8/15/2013 8:59:37 PM | message detail
Bold prediction: Boko by 2

new closest match

a bolder prediction would be a tie, but I'm not that bold.
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SC2K13 Bracket: Kefka hate hate hate hate hates my bracket!
Oracle: Team Frog and Magus
#33 | Spontaneousness | Posted 8/15/2013 8:59:47 PM | message detail
watch this end up in a tie, with everyone getting a 0 for expert
#34 | tennisboy213 | Posted 8/15/2013 9:00:16 PM | message detail
Vote Accepted


Lenneth Valkyrie
40%
4 Votes
Your Pick

Claptrap
20%
2 Votes

Weighted Companion Cube
40%
4 Votes
Total Votes: 10
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POKEFEAR
#35 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/15/2013 9:00:23 PM | message detail
PortalFAQs


Lenneth Valkyrie
16.67%
1 Votes

Claptrap
16.67%
1 Votes

Weighted Companion Cube
66.67%
4 Votes
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 62/76 Today's Picks: WCC and ? Block
#36 | RockMFR | Posted 8/15/2013 9:00:43 PM | message detail
7 votes? BOOOOOO
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Be a good little washing machine, now... o_0
#37 | Janus5000 | Posted 8/15/2013 9:00:45 PM | message detail
seven votes

darn you kratos
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Fight like dragons, have no fear, swords are made of STEEEEEEEEL~
#38 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 8/15/2013 9:00:45 PM | message detail
Vote Accepted


Lenneth Valkyrie
33.33%
46 Votes

Claptrap
21.74%
30 Votes

Weighted Companion Cube
44.93%
62 Votes
Your Pick
Total Votes: 138
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RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed.
#39 | Xuxon | Posted 8/15/2013 9:00:45 PM | message detail
#40 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 8/15/2013 9:00:47 PM | message detail
What a garbage match to set the new record for closest finish, ugh. Give us a real match that is this close Sballin!
#41 | Fayt_Esteed | Posted 8/15/2013 9:00:51 PM | message detail
Lenneth Valkyrie
43.75%
7 Votes
Vote Lenneth!


Claptrap
25%
4 Votes
Vote Claptrap!

Weighted Companion Cube
31.25%
5 Votes
Vote Cube!

OMG Lenneth kicking tail!
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"Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
#42 | Qwaar | Posted 8/15/2013 9:00:52 PM | message detail
Decided to go no pick for 2nd and 3rd, not willing to risk it.
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XBL Gamertag - Tiirshak
#43 | backinblack167 | Posted 8/15/2013 9:00:52 PM | message detail
7 =(
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sc2us: MileS.151
#44 | Sorozone | Posted 8/15/2013 9:00:53 PM | message detail
Thank you Kratos for not choking.
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http://i.imgur.com/32RNLnc.gif
#45 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 8/15/2013 9:01:04 PM | message detail
Kratos wins by 7
good for my expert, wanted it to be 1 though
#46 | Dr_Football | Posted 8/15/2013 9:01:07 PM | message detail
booooooooooooooooooo
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Dr voltchball - best in the world.
#47 | Kibago | Posted 8/15/2013 9:01:08 PM | message detail
Fayt_Esteed posted...
Kibago posted...
MegatokyoEd posted...
If Kratos loses this, Tales characters should be banned from the contest.


this.
please, this


Exactly - but I guess Tales fans love seeing them get humiliated year in and year out.


I could understand "yay i got in" in the 64-character days. but now? if you can't stay off the bottom in a bracket like this, you suck.
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Leafs / Raptors / Blue Jays / TFC / Argos / Tottenham
We'll get 'em next year.
#48 | raginbull911 | Posted 8/15/2013 9:01:12 PM | message detail
7 votes?

A bunch of b8ers saving their votes for expert bracket I bet. :(
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I pwn you all!
#49 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/15/2013 9:01:16 PM | message detail
Kratos by 7
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 62/76 Today's Picks: WCC and ? Block
#50 | Advokaiser | Posted 8/15/2013 9:01:19 PM | message detail
Vote Accepted






Lenneth Valkyrie

32.81%

21 Votes

Your Pick





Claptrap

21.88%

14 Votes





Weighted Companion Cube

45.31%

29 Votes
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SuperNiceDog wags his tail better than your regular, standard dog.
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