Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1112

#401 | Then00bAvenger | Posted 8/15/2013 7:08:47 PM | message detail
1337gamerpr0 posted...


hurry up with it then, he's barely holding the lead


Voting to put Kratos in the lead now will just provoke more rallies.

Got to save it for the last 3 minutes
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#402 | hylianknight3 | Posted 8/15/2013 7:09:28 PM | message detail
Any chance of a Lenneth upset of Claptrap, then? >_>
#403 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 8/15/2013 7:13:14 PM | message detail
Lenneth doesn't have TJF in the match pic, going with Claptrap
#404 | Sorozone | Posted 8/15/2013 7:13:25 PM | message detail
Lenneth could always get 2nd, but Claptrap is the supposed safe pick. Personally I don't think there is a safe pick in that match.
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#405 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 8/15/2013 7:14:10 PM | message detail
nintendogirl1 posted...
Who will you vote if it doesn't look like he has a chance to win?


I wanted to vote for Boko, but I didn't vote earlier since I missed the start of the match. But if it looks like Kratos isn't going to win, then I'll vote for Boko instead.
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#406 | Then00bAvenger | Posted 8/15/2013 7:14:22 PM | message detail
I'd go with Claptrap if it wasn't for Lenneth standing out there.

I mean... she really does stand out there
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#407 | Advokaiser | Posted 8/15/2013 7:14:39 PM | message detail
1337gamerpr0 posted...
Lenneth doesn't have TJF in the match pic, going with Claptrap


LOL, if this is true I'll be laughing for the more serious comments about the match.
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#408 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/15/2013 7:16:08 PM | message detail
I like Lenneth over Claptrap, but don't really feel comfortable with either. I really don't see Cube losing unless GameFAQs just puts their foot down on being utterly sick of joke characters at this point.
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#409 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/15/2013 7:16:32 PM | message detail
Match LXXVII: (5) Lenneth Valkyrie vs. (14) Claptrap vs. (23) Weighted Companion Cube

Previous Contest

Lenneth Valkyrie – 2006
25.00% against Rikku

Claptrap – 2010
35.64% against Zidane Tribal

Weighted Companion Cube – 2010
78.10% against Sandal
53.80% against The Boss
35.16% against Luigi

Analysis

While I am not surprised at any character reaching a 243 character contest I am a bit surprised Lenneth was able to make it as a 5 seed. She struggled to make the female’s bracket in 2006 and her last game appearance was back in 2009. While I would not rank her opponents as strong as Rikku I still expect her to get crushed badly, maybe even getting tripled against the winner.

At the beginning of the contest I gave Claptrap a slight outside chance of pulling the upset, but I no longer think he is capable of winning. For one Ike showed he was not as strong as where I had placed him and the other reason is Handsome Jack’s poor performance. I still expect Claptrap to get a boost from the release of Borderlands 2, but Jack’s performance does not give me confidence that the boost will be large. Only way for Claptrap to win in my mind is if the cube loses a lot of strength due to the joke getting stale.

While it is likely cube will see a drop in strength due to the joke getting old it does have reasons to be stronger. Free Portal and Portal 2 have been released since 2010 and while we cannot tell how much it helped GlaDOS earlier this round she did look stronger. With more people being introduced to Portal even if the joke is old the cube will still have its legit fans to give it strength.

I would love to see Claptrap steal the win, but I feel the cube will win without too much trouble. Had there been no free Portal or Portal 2 I may have taken the upset. It is nice to see Lenneth return, I just hope time has not made her even weaker.

charmander6000’s Bracket: Weighted Companion Cube > Claptrap and Lenneth Valkyrie

charmander6000’s Prediction: Weighted Companion Cube – 50.77%, Claptrap – 32.66%, Lenneth Valkyrie – 16.57%
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#410 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 8/15/2013 7:19:09 PM | message detail
Advokaiser posted...
1337gamerpr0 posted...
Lenneth doesn't have TJF in the match pic, going with Claptrap


LOL, if this is true I'll be laughing for the more serious comments about the match.


well I dunno, what else is there to actually discuss
4th straight match with a debatable 2nd place
#411 | Advokaiser | Posted 8/15/2013 7:21:17 PM | message detail
So you think Valkyrie will get crushed, huh?

Nevertheless, next match will be fun.
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#412 | Qwaar | Posted 8/15/2013 7:22:27 PM | message detail
I think I'll wait and see the crew picks for this, because I have very little idea how this match will go, and I can't really afford to drop the points, especially if Kratos can't hold on here.
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#413 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/15/2013 7:23:37 PM | message detail
Personally I do

Spread betting has Claptrap/Lenneth a 29/21 match, which is probably around the average consensus of the board.
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#414 | Sorozone | Posted 8/15/2013 7:24:28 PM | message detail
3rd post for a rally @ /v/ that I've seen today was posted about 3 minutes ago.
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#415 | Then00bAvenger | Posted 8/15/2013 7:26:27 PM | message detail
Sorozone posted...
3rd post for a rally @ /v/ that I've seen today was posted about 3 minutes ago.


Who is this person who has such a hard on for Boko of all things. I am curious
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#416 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/15/2013 7:27:15 PM | message detail
This match is so exciting
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#417 | Sorozone | Posted 8/15/2013 7:27:15 PM | message detail
I don't know but it was enough for Boko to take the lead again.
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#418 | Qwaar | Posted 8/15/2013 7:28:01 PM | message detail
Damn rallies.
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#419 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 8/15/2013 7:29:35 PM | message detail
couldn't someone find a place to rally for Kratos Aurion, Tales characters seem like the perfect job for finding a niche group
#420 | Sorozone | Posted 8/15/2013 7:29:52 PM | message detail
None of the posts got much of anything in response, but the ones that were posted, Boko always saw a spike. Could be natural, or the effect of the rally. If I had to guess, there hasn't been too many votes received from /v/ probably 90 at the most. Well, 90 or so that went to Boko. 90 is all he needs to win though.
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#421 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/15/2013 7:30:10 PM | message detail
Honestly if you were really dedicated on /v/ and reddit and willing to waste a lot of your time you could really significantly alter matches, especially with these low votals. Things like that may have been responsible for seemingly inexplicable overperformances we've had over the years, too.
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#422 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/15/2013 7:31:33 PM | message detail
Like, Catherine for example with a few hours of rallying from /v/ alone netted her probably 600 or more votes. She was on track to lose to Neku until that happened.
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#423 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 8/15/2013 7:31:47 PM | message detail
charmander6000 posted...
Personally I do

Spread betting has Claptrap/Lenneth a 29/21 match, which is probably around the average consensus of the board.


that's actually why I went with Claptrap, the whole thing is a crapshoot
#424 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/15/2013 7:32:05 PM | message detail
Back in the lead
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#425 | Korayashi | Posted 8/15/2013 7:32:08 PM | message detail
Then00bAvenger posted...
Sorozone posted...
3rd post for a rally @ /v/ that I've seen today was posted about 3 minutes ago.


Who is this person who has such a hard on for Boko of all things. I am curious


I dunno, Nick's at a baseball game.
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#426 | Ytterbium_70 | Posted 8/15/2013 7:32:25 PM | message detail
holy s***

Kratos making this a match
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#427 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 8/15/2013 7:32:58 PM | message detail
Karma Hunter posted...
Like, Catherine for example with a few hours of rallying from /v/ alone netted her probably 600 or more votes. She was on track to lose to Neku until that happened.


did Catherine ever actually give up the lead?
it seemed like Neku would get to ~20 votes behind then Catherine would run it up near 100 before the cycle repeated itself
#428 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/15/2013 7:34:16 PM | message detail
1337gamerpr0 posted...
Karma Hunter posted...
Like, Catherine for example with a few hours of rallying from /v/ alone netted her probably 600 or more votes. She was on track to lose to Neku until that happened.


did Catherine ever actually give up the lead?
it seemed like Neku would get to ~20 votes behind then Catherine would run it up near 100 before the cycle repeated itself


Earlier in the match Neku was up by 80. But once she established her lead a few hours in she never let go, no.

Don't underestimate the more dedicated fanbase in a close match.
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#429 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 8/15/2013 7:36:16 PM | message detail
Karma Hunter posted...
1337gamerpr0 posted...
Karma Hunter posted...
Like, Catherine for example with a few hours of rallying from /v/ alone netted her probably 600 or more votes. She was on track to lose to Neku until that happened.


did Catherine ever actually give up the lead?
it seemed like Neku would get to ~20 votes behind then Catherine would run it up near 100 before the cycle repeated itself


Earlier in the match Neku was up by 80. But once she established her lead a few hours in she never let go, no.

Don't underestimate the more dedicated fanbase in a close match.


dunno, Tales fans must be pretty dedicated to continually nominate fodder....!
#430 | pjbasis | Posted 8/15/2013 7:37:44 PM | message detail
I seriously want these 3 points.

Where do I go to nab like 20 votes for Boko
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#431 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 8/15/2013 7:38:30 PM | message detail
pjbasis posted...
I seriously want these 3 points.

Where do I go to nab like 20 votes for Boko


nowhere, I'll just take them away and give them to Kratos
#432 | kinsho3 | Posted 8/15/2013 7:47:54 PM | message detail
Literally the closest match we had in this whole contest so far
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Drop it to the floor...
#433 | Advokaiser | Posted 8/15/2013 7:48:27 PM | message detail
I'm happy to have a match where there's no clear winner for the fodder in the final hours while one of my favorite characters (Zero) sits back and relaxessss.
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#434 | Fayt_Esteed | Posted 8/15/2013 7:48:30 PM | message detail
1337gamerpr0 posted...
Karma Hunter posted...
1337gamerpr0 posted...
Karma Hunter posted...
Like, Catherine for example with a few hours of rallying from /v/ alone netted her probably 600 or more votes. She was on track to lose to Neku until that happened.


did Catherine ever actually give up the lead?
it seemed like Neku would get to ~20 votes behind then Catherine would run it up near 100 before the cycle repeated itself


Earlier in the match Neku was up by 80. But once she established her lead a few hours in she never let go, no.

Don't underestimate the more dedicated fanbase in a close match.


dunno, Tales fans must be pretty dedicated to continually nominate fodder....!


I guess. Between Mithos, Sheena, Lloyd, Kratos, Zelos, Jade, Luke, and Lowell, that's 8 characters - and of course, not a one of them has looked respectable.
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#435 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 8/15/2013 7:50:03 PM | message detail
Advokaiser posted...
I'm happy to have a match where there's no clear winner for the fodder in the final hours while one of my favorite characters (Zero) sits back and relaxessss.


the real reason for the vote swings is Zero's Lightning Loops!
it all makes sense now!
#436 | hylianknight3 | Posted 8/15/2013 7:50:27 PM | message detail
1337gamerpr0 posted...
dunno, Tales fans must be pretty dedicated to continually nominate fodder....!


If Kratos wins, they will never stop! Another reason to get out the vote for Boko!
#437 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 8/15/2013 7:51:09 PM | message detail
hylianknight3 posted...
1337gamerpr0 posted...
dunno, Tales fans must be pretty dedicated to continually nominate fodder....!


If Kratos wins, they will never stop! Another reason to get out the vote for Boko!


I hope you're joking about that.....
#438 | Qwaar | Posted 8/15/2013 7:51:34 PM | message detail
kinsho3 posted...
Literally the closest match we had in this whole contest so far


I'm finding it very exciting...seems I'm in the minority.
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#439 | hylianknight3 | Posted 8/15/2013 7:52:11 PM | message detail
First part was a joke. Second part was serious... Somebody get out the vote for Boko. >_>
#440 | Xuxon | Posted 8/15/2013 7:54:28 PM | message detail
neither one is a character i care about, neither one is advancing, and my expert bracket is dead. so i find it hard to care.
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#441 | Advokaiser | Posted 8/15/2013 7:54:45 PM | message detail
Qwaar posted...
kinsho3 posted...
Literally the closest match we had in this whole contest so far


I'm finding it very exciting...seems I'm in the minority.


I'm actually quite excited as well!
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#442 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 8/15/2013 7:54:53 PM | message detail
hylianknight3 posted...
First part was a joke. Second part was serious... Somebody get out the vote for Boko. >_>


I was talking about the first part
no get out the vote for Kratos, it'll be the Guybrush moment for Tales LOLOLOLOL
#443 | hylianknight3 | Posted 8/15/2013 7:55:59 PM | message detail
Ugh, no thanks. Last thing Tales needs is a Guybrush moment! They will be emboldened!
#444 | Glenn_and_Toad | Posted 8/15/2013 7:57:13 PM | message detail
this is a great match
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#445 | kinsho3 | Posted 8/15/2013 7:57:14 PM | message detail
Qwaar posted...
kinsho3 posted...
Literally the closest match we had in this whole contest so far


I'm finding it very exciting...seems I'm in the minority.


Don't get me wrong, I'm really looking forward to the last half-hour. Every update will be scrutinized.
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Drop it to the floor...
#446 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 8/15/2013 7:57:15 PM | message detail
Xuxon posted...
neither one is a character i care about, neither one is advancing, and my expert bracket is dead. so i find it hard to care.


how many points do you even have in expert
#447 | Advokaiser | Posted 8/15/2013 7:58:08 PM | message detail
Xuxon posted...
neither one is a character i care about, neither one is advancing, and my expert bracket is dead. so i find it hard to care.


I'm exactly in your position. And I like this anyway. I just find it interesting how the trends go for characters regardless if they are debatable or not.
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#448 | Xuxon | Posted 8/15/2013 8:01:23 PM | message detail
From: 1337gamerpr0 | Posted: 8/15/2013 10:57:15 PM | #446
Xuxon posted...
neither one is a character i care about, neither one is advancing, and my expert bracket is dead. so i find it hard to care.


how many points do you even have in expert

234
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#449 | Fayt_Esteed | Posted 8/15/2013 8:01:23 PM | message detail
hylianknight3 posted...
1337gamerpr0 posted...
dunno, Tales fans must be pretty dedicated to continually nominate fodder....!


If Kratos wins, they will never stop! Another reason to get out the vote for Boko!


Sadly, I get the feeling that they'll never stop even if he loses... after all, Jade turning out to be turbofodder didn't stop them from bringing him back - and bringing Luke along, to boot!
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#450 | hylianknight3 | Posted 8/15/2013 8:02:54 PM | message detail
Tales characters will multiply like rabbits if Kratos wins... You heard it here first!