Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1112

#1 | nintendogirl2 | Posted 8/15/2013 9:17:36 AM | message detail
KWEH!

~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://www.thengamer.com/
http://thengamer.com/xstats

~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame

~*Character Contest Histories*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the Match Pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Leonhart4's Trend Charts*~
https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?hl=en&key=tOGmynfNIiNy5VukpEF-PdA&hl=en#gid=0

~*Daily Vote Trends - An Explanation for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Daily_Vote_Trends

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense.

Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated.
---
NGirl@work or on phone.
#2 | paulg235 | Posted 8/15/2013 9:23:07 AM | message detail
ZERO GON' GIVVIT TO YAR!
---
The Gamer In Me
"Ike and Ash & Co. saw a Yoshi and didn't catch it." - Mer telling us his dream.
#3 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/15/2013 9:23:39 AM | message detail
Alright, so now that we've seen this match.

...how is everyone feeling about Pikachu?
---
http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif
Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
#4 | xp1337 | Posted 8/15/2013 9:26:26 AM | message detail
Mad that his percentage on Lloyd is now more open to attack! I don't need any more people defecting to Crono! That was supposed to be the start of my comeback!
---
xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#5 | The Mana Sword | Posted 8/15/2013 9:26:52 AM | message detail
Karma Hunter posted...
Alright, so now that we've seen this match.

...how is everyone feeling about Pikachu?


yellowfaqs pikachu with 100%
---
i'll do rydia -Dante
#6 | snake_5036 | Posted 8/15/2013 9:27:12 AM | message detail
damn, kratos's judgment outfit almost made me want to vote for him
---
Useless Sig.
Same Time Posts:60...500th posts: 5
#7 | paulg235 | Posted 8/15/2013 9:27:37 AM | message detail
Yellow rat will still electricute Crono to dust, what with Magus on his back.
---
The Gamer In Me
"Ike and Ash & Co. saw a Yoshi and didn't catch it." - Mer telling us his dream.
#8 | Fayt_Esteed | Posted 8/15/2013 9:28:20 AM | message detail
*starts humming the Chocobo theme from FF5*
---
"Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
#9 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/15/2013 9:30:18 AM | message detail
Fun with stats!

If Lloyd Irving = Kratos Aurion, Zero beats Pikachu with 57.5% of the vote.
---
http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif
Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
#10 | ExThaNemesis | Posted 8/15/2013 9:30:38 AM | message detail
Fayt_Esteed posted...
*starts humming the Chocobo theme from FF5*


aw yeah, FF5 so underrated.
---
Die young and save yourself.
Brace for the G's, and fast heel-toe work.
#11 | ExThaNemesis | Posted 8/15/2013 9:31:04 AM | message detail
Karma Hunter posted...
Fun with stats!

If Lloyd Irving = Kratos Aurion, Zero beats Pikachu with 57.5% of the vote.


Where's Crono at on Zero?
---
Die young and save yourself.
Brace for the G's, and fast heel-toe work.
#12 | Oxbridge | Posted 8/15/2013 9:31:15 AM | message detail
CHOKEobo.
---
Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, the Guru champion for the 2010 GotD.
#13 | OrangeCrush980 | Posted 8/15/2013 9:31:20 AM | message detail
Crap, Kratos is losing. I'll have to rally more for him next contest
---
If you believe in the Lord FE7 and you accept FE7 as the Savior of video games and are 100% proud of it, put this in your sig.
#14 | ExThaNemesis | Posted 8/15/2013 9:31:38 AM | message detail
OrangeCrush980 posted...
Crap, Kratos is losing. I'll have to rally more for him next contest


Please stop.
---
Die young and save yourself.
Brace for the G's, and fast heel-toe work.
#15 | ChenKenichiFan | Posted 8/15/2013 9:31:46 AM | message detail
hnnnngggggg ZERO @__@
---
Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
http://i.imgur.com/NQTthNf.jpg
#16 | Fayt_Esteed | Posted 8/15/2013 9:32:30 AM | message detail
OrangeCrush980 posted...
Crap, Kratos is losing. I'll have to rally more for him next contest


I see some people never learn...
---
"Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
#17 | GloryChaos | Posted 8/15/2013 9:32:41 AM | message detail
Why would you want to see characters you actually like get slaughtered in every contest?
---
Brawl FC - 1332 8069 6690
http://i.imgur.com/OZ9aS.png
#18 | StarStormScream | Posted 8/15/2013 9:33:26 AM | message detail
OrangeCrush980 posted...
Crap, Kratos is losing. I'll have to rally more for him next contest


Kratos and Lloyd are serviceable as gatekeepers and nothing more. It's not like they've needed rallies to stay in these contests anyways...
---
Now Playing:
Tales of Xillia (Jude Story), Fire Emblem Awakening
#19 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/15/2013 9:33:28 AM | message detail
ExThaNemesis posted...
Karma Hunter posted...
Fun with stats!

If Lloyd Irving = Kratos Aurion, Zero beats Pikachu with 57.5% of the vote.


Where's Crono at on Zero?


Depends on the year. Can't use 2010 for obvious reasons, there's a Missingno in the way. If you assume Crono = Squall, Crono gets 58.2% on Zero in 2010 and would be projected to score 64.5% on Pikachu.
---
http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif
Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
#20 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 8/15/2013 9:33:31 AM | message detail
OrangeCrush980 posted...
Crap, Kratos is losing. I'll have to rally more for him next contest


I'd rather you rally him into 2nd then stop nominating him
#21 | BK_Sheikah00 | Posted 8/15/2013 9:33:34 AM | message detail
Kratos cutting already.
---
Hey, its that SuperNiceDog! Congrats to the Guru 2011 winner
#22 | OrangeCrush980 | Posted 8/15/2013 9:33:38 AM | message detail
Because Kratos Aurion is the best character ever, and he'll win eventually
---
If you believe in the Lord FE7 and you accept FE7 as the Savior of video games and are 100% proud of it, put this in your sig.
#23 | Whupassman | Posted 8/15/2013 9:33:46 AM | message detail
GloryChaos posted...
Why would you want to see characters you actually like get slaughtered in every contest?


Some people are Masochists, Uncle Fester, Mick Foley, Any Looney Tunes character...
---
The Artist Commonly Known as The Hardcore Kid
#24 | Crimson Dragoon | Posted 8/15/2013 9:33:58 AM | message detail
#495 | ExThaNemesis | Posted 8/15/2013 12:27:13 PM | message detail
I'll never understand you Luigi nerds. I don't get how a pallet swap gets so popular.


*looks at Sub-Zero and Scorpion*
---
~FFDragon. (at Work !!) The Cream of Resident Evil Fanboyism.
#25 | nintendogirl2 (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/15/2013 9:34:25 AM | message detail
Because maybe... this year Guybrush doesn't finish bottom. :D
---
NGirl@work or on phone.
#26 | voltch | Posted 8/15/2013 9:34:30 AM | message detail
Zero totally elite
---
Dr voltchball - best in the world.
#27 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 8/15/2013 9:35:22 AM | message detail
nintendogirl2 posted...
Because maybe... this year Guybrush doesn't finish bottom. :D


well obviously he can't be dead last, he actually BEAT SOMEONE *gasp*
#28 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/15/2013 9:35:30 AM | message detail
Also every time Zero berserks on Kratos Aurion's percentage like that he adds like another percent to both his and Crono's victories over Pikachu.
---
http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif
Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
#29 | Fayt_Esteed | Posted 8/15/2013 9:35:32 AM | message detail
GloryChaos posted...
Why would you want to see characters you actually like get slaughtered in every contest?


Exactly why I'm sickened by Tales characters making the bracket.
---
"Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
#30 | hylianknight3 | Posted 8/15/2013 9:36:49 AM | message detail
1337gamerpr0 posted...
OrangeCrush980 posted...
Crap, Kratos is losing. I'll have to rally more for him next contest


I'd rather you rally him into 2nd then stop nominating him


xD
#31 | xp1337 | Posted 8/15/2013 9:36:50 AM | message detail
Karma Hunter posted...
Also every time Zero berserks on Kratos Aurion's percentage like that he adds like another percent to both his and Crono's victories over Pikachu.

stop it

i had it all planned out. everyone was going to declare crono doomed but i would maintain faith and that +18 would propel me to glory. a 30 point swing!

>_>
---
xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#32 | ZFS | Posted 8/15/2013 9:37:08 AM | message detail
ExThaNemesis posted...
I'll never understand you Luigi nerds. I don't get how a pallet swap gets so popular.


http://31.media.tumblr.com/19567e71f3a6c2c962d4b9629e9e9249/tumblr_mlen4htfJj1qjdbzao1_500.gif
---
tune in tokyo 142.94
#33 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/15/2013 9:37:49 AM | message detail
xp1337 posted...
Karma Hunter posted...
Also every time Zero berserks on Kratos Aurion's percentage like that he adds like another percent to both his and Crono's victories over Pikachu.

stop it

i had it all planned out. everyone was going to declare crono doomed but i would maintain faith and that +18 would propel me to glory. a 30 point swing!

>_>


spoilers

no one pays attention to me, they're all still gonna stick with Pikachu <_<
---
http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif
Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
#34 | ChenKenichiFan | Posted 8/15/2013 9:37:55 AM | message detail
Wow, I think Kratos and Boko might be the strongest duo to get styled on. Zero is looking like a maniac.
---
Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
http://i.imgur.com/NQTthNf.jpg
#35 | voltch | Posted 8/15/2013 9:37:57 AM | message detail
Better start becoming a billionaire and turn Tales into a mega franchise.
---
Dr voltchball - best in the world.
#36 | Whupassman | Posted 8/15/2013 9:38:16 AM | message detail
Crimson Dragoon posted...
#495 | ExThaNemesis | Posted 8/15/2013 12:27:13 PM | message detail
I'll never understand you Luigi nerds. I don't get how a pallet swap gets so popular.


*looks at Sub-Zero and Scorpion*


Not to mention Shotoclones in the SF series... and let's not forget Mighty and Ray of the Sonicverse...
---
The Artist Commonly Known as The Hardcore Kid
#37 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 8/15/2013 9:38:21 AM | message detail
xp1337 posted...
Karma Hunter posted...
Also every time Zero berserks on Kratos Aurion's percentage like that he adds like another percent to both his and Crono's victories over Pikachu.

stop it

i had it all planned out. everyone was going to declare crono doomed but i would maintain faith and that +18 would propel me to glory. a 30 point swing!

>_>


please, Pikachu's gonna get 50% on that match /PokeFEAR
#38 | ZFS | Posted 8/15/2013 9:39:37 AM | message detail
I see I'm not he only one expecting good things from Crono.

Pikachu is screwed
---
tune in tokyo 142.94
#39 | TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 8/15/2013 9:41:50 AM | message detail
Good result for Crono, says Stats regular
---
F*** BT
#40 | voltch | Posted 8/15/2013 9:42:16 AM | message detail
Dragon Ball gonna style over the rat.
---
Dr voltchball - best in the world.
#41 | ExThaNemesis | Posted 8/15/2013 9:42:41 AM | message detail
Karma Hunter posted...
ExThaNemesis posted...
Karma Hunter posted...
Fun with stats!

If Lloyd Irving = Kratos Aurion, Zero beats Pikachu with 57.5% of the vote.


Where's Crono at on Zero?


Depends on the year. Can't use 2010 for obvious reasons, there's a Missingno in the way. If you assume Crono = Squall, Crono gets 58.2% on Zero in 2010 and would be projected to score 64.5% on Pikachu.


So using that high-end 64.5% on Pikachu, and looking at Fox/Wolf, how much better at holding up to SFF would Magus have to be than Wolf in order to even give the rat a chance?
---
Die young and save yourself.
Brace for the G's, and fast heel-toe work.
#42 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 8/15/2013 9:43:06 AM | message detail
brb gonna Kanz this and rally on Serebii :lol
#43 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 8/15/2013 9:43:27 AM | message detail
(the above post is not serious)
#44 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/15/2013 9:43:29 AM | message detail
HALF HOUR PIKACHUWATCH

If Lloyd = Kratos, Zero gets 58.5% on Pikachu.
If Crono = Squall 2010 and Zero 2013 = Zero 2010, Crono gets 65.5% on Pikachu.
---
http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif
Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
#45 | xp1337 | Posted 8/15/2013 9:43:57 AM | message detail
TheKoolAidShoto posted...
Good result for Crono, says Stats regular

All results are good for Crono!

it's a wonder he isn't the favorite to win every year
---
xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#46 | Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 8/15/2013 9:44:05 AM | message detail
Yes go my zero

Evolution 2013 Marvel winner
---
Oh SuperNiceDog's doing it again dude.
SuperNiceDog, you ain't no pimp dude
#47 | ExThaNemesis | Posted 8/15/2013 9:44:19 AM | message detail
TheKoolAidShoto posted...
Good result for Crono, says Stats regular


Heh.
---
Die young and save yourself.
Brace for the G's, and fast heel-toe work.
#48 | BK_Sheikah00 | Posted 8/15/2013 9:44:28 AM | message detail
Zero is a beast:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9IH2NBbJy0w&t=22m0s
---
Hey, its that SuperNiceDog! Congrats to the Guru 2011 winner
#49 | ExThaNemesis | Posted 8/15/2013 9:44:58 AM | message detail
xp1337 posted...
TheKoolAidShoto posted...
Good result for Crono, says Stats regular

All results are good for Crono!

it's a wonder he isn't the favorite to win every year


And think we're doing all of this without red sox.

Where's he been at anyway?
---
Die young and save yourself.
Brace for the G's, and fast heel-toe work.
#50 | ZFS | Posted 8/15/2013 9:45:38 AM | message detail
Karma Hunter posted...
HALF HOUR PIKACHUWATCH

If Lloyd = Kratos, Zero gets 58.5% on Pikachu.
If Crono = Squall 2010 and Zero 2013 = Zero 2010, Crono gets 65.5% on Pikachu.


This is good
---
tune in tokyo 142.94