Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1111

#251 | pjbasis | Posted 8/14/2013 9:08:30 PM | message detail
I'm pretty scared about Kratos Aurion > Boko too

Lloyd looked good but if Boko gets Chocobo votes that could be it
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#252 | FateStayAlbion | Posted 8/14/2013 9:08:32 PM | message detail
#253 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/14/2013 9:08:34 PM | message detail
I've noticed that about your analysis...

...F***


While I made some stupid picks, it just has not been my contest.
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 60/74 Today's Picks: Jill Valentine and Zero
#254 | Then00bAvenger | Posted 8/14/2013 9:08:35 PM | message detail
Not much movement
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#255 | ChenKenichiFan | Posted 8/14/2013 9:08:40 PM | message detail
Figured Haggar wouldn't be that weak. MvC3 is a legit game and he's pretty known on the internet now. He wasn't gonna put up the type of low-teen percentage that's reserved for unknowns.
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#256 | Xuxon | Posted 8/14/2013 9:08:47 PM | message detail
#257 | LeonhartFour (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/14/2013 9:09:05 PM | message detail
One of the two characters will tank on this update. It's just a matter of which one.
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#258 | Janus5000 | Posted 8/14/2013 9:09:19 PM | message detail
PigFAQs confirmed

no wonder Ganondorf actually gets votes
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#259 | LeonhartFour (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/14/2013 9:09:23 PM | message detail
#260 | TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 8/14/2013 9:09:39 PM | message detail
LeonhartFour posted...
One of the two characters will tank on this update. It's just a matter of which one.


welp
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F*** BT
#261 | ChenKenichiFan | Posted 8/14/2013 9:09:48 PM | message detail
And Jill looks good!
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#262 | CP724 | Posted 8/14/2013 9:09:52 PM | message detail
Jills looking pretty good.
#263 | hylianknight3 | Posted 8/14/2013 9:09:57 PM | message detail
We just saw that Gamefaqs likes capitalism, so I doubt they're going to vote for that commie red bird.
#264 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/14/2013 9:09:58 PM | message detail
So who else is taking Jill for 2nd next round?
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#265 | raytan7585 | Posted 8/14/2013 9:10:12 PM | message detail
The pigs are laughing at Red Bird losing.
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#266 | CP724 | Posted 8/14/2013 9:10:16 PM | message detail
and shes also winning this match.
#267 | TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 8/14/2013 9:10:28 PM | message detail
Jill had the good fortune of NOT being in RE6
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F*** BT
#268 | Xuxon | Posted 8/14/2013 9:10:31 PM | message detail
Jill is not going up enough tbqh, needs to break 60
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#269 | Janus5000 | Posted 8/14/2013 9:10:54 PM | message detail
mike haggar vs. travis touchdown who ya got
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#270 | pjbasis | Posted 8/14/2013 9:10:56 PM | message detail
Jill > Kratos?

I could pull the trigger on that
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#271 | Achromatic | Posted 8/14/2013 9:11:20 PM | message detail
KamikazePotato posted...
So who else is taking Jill for 2nd next round?


Not testing capcom SFF.
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#272 | pjbasis | Posted 8/14/2013 9:12:06 PM | message detail
I will test Kratos being up against people that are actually liked and collapsing
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#273 | TheCodeisBosco | Posted 8/14/2013 9:12:38 PM | message detail | (edited)
I had a strong feeling Red Bird was gonna be an "Axel Steel"-type flop. Guitar Hero got oversaturated quick and lost its support on this site. Angry Birds has done the same.

It's kind of a shame, really. The original Angry Birds is one of the best casual games. From the "modern casual game" era, anyway; it's obviously not f***ing with Tetris, OutRun, Namco's 80s run, etc.
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#274 | Kotetsu534 | Posted 8/14/2013 9:12:10 PM | message detail
Betrayed by a bird. Well, at least Jill's doing well.
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#275 | LeonhartFour (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/14/2013 9:12:11 PM | message detail
That'd be quite a tanking for Kratos to lose to Jill. He beat her 60/40 back in 2008.

But Kratos seems like the kind of guy who has no staying power if he's not getting new stuff.
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#276 | The Owner of FF9 | Posted 8/14/2013 9:12:22 PM | message detail
More people predicted Kratos' match than Mega Man's.

Did a lot of people really have Karp winning?
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#277 | Xuxon | Posted 8/14/2013 9:13:21 PM | message detail
Mega Man has the worst bracket support compared to what he should have
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#278 | Then00bAvenger | Posted 8/14/2013 9:13:38 PM | message detail
Haggar extends lead.

Bird dying
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#279 | LeonhartFour (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/14/2013 9:13:40 PM | message detail
The Owner of FF9 posted...
More people predicted Kratos' match than Mega Man's.

Did a lot of people really have Karp winning?


Mega Man's prediction percentage is always relatively low considering his strength level. Magikarp's a more appealing option than Travis or Recette, too.
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#280 | machinegungeek | Posted 8/14/2013 9:13:44 PM | message detail
Achromatic posted...
KamikazePotato posted...
So who else is taking Jill for 2nd next round?


Not testing capcom SFF.


Haggar seems to be resisting it well.
#281 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/14/2013 9:13:53 PM | message detail
More people predicted Kratos' match than Mega Man's.

Mega Man is not well predicted while Kratos gets a lot of bracket support.
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 60/74 Today's Picks: Jill Valentine and Zero
#282 | CP724 | Posted 8/14/2013 9:14:00 PM | message detail
red bird you loser
#283 | LeonhartFour (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/14/2013 9:14:19 PM | message detail
THERE is the tank. Red Bird's done.
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#284 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 8/14/2013 9:15:01 PM | message detail
whew
so who picked the bird for 2nd, I just gained 3 points on you ;)
#285 | Xuxon | Posted 8/14/2013 9:15:11 PM | message detail
#286 | hylianknight3 | Posted 8/14/2013 9:15:13 PM | message detail
dead bird
#287 | Then00bAvenger | Posted 8/14/2013 9:15:25 PM | message detail
Probably should have just stuck with Jill > Haggar > Red Bird here

Went Jill > Haggar > Haggar to stay on the safe side

Oh well
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#288 | xp1337 | Posted 8/14/2013 9:15:28 PM | message detail
Thought Haggar would be weak enough that Red Bird could pull through here.

Oh well, at least we can watch Red Bird be just awful instead.
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#289 | ZeldaTPLink | Posted 8/14/2013 9:15:33 PM | message detail
Meh, the match stopped being fun too early.

Well, good night folks.
#290 | ChenKenichiFan | Posted 8/14/2013 9:16:12 PM | message detail
I was planning to take Jill for second after Kratos bombed; this just seals the deal.
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#291 | LeonhartFour (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/14/2013 9:16:36 PM | message detail
Haggar's still not that strong. He's doing noticeably worse on Jill than Niko did in 2010.
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#292 | StarStormScream | Posted 8/14/2013 9:16:41 PM | message detail
Haggar smackin' Red Bird with DAT PIPE!
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#293 | Xuxon | Posted 8/14/2013 9:16:44 PM | message detail
From: Then00bAvenger | Posted: 8/15/2013 12:15:25 AM | #287
Probably should have just stuck with Jill > Haggar > Red Bird here

Went Jill > Haggar > Haggar to stay on the safe side

Oh well

you could accomplish the same thing by doing Jill > No Pick > bird
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#294 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/14/2013 9:17:18 PM | message detail
I don't think Kratos 60/40ing Jill applies here. He's lost his mojo while Jill, if anything, seems to have gotten stronger since then.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#295 | Fayt_Esteed | Posted 8/14/2013 9:18:10 PM | message detail
LeonhartFour posted...
THERE is the tank. Red Bird's done.


Red Bird: Pile Drivered into next week
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#296 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/14/2013 9:18:15 PM | message detail
Updated Top 10

Top 10 Closest Matches
1. Missingno – 40.58% vs. Tidus – 40.50% - Round 1 – 0.08%
2. Lloyd Irving – 23.62% vs. Big Daddy – 23.45% - Round 1 – 0.17%
3. Alucard – 36.32% vs. Captain Falcon – 35.95% - Round 1 – 0.37%
4. Ike – 35.81% vs. Proto Man – 35.26% - Round 1 – 0.55%
5. Recette Lemongrass – 25.28% vs. Travis Touchdown – 24.43% - Round 1 – 0.85%
6. Tharja – 36.21% vs. Tiny Tina – 35.35% - Round 1 – 0.86%
7. Guybrush Threepwood – 18.06% vs. Max Payne – 16.76% - Round 1 – 1.30%
8. Viewtiful Joe – 25.65% vs. Handsome Jack – 24.20% - Round 1 – 1.45%
9. Missile – 19.26 vs. Sarah Kerrigan – 17.74% - Round 1 – 1.52%
10. Captain Viridian – 13.51% vs. Peacock – 11.60% - Round 1 – 1.91%

Top 10 Smallest Day Vote Gaps
1. Ike – 11023 vs. Proto Man – 10854 – Round 1 – 169
2. Recette Lemongrass – 7419 vs. Travis Touchdown – 7167 – Round 1 – 252
3. Guybrush Threepwood – 4888 vs. Max Payne – 4537 – Round 1 – 351
4. Viewtiful Joe – 7315 vs. Handsome Jack – 6901 – Round 1 – 415
5. Missile – 6138 vs. Sarah Kerrigan – 5654 – Round 1 – 484
6. Catherine – 12092 vs. Neku Sakuraba – 11493 – Round 1 – 599
7. Mr. Game & Watch – 10500 vs. Lee Everett – 9808 – Round 1 – 692
8. Hero – 8311 vs. Rinoa Heartilly – 7503 – Round 1 – 808
9. Zack Fair – 9862 vs. Ryu Hayabusa – 8955 – Round 1 – 907
10. Urdnot Wrex – 11842 vs. Cecil Harvey – 10684 – Round 1 – 1158

Top 10 Most Predictable Matches
1. Link vs. Isaac vs. Tingle – Round 1 – 97.59%
2. Cloud Strife vs. Prinny vs. Senator Armstrong – Round 1 – 94.22%
3. Solid Snake vs. Isaac vs. Commander Keen – Round 1 – 94.07%
4. Sonic the Hedgehog vs. Fei Fong Wong vs. Dan Hibiki – Round 1 – 93.84%
5. Big Boss vs. Captain Viridian vs. Peacock – Round 1 – 92.57%
6. Mario vs. Duke Nukem vs. Fawful – Round 1 – 92.45%
7. Sephiroth vs. Midna vs. Little Mac – Round 1 – 91.37%
8. Samus Aran vs. Sandbag vs. Isaac Clarke – Round 1 – 91.26%
9. Dante vs. Laharl vs. Raz – Round 1 – 89.88%
10. Kratos vs. Recette Lemongrass vs. Travis Touchdown – Round 1 – 89.79%
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Points: 60/74 Today's Picks: Jill Valentine and Zero
#297 | hylianknight3 | Posted 8/14/2013 9:18:26 PM | message detail
I owe the Haggar boosters big time for convincing me to at least stay with my no-picks instead of betting points on red freaking bird.
#298 | LeonhartFour (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/14/2013 9:18:45 PM | message detail
I guess Jill could've gotten an MvC3 boost or something, but I doubt she's much stronger. This isn't good competition. It's more mainstream competition than Kratos faced, but he could beat her comfortably for second next round and I wouldn't blink.
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#299 | Fayt_Esteed | Posted 8/14/2013 9:20:04 PM | message detail | (edited)
Incidentally, I suspected Red Bird was likely to bomb. I just never said it outright.
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#300 | TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 8/14/2013 9:20:20 PM | message detail
Why is MM bracket prediction always so bad anyway

he got 38.88% against Sora

...also why did MM get less than 55% on Sora

why does MM suck
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F*** BT