Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1110

#301 | ZFS | Posted 8/14/2013 10:33:17 AM | message detail
can't believe ? Block got in and no goomba
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tune in tokyo 142.94
#302 | LeonhartFour | Posted 8/14/2013 10:33:50 AM | message detail
ZFS posted...
can't believe ? Block got in and no goomba


Thanks for that, Luster.
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#303 | ZFS | Posted 8/14/2013 10:34:04 AM | message detail
i do what I do
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tune in tokyo 142.94
#304 | FranzyvonKarma | Posted 8/14/2013 10:34:06 AM | message detail
Lenneth Valkyrie is a 5 seed
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~War~
#305 | The Mana Sword | Posted 8/14/2013 10:34:39 AM | message detail
? Block is going to be the actual biggest flop of the round relative to statistical expectations.
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i'll do rydia -Dante
#306 | LeonhartFour | Posted 8/14/2013 10:34:42 AM | message detail
No I mean it's literally Luster's fault ? Block is in the contest.
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#307 | LeonhartFour | Posted 8/14/2013 10:35:07 AM | message detail
The Mana Sword posted...
? Block is going to be the actual biggest flop of the round relative to statistical expectations.


Wait, you mean it's NOT going to double Link in the finals?
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#308 | ZFS | Posted 8/14/2013 10:35:26 AM | message detail
Wait what. What did Luster do to get him in?
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tune in tokyo 142.94
#309 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/14/2013 10:35:40 AM | message detail
Kratos flopping? Yes. Today is a good day. Not surprised though. Kratos is the definition of a zeitgeist character that no one actually likes. Seriously, I've seen ten times as many people saying that Kratos is a terrible character vs. Kratos being cool. People may like God of War, but they don't like this loser.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#310 | LeonhartFour | Posted 8/14/2013 10:35:46 AM | message detail
#311 | The Mana Sword | Posted 8/14/2013 10:35:59 AM | message detail
LeonhartFour posted...
The Mana Sword posted...
? Block is going to be the actual biggest flop of the round relative to statistical expectations.


Wait, you mean it's NOT going to double Link in the finals?


there is a red bird in the way
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i'll do rydia -Dante
#312 | ZFS | Posted 8/14/2013 10:36:51 AM | message detail
LUSTER
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tune in tokyo 142.94
#313 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/14/2013 10:38:16 AM | message detail
At this point I'm kind of expecting Rikku to be the Oracle/Expert favorite, or pretty close.

It'd be good to have her validate herself. She always gets put in these positions to do weird things to other characters (Ryu, Knuckles), but never quite to pull off a shocking win herself... until maybe now.
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#314 | The Mana Sword | Posted 8/14/2013 10:39:10 AM | message detail
Rikku was always the favorite in my mind. I don't think I ever considered taking the block when I made my bracket.
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i'll do rydia -Dante
#315 | LeonhartFour | Posted 8/14/2013 10:40:02 AM | message detail
#316 | ExThaNemesis | Posted 8/14/2013 10:40:23 AM | message detail
The Mana Sword posted...
Rikku was always the favorite in my mind. I don't think I ever considered taking the block when I made my bracket.


Why couldn't you have tried to convince us to do the same, KLeeNexTiSsuE50?
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Die young and save yourself.
Brace for the G's, and fast heel-toe work.
#317 | Articuno2001 | Posted 8/14/2013 10:40:35 AM | message detail
From: LeonhartFour | #315
FFX Star of the Round


lol Tidus
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Character Battle IX: 62/73 points, Next matches: Kratos, Jill Valentine
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#318 | The Mana Sword | Posted 8/14/2013 10:41:22 AM | message detail | (edited)
because I want to be in contention to win the contest only to be knocked out in the 11th hour by the cheating karma hunter again
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i'll do rydia -Dante
#319 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/14/2013 10:41:09 AM | message detail
It doesn't hurt that she looks as good as she possibly can against a meh 3D ? Block. She's looking to have a great shot, and there's no excuses.

And again, she can beat Zero next round too if she gets there! Vivi almost did! All depends on how things shake out.
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#320 | ZFS | Posted 8/14/2013 10:41:09 AM | message detail
I took ? Block there. Figured joke votes would still be a bigger deal than they are these days.
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tune in tokyo 142.94
#321 | LeonhartFour | Posted 8/14/2013 10:41:12 AM | message detail
Hey man if ya ain't cheatin' ya ain't tryin'
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#322 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/14/2013 10:41:15 AM | message detail
Tidus had literally the highest overperformance of the entire round relative to expectations.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#323 | ExThaNemesis | Posted 8/14/2013 10:42:44 AM | message detail
Karma Hunter posted...
It doesn't hurt that she looks as good as she possibly can against a meh 3D ? Block. She's looking to have a great shot, and there's no excuses.

And again, she can beat Zero next round too if she gets there! Vivi almost did! All depends on how things shake out.


I so wish I had taken that pick.
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Die young and save yourself.
Brace for the G's, and fast heel-toe work.
#324 | LeonhartFour | Posted 8/14/2013 10:42:53 AM | message detail
Karma Hunter posted...
It doesn't hurt that she looks as good as she possibly can against a meh 3D ? Block. She's looking to have a great shot, and there's no excuses.

And again, she can beat Zero next round too if she gets there! Vivi almost did! All depends on how things shake out.


It's kinda weird. I took Rikku > ? Block without a second thought but never entertained Rikku > Zero. I guess I looked at that performance against Auron in 2010 more closely than the fact that he nearly lost to Vivi, whom Rikku looked near equal to in 2010.
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#325 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/14/2013 10:43:04 AM | message detail
Tidus looked amazing no matter how you slice his match. Auron looked underwhelming but had Roxas pulling him down. Yuna looked fantastic. Rikku might too.

FFX has looked really solid.
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#326 | Crimson Dragoon | Posted 8/14/2013 10:43:44 AM | message detail
Tidus

Solid

Pick one.
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#327 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/14/2013 10:43:52 AM | message detail
Zero looked weaker in 4-ways, just like every MM character. I doubt he loses to Vivi 1 v 1.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#328 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/14/2013 10:44:23 AM | message detail
And Travis gets a cut
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 58/72 Today's Picks: Mega Man and Kratos
#329 | The Mana Sword | Posted 8/14/2013 10:44:40 AM | message detail
everyone hates zero now because he's a dick in UMVC3
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i'll do rydia -Dante
#330 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/14/2013 10:45:22 AM | message detail
Also every FFX character advancing except Tidus would slay me.

And we could conceivably have two of them in R3.
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#331 | Articuno2001 | Posted 8/14/2013 10:45:26 AM | message detail
Wakka for Character Battle X
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Character Battle IX: 62/73 points, Next matches: Kratos, Jill Valentine
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#332 | --Smurf-- | Posted 8/14/2013 10:45:31 AM | message detail
FF in general has looked very good aside from the few who had become over-inflated on teenFAQs
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#333 | ExThaNemesis | Posted 8/14/2013 10:46:37 AM | message detail
The Mana Sword posted...
everyone hates zero now because he's a dick in UMVC3


I hate Zero because he choked against Luigi.
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Die young and save yourself.
Brace for the G's, and fast heel-toe work.
#334 | Articuno2001 | Posted 8/14/2013 10:46:38 AM | message detail
From: charmander6000 | #328
And Travis gets a cut


yeah 1 vote

sidenote: Recette is the only character from a RPG in this poll
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Character Battle IX: 62/73 points, Next matches: Kratos, Jill Valentine
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#335 | ZFS | Posted 8/14/2013 10:46:42 AM | message detail
Kefka to round 3 is the true FF highlight
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tune in tokyo 142.94
#336 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 8/14/2013 10:46:43 AM | message detail
The Mana Sword posted...
everyone hates zero now because he's a dick in UMVC3


Zero vs Vergil vs Morrigan, UMvC3 3-way match
#337 | LeonhartFour | Posted 8/14/2013 10:47:11 AM | message detail
Karma Hunter posted...
Also every FFX character advancing except Tidus would slay me.

And we could conceivably have two of them in R3.


And we let Jecht fall by the wayside
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#338 | Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 8/14/2013 10:47:38 AM | message detail
...CAPTIALISM HO *****es

hahaha Travis you suck
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Oh SuperNiceDog's doing it again dude.
SuperNiceDog, you ain't no pimp dude
#339 | ZeldaTPLink | Posted 8/14/2013 10:47:47 AM | message detail
Travis cuts for the first time since the end of the board vote.
#340 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/14/2013 10:48:27 AM | message detail
Jecht woulda made the finals

with his best bud Liquid Snake of course
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#341 | ZeldaTPLink | Posted 8/14/2013 10:48:56 AM | message detail
Never mind, Recette is back to gaining. LOL Travis.
#342 | MegatokyoEd | Posted 8/14/2013 10:49:12 AM | message detail
Morrigan is going to put up 40%+ on Seph thanks to that ChrisG boost.
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#343 | Fayt_Esteed | Posted 8/14/2013 10:49:49 AM | message detail | (edited)
The Mana Sword posted...
everyone hates zero now because he's a dick in UMVC3


Speaking of being a dick...
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eK3YseTHEBQ
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#344 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/14/2013 10:49:43 AM | message detail
Taking every FFX character to advance except Tidus was the smart thing to pick. No one except Tidus had actual competition (? Block is gonna suck).
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#345 | Crimson Dragoon | Posted 8/14/2013 10:49:49 AM | message detail
soul fist too good
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#346 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 8/14/2013 10:52:20 AM | message detail
MegatokyoEd posted...
Morrigan is going to put up 40%+ on Seph thanks to that ChrisG boost.


more like everyone hates Chris G, Spyro>Morrigan confirmed
#347 | Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 8/14/2013 10:56:21 AM | message detail
Zero and CHRIS G may have their dickery in the games that makes them hated (Honestly Chris G's is mostly because of Doom anyways)


Least neither are Vergil.
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#348 | LeonhartFour | Posted 8/14/2013 10:57:45 AM | message detail
Trend chart for the night match:

Time | Mega | Geno | Karp | Votes
0:05 | 44.67% | 13.35% | 41.98% | 779
1:00 | 52.37% | 14.29% | 33.35% | 5257
2:00 | 56.74% | 12.95% | 30.31% | 3144
3:00 | 54.98% | 13.60% | 31.42% | 2250
4:00 | 52.88% | 13.15% | 33.97% | 1772
5:00 | 53.32% | 10.96% | 35.72% | 1478
6:00 | 55.23% | 10.25% | 34.52% | 1434
7:00 | 56.11% | 10.24% | 33.64% | 1513
8:00 | 57.00% | 10.99% | 32.01% | 1793
9:00 | 56.62% | 13.00% | 30.38% | 2031
10:00 | 57.83% | 13.42% | 28.75% | 2087
11:00 | 57.67% | 12.25% | 30.08% | 2098
12:00 | 55.83% | 13.15% | 31.03% | 2008

This is pretty much what you expect from a Mega Man match, except Geno somehow tanked overnight worse than he did! SSB4 hype at work...? Magikarp rocking the night vote, that's a thing that really happened.

X-Stats:

Mega Man – 50.00%
Magikarp – 36.65%
Geno – 18.73%

Mega Man's prediction percentage was 83.28%
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#349 | ChenKenichiFan | Posted 8/14/2013 11:00:03 AM | message detail
Not a bad performance from Magikarp, especially if one presumes a tiny Mega Man boost.
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#350 | FranzyvonKarma | Posted 8/14/2013 11:01:02 AM | message detail
36.65% would mean Magikarp beats pre-FFVII drop Zack, wouldn't it?

....Magikarp would get 60% on Yuna.
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~War~