Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1110

#251 | ExThaNemesis | Posted 8/14/2013 10:13:39 AM | message detail
FFX HD has boosted Tidus while Banjo was LFFing Missingno, watch out Squall.
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#252 | LeonhartFour | Posted 8/14/2013 10:14:01 AM | message detail
Yeah, I had Kratos around 60% in my Oracle, but again, I expected Recette to be turbo fodder. This is more Recette being surprisingly decent (although totally legit who knows) than Kratos being bad, at least to me.
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#253 | LeonhartFour | Posted 8/14/2013 10:14:43 AM | message detail
ExThaNemesis posted...
FFX HD has boosted Tidus while Banjo was LFFing Missingno, watch out Squall.


Seriously if you're bad enough to get LFF'd by Banjo, this is not a fact you want to be flaunting around like it's a good thing.
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#254 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/14/2013 10:15:11 AM | message detail
ChenKenichiFan posted...
Karma Hunter posted...
Fayt_Esteed posted...
Uhhh, Kratos for turd of the round?


This still isn't comparable to what Missingno did. I'd also put Vincent's underperformance as worse than this, relative to his historical strength.


Missingno only underperformed our Oracle expectations (which is the best way to judge these things, I think) by 4.5%. It's pretty bad, but not as horrid as some people think. Link underperformed by an enormous 12%, but that was the first match and set the tone for us to temper our subsequent predictions. Other bigger bombs include Barret and Ryu (8% each). I'm not sure what Krato's Oracle average is, but I saw quite a few predictions in the 60s. He can easily underform by a full 10%, which would make him the second "ugliest" winner behind Link.


No one for the most part actually expected Tidus to be in contention for winning. The fact that at the bare minimum Missingno needed rallying to stave off one of the most inept contest entrants we have is embarrassing and unreservedly qualifies him for absolute turd of the round.

Same thing for Vincent - I don't like using Oracles like that, because one fodder bombing can inflate the other two percentages in a hurry.
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#255 | Greyfeld | Posted 8/14/2013 10:18:12 AM | message detail | (edited)
--Smurf-- posted...
With him rising he's going to wind up on around what was expected against Travis. Why is this a bad performance when Recette was a complete unknown?


Because Recette has all the makings of turbofodder. She's a weirdly-named female character from a recent niche indie pseudo-RPG. I'd have taken Laharl over her.
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#256 | Articuno2001 | Posted 8/14/2013 10:15:22 AM | message detail
People are acting like Recette is a nobody, when she really isn't.

http://store.steampowered.com/app/70400/
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#257 | ChenKenichiFan | Posted 8/14/2013 10:15:37 AM | message detail
If Corvo was option #3, Travis would be looking a hell of a lot better and people would be putting Kratos on blast using that metric. Kratos is just lame and people don't want to vote for him. Oh hey it's a little anime girl sounds good

(Jill is going to commando his ass)
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#258 | Whupassman | Posted 8/14/2013 10:16:42 AM | message detail
Articuno2001 posted...
People are acting like Recette is a nobody, when she really isn't.

http://store.steampowered.com/app/70400/


It's the "Rank Outsider" factor.
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#259 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/14/2013 10:17:17 AM | message detail
If you assume that the lion's share of Recette's votes would go to Travis, yeah, then it does look that bad. I'm not convinced of that.

Also I didn't say this wasn't a bad performance! This is pretty awful for him imho
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#260 | Fayt_Esteed | Posted 8/14/2013 10:17:49 AM | message detail
ChenKenichiFan posted...
Karma Hunter posted...
Fayt_Esteed posted...
Uhhh, Kratos for turd of the round?


This still isn't comparable to what Missingno did. I'd also put Vincent's underperformance as worse than this, relative to his historical strength.


Missingno only underperformed our Oracle expectations (which is the best way to judge these things, I think) by 4.5%. It's pretty bad, but not as horrid as some people think. Link underperformed by an enormous 12%, but that was the first match and set the tone for us to temper our subsequent predictions. Other bigger bombs include Barret and Ryu (8% each). I'm not sure what Krato's Oracle average is, but I saw quite a few predictions in the 60s. He can easily underform by a full 10%, which would make him the second "ugliest" winner behind Link.


I guess. But to be fair, I was thinking largely the same thing as Leonhart - expecting Recette to be turbofodder because who?
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#261 | LeonhartFour | Posted 8/14/2013 10:18:17 AM | message detail
Pfffft, if Corvo were here, Travis would still be losing!

Never bet on Suda51 stuff to do anything but finish last

Lesson learned
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#262 | TheCodeisBosco | Posted 8/14/2013 10:19:00 AM | message detail | (edited)
LeonhartFour posted...
ExThaNemesis posted...
FFX HD has boosted Tidus while Banjo was LFFing Missingno, watch out Squall.


Seriously if you're bad enough to get LFF'd by Banjo, this is not a fact you want to be flaunting around like it's a good thing.


I'll never understand how Banjo - and Rare in general - don't perform better.

Rare at their peak were goddamn alchemists. Everyone who played Conker, Banjo or DKC as a kid has fond memories of them, and for good reason.
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#263 | Crimson Dragoon | Posted 8/14/2013 10:19:29 AM | message detail
YOBLAZER

I am taking OUR THE VALENTINE at over 50% tomorrow, what say you?
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#264 | LeonhartFour | Posted 8/14/2013 10:19:52 AM | message detail
I've got Jill at 60%

But I expect Haggar to tank so yeah
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#265 | IngmarBirdman | Posted 8/14/2013 10:20:04 AM | message detail
What the heck Recette?

Good job voters, I don't mind taking the Oracle hit with this one!
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#266 | ZFS | Posted 8/14/2013 10:20:56 AM | message detail
Sounds like people are going to be BIRD
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#267 | The Mana Sword | Posted 8/14/2013 10:21:14 AM | message detail
ZFS posted...
Sounds like people are going to be BIRD


this guy knows
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#268 | LeonhartFour | Posted 8/14/2013 10:21:21 AM | message detail
ZFS posted...
Sounds like people are going to be BIRD


what does this even MEAN
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#269 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/14/2013 10:21:27 AM | message detail
HM what are you doing
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#270 | --Smurf-- | Posted 8/14/2013 10:21:48 AM | message detail
Karma Hunter posted...
--Smurf-- posted...
With him rising he's going to wind up on around what was expected against Travis. Why is this a bad performance when Recette was a complete unknown?


what

is

a

recette


Greyfeld posted...
--Smurf-- posted...
With him rising he's going to wind up on around what was expected against Travis. Why is this a bad performance when Recette was a complete unknown?


Because Recette has all the makings of turbofodder. She's a weirdly-named female character from a niche pseudo-RPG. I'd have taken Laharl over her.


You can't just assume Recette is turbo fodder because that's what you believe she should be >_>

It's a very well known game on steam. It's cheap, its a lighthearted counterbalance to most of the steam games, its one of the most notable japanese indie games and just something that a lot of people buy during the sales because who doesn't like the sound of it's concept?
It's not unlike the premise Portal used that made it popular on gamefaqs. It's the kind of PC game this site seems to enjoy.
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#271 | ZFS | Posted 8/14/2013 10:22:20 AM | message detail
adding to our legendary stat topic vernacular
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#272 | Whupassman | Posted 8/14/2013 10:22:36 AM | message detail
TheCodeisBosco posted...
LeonhartFour posted...
ExThaNemesis posted...
FFX HD has boosted Tidus while Banjo was LFFing Missingno, watch out Squall.


Seriously if you're bad enough to get LFF'd by Banjo, this is not a fact you want to be flaunting around like it's a good thing.


I'll never understand how Banjo - and Rare in general - don't perform better.

Rare at their peak were goddamn alchemists. Everyone who played Conker, Banjo or DKC as a kid has fond memories of them, and for good reason.


Their defection was not left unpunished...

*Dark Music*

*Smoke*

*Leaves to get something*
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#273 | --Smurf-- | Posted 8/14/2013 10:23:01 AM | message detail
Travis still hasn't made a cut.
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#274 | TheCodeisBosco | Posted 8/14/2013 10:23:06 AM | message detail
If this was three years ago, Red Bird being in the contest would be so damn cool.

As it stands, he's about as relevant now as Axel Steel was when he made his debut. And we all know what happened to Steel.
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#275 | ChenKenichiFan | Posted 8/14/2013 10:23:29 AM | message detail
I think I'm gonna shoot for the mid-50s for Jill. Red is a big unknown but I can't imagine he'll get much in the presence of a character that everyone knows and respects. Also, Haggar should be pretty weak.
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#276 | LinkMarioSamus | Posted 8/14/2013 10:25:08 AM | message detail
FranzyvonKarma posted...
Lightning losing to DK with Falco in the poll would be the most embarassing result for Square since Balthier/Ada I.

....or Balthier/Ada/Amaterasu, depending on if you think Dante should have hurt one of the two Capcom character at least slightly.


Well well well, so if the most popular character from FFXII bombed in his first contest, it's time for his FFXIII counterpart to bomb in her first contest.

Or first contest post-FFXIII, that is.
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#277 | ZFS | Posted 8/14/2013 10:26:41 AM | message detail
Who is Axel Steel I'll tell you who he isn't

http://images1.wikia.nocookie.net/__cb20120904080535/angrybirds/images/7/7a/Red_Toy_Care.PNG
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#278 | LeonhartFour | Posted 8/14/2013 10:26:48 AM | message detail
Red Bird would've been bad no matter when he got in. He's the lamest one anyway. Why get him in instead of the Black Bird (other than RacistFAQs)? He's a friggin' BOMB
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#279 | The Mana Sword | Posted 8/14/2013 10:27:33 AM | message detail
Why get him in instead of the Black Bird (other than RacistFAQs)?

You answered your own question!
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#280 | The Mana Sword | Posted 8/14/2013 10:28:40 AM | message detail
LIsten all I'm saying is that Angry Birds has been downloaded 1.7 billion times, so don't be surprised when Red gets 1.7 billion votes tonight.
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i'll do rydia -Dante
#281 | LeonhartFour | Posted 8/14/2013 10:29:00 AM | message detail
Then get in the Blue Bird! He shatters rocks and glass and doesn't afraid of anything!
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#282 | MegatokyoEd | Posted 8/14/2013 10:29:01 AM | message detail
I'm mystified at how anyone thinks Red Bird would have strength on this site.
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#283 | FranzyvonKarma | Posted 8/14/2013 10:29:08 AM | message detail
Tme to nominate Bob-omb.
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#284 | ZFS | Posted 8/14/2013 10:29:35 AM | message detail
Whoa there let's not get crazy
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#285 | ZFS | Posted 8/14/2013 10:29:51 AM | message detail
The Mana Sword posted...
LIsten all I'm saying is that Angry Birds has been downloaded 1.7 billion times, so don't be surprised when Red gets 1.7 billion votes tonight.

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#286 | FranzyvonKarma | Posted 8/14/2013 10:30:03 AM | message detail
Oh, right.

Red Bob-omb, sorry.
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#287 | LeonhartFour | Posted 8/14/2013 10:30:57 AM | message detail
PINK Bob-omb

People have all this precious nostalgia related to shooting out of cannons in Mario 64

am I doing it right

I don't know how nostalgia works
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#288 | ZFS | Posted 8/14/2013 10:31:22 AM | message detail
I'd vote PINK over Wrex
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#289 | ChenKenichiFan | Posted 8/14/2013 10:31:28 AM | message detail
Well, I think it's tough to outright hate Angry Bird characters (they're just birds), and the game does have an enormous playrate even on this site. Most people will recognize him, and he could get some love from people not into Resident Evil. Not enough to do anything great, but I've got him favored over Haggar.
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#290 | ExThaNemesis | Posted 8/14/2013 10:31:31 AM | message detail
The Mana Sword posted...
LIsten all I'm saying is that Angry Birds has been downloaded 1.7 billion times, so don't be surprised when Red gets 1.7 billion votes tonight.


The Mana TuRtLe
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#291 | FranzyvonKarma | Posted 8/14/2013 10:31:40 AM | message detail
nominate Koopa the Quick
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#292 | ExThaNemesis | Posted 8/14/2013 10:32:06 AM | message detail
Are there any canine-esque characters in Angry Birds?

There's who you should try and nominate.
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Die young and save yourself.
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#293 | Whupassman | Posted 8/14/2013 10:32:11 AM | message detail
LeonhartFour posted...
PINK Bob-omb

People have all this precious nostalgia related to shooting out of cannons in Mario 64

am I doing it right

I don't know how nostalgia works


Don't get me started with Mario 64. Good game, just didn't like how a certain boring, Vanilla overworld won a battle a while back. *cough**cough*Bobombbattlefield*cough*
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#294 | LeonhartFour | Posted 8/14/2013 10:32:17 AM | message detail
FranzyvonKarma posted...
nominate Koopa the Quick


Worst star in the game get this joker out of here
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#295 | raytan7585 | Posted 8/14/2013 10:32:26 AM | message detail
Terence aka Big Red Bird for the next CBX
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#296 | MegatokyoEd | Posted 8/14/2013 10:32:35 AM | message detail
King Bob-omb would be the strongest black character on here.

Nobody can resist that stache.
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#297 | The Mana Sword | Posted 8/14/2013 10:32:37 AM | message detail
ExThaNemesis posted...
The Mana Sword posted...
LIsten all I'm saying is that Angry Birds has been downloaded 1.7 billion times, so don't be surprised when Red gets 1.7 billion votes tonight.


The Mana TuRtLe


wow dude that's messed up
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#298 | LeonhartFour | Posted 8/14/2013 10:32:48 AM | message detail
ExThaNemesis posted...
Are there any canine-esque characters in Angry Birds?

There's who you should try and nominate.


Unfortunately not. The enemies are pigs.

We could see if PigFAQs is a thing if BirdFAQs fails
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#299 | FranzyvonKarma | Posted 8/14/2013 10:33:04 AM | message detail
Yeah.

It's The Black Sword.
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#300 | ExThaNemesis | Posted 8/14/2013 10:33:14 AM | message detail
The Mana Sword posted...
ExThaNemesis posted...
The Mana Sword posted...
LIsten all I'm saying is that Angry Birds has been downloaded 1.7 billion times, so don't be surprised when Red gets 1.7 billion votes tonight.


The Mana TuRtLe


wow dude that's messed up


you've earned it over the years.
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