Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1110

#51 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/14/2013 8:20:32 AM | message detail
Too bad it'll be Zelda in that match.

>_>
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Points: 58/72 Today's Picks: Mega Man and Kratos
#52 | Whupassman | Posted 8/14/2013 8:21:13 AM | message detail
Karma Hunter posted...
I wouldn't judge it on Magikarp. He's clearly getting *some* strength from being a joke character. Let's take a look at Charizard's own strength. Honestly, while the odds are still vanishingly slim imho, he has to worry about against Zelda.

Or maybe Lightning will actually be worth something and beat them both while they knock each other out! Hahahahahahaha I slay myself


Charizard is hardly a joke...
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#53 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/14/2013 8:28:47 AM | message detail
Oh, and since no one's posted any numbers of what they think a good performance for Charizard would be this round, I'll be satisfied with the guy if he can post anything above a good 61/39 on Riku. If he can against the odds double Riku it means there's a decent chance that he's retained his strength from the Mario match and he's going to the finals.

Conversely, anything that puts him into the mid 50s on Riku means he starts getting closer to that... Captain Falcon level, eugh.

Now that being said Riku's a tough cookie to gauge. I get the feeling he's significantly weakened along with Sora (Sora got noticeably less on Scorpion than he's projected to on Sub-Zero). But make no mistake breaking 61/39 would still be a good performance, and a doubling would prove he's still got lightning in a bottle.
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#54 | The Mana Sword | Posted 8/14/2013 8:29:45 AM | message detail
maybe charizard will lose round 1 wouldn't that be cool
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i'll do rydia -Dante
#55 | Ringworm | Posted 8/14/2013 8:30:48 AM | message detail
Too bad it'll be Rikku, not Zero in that match...

Yeah my guru bracket had no hope.
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#56 | Fayt_Esteed | Posted 8/14/2013 8:31:07 AM | message detail
Karma Hunter posted...
Oh, and since no one's posted any numbers of what they think a good performance for Charizard would be this round, I'll be satisfied with the guy if he can post anything above a good 61/39 on Riku. If he can against the odds double Riku it means there's a decent chance that he's retained his strength from the Mario match and he's going to the finals.

Conversely, anything that puts him into the mid 50s on Riku means he starts getting closer to that... Captain Falcon level, eugh.

Now that being said Riku's a tough cookie to gauge. I get the feeling he's significantly weakened along with Sora (Sora got noticeably less on Scorpion than he's projected to on Sub-Zero). But make no mistake breaking 61/39 would still be a good performance, and a doubling would prove he's still got lightning in a bottle.


And an earthquake in a can.
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#57 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 8/14/2013 8:31:09 AM | message detail
TsunamiXXVIII posted...
1337gamerpr0 posted...
LeonhartFour posted...
(also the second bonus poll won't be a "How is this contest" poll)


wait what
how do you know that


Because that would be stupid.


this is also gamefaqs
#58 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/14/2013 8:35:30 AM | message detail
Ringworm posted...
Too bad it'll be Rikku, not Zero in that match...

Yeah my guru bracket had no hope.


Rikku is a sexy, sexy pick. <_<

*Not* an impossible pick at all. Zero has struggled before in these multiway situations. He lost cleanly to Hayabusa and whatever you want to complain about fanbase splits in that match (MM maybe, Zero I ain't biting) he then went out and nearly choked next round against Vivi. If you think this year's Rikku can be a touch above that Vivi and account for some variance, she can win and make it into the Mega Man match, assuming she can take down ? Block.

...I kinda wish I had Rikku to R3 now. That is just such a sexy pick.
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#59 | The Mana Sword | Posted 8/14/2013 8:38:20 AM | message detail
Lightning wins Round 1 due to DK/Falco Split
Lightning wins Round 2 due to Zelda/Charizard Split
Lightning wins Round 3 due to Mega Man/Zero Split
Lightning wins Round 4 due to Mario/Samus Split

I don't think I can come up with a reasonable scenario for the finals though. Curses.
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i'll do rydia -Dante
#60 | ExThaNemesis | Posted 8/14/2013 8:39:28 AM | message detail
Karma Hunter posted...
Ringworm posted...
Too bad it'll be Rikku, not Zero in that match...

Yeah my guru bracket had no hope.


Rikku is a sexy, sexy pick. <_<

*Not* an impossible pick at all. Zero has struggled before in these multiway situations. He lost cleanly to Hayabusa and whatever you want to complain about fanbase splits in that match (MM maybe, Zero I ain't biting) he then went out and nearly choked next round against Vivi. If you think this year's Rikku can be a touch above that Vivi and account for some variance, she can win and make it into the Mega Man match, assuming she can take down ? Block.

...I kinda wish I had Rikku to R3 now. That is just such a sexy pick.


I wish I'd given Rikku some more thought instead of just defaulting to Zero there.
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#61 | ExThaNemesis | Posted 8/14/2013 8:39:51 AM | message detail
The Mana Sword posted...
Lightning wins Round 1 due to DK/Falco Split
Lightning wins Round 2 due to Zelda/Charizard Split
Lightning wins Round 3 due to Mega Man/Zero Split
Lightning wins Round 4 due to Mario/Samus Split

I don't think I can come up with a reasonable scenario for the finals though. Curses.


Link/Epona split !!!
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Die young and save yourself.
Brace for the G's, and fast heel-toe work.
#62 | The Mana Sword | Posted 8/14/2013 8:41:01 AM | message detail
Nailed it.
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i'll do rydia -Dante
#63 | ExThaNemesis | Posted 8/14/2013 8:41:58 AM | message detail
Too bad Raiden's gonna knockout Link coz of Link/Yoshi split, right?
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Die young and save yourself.
Brace for the G's, and fast heel-toe work.
#64 | The Mana Sword | Posted 8/14/2013 8:42:22 AM | message detail
MGS screws me again.
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i'll do rydia -Dante
#65 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/14/2013 8:44:58 AM | message detail
I just realized we're finally gonna have our first half-decent look on Kratos this year since, like... 2006. Dude could be practically anywhere, especially since he keeps pumping out big titles.
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#66 | swordz9 | Posted 8/14/2013 8:45:24 AM | message detail
I wonder if anybody at all even picked Lightning winning the whole contest. Has there ever been a contest where literally nobody picked the champion correctly?
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#67 | ChenKenichiFan | Posted 8/14/2013 8:47:06 AM | message detail
Kratos underperformance incoming. Drake has surpassed him as Sony's guy the last few years. Plus he really hasn't had much since GoWIII. One or two spinoffs that came and went with barely a whisper.
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#68 | The Mana Sword | Posted 8/14/2013 8:47:55 AM | message detail
swordz9 posted...
I wonder if anybody at all even picked Lightning winning the whole contest. Has there ever been a contest where literally nobody picked the champion correctly?


IIRC 0.27% of the site picked L-Block.
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i'll do rydia -Dante
#69 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/14/2013 8:53:37 AM | message detail
I don't even know what an underperformance from Kratos would look like (I guess we'll see in 10 minutes, though). If he can 70/30 Travis it'd look pretty cash imo since that's what Zelda got. Anything below 65/35 would probably look kinda lame, and anything near 60/40 lol no
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#70 | FranzyvonKarma | Posted 8/14/2013 8:56:31 AM | message detail
What if Kratos 70/30s Travis but loses to Recette

what then tough guy
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#71 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 8/14/2013 8:56:42 AM | message detail
ExThaNemesis posted...
Karma Hunter posted...
Ringworm posted...
Too bad it'll be Rikku, not Zero in that match...

Yeah my guru bracket had no hope.


Rikku is a sexy, sexy pick. <_<

*Not* an impossible pick at all. Zero has struggled before in these multiway situations. He lost cleanly to Hayabusa and whatever you want to complain about fanbase splits in that match (MM maybe, Zero I ain't biting) he then went out and nearly choked next round against Vivi. If you think this year's Rikku can be a touch above that Vivi and account for some variance, she can win and make it into the Mega Man match, assuming she can take down ? Block.

...I kinda wish I had Rikku to R3 now. That is just such a sexy pick.


I wish I'd given Rikku some more thought instead of just defaulting to Zero there.


...Damn it, you're right! Zero's been kind of weak lately...I don't know.

MMX looked pretty good in R1...let's see how Zero does.
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#72 | Not_Wylvane (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/14/2013 8:56:58 AM | message detail
I'd imagine a few people have Lightning winning the entire contest without being favorites brackets. Nobody on this board, but Lightning is pretty popular despite her games' mixed reception.

I'm interested to see how well she does for herself.
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#73 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/14/2013 8:57:03 AM | message detail
FranzyvonKarma posted...
What if Kratos 70/30s Travis but loses to Recette

what then tough guy


Recette to the finals
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#74 | HaRRicH | Posted 8/14/2013 8:57:07 AM | message detail
Her Rivalry Rumble aside, here's a list of vote-in entrants who have gotten last place in their poll:

Lightning + Barthandelus (with Yuna + Seymour)
Harman Smith + Kun Lan
Battler + Beatrice
Jigglypuff (with Missingno, Mudkip, Toad, Scorpion, Dan Hibiki, and Yoshimitsu)
Andrew Ryan (with Big Daddy)
Doc Louis (with Ridley)
Emil Castagnier
Jade Curtiss
CATS
Killer7
Ikaruga
God Hand
Company of Heroes

If you're within that type of company, you shouldn't have the benefit of the doubt. Lightning's not the only entrant there who had an excuse of SFF/LFF, either. She may prove to be strong, but frankly, there's been no proof she has benefitted from having games released. If you have strength, odds are, you can find some way to avoid last place in the types of twelve-way polls that Raiden + Vamp, Frog, and Gears of War 2 can win.
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#75 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 8/14/2013 8:57:55 AM | message detail
The Mana Sword posted...
swordz9 posted...
I wonder if anybody at all even picked Lightning winning the whole contest. Has there ever been a contest where literally nobody picked the champion correctly?


IIRC 0.27% of the site picked L-Block.


Yeah, that's probably as close as we'll ever get. Generally speaking, I'm sure most characters have at least one bracket--if nothing else, a joke bracket.
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#76 | FranzyvonKarma | Posted 8/14/2013 8:58:27 AM | message detail
All I'm getting from that is CATS > Lightning would have been the best upset in a normal bracket.

Damn you Bacon.
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~War~
#77 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/14/2013 9:00:05 AM | message detail
And the first major joke character is officially dead! Can Rikku continue the trend?
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#78 | The Mana Sword | Posted 8/14/2013 9:00:06 AM | message detail
in before kratos board vote
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i'll do rydia -Dante
#79 | Whupassman | Posted 8/14/2013 9:00:07 AM | message detail
ExThaNemesis posted...
The Mana Sword posted...
Lightning wins Round 1 due to DK/Falco Split
Lightning wins Round 2 due to Zelda/Charizard Split
Lightning wins Round 3 due to Mega Man/Zero Split
Lightning wins Round 4 due to Mario/Samus Split

I don't think I can come up with a reasonable scenario for the finals though. Curses.


Link/Epona split !!!


She could no longer handle his personality.
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#80 | ChenKenichiFan | Posted 8/14/2013 9:00:29 AM | message detail
Kratos
55.56%
5 Votes

Travis Touchdown
11.11%
1 Votes
Your Pick

Recette Lemongrass
33.33%
3 Votes
Total Votes: 9
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#81 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/14/2013 9:00:43 AM | message detail
Does Kratos win the board vote for once?


Kratos
53.33%
8 Votes

Travis Touchdown
13.33%
2 Votes

Recette Lemongrass
33.33%
5 Votes
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Points: 58/72 Today's Picks: Mega Man and Kratos
#82 | hylianknight3 | Posted 8/14/2013 9:00:44 AM | message detail
Kratos
50%
2 Votes

Travis Touchdown
0%
0 Votes

Recette Lemongrass
50%
2 Votes
Your Pick
#83 | ChenKenichiFan | Posted 8/14/2013 9:00:53 AM | message detail
Yeeees go little anime girl #4
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#84 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/14/2013 9:00:54 AM | message detail
lol the Kratos board vote slays me
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#85 | Fayt_Esteed | Posted 8/14/2013 9:00:59 AM | message detail
Kratos
41.67%
10 Votes
Vote Kratos!


Travis Touchdown
20.83%
5 Votes
Vote Travis!


Recette Lemongrass
37.5%
9 Votes
Vote Recette!


Recette > Travis wtf
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#86 | raytan7585 | Posted 8/14/2013 9:01:09 AM | message detail
Kratos
50%
6 Votes

Travis Touchdown
16.67%
2 Votes

Recette Lemongrass
33.33%
4 Votes
Your Pick

Total Votes: 12
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#87 | Not_Wylvane (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/14/2013 9:01:41 AM | message detail
The anime fanboy literally getting beat by anime.
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#88 | Crimson Dragoon | Posted 8/14/2013 9:02:10 AM | message detail
Recette isn't in last!

Yayifications!
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#89 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/14/2013 9:02:20 AM | message detail
Recette holding strong against Travis
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Points: 58/72 Today's Picks: Mega Man and Kratos
#90 | xp1337 | Posted 8/14/2013 9:02:25 AM | message detail
I'll laugh if Recette holds. I wanted to make that switch but just couldn't do it.
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#91 | raytan7585 | Posted 8/14/2013 9:02:45 AM | message detail
ya go my recette
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#92 | FranzyvonKarma | Posted 8/14/2013 9:03:14 AM | message detail
When I voted Recette and KRatos were tied.

When I refreshed Recette was leading.

I was so tempting to post 'oh god kh what have i done'
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#93 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/14/2013 9:03:28 AM | message detail
The anime fanboy literally getting beat by anime.

Forgot about that, lol
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Points: 58/72 Today's Picks: Mega Man and Kratos
#94 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/14/2013 9:03:33 AM | message detail
Well Kratos looks like he could potentially rise to that 70/30 on Travis post-board vote... but lol Recette beating Travis hahahahahaha

...just like Travis would like it! Why didn't I see this coming
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#95 | tgs2 | Posted 8/14/2013 9:03:40 AM | message detail
Zelda > Charizard yes
#96 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 8/14/2013 9:04:43 AM | message detail
Vote Accepted


Kratos
40%
2 Votes

Travis Touchdown
0%
0 Votes

Recette Lemongrass
60%
3 Votes
Your Pick
Total Votes: 5
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#97 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 8/14/2013 9:06:51 AM | message detail
And now we have a freeze. And Recette's still in second place.
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#98 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/14/2013 9:07:27 AM | message detail
XD Kratos went down.
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#99 | vcharon | Posted 8/14/2013 9:07:47 AM | message detail
Kratos board vote still not over yet.
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:>
#100 | FranzyvonKarma | Posted 8/14/2013 9:07:50 AM | message detail
what
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~War~