Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1101

#201 | Xuxon | Posted 8/9/2013 9:53:53 PM | message detail
it was just an extra 9 votes that update is all
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#202 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 8/9/2013 9:54:08 PM | message detail
Yesterday, I tried visiting 4chan using a proxy that was located in China. I wanted to see if 4chan was actually blocked in China. As I found out, 4chan is not blocked in China, so it is possible for some legitimate rally votes to come from China. But I do not expect a site such as 4chan to have any significant Chinese userbase.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#203 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 8/9/2013 9:55:53 PM | message detail
China--definitely suspicious. Up to 98.59%
Russia--Weird, but not necessarily suspicious. The percentages have always landed on nice round numbers--right now it's at 88.89%, which is a perfect 8:1.
Thailand: Definitely not suspicious. It was 100%, but now it's at 80% with Adam and Vivi each at 10%. So Marisa just somehow got like the first 8 votes out of Thailand. Funny, but not "funny".
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RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed.
#204 | xp1337 | Posted 8/9/2013 9:55:55 PM | message detail
Xuxon posted...
it was just an extra 9 votes that update is all

Yeah, read back in the topic and saw it was 98.39% before. Thought maybe I mixed up 98.39 and 98.59 before.

I kind of wonder if the Marisa "rally" understands that this is going to be caught. Or if they really think they're going to be able to get away with this.
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#205 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/9/2013 9:56:17 PM | message detail
"some of those guys are apparently more dedicated to analysing past matches and future matches than sports analysts are with pro sports"

how dare you compare me to sportscasters /v/ I'll have you know I take this a LOT more seriously
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#206 | vcharon | Posted 8/9/2013 9:58:12 PM | message detail
I wanna be Woody Paige.
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Still smilin'
:>
#207 | BK_Sheikah00 | Posted 8/9/2013 9:58:19 PM | message detail
Well Jensen gonna take second place anyway.
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Hey, its that SuperNiceDog! Congrats to the Guru 2011 winner
#208 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 8/9/2013 9:58:25 PM | message detail
A new update's in, but Russia and China haven't moved.
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RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed.
#209 | xp1337 | Posted 8/9/2013 9:59:41 PM | message detail
Karma Hunter posted...
"some of those guys are apparently more dedicated to analysing past matches and future matches than sports analysts are with pro sports"

how dare you compare me to sportscasters /v/ I'll have you know I take this a LOT more seriously

That's the thing though! If they know that much about us, they should know that such a blatant stuffing is going to be caught and removed!
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#210 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/9/2013 10:00:50 PM | message detail
xp1337 posted...
Karma Hunter posted...
"some of those guys are apparently more dedicated to analysing past matches and future matches than sports analysts are with pro sports"

how dare you compare me to sportscasters /v/ I'll have you know I take this a LOT more seriously

That's the thing though! If they know that much about us, they should know that such a blatant stuffing is going to be caught and removed!


Man until yesterday I was pretty convinced Bacon was *never* gonna deal with vote stuffing in any meaningful way, so I can't blame 'em.
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www.dudewheresmyfreedom.com
Proud to share the same beliefs as SmartMuffin
#211 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 8/9/2013 10:01:25 PM | message detail
Indonesia actually provides a decent number of votes normally, right...?
#212 | xp1337 | Posted 8/9/2013 10:01:33 PM | message detail
That's a remarkably valid point!
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#213 | LOLContests | Posted 8/9/2013 10:02:24 PM | message detail
TsunamiXXVIII posted...
A new update's in, but Russia and China haven't moved.


There's a lag when the maps update. Or at least there has been. Not sure if that's still the case.
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This is Yesmar.
#214 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 8/9/2013 10:02:38 PM | message detail
KamikazePotato posted...
Wyoming holding down the fort for Jensen.


As of the last update, there was a 3-way tie in Vermont.
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RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed.
#215 | Lopen | Posted 8/9/2013 10:03:03 PM | message detail
I was pretty convinced Bacon was *never* gonna deal with vote stuffing in any meaningful way

We don't have proof that he will yet! Tanking Cirno's percentage wasn't meaningful!
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#216 | Sorozone | Posted 8/9/2013 10:03:19 PM | message detail
1337gamerpr0 posted...
Indonesia actually provides a decent number of votes normally, right...?


Iirc it's one of the larger Asian votes.
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#217 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 8/9/2013 10:03:23 PM | message detail
1337gamerpr0 posted...
Indonesia actually provides a decent number of votes normally, right...?


Yeah. And Marisa's percentage took a nice cut from where it was earlier, so that makes it easier to think that she just got a really strong board vote over there.
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RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed.
#218 | Then00bAvenger | Posted 8/9/2013 10:05:00 PM | message detail
Today's the first day of Comiket, come to think of it.

Find a way to advertise the match at comiket and Marisa will get an extra 5000 votes
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
#219 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 8/9/2013 10:05:03 PM | message detail
Lopen posted...
I was pretty convinced Bacon was *never* gonna deal with vote stuffing in any meaningful way

We don't have proof that he will yet! Tanking Cirno's percentage wasn't meaningful!


+1 accuracy points for you
meaningful!
#220 | -hotdogturtle-- | Posted 8/9/2013 10:05:37 PM | message detail
From: -LusterSoldier- | #170
You won't be able to view the map if you use Throwback Mode. You'll have to disable Throwback Mode to view the map, even though the poll results pages do not use Throwback Mode if you have it turned on.

This guy knows everything.
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Hey man, LlamaGuy did encrypt the passwords.
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#221 | Xuxon | Posted 8/9/2013 10:05:45 PM | message detail
From: Then00bAvenger | Posted: 8/10/2013 1:05:00 AM | #218
Today's the first day of Comiket, come to think of it.

Find a way to advertise the match at comiket and Marisa will get an extra 5000 votes

that would be amazing
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#222 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 8/9/2013 10:08:03 PM | message detail
Adam got his first vote in China, and is now tied with Vivi at 1.19%. Looks like...82 votes for Marisa in China. Definitely suspicious.

Adam also has a vote in Russia now. Vivi, evidently, has 2. And Marisa has...20. Yeah, only 20.

That's awfully low for a stuff. Legitimately rallied votes, maybe.
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RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed.
#223 | Then00bAvenger | Posted 8/9/2013 10:08:06 PM | message detail
Well, I guess Marisa had her time in the sun.

Don't think she'll get the lead back unless she does something really suspicious
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
#224 | xp1337 | Posted 8/9/2013 10:08:37 PM | message detail
Lead change again.

Marisa failing to hold the lead while this is going on is just kind of sad, really!
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#225 | Surskit | Posted 8/9/2013 10:08:37 PM | message detail
The votes in South America are starting to make me feel weird too. Marisa has like 50%+ on every country there except Argentina and Uruguay.
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.-#Elements of Water#-.
#226 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 8/9/2013 10:09:11 PM | message detail
Xuxon posted...
From: Then00bAvenger | Posted: 8/10/2013 1:05:00 AM | #218
Today's the first day of Comiket, come to think of it.

Find a way to advertise the match at comiket and Marisa will get an extra 5000 votes

that would be amazing


Wait, seriously?
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RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed.
#227 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 8/9/2013 10:09:57 PM | message detail
Surskit posted...
The votes in South America are starting to make me feel weird too. Marisa has like 50%+ on every country there except Argentina and Uruguay.


I am surprised nobody mentioned this in all the lolchina talk
#228 | Then00bAvenger | Posted 8/9/2013 10:11:13 PM | message detail
TsunamiXXVIII posted...
Xuxon posted...
From: Then00bAvenger | Posted: 8/10/2013 1:05:00 AM | #218
Today's the first day of Comiket, come to think of it.

Find a way to advertise the match at comiket and Marisa will get an extra 5000 votes

that would be amazing


Wait, seriously?


Well, it's an event where like half of the stuff sold is Touhou stuff and it gets half a million attendees.

But it's in Japan so... yeah.
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
#229 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/9/2013 10:11:31 PM | message detail
Look people I can't keep up with all this stuffing when I'm trying to rally Vivi's percentage higher
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#230 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 8/9/2013 10:12:48 PM | message detail
Surskit posted...
The votes in South America are starting to make me feel weird too. Marisa has like 50%+ on every country there except Argentina and Uruguay.


Small, round numbers. Peru's is 4:3, Colombia's is 6:5, Ecuador's is 5:2. Brazil's a big country, so you need more votes to make it work--that one's 23:14:5.
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RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed.
#231 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 8/9/2013 10:13:01 PM | message detail
Karma Hunter posted...
Look people I can't keep up with all this stuffing when I'm trying to rally Vivi's percentage higher


please, Vivi will jump like 3%, just like Tifa did
#232 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 8/9/2013 10:13:08 PM | message detail
Current vote totals for certain countries right now:

Brazil - 93
China - 91
Indonesia - 68
United Kingdom - 58
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#233 | spooky96 | Posted 8/9/2013 10:14:04 PM | message detail
-LusterSoldier- posted...
Current vote totals for certain countries right now:

Brazil - 93
China - 91
Indonesia - 68
United Kingdom - 58


Would you happen to be some kind of Cyber analyst or something?
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I have Cloud winning this contest, which means I'll beat most of you...
Nawt gonna happen >_>
#234 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 8/9/2013 10:14:29 PM | message detail
Hahaha, no.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
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#235 | spooky96 | Posted 8/9/2013 10:15:19 PM | message detail
Oh well, okay <_<
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I have Cloud winning this contest, which means I'll beat most of you...
Nawt gonna happen >_>
#236 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 8/9/2013 10:16:37 PM | message detail
Colombia just shifted from 6-5 to 7-5. I'm going with small sample sizes.

Thailand went from 8-1-1 to 9-1-1.

And Adam's actually catching up in Russia. Officially tied with Vivi there.
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RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed.
#237 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/9/2013 10:19:09 PM | message detail
Updated Top 10, plus fixes after the vote removal.

Top 10 Biggest Blowouts
1. Mewtwo – 81.80% vs. Chester – 3.51% - Round 1 – 78.29%
2. Mewtwo – 81.80% vs. Zero – 14.69% - Round 1 – 67.11%
3. Big Boss – 74.89% vs. Peacock – 11.60% - Round 1 – 63.29%
4. Solid Snake – 71.21% vs. Commander Keen – 8.48% - Round 1 – 62.73%
5. Big Boss – 74.89% vs. Captain Viridian – 13.51% - Round 1 – 61.38%
6. Link – 72.67% vs. Tingle – 11.97% - Round 1 – 60.70%
7. Mario – 69.47% vs. Fawful – 10.41% - Round 1 – 59.06%
8. Link – 72.67% vs. Isaac – 15.36% - Round 1 – 57.31%
9. Samus Aran – 68.51% vs. Isaac Clarke – 12.63% - Round 1 – 55.88%
10. Cloud Strife – 66.06% vs. Senator Armstrong – 10.33% - Round 1 – 55.73%

Top 10 Largest Night Vote Gaps
1. Mewtwo – 21525 vs. Chester – 924 – Round 1 – 20601
2. Mewtwo – 21525 vs. Zero – 3866 – Round 1 – 17659
3. Link – 21024 vs. Tingle – 3463 – Round 1 – 17561
4. Link – 21024 vs. Isaac – 4443 – Round 1 – 16581
5. Mega Man X – 18171 vs. Welkin Gunther – 2999 – Round 1 – 15172
6. Cloud Strife – 17400 vs. Senator Armstrong – 2721 – Round 1 – 14679
7. Big Boss – 17337 vs. Peacock – 2685 – Round 1 – 14652
8. Big Boss – 17337 vs. Captain Viridian – 3128 – Round 1 – 14209
9. Tifa Lockheart – 17408 vs. Cirno – 3215 – Round 1 – 14193
10. Samus Aran – 17326 vs. Isaac Clarke – 3193 – Round 1 – 14133

Top 10 Largest Day Vote Gaps
1. Solid Snake – 23261 vs. Commander Keen – 2769 – Round 1 – 20492
2. Mario – 20759 vs. Fawful – 3110 – Round 1 – 17649
3. Solid Snake – 23261 vs. Isaac – 6637 – Round 1 – 16624
4. Sonic the Hedgehog – 20669 vs. Dan Hibiki – 4217 – Round 1 – 16452
5. Luigi – 19844 vs. Jade – 3753 – Round 1 – 16091
6. Mario – 20759 vs. Duke Nukem – Round 1 – 14748
7. L-Block – 18468 vs. Teemo -3788 – Round 1 – 14680
8. Raiden – 18775 vs. Alan Wake – 4152 – Round 1 – 14623
9. Crono – 20077 vs. Sarah Kerrigan – 5654 – Round 1 – 14423
10. Sonic the Hedgehog – 20669 vs. Fei Fong Wong – 6288 – Round 1 – 14381

Top 10 Most Popular Night Polls
1. Draven vs. Jak vs. Chie Satonaka – Round 1 – 39737
2. Yoshi vs. Solaire of Astora vs. Demi-Fiend – Round 1 – 30487
3. Tharja vs. Tiny Tina vs. Juliet Starling – Round 1 – 30420
4. Link vs. Isaac vs. Tingle – Round 1 – 28930
5. Alucard vs. Captain Falcon vs. Rydia – Round 1 – 28202
6. Sephiroth vs. Midna vs. Little Mac – Round 1 – 28199
7. Tifa Lockheart vs. Chun-Li vs. Cirno – Round 1 – 28140
8. Mega Man X vs. Jigglypuff vs. Welkin Gunther – Round 1 – 27860
9. Sub-Zero vs. Garrus Vakarian vs. Frank West – Round 1 – 27770
10. Epona vs. Mordin Solus vs. Niko Bellic – Round 1 – 27091

Top 10 Least Popular Day Polls
1. Gilgamesh vs. Booker DeWitt vs. Kaim Argonar – Round 1 – 25976
2. Mr. Game & Watch vs. Lee Everett vs. Meat Boy – Round 1 – 26421
3. Ness vs. Locke Cole vs. CATS – Round 1 – 27607
4. Magus vs. Otacon vs. Jade Curtiss – Round 1 – 28173
5. Leon Kennedy vs. Albert Wesker vs. Oliver – Round 1 – 28303
6. Frog vs. Viewtiful Joe vs. Handsome Jack – Round 1 – 28522
7. Dante vs. Laharl vs. Raz – Round 1 – 28802
8. Altair vs. Ratchet vs. Shulk – Round 1 – 29616
9. Mario vs. Duke Nukem vs. Fawful – Round 1 – 29880
10. Pokemon Trainer Blue vs. Fox McCloud vs. Wolf O’Donnell – Round 1 – 29955
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 51/64 Today's Picks: Vivi and Ganondorf
#238 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/9/2013 10:19:15 PM | message detail
Top 10 Highest Day Individual Votes
1. Solid Snake – Round 1 – 23261
2. Mario – Round 1 – 20759
3. Sonic the Hedgehog – Round 1 – 20669
4. Crono – Round 1 – 20077
5. Luigi – Round 1 – 19844
6. Bowser – Round 1 – 18778
7. Raiden – Round 1 – 18775
8. L-Block – Round 1 – 18468
9. Ryu – Round 1 – 18376
10. Commander Shepard – Round 1 – 17993

Top 10 Lowest Day Individual Votes
1. Spring Breeze Dancin’ – Round 1 – 1587
2. Wolf O’Donnell – Round 1 – 2322
3. Commander Keen – Round 1 – 2769
4. Kaim Argonar – Round 1 – 2994
5. Fawful – Round 1 – 3110
6. Dunban – Round 1 – 3233
7. Jade – Round 1 – 3753
8. Teemo – Round 1 – 3788
9. Raz – Round 1 – 4128
10. Alan Wake – Round 1 – 4152

Top 10 Most Predictable Matches
1. Link vs. Isaac vs. Tingle – Round 1 – 97.59%
2. Cloud Strife vs. Prinny vs. Senator Armstrong – Round 1 – 94.22%
3. Solid Snake vs. Isaac vs. Commander Keen – Round 1 – 94.07%
4. Sonic the Hedgehog vs. Fei Fong Wong vs. Dan Hibiki – Round 1 – 93.84%
5. Big Boss vs. Captain Viridian vs. Peacock – Round 1 – 92.57%
6. Mario vs. Duke Nukem vs. Fawful – Round 1 – 92.45%
7. Sephiroth vs. Midna vs. Little Mac – Round 1 – 91.37%
8. Samus Aran vs. Sandbag vs. Isaac Clarke – Round 1 – 91.26%
9. Dante vs. Laharl vs. Raz – Round 1 – 89.88%
10. Luigi vs. Balthier Bunansa vs. Jade – Round 1 – 89.13%
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 51/64 Today's Picks: Vivi and Ganondorf
#239 | Surskit | Posted 8/9/2013 10:21:05 PM | message detail
Another fun thing is to click on the European countries from which you can get more details. For example, Marisa has 100% in 5 of the 7 currently voting regions of France. Sounds pretty legit, huh?
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.-#Elements of Water#-.
#240 | spooky96 | Posted 8/9/2013 10:21:37 PM | message detail
Top 10 Most Predictable Matches
1. Link vs. Isaac vs. Tingle – Round 1 – 97.59%
2. Cloud Strife vs. Prinny vs. Senator Armstrong – Round 1 – 94.22%
3. Solid Snake vs. Isaac vs. Commander Keen – Round 1 – 94.07%
4. Sonic the Hedgehog vs. Fei Fong Wong vs. Dan Hibiki – Round 1 – 93.84%
5. Big Boss vs. Captain Viridian vs. Peacock – Round 1 – 92.57%
6. Mario vs. Duke Nukem vs. Fawful – Round 1 – 92.45%
7. Sephiroth vs. Midna vs. Little Mac – Round 1 – 91.37%
8. Samus Aran vs. Sandbag vs. Isaac Clarke – Round 1 – 91.26%
9. Dante vs. Laharl vs. Raz – Round 1 – 89.88%
10. Luigi vs. Balthier Bunansa vs. Jade – Round 1 – 89.13%


Good to see some new users to GameFAQs.
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I have Cloud winning this contest, which means I'll beat most of you...
Nawt gonna happen >_>
#241 | Squirrelgate | Posted 8/9/2013 10:22:53 PM | message detail
Only this contest could make a match with a Touhou character in it exciting.
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#242 | BK_Sheikah00 | Posted 8/9/2013 10:23:51 PM | message detail
Top 10 Most Predictable Matches
1. Link vs. Isaac vs. Tingle – Round 1 – 97.59%
2. Cloud Strife vs. Prinny vs. Senator Armstrong – Round 1 – 94.22%
3. Solid Snake vs. Isaac vs. Commander Keen – Round 1 – 94.07%
4. Sonic the Hedgehog vs. Fei Fong Wong vs. Dan Hibiki – Round 1 – 93.84%
5. Big Boss vs. Captain Viridian vs. Peacock – Round 1 – 92.57%
6. Mario vs. Duke Nukem vs. Fawful – Round 1 – 92.45%
7. Sephiroth vs. Midna vs. Little Mac – Round 1 – 91.37%
8. Samus Aran vs. Sandbag vs. Isaac Clarke – Round 1 – 91.26%
9. Dante vs. Laharl vs. Raz – Round 1 – 89.88%
10. Luigi vs. Balthier Bunansa vs. Jade – Round 1 – 89.13%


lol Crono
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Hey, its that SuperNiceDog! Congrats to the Guru 2011 winner
#243 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/9/2013 10:26:41 PM | message detail
Honestly I would not be surprised if most of those brackets are favourites.

Crono has never had a good prediction percentage, same with Mega Man once he faces someone with strength.
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 51/64 Today's Picks: Vivi and Ganondorf
#244 | LordoftheMorons | Posted 8/9/2013 10:28:09 PM | message detail
spooky96 posted...
Top 10 Most Predictable Matches
1. Link vs. Isaac vs. Tingle – Round 1 – 97.59%
2. Cloud Strife vs. Prinny vs. Senator Armstrong – Round 1 – 94.22%
3. Solid Snake vs. Isaac vs. Commander Keen – Round 1 – 94.07%
4. Sonic the Hedgehog vs. Fei Fong Wong vs. Dan Hibiki – Round 1 – 93.84%
5. Big Boss vs. Captain Viridian vs. Peacock – Round 1 – 92.57%
6. Mario vs. Duke Nukem vs. Fawful – Round 1 – 92.45%
7. Sephiroth vs. Midna vs. Little Mac – Round 1 – 91.37%
8. Samus Aran vs. Sandbag vs. Isaac Clarke – Round 1 – 91.26%
9. Dante vs. Laharl vs. Raz – Round 1 – 89.88%
10. Luigi vs. Balthier Bunansa vs. Jade – Round 1 – 89.13%


Good to see some new users to GameFAQs.


A few of those are zero brackets!
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I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword
#245 | VideoboysaysCube | Posted 8/9/2013 10:28:58 PM | message detail
How are you getting the vote totals for each country? Are you manually using a formula based on the percentage ratios?
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This sentence has five words. This sentence has eight words. Only one sentence in this signature is true.
#246 | AxemRedRanger | Posted 8/9/2013 10:29:41 PM | message detail
Jensen down to 0.87% in China!
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[NO BARKLEY NO PEACE]
#247 | Kibago | Posted 8/9/2013 10:30:37 PM | message detail
charmander6000 posted...
Top 10 Highest Day Individual Votes
2. Mario – Round 1 – 20759
3. Sonic the Hedgehog – Round 1 – 20669


****ing mario
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Leafs / Raptors / Blue Jays / TFC / Argos / Tottenham
We'll get 'em next year.
#248 | Kibago | Posted 8/9/2013 10:32:27 PM | message detail
and that's a lead change.
pick it up, /v/
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Leafs / Raptors / Blue Jays / TFC / Argos / Tottenham
We'll get 'em next year.
#249 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 8/9/2013 10:32:42 PM | message detail
VideoboysaysCube posted...
How are you getting the vote totals for each country? Are you manually using a formula based on the percentage ratios?


For me, I am using a spreadsheet I created to make it easier to figure out the vote totals for each country.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#250 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/9/2013 10:33:45 PM | message detail