Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1101

#101 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/9/2013 9:19:20 PM | message detail
I wouldn't expect either of these two to fall off. Marisa is going to get stuffed and this is a WRPG's worst time.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#102 | xp1337 | Posted 8/9/2013 9:19:39 PM | message detail
Then00bAvenger posted...
Should have went no pick here. Have no idea how this is going to end

And miss out on the excitement of this match?

Knowing that my leaderboard spot could be on the line over picking a Touhou character to place second... I'm not sure how we got to this point but it's awesome.
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#103 | kinsho3 | Posted 8/9/2013 9:19:49 PM | message detail
This....is looking really good for Marisa....
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Drop it to the floor...
#104 | xp1337 | Posted 8/9/2013 9:20:32 PM | message detail
kinsho3 posted...
This....is looking really good for Marisa....

Honestly, I half expect her to just have a ton of votes taken away at the end and ruin all this fun, but until then I'm trying to BELIEVE!
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#105 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/9/2013 9:21:09 PM | message detail
Marisa could shoot out to a 50 vote lead at any update and I wouldn't even care. She's gonna get it removed later on anyway!
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#106 | Haguile | Posted 8/9/2013 9:21:14 PM | message detail
ZenOfThunder posted...
Jensen is such a goddamn dick and so unlikable that he transcends McDude status and becomes one of the most awesome characters of this generation

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=whtNHRYJnrU


Jensen is such a goddamn dick that no matter what moral decision you make during the game, it still feels in character because regardless of what he does, he does while being a dick. It feels like his views on morality are secondary traits to being a dick There is absolutely nothing you can possibly do in the game that isn't in character for him because he'll do anything simply for the hell of it.

Because he's a dick. Because he's the dick. And he's amazing.
#107 | Korayashi | Posted 8/9/2013 9:21:16 PM | message detail
So, what are the odds Marisa wins by a few hundred votes only to lose a lot for stuffing?
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#108 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 8/9/2013 9:21:51 PM | message detail | (edited)
Despite the rally on /v/, Jensen managed to take a 3 vote lead on the most recent update.

Also, here was a post I saw on /v/ yesterday:

http://i.imgur.com/Dl4IUyg.png

/v/ has a lot of difficulty in using their American userbase to push these rallies, which is why a lot of these rallies have occured in the morning or near the start of a day match.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
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#109 | Then00bAvenger | Posted 8/9/2013 9:22:05 PM | message detail
But if there's already a rally topic, that would mean that she's doing this WITH A rally.

Which would be a bad sign for her
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
#110 | Lopen | Posted 8/9/2013 9:22:18 PM | message detail
Eh 4chan has legit rally potential too even if they're not stuffing the poll. I mean Missile didn't get any votes removed (and in that case it'd actually be relevant to remove them) and he exploded out to a 600 vote lead really quick.
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This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
#111 | vcharon | Posted 8/9/2013 9:22:22 PM | message detail
Epic 2 vote gain by Jensen!
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Still smilin'
:>
#112 | xp1337 | Posted 8/9/2013 9:22:25 PM | message detail
Korayashi posted...
So, what are the odds Marisa wins by a few hundred votes only to lose a lot for stuffing?

A lot higher than I want to admit.
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#113 | Kotetsu534 | Posted 8/9/2013 9:22:26 PM | message detail
Y'know how there's that "Obvious Last Place Underperformance Factor" thing that gets thrown around for weirdly awful showings in multi-way polls? May I introduce the "Obvious First Place Underperformance Factor" to explain why Vivi is failing to triple these closely matched fodders. Too many people voting for the race for the 2nd!
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#114 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 8/9/2013 9:22:55 PM | message detail
-LusterSoldier- posted...
Despite the rally on /v/, Jensen managed to take a 3 vote lead on the most recent update.

Also, here was a post I saw on /v/ yesterday:

http://i.imgur.com/Dl4IUyg.png

/v/ has a lot of difficulty in using their American userbase to push these rallies, which is why a lot of these rallies have occured in the morning or near the start of a day match.


wait they want Marisa to win?
LOL
#115 | raytan7585 | Posted 8/9/2013 9:22:56 PM | message detail
Go Marisa!

MASTER SPARK THAT JENSEN!
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#116 | ExThaNemesis | Posted 8/9/2013 9:23:19 PM | message detail
Wait, this dark magician girl ripoff thing is a Touhou character?

I should've voted for Jensen.
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#117 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 8/9/2013 9:23:51 PM | message detail
Kotetsu534 posted...
Y'know how there's that "Obvious Last Place Underperformance Factor" thing that gets thrown around for weirdly awful showings in multi-way polls? May I introduce the "Obvious First Place Underperformance Factor" to explain why Vivi is failing to triple these closely matched fodders. Too many people voting for the race for the 2nd!


you just know if expert challenge wasn't a thing, this wouldn't be happening
#118 | kinsho3 | Posted 8/9/2013 9:23:55 PM | message detail
MONSTER GAIN! MATCH OVER!
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Drop it to the floor...
#119 | ZenOfThunder | Posted 8/9/2013 9:24:11 PM | message detail
/v/ loves Jensen, I think

everyone loves Jensen

he's such a dick
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~Zen
#120 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/9/2013 9:24:16 PM | message detail
Just how strong do you guys think Vivi is? He's marginally above Tidus (who is also better than most of you think, but hey, trying to make a point). He barely outperformed Rikku on Kirby. He isn't a worldbeater, and these guys aren't looking to be awful.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#121 | xp1337 | Posted 8/9/2013 9:24:29 PM | message detail
Lopen posted...
Eh 4chan has legit rally potential too even if they're not stuffing the poll. I mean Missile didn't get any votes removed (and in that case it'd actually be relevant to remove them) and he exploded out to a 600 vote lead really quick.

You know, I was thinking about this before the match. Assuming Missile was legit (and he better be if that wasn't overturned) then to some level a Marisa rally should be legit too. Same with Reimu.

If it turns out Reimu/Missile weren't legit but Bacon never bothered to tell us and it comes back to cost Marisa here I'll be a bit annoyed because if all those rallies turned out to be illegitimate I don't take Marisa here.
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#122 | VideoboysaysCube | Posted 8/9/2013 9:24:37 PM | message detail
ExThaNemesis posted...
Wait, this dark magician girl ripoff thing is a Touhou character?

I should've voted for Jensen.


What the heck is Toohoo and why are there so many of them in this contest.
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#123 | Janus5000 | Posted 8/9/2013 9:24:53 PM | message detail
Most of Europe's still sleeping. Wait until the Touhous wake up...!
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#124 | vcharon | Posted 8/9/2013 9:24:53 PM | message detail
I think it's that most people expect these guys TO be awful is all.
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Still smilin'
:>
#125 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 8/9/2013 9:25:02 PM | message detail
1337gamerpr0 posted...
Marisa already on the board in Russia/Eastern Europe?
quick, check for stuffing


As much as I'd love this all to be legit, that's not the only place you should be looking. (And Eastern Europe wasn't stuffing.)

There are African nations that literally had not produced a single vote in any previous match that have come out for both Cirno and Marisa.
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#126 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 8/9/2013 9:25:41 PM | message detail
KamikazePotato posted...
Just how strong do you guys think Vivi is? He's marginally above Tidus (who is also better than most of you think, but hey, trying to make a point). He barely outperformed Rikku on Kirby. He isn't a worldbeater, and these guys aren't looking to be awful.


Touhou characters deserve to get 42604972% put on them for sucking
#127 | Lopen | Posted 8/9/2013 9:26:30 PM | message detail
ExThaNemesis posted...
Wait, this dark magician girl ripoff thing is a Touhou character?

I should've voted for Jensen.


Touhou's older than Yugioh by a year or so just sayin
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
#128 | Surskit | Posted 8/9/2013 9:26:33 PM | message detail
TsunamiXXVIII posted...
1337gamerpr0 posted...
Marisa already on the board in Russia/Eastern Europe?
quick, check for stuffing


As much as I'd love this all to be legit, that's not the only place you should be looking. (And Eastern Europe wasn't stuffing.)

There are African nations that literally had not produced a single vote in any previous match that have come out for both Cirno and Marisa.


Africa just really likes their little girls, man.
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.-#Elements of Water#-.
#129 | tennisboy213 | Posted 8/9/2013 9:27:26 PM | message detail
Rally Time!
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POKEFEAR
#130 | Then00bAvenger | Posted 8/9/2013 9:27:39 PM | message detail
Marisa stole 2nd place
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
#131 | xp1337 | Posted 8/9/2013 9:27:43 PM | message detail
lead change
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#132 | Sorozone | Posted 8/9/2013 9:28:19 PM | message detail
The rally started 25 minutes ago. Unless it goes on for hours, with no stuffed votes(lol), I'm not liking Marisa to hold on.
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#133 | MegatokyoEd | Posted 8/9/2013 9:28:26 PM | message detail
I definitely think a /v/ rally for Marisa will be more diluted than ever since they're rallying against Jensen.

Make no mistake, /v/ loves Jensen.
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#134 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 8/9/2013 9:29:05 PM | message detail
We're not even 30 minutes into this match and there are already 5 different African countries that have voted so far when it's late at night for them.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#135 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/9/2013 9:29:13 PM | message detail
What are Touhous natural trends? Because Jensen probably cleans up the Europe vote.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#136 | Janus5000 | Posted 8/9/2013 9:29:41 PM | message detail
MegatokyoEd posted...
I definitely think a /v/ rally for Marisa will be more diluted than ever since they're rallying against Jensen.

Make no mistake, /v/ loves Jensen.


Vivi for third, make it happen
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Fight like dragons, have no fear, swords are made of STEEEEEEEEL~
#137 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 8/9/2013 9:30:07 PM | message detail
-LusterSoldier- posted...
We're not even 30 minutes into this match and there are already 5 different African countries that have voted so far when it's late at night for them.


Touhou, worst stuffers ever
#138 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 8/9/2013 9:31:03 PM | message detail
We don't have much information on their natural trends because they are messed up from all the rallying and stuffing. Here is the trend chart for Cirno's match with the stuffed votes removed:

Time | Tifa | Cirno | Chun-Li | Votes
1:00 | 62.14% | 9.62% | 28.25% | 5208
2:00 | 63.28% | 9.06% | 27.66% | 3069
3:00 | 62.76% | 10.62% | 26.62% | 2344
4:00 | 61.31% | 11.61% | 27.08% | 2016
5:00 | 62.84% | 10.58% | 26.58% | 1663
6:00 | 61.42% | 12.57% | 26.01% | 1488
7:00 | 64.15% | 11.40% | 24.45% | 1632
8:00 | 62.59% | 10.66% | 26.75% | 1895
9:00 | 63.87% | 10.15% | 25.98% | 2059
10:00 | 59.24% | 17.16% | 23.61% | 2279
11:00 | 59.65% | 13.71% | 26.64% | 2290
12:00 | 59.17% | 13.11% | 27.72% | 2197

Those last 3 hours are very suspicious, though, because of the rallying and potential stuffed votes.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#139 | -hotdogturtle-- | Posted 8/9/2013 9:31:18 PM | message detail
Omg if I lose an expert challenge pick because Touhou takes second place in a match... lol.
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#140 | Lopen | Posted 8/9/2013 9:31:21 PM | message detail
Man if you're gonna be that bad at stuffing just make it super blatant imhhho

I want Marisa to win updates outright it'd be hilarious
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
#141 | Kibago | Posted 8/9/2013 9:32:24 PM | message detail
INSURMOUNTABLE
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We'll get 'em next year.
#142 | kinsho3 | Posted 8/9/2013 9:32:42 PM | message detail
-LusterSoldier- posted...
We're not even 30 minutes into this match and there are already 5 different African countries that have voted so far when it's late at night for them.


Touhou's all the rage among the African militias, according to Foreign Policy magazine.
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Drop it to the floor...
#143 | Xuxon | Posted 8/9/2013 9:32:43 PM | message detail
From: -LusterSoldier- | Posted: 8/10/2013 12:29:05 AM | #134
We're not even 30 minutes into this match and there are already 5 different African countries that have voted so far when it's late at night for them.

2 of them are past 6AM at least... but one of those was a Vivi vote.
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#144 | Wanglicious | Posted 8/9/2013 9:33:04 PM | message detail
marisa's just stealing the black vote, that's all.
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#145 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 8/9/2013 9:33:09 PM | message detail
Kenya got on the map?
......
#146 | hagankefs | Posted 8/9/2013 9:34:17 PM | message detail
So.... LOL rally vs Touhou rally...anyone gonna make a poll to know whos the strongest?
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Inter
#147 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 8/9/2013 9:34:38 PM | message detail
Look at all that red on the poll map right now. Also, we're up to 6 African countries that have voted in this match so far.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#148 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 8/9/2013 9:35:06 PM | message detail
hagankefs posted...
So.... LOL rally vs Touhou rally...anyone gonna make a poll to know whos the strongest?


LoL rallies for 15 minutes and crushes Touhou
come on now
#149 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/9/2013 9:35:25 PM | message detail
Xuxon posted...
From: -LusterSoldier- | Posted: 8/10/2013 12:29:05 AM | #134
We're not even 30 minutes into this match and there are already 5 different African countries that have voted so far when it's late at night for them.

2 of them are past 6AM at least... but one of those was a Vivi vote.


Vivi Rally Initiated
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#150 | FateStayAlbion | Posted 8/9/2013 9:35:41 PM | message detail
The /v/ topic seems dead now, hasn't had any posts in the last 5 minutes. Lets see if Marisa has a drop this next update.
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