Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1101

#451 | Zylothewolf | Posted 8/10/2013 9:09:08 AM | message detail
Guybrush currently got 67% of the votes from UK. Ganondorf is so lucky that this isn't a night match. >_>

Max Payne fights like a cow.
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#452 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 8/10/2013 9:23:13 AM | message detail | (edited)
-LusterSoldier- posted...
Another vote stuffer in Germany. This time, it's Bayern:

Vivi 31.08%
Adam Jensen 16.22%
Marisa Kirisame 52.7%


Possible, but if so, it's not huge. Ever since this stuffing started I've been opening multiple windows when checking updates. Here's one from about a half an hour ago:

Bayern:
Vivi 42.31% -- equals 11/26
Adam 23.08% -- equals 3/13, or 6/26
Marisa 34.62% -- equals 9/26

And more recent, right after you pointed this out:
Vivi 31.08% -- equals 23/74
Adam 16.22% -- equals 6/37, or 12/74
Marisa 52.7% -- equals 39/74

Now go back to the "old" ones and double the totals, then compare with the new ones.

22/52 --> 23/74
12/52 --> 12/74
18/52 --> 39/74

Matches up perfectly, right? So there were 52 votes before, and 22 new votes came in--21 of them for Marisa and 1 for Vivi. A suspicious run to be sure, but ultimately just a drop in the bucket.

She went on a miniature "late tear" in Iceland, too. In the one that was already close to the end of the match, the percentages pointed to Vivi 6 votes, Adam 3 votes, Marisa 4 votes. Come the update I was using after you pointed out the possible stuffing in Bayern, it was Vivi 6, Adam 3, Marisa 7. In the post-final update, it's Vivi 6, Adam 3, Marisa 14.

So maybe at most a half an hour before the end of the match, the percentages pointed to there being 13 votes from Iceland, and by the end there were 23, and all 10 of those late votes--43.48% of the total votes!--went to Marisa. But it's still only 10 votes, and I can't imagine it would be easy to make it look like the numbers were that small if they were actually larger.
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#453 | pjbasis | Posted 8/10/2013 9:09:52 AM | message detail
I mean that I think Guybrush is the kind of the guy that would do better early on, and against someone that I figured would be near his level, could get an early lead on.
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#454 | LeonhartFour | Posted 8/10/2013 9:10:24 AM | message detail
Hopefully Ganondorf will end up looking like crap anyway.

Vincent already projected to get 55.5% on Ganondorf through Guybrush!
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#455 | tennisboy213 | Posted 8/10/2013 9:10:56 AM | message detail
Ganondorf's pic is pretty awesome
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#456 | Nanis23 | Posted 8/10/2013 9:11:07 AM | message detail
I still don't understand how it's possible to find the total number of votes just by percent
I mean,if it was kinda like
25,50,25 then yeah..
100/25 = 4,which would mean that 4 and multiplier of 4 can be the total vote numbers

But something like...
Vivi 39.09%
Adam Jensen 12.73%
Marisa Kirisame 48.18%
How?
#457 | paulg235 | Posted 8/10/2013 9:11:42 AM | message detail
Ulti will still bash Guybrush, he'll just bash Max Payne while he's at it.
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#458 | TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 8/10/2013 9:11:44 AM | message detail
Did GameFAQs color scheme just change for anybody else
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#459 | FateStayAlbion | Posted 8/10/2013 9:12:18 AM | message detail
#460 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 8/10/2013 9:12:58 AM | message detail
Nanis23 posted...
I still don't understand how it's possible to find the total number of votes just by percent
I mean,if it was kinda like
25,50,25 then yeah..
100/25 = 4,which would mean that 4 and multiplier of 4 can be the total vote numbers

But something like...
Vivi 39.09%
Adam Jensen 12.73%
Marisa Kirisame 48.18%
How?


I use a spreadsheet to make it possible for me to figure this out.
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#461 | Kibago | Posted 8/10/2013 9:13:46 AM | message detail
TheKoolAidShoto posted...
For some reason I have Ganon > Guybrush > Max Payne in the Expert Challenge...

...LETS GO GUYBRUSH


yeah, this
I was very surprised when I saw I had this
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#462 | LeonhartFour | Posted 8/10/2013 9:15:01 AM | message detail | (edited)
*checks to see if he also has Ganon > Guybrush > Max by accident*

*does not*

:(
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#463 | pjbasis | Posted 8/10/2013 9:15:11 AM | message detail
Don't party just yet
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#464 | Safer_777 | Posted 8/10/2013 9:16:14 AM | message detail
3rd vote for Max myself.But Guybrush is beating him???
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#465 | Denzokuken | Posted 8/10/2013 9:16:25 AM | message detail
Max Payne is now Guybrush Threepwood's b****. Who would have thought it...
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#466 | LeonhartFour | Posted 8/10/2013 9:16:34 AM | message detail
...Yeah, this is done.
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#467 | pjbasis | Posted 8/10/2013 9:16:34 AM | message detail
#468 | FateStayAlbion | Posted 8/10/2013 9:17:14 AM | message detail
#469 | paulg235 | Posted 8/10/2013 9:17:14 AM | message detail
The miracle actually happen.
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#470 | pjbasis | Posted 8/10/2013 9:17:15 AM | message detail
I had Guybrush until I changed it a few days ago too, ultra ouch
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#471 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/10/2013 9:18:19 AM | message detail | (edited)
You see, guys? THIS is a true Generic McDude at work. Giving Guybrush his first ever non-last place standing in 11 years.
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#472 | Zylothewolf | Posted 8/10/2013 9:19:01 AM | message detail
Who would win between Guybrush and Jade?Magus might still have a chance against Ganondork. >_>
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#473 | Nanis23 | Posted 8/10/2013 9:19:23 AM | message detail
But...but Max Payne is one of the first McDudes ever...how is this..why..
#474 | pjbasis | Posted 8/10/2013 9:19:24 AM | message detail
Probably the result of multi-ways too

Big guys like Nintendo and FF characters will suck up too many apathy votes.

I can see Max winning 1 on 1 easy
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#475 | MoogleKupo141 | Posted 8/10/2013 9:19:55 AM | message detail
how is []AX losinggggg
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#476 | tgs2 | Posted 8/10/2013 9:21:30 AM | message detail
Guybrush European vote too stronk for Max.
#477 | LeonhartFour | Posted 8/10/2013 9:21:33 AM | message detail
Listen, Max has wins over Dirk the Daring and GFNW. He can rest easy knowing he's had a successful contest career.
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#478 | Nanis23 | Posted 8/10/2013 9:22:04 AM | message detail
There is a vote stuffing in Croatia! Guybrush got 100% there! and yeah I don't care this is only one vote he is obviously stuffing!!

...Just another +0 points match..sigh
#479 | GloryChaos | Posted 8/10/2013 9:22:37 AM | message detail
FateStayAlbion posted...
Max Payne is dead. This is great

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#480 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/10/2013 9:22:41 AM | message detail
Damn it people, play Max Payne...

lol Max
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#481 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 8/10/2013 9:23:12 AM | message detail
Max Payne beats Gordon Freeman, loses to Guybrush Threepwood.

Yikes.
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#482 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 8/10/2013 9:23:33 AM | message detail
-LusterSoldier- posted...
Nanis23 posted...
I still don't understand how it's possible to find the total number of votes just by percent
I mean,if it was kinda like
25,50,25 then yeah..
100/25 = 4,which would mean that 4 and multiplier of 4 can be the total vote numbers

But something like...
Vivi 39.09%
Adam Jensen 12.73%
Marisa Kirisame 48.18%
How?


I use a spreadsheet to make it possible for me to figure this out.


Yeah, me too.
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#483 | Nanis23 | Posted 8/10/2013 9:23:54 AM | message detail
charmander6000 posted...
Damn it people, play Max Payne...

lol Max


Avoid 3 though it was as generic as games can get
#484 | abdou | Posted 8/10/2013 9:24:30 AM | message detail
man this is sad, Max Payne was great game back int he day , one of the first games I played on PC
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#485 | TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 8/10/2013 9:28:05 AM | message detail
As a Monkey Island 1/2 fan, I'm just happy to see him NOT come in last for once

and it actually helps my expert bracket, so win-win. Sorry Max
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#486 | spooky96 | Posted 8/10/2013 9:28:16 AM | message detail
abdou posted...
man this is sad, Max Payne was great game back int he day , one of the first games I played on PC


Mine too. Sorta seems bad that no one here cares about him or his games.
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#487 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 8/10/2013 9:29:04 AM | message detail
I believe there was some vote stuffing in Russia near the end of the last match. At 11:50 AM, Marisa had 31.13% in Russia. She jumped all the way up to 38.73% in those last 10 minutes.
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#488 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/10/2013 9:29:16 AM | message detail
Yeah, it looks like MP3 wasn't worth anything to Max, so he's what I said... the worst of the worst fodder. Even worse than Guybrush. The first Max Payne games were more in line with GameFAQs' tastes so he could at least hang around as high fodder... unlike the McDuderism expressed through MP3.
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#489 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/10/2013 9:29:22 AM | message detail
Max Payne beats Gordon Freeman, loses to Guybrush Threepwood.

Yikes.


The result officially makes Threepwood stronger than Link by using direct matches.

Guybrush > Max Payne > Gordon Freeman > Scorpion > Pac-Man > Revolver Ocelot > Jill Valentine > Kirby > L-Block > Link
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#490 | LeonhartFour | Posted 8/10/2013 9:29:45 AM | message detail
Vincent up to 56.06% on Ganondorf through Guybrush!

And remember, the worse Ganondorf looks, the worse Mewtwo looks...!
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#491 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/10/2013 9:31:01 AM | message detail | (edited)
Oh and lol Ganondorf looks horrible

edit: god dammit Mewtwo
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#492 | LeonhartFour | Posted 8/10/2013 9:31:37 AM | message detail
The sad thing is that I was SO READY to predict a Ganondorf upset this year because I felt like he was weaker last year but everyone gave him the excuse of "Oh but he had Bacondorf against Sonic!"

But no we get this crappy setup! Oh well, I'll just have to settle for Vivi > Ganon in Expert.
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#493 | xp1337 | Posted 8/10/2013 9:34:59 AM | message detail | (edited)
Nanis23 posted...
I still don't understand how it's possible to find the total number of votes just by percent
I mean,if it was kinda like
25,50,25 then yeah..
100/25 = 4,which would mean that 4 and multiplier of 4 can be the total vote numbers

But something like...
Vivi 39.09%
Adam Jensen 12.73%
Marisa Kirisame 48.18%
How?

There's probably a far more efficient way to do this, but I'm really tired so off the top of my head:

Divide 100 by any one of those percentages, I'll take Jensen's because I think taking the smallest one will speed up the process but I'm not 100% sure.

So 100/12.73 is approximately 7.86.

Then keep taking multiples of 7.86 until you get something close to a whole number. 55.02 is pretty close so stop there and see if you can get the percentages to work with 55 total votes. I'll aim for Marisa's because just under half is easy. 26/55 gets you 47.27% and 27/55 gets you 49.09% so 55 is out.

So keep going up on multiples of 7.86. Next close match is 110.04. So try again with 110. Same routine.

53/110 gets you 48.18% so there's Marisa's %. 43/110 gets you 39.09 so there's Vivi, and finally 14/110 gets you 12.73 and everything is good. So any multiple of 110 will work as a votal here.

There's a few things I'm thinking just looking at that for shortcuts but I'm not totally sure on them and even then, I kind of feel like there has to be a better way.
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#494 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 8/10/2013 9:34:46 AM | message detail
Karma Hunter posted...
Yeah, it looks like MP3 wasn't worth anything to Max, so he's what I said... the worst of the worst fodder. Even worse than Guybrush. The first Max Payne games were more in line with GameFAQs' tastes so he could at least hang around as high fodder... unlike the McDuderism expressed through MP3.


It's these low votals. Guybrush's fanbase is tiny but dedicated, and with votes down, they can actually do something.
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#495 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/10/2013 9:34:55 AM | message detail
Uh I am not sure if Vivi > Ganondorf with Mario murdering him is considered an upset

but I'll take pleasure in it too don't get me wrong lol Ganondorf
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#496 | LeonhartFour | Posted 8/10/2013 9:35:23 AM | message detail
The only upset is if Mario can't drive Ganondorf back down below CATS where he rightfully belongs
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#497 | LeonhartFour | Posted 8/10/2013 9:36:30 AM | message detail
#498 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/10/2013 9:36:49 AM | message detail
TsunamiXXVIII posted...
Karma Hunter posted...
Yeah, it looks like MP3 wasn't worth anything to Max, so he's what I said... the worst of the worst fodder. Even worse than Guybrush. The first Max Payne games were more in line with GameFAQs' tastes so he could at least hang around as high fodder... unlike the McDuderism expressed through MP3.


It's these low votals. Guybrush's fanbase is tiny but dedicated, and with votes down, they can actually do something.


There's a lot of 'tiny but dedicated' fanbases that don't do diddly squat even when we're at the bottom of the barrel. Guybrush isn't suddenly a midcarder, no matter what variance you lose he looks awful.
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#499 | TyrekeEvans13 | Posted 8/10/2013 9:37:00 AM | message detail
#500 | BK_Sheikah00 | Posted 8/10/2013 9:37:15 AM | message detail
Guybrush Always Wins
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