Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1099

#401 | StarStormScream | Posted 8/8/2013 9:11:39 PM | message detail
charmander6000 posted...
You're overrating Tifa's picture she always has those assets


To be fair, I didn't think "official" art existed of her that had her THAT huge! lol.
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#402 | Then00bAvenger | Posted 8/8/2013 9:11:58 PM | message detail
Cirno fans should just focus on keeping her at 9%. It'll be fitting
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#403 | NewerShadow | Posted 8/8/2013 9:12:01 PM | message detail
Total Entrants: 15254

Prediction percentage for Yuna, with 2349 correct: 15.4%

Even at 54%, the gurus still tripled casuals in percentage!
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#404 | Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 8/8/2013 9:12:09 PM | message detail
her old official art they were bigger than her head
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#405 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 8/8/2013 9:12:12 PM | message detail
xp1337 posted...
Hahaha that prediction percentage. I'd calculate it if I had the total entrants somewhere, but I'd guess that's around 15% just from sight.


15254 brackets.
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#406 | foxhead84 | Posted 8/8/2013 9:12:16 PM | message detail
swordz9 posted...
What was the prediction percentage? I can't even view the map since clicking the button for it does nothing. I wonder if it's because of Adblock.


15,4%..... wow
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#407 | vcharon | Posted 8/8/2013 9:12:50 PM | message detail
Ho ho ho!
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#408 | VideoboysaysCube | Posted 8/8/2013 9:13:43 PM | message detail
foxhead84 posted...
swordz9 posted...
What was the prediction percentage? I can't even view the map since clicking the button for it does nothing. I wonder if it's because of Adblock.


15,4%..... wow


That...makes no sense.
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#409 | Karma Hunter (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/8/2013 9:14:05 PM | message detail
I'll say it again. Tifa is not Noble Nine. Chun Li is not fodder.

Whatever conclusions you wanna draw feel free I guess.
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#410 | Then00bAvenger | Posted 8/8/2013 9:15:17 PM | message detail | (edited)
Tifa's boobs cancel out the FF7 deboost.

Without them she would be struggling!

Clearly TJF prevails
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#411 | BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 8/8/2013 9:15:20 PM | message detail
Come back TRE, we need your prediction % breakdown
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#412 | MegatokyoEd | Posted 8/8/2013 9:15:53 PM | message detail
How the **** was Yuna that low?

That many had Chief? Because I doubt more than 5% at most picked Claire.
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#413 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/8/2013 9:16:34 PM | message detail
Updated Top 10

Top 10 Most Popular Day Polls
1. Raiden vs. Waluigi vs. Alan Wake – Round 1 – 37721
2. Barret Wallace vs. Professor Layton vs. Reimu Hakurei – Round 1 – 33945
3. Commander Shepard vs. Captain Olimar vs. Kain – Round 1 – 33313
4. Yuna vs. Master Chief vs. Claire Redfield – Round 1 – 32792
5. Ryu vs. Yuri Lowell vs. Face McShooty – Round 1 – 32704
6. Solid Snake vs. Isaac vs. Commander Keen – Round 1 – 32667
7. Kirby vs. Terra Branford vs. Princess Peach – Round 1 – 32535
8. Aerith Gainsborough vs. Hero vs. Rinoa Heartilly – Round 1 – 32259
9. The Boss vs. Chrom vs. Heavy – Round 1 – 32203
10. Crono vs. Missile vs. Sarah Kerrigan – Round 1 – 31869

Top 10 Least Impressive Day Winners
1. Mr. Game & Watch – Round 1 – 10500
2. Ike – Round 1 – 11023
3. Kefka – Round 1 – 11443
4. Catherine – Round 1 – 12092
5. Ness – Round 1 – 12979
6. Altair – Round 1 – 13157
7. Yuna – Round 1 – 13279
8. Gilgamesh – Round 1 – 13442
9. Magus – Round 1 – 13474
10. Ezio Auditore da Firenze – Round 1 – 13728

Top 10 Most Impressive Day Losers
1. Waluigi – Round 1 – 14794
2. Fox McCloud – Round 1 – 13207
3. Ridley – Round 1 – 13037
4. Terra Branford – Round 1 – 11893
5. Neku Sakuraba – Round 1 – 11493
6. Master Chief – Round 1 – 11426
7. KOS-MOS – Round 1 – 10944
8. Proto Man – Round 1 – 10854
9. Professor Layton – Round 1 – 10587
10. Zack Fair – Round 1 – 9862

Top 10 Least Predictable Matches
1. Yuna vs. Master Chief vs. Claire Redfield – Round 1 – 15.40%
2. Mr. Game & Watch vs. Lee Everett vs. Meat Boy – Round 1 – 26.40%
3. Catherine vs. Neku Sakaruba vs. Vaas Montenegro – Round 1 – 30.43%
4. Pokemon Trainer Blue vs. Fox McCloud vs. Wolf O’Donnell – Round 1 – 32.98%
5. Draven vs. Jak vs. Chie Satonaka – Round 1 – 38.19%
6. Yoshimitsu vs. Lu Bu vs. Groose – Round 1 – 39.13%
7. Gilgamesh vs. Booker DeWitt vs. Kaim Argonar – Round 1 – 40.89%
8. Crash Bandicoot vs. Wheatley vs. Tommy Vercetti – Round 1 – 40.90%
9. Frog vs. Viewtiful Joe vs. Handsome Jack – Round 1 – 41.50%
10. Lugia vs. Sly Cooper vs. Francis York Morgan – Round 1 – 42.40%
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Points: 49/62 Today's Picks: Tifa and Mario
#414 | SonicRaptor | Posted 8/8/2013 9:16:36 PM | message detail
foxhead84 posted...
swordz9 posted...
What was the prediction percentage? I can't even view the map since clicking the button for it does nothing. I wonder if it's because of Adblock.


15,4%..... wow


Yup, it's a figure we usually see in later rounds if a major upset happens.

It's funny because MC has always been a very notorious choker aside from 2007 that happened when the series was at its peak of popularity because Halo 3 was incoming. Every other year MC bombs against midcarders and puts up mediocre wins over pure fodder.
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#415 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 8/8/2013 9:16:52 PM | message detail
Casual bracketmakers have always picked Chief in overwhelming numbers.
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#416 | xp1337 | Posted 8/8/2013 9:17:29 PM | message detail
MegatokyoEd posted...
How the **** was Yuna that low?

That many had Chief? Because I doubt more than 5% at most picked Claire.

Well, Yuna's ceiling had to be 54% because there's just no way the casuals would beat the guru here but man... 15.4. I knew this would be bad, but sub-20?
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#417 | BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 8/8/2013 9:17:34 PM | message detail
MegatokyoEd posted...
How the **** was Yuna that low?

That many had Chief? Because I doubt more than 5% at most picked Claire.


Chief's always had strong casual bracket support, combined with the seeding difference, combined with the fact that only half the Board 8 took Yuna and I'm not surprised.
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#418 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/8/2013 9:18:25 PM | message detail
That...makes no sense.

It makes perfect sense, Master Chief is always a huge a favourite, it makes sense if you have no knowledge of previous contests.
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Points: 49/62 Today's Picks: Tifa and Mario
#419 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/8/2013 9:18:47 PM | message detail
Look at Tifa go
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Points: 49/62 Today's Picks: Tifa and Mario
#420 | ChenKenichiFan | Posted 8/8/2013 9:19:20 PM | message detail
Wow, very strong from Tifa. She's making me feel that Aeris isn't a lost cause.
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#421 | lightsout06 | Posted 8/8/2013 9:19:24 PM | message detail
-LusterSoldier- posted...
Casual bracketmakers have always picked Chief in overwhelming numbers.


Because he is the flippin Masta Chief
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#422 | SonicRaptor | Posted 8/8/2013 9:19:30 PM | message detail
-LusterSoldier- posted...
Casual bracketmakers have always picked Chief in overwhelming numbers.


Yup, Halo is just not popular on this site whatsoever and literally every MC performance (aside from 2007 which I indicated was an anomaly due to Halo 3) has been mediocre since MC's first appearance in 2003. Any contest vet knows to pick MC only when he's against confirmed fodder.
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#423 | TheOneAboveAll | Posted 8/8/2013 9:19:49 PM | message detail
Hey Karma, you wanna repeat that "Tifa is not Noble Nine" line? Because this performance is making her look pretty darn close. I agree with you, but if she keeps this up I might need more convincing.
#424 | BK_Sheikah00 | Posted 8/8/2013 9:20:18 PM | message detail
Please don't get my hopes up for Cloud > Snake. I had already admitted defeat.
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#425 | Sorozone | Posted 8/8/2013 9:20:23 PM | message detail
So, Jensen > Marisa?

Or is Marisa likely to get rallied?
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#426 | BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 8/8/2013 9:20:35 PM | message detail
ChenKenichiFan posted...
Wow, very strong from Tifa. She's making me feel that Aeris isn't a lost cause.


I'm pretty sure someone whose better at math than me can make some correlation between the strength of these 2 and their cup sizes.
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#427 | Karma Hunter (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/8/2013 9:21:44 PM | message detail
TheOneAboveAll posted...
Hey Karma, you wanna repeat that "Tifa is not Noble Nine" line? Because this performance is making her look pretty darn close. I agree with you, but if she keeps this up I might need more convincing.


She is not close - closer than she's been traditionally, anyway. Tifa is a near-elite in the vein of Auron, Vincent, and Squall. This is a textbook overperformance.

But if we wanna go this route, let's go all the way...!

Sephiroth put up 70% on Midna.
Tifa is currently putting up 67% on Chun Li.
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#428 | BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 8/8/2013 9:23:05 PM | message detail
Karma Hunter posted...
TheOneAboveAll posted...
Hey Karma, you wanna repeat that "Tifa is not Noble Nine" line? Because this performance is making her look pretty darn close. I agree with you, but if she keeps this up I might need more convincing.


She is not close - closer than she's been traditionally, anyway. Tifa is a near-elite in the vein of Auron, Vincent, and Squall. This is a textbook overperformance.

But if we wanna go this route, let's go all the way...!

Sephiroth put up 70% on Midna.
Tifa is currently putting up 67% on Chun Li.


Tifa > Sephiroth confirmed
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#429 | Then00bAvenger | Posted 8/8/2013 9:23:45 PM | message detail
68% on Chun-Li vs. 73% on Prinny

Tifa is not just noble nine level, clearly she's Cloud level
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#430 | creativename | Posted 8/8/2013 9:23:52 PM | message detail
15%, good god.

...this means MC was probably favored over Tifa, doesn't it?

ChenKenichiFan posted...
Wow, very strong from Tifa. She's making me feel that Aeris isn't a lost cause.

Yeah I'm feeling better about Aeris too. Not sure if there's a real favorite for that match yet.

And lord knows how quote factor will affect things.
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#431 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/8/2013 9:24:09 PM | message detail
While I would take Ken > Chun-Li Tifa at least looks like she belongs with the near-elites.
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Points: 49/62 Today's Picks: Tifa and Mario
#432 | Sorozone | Posted 8/8/2013 9:24:24 PM | message detail
#433 | Karma Hunter (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/8/2013 9:24:44 PM | message detail
And now Tifa is up to 68% on Chun Li.

If you want to take Tifa over Sephiroth, Crono, Mega Man, and Sonic, be my guest.
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#434 | vcharon | Posted 8/8/2013 9:25:19 PM | message detail
Yuna and Tifa looked great. It's nice to see Final Fantasy come out and not suck total ass... reminds me of the old days.
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#435 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/8/2013 9:25:33 PM | message detail
15%, good god.

...this means MC was probably favored over Tifa, doesn't it?


Very likely, if anything he's probably among the top 10 overall winners.
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Points: 49/62 Today's Picks: Tifa and Mario
#436 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 8/8/2013 9:26:08 PM | message detail
I still haven't seen any 4chan rallies for Cirno yet.
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#437 | BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 8/8/2013 9:26:23 PM | message detail
Just a friendly reminder that Bowser got 65% on Chun-Li in 2005 and Yuna got 60% in 2006.

Granted, both of those matches are suspect, and Chun Li has since had SF4 for what it's worth.

I think she's just getting out TJF'd.
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#438 | ChenKenichiFan | Posted 8/8/2013 9:27:31 PM | message detail
Well, I think we've gotta give Tifa the edge over Vincent as FFVII's #3. She holds up better to SFF and I think she'd have a better shot at taking out Ganondorf, the B-list Mario trio, and the strongest Pokemon. Vincent might have an edge against Squall and Auron though, but like... literally just those two characters.
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#439 | Fayt_Esteed | Posted 8/8/2013 9:27:59 PM | message detail
charmander6000 posted...
Top 10 Least Predictable Matches
1. Yuna vs. Master Chief vs. Claire Redfield – Round 1 – 15.40%


Wow... The moral here is that any match with Master Chief is a bracket buster waiting to happen. For Pete's sake, that's barely over half of the next least predictable match!
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#440 | MegatokyoEd | Posted 8/8/2013 9:28:11 PM | message detail
Tifa seems prone to these blatant overperformances.
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#441 | StarStormScream | Posted 8/8/2013 9:29:51 PM | message detail
-LusterSoldier- posted...
I still haven't seen any 4chan rallies for Cirno yet.


Wouldn't they be more prone to make sure she gets 9% or 9.99% >.>
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#442 | raytan7585 | Posted 8/8/2013 9:29:56 PM | message detail
Cirno 9.99%......WILL IT HAPPENS?!!!

We'll see.
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#443 | BK_Sheikah00 | Posted 8/8/2013 9:30:05 PM | message detail
Rydia, Celes, Terra, Aerith, Rinoa if you forgive the SFF. And now Yuna and Tifa. FF girls have looked pretty good this contest. Maybe Rikku can beat ? block...
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#444 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 8/8/2013 9:30:43 PM | message detail
I just spotted a Cirno topic on /jp/ that is related to this match, but they didn't link to the voting page in the first post of the topic.
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#445 | Karma Hunter (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/8/2013 9:30:51 PM | message detail
ChenKenichiFan posted...
Well, I think we've gotta give Tifa the edge over Vincent as FFVII's #3. She holds up better to SFF


Don't think this is true to the extent you're crediting it. Sephiroth became an anti-voted abomination after he beat Missingno.

The rest of the points are well-taken - and honestly, even I've got to give Tifa some credit because if she keeps having these 'fluke' matches like 49% on Samus and 44% on Sephiroth you start to have that outside chance that it's not a fluke.

But right now I'm heavily inclined to believe she's been getting lucky and is a fraud relative to those overperformances.
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#446 | ExThaNemesis | Posted 8/8/2013 9:31:02 PM | message detail
Jesus.

If I had any hope for Dragonborn left, Tifa just smashed, squashed and sandwiched it between those massive percentage numbers of hers.
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#447 | LordoftheMorons | Posted 8/8/2013 9:31:10 PM | message detail
Sorozone posted...
So, Jensen > Marisa?

Or is Marisa likely to get rallied?

I have a feeling Jensen is going to suck. He should be the favorite (and should definitely win "naturally"), but I don't think he'll be safe from a potential rally.
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#448 | vcharon | Posted 8/8/2013 9:31:48 PM | message detail
Dragonborn will basically come in third.
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#449 | ExThaNemesis | Posted 8/8/2013 9:32:14 PM | message detail
vcharon posted...
Dragonborn will basically come in third.


It will not even be remotely close, and from the look of it Yuna might end up closer to Dragonborn than she does Tifa.
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#450 | creativename | Posted 8/8/2013 9:33:11 PM | message detail
Looks like Tifa lost the board vote after all. She's turning this into a slaughter.

Seph's performance wasn't bad either - if he got 70% on Midna even with anti-votes, it looks like he's stable at least.

And yeah, Tifa is likely stronger than Vincent now. Though I still think Vincent's sucking was misleading.
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