Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1099

#1 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/8/2013 7:43:24 AM | message detail
Get the s out.

~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://www.thengamer.com/
http://thengamer.com/xstats

~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame

~*Character Contest Histories*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the Match Pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Leonhart4's Trend Charts*~
https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?hl=en&key=tOGmynfNIiNy5VukpEF-PdA&hl=en#gid=0

~*Daily Vote Trends - An Explanation for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Daily_Vote_Trends

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense.

Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated.
---
www.dudewheresmyfreedom.com
Proud to share the same beliefs as SmartMuffin
#2 | The Mana Sword | Posted 8/8/2013 7:44:43 AM | message detail
boycott this topic!!!
---
i'll do rydia -Dante
#3 | Karma Hunter (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/8/2013 7:45:36 AM | message detail
The best way to boycott this obvious troll topic is to post in it as much as you can, obviously.
---
www.dudewheresmyfreedom.com
Proud to share the same beliefs as SmartMuffin
#4 | Djungelurban | Posted 8/8/2013 7:47:46 AM | message detail
Superior grammar tag
---
Text and stuff and bla
#5 | spooky96 | Posted 8/8/2013 7:48:15 AM | message detail
Yeah really, I dunno why TC of the other topic is to desperate to make a Contest Stats and Discussion topic. It is not like we're getting medals for it or something. We shall discuss stuff here!
---
I have Cloud winning this contest, which means I'll beat most of you...
Nawt gonna happen >_>
#6 | Karma Hunter (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/8/2013 7:49:25 AM | message detail
spooky96 posted...
Yeah really, I dunno why TC of the other topic is to desperate to make a Contest Stats and Discussion topic. It is not like we're getting medals for it or something. We shall discuss stuff here!


He's not, he's just trolling. Which is weird because as long as things are standardized it really doesn't matter who makes the topic.
---
www.dudewheresmyfreedom.com
Proud to share the same beliefs as SmartMuffin
#7 | Karma Hunter (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/8/2013 7:57:12 AM | message detail
Pyramid Head's doing his best to get as high as he can on the closest matches of the contest list. He's been shredding Nook *and* Dragonborn. Nook finally got in a tiny cut on Dragonborn while he wasn't looking, too.
---
www.dudewheresmyfreedom.com
Proud to share the same beliefs as SmartMuffin
#8 | Karma Hunter (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/8/2013 9:08:30 AM | message detail
Never again, Chief, I'm going to pick Pyramid Head over you if given the option
---
www.dudewheresmyfreedom.com
Proud to share the same beliefs as SmartMuffin
#9 | raytan7585 | Posted 8/8/2013 9:08:41 AM | message detail
lol Master Chief
---
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=baUY9LFlYh0 - KokorokokoroKOKOROkokoROKokoro-chan iu na
http://myanimelist.net/animelist/raytan7585
#10 | superange128 | Posted 8/8/2013 9:09:26 AM | message detail | (edited)
Karma Hunter posted...
Never again, Chief, I'm going to pick Pyramid Head over you if given the option


I would think people would have learned not to bet for the Chief in a debated match UNLESS it's another choker like Magus/Tidus/DK
---
Want any VNs pre-patched? PM me. List of VNs can be found by clicking on my username.
#11 | Safer_777 | Posted 8/8/2013 9:09:14 AM | message detail
Okay this sucks.MC is getting owned.
---
GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
#12 | ffmasterjose | Posted 8/8/2013 9:09:31 AM | message detail
I hope this is just Chief's horrible board vote.

which one of you gave him a Halo 4 picture? *shakes fist*
---
The Great GameFAQs Character Battle IX contest: 54/61 pts
NP: Master Chief > Yuna > Claire Redfield
#13 | pjbasis | Posted 8/8/2013 9:09:35 AM | message detail
He got the board vote.
---
http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png
SuperNiceDog - 1, pjbasis - 0
#14 | Fayt_Esteed | Posted 8/8/2013 9:09:39 AM | message detail
lol master chief
Choking again, what a trooper
---
"Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
#15 | Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 8/8/2013 9:09:52 AM | message detail
Chief you ass
---
Oh SuperNiceDog's doing it again dude.
SuperNiceDog, you ain't no pimp dude
#16 | MegatokyoEd | Posted 8/8/2013 9:10:07 AM | message detail
Chief got the bracket vote and collapsed.

lol Xbone.
---
Demyx is better than Axel.
http://www.last.fm/user/crazydom
#17 | Crimson Dragoon | Posted 8/8/2013 9:10:24 AM | message detail
#476 | ChenKenichiFan | Posted 8/8/2013 12:04:16 PM | message detail | quote
FFD please tell me which piece of RE2 music I should listen to for Claire imminent rise to the heavens.


Credit Line for that HARD ROCK

or T-B for that boss fight music

(All the Malformations of G are good too)
---
~FFDragon. (at Work !!) The Cream of Resident Evil Fanboyism.
#18 | VideoboysaysCube | Posted 8/8/2013 9:10:37 AM | message detail
What's going on here?! Yuna is a sellout! Why are you people voting for her!
---
This sentence has five words. This sentence has eight words. Only one sentence in this signature is true.
#19 | FranzyvonKarma | Posted 8/8/2013 9:11:00 AM | message detail
So uh...

X-Box deboost confirmed?
---
~War~
#20 | Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 8/8/2013 9:11:16 AM | message detail
Dat ass

Thats why
---
Oh SuperNiceDog's doing it again dude.
SuperNiceDog, you ain't no pimp dude
#21 | Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 8/8/2013 9:11:46 AM | message detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
58------1------------100.00
57------1------------100.00
56------10----------100.00
55------26----------100.00
54------63----------96.83
53------103--------96.12
52------172--------95.93
51------149--------92.62
50------192--------84.38
49------209--------87.08
48------301--------80.40
47------415--------78.80
46------591--------69.37
45------668--------71.86
44------937--------70.22
43------1078------72.54
42------1146------69.63
41------1184------67.15
40------1193------65.55
39------1076------63.29
38------959--------61.11
37------755--------58.81
36------698--------57.31
35------613--------55.46
34------512--------50.20
33------410--------50.98
32------355--------51.55
31------251--------49.00
30------227--------43.61
29------190--------38.95
28------165--------43.64
27------118--------43.22
26------78----------26.92
25------84----------28.57
24------56----------25.00
23------63----------31.75
22------47----------34.04
21------33----------24.24
20------23----------39.13
19------16----------37.50
18------9------------11.11
17------12----------8.33
16------8------------12.50
15------6------------33.33
14------5------------20.00
13------6------------0.00
12------2------------0.00
11------2------------0.00
10------1------------0.00
9--------1------------0.00
8--------2------------50.00
7--------16----------0.00
6--------0------------0.00
5--------1------------0.00
4--------5------------0.00
3--------2------------0.00
2--------3------------0.00
1--------4------------0.00
0--------1------------0.00

Pretty good support for Dragonborn. He probably would have killed a lot of brackets against a opponents that were a bit stronger.

1 person fell off the Top 49. BakusaiTenketsu did not have Dragonborn winning.
---
Pokemon VGC2013 BC Regional - 16th place
Pokemon VGC2013 US National - 39th place
#22 | TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 8/8/2013 9:11:50 AM | message detail
DAF

Dat Ass Factor
---
F*** BT
#23 | Karma Hunter (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/8/2013 9:11:56 AM | message detail
Dammit Chief is probably going to survive coming in last

probably

if only it were a night match
---
www.dudewheresmyfreedom.com
Proud to share the same beliefs as SmartMuffin
#24 | ChenKenichiFan | Posted 8/8/2013 9:11:59 AM | message detail
Super consistent update there; I didn't even notice it at first.

Come on, Redfield. Your first cut will blow this topic up.
---
http://i.imgur.com/a4GuDV3.gif
#25 | Safer_777 | Posted 8/8/2013 9:12:17 AM | message detail
There are 2 sexy asses so the average voter will vote for them.Makes sense.
---
GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
#26 | XIII_rocks | Posted 8/8/2013 9:12:20 AM | message detail
Oh f*** that
---
XIII_rocks, the cream of XIII fanboyism.
#27 | --Smurf-- | Posted 8/8/2013 9:12:55 AM | message detail
As I said in the other thread that seems to be getting abandoned for some reason. *shrug*

->
A strong Yuna performance would be evidence of the "badass decline theory due to an older and less impressionable audience" accounting for the uneven collapse of certain segments of the Final Fantasy crew.

Out of new square I'm expecting (or what will be recognised as when the contest is over) good to on par performances from: Yuna, Tidus, Rikku, Zidane, Vivi, Aeris, Tifa, Balthier

And poor performances from: Cloud, Vincent, Sephiroth, Zack, Squall, Auron

Lightning is a mystery
---
Smurf, the cream of Sonic Fanboyism.
#28 | superange128 | Posted 8/8/2013 9:13:02 AM | message detail
ffmasterjose posted...
I hope this is just Chief's horrible board vote.

which one of you gave him a Halo 4 picture? *shakes fist*


me and would you think another picture would give him more of an advantage?
---
Want any VNs pre-patched? PM me. List of VNs can be found by clicking on my username.
#29 | Greyfeld | Posted 8/8/2013 9:13:09 AM | message detail
Karma Hunter posted...
Never again, Chief, I'm going to pick Pyramid Head over you if given the option


I already had Yuna>Chief in my bracket, but before the match went up, I did a little research to calm my nerves about my pick. After determining that Zack demolished Ryu H. in the 2010 xstats (and Yuna/Chief lost to them by a similar percentage, respectively), I figured that Zack's and Yuna's strength would have had to have fallen off a cliff for Chief to eek out a win today.
---
PSN - Aevio
"I'm on a Goomba." - BlackMageJawa
#30 | ctesjbuvf | Posted 8/8/2013 9:13:33 AM | message detail
Chief is the worst character there, even though Halo is fun. Glad to see Yuna kicking his ass with her own excellent ass!
---
*2, *8,070,446 Kuroko no Basket
*3, *6,495,240 Naruto
#31 | The Real Truth | Posted 8/8/2013 9:14:12 AM | message detail
All of that hatred against the Xbone.
---
Tornadoman78:
tornadoman and tornadogirl like to kick box each other in my tornaolayzers and she dosent even mind getting hit
#32 | superange128 | Posted 8/8/2013 9:14:40 AM | message detail
--Smurf-- posted...
As I said in the other thread that seems to be getting abandoned for some reason. *shrug*

->
A strong Yuna performance would be evidence of the "badass decline theory due to an older and less impressionable audience" accounting for the uneven collapse of certain segments of the Final Fantasy crew.

Out of new square I'm expecting (or what will be recognised as when the contest is over) good to on par performances from: Yuna, Tidus, Rikku, Zidane, Vivi, Aeris, Tifa, Balthier

And poor performances from: Cloud, Vincent, Sephiroth, Zack, Squall, Auron

Lightning is a mystery


dont forget Barret

IF your theory is right, Lightning probably won't do too well (especially compared to almost getting 40% on Sonic 3 years back)
---
Want any VNs pre-patched? PM me. List of VNs can be found by clicking on my username.
#33 | ZinsanityCraze | Posted 8/8/2013 9:14:46 AM | message detail
--Smurf-- posted...
As I said in the other thread that seems to be getting abandoned for some reason. *shrug*

->
A strong Yuna performance would be evidence of the "badass decline theory due to an older and less impressionable audience" accounting for the uneven collapse of certain segments of the Final Fantasy crew.

Out of new square I'm expecting (or what will be recognised as when the contest is over) good to on par performances from: Yuna, Tidus, Rikku, Zidane, Vivi, Aeris, Tifa, Balthier

And poor performances from: Cloud, Vincent, Sephiroth, Zack, Squall, Auron

Lightning is a mystery


Badass decline theory? You serious?
---
Zinsanity of the Helix Board
#34 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/8/2013 9:15:25 AM | message detail
Updated Top 10

Top 10 Closest Matches
1. Lloyd Irving – 23.62% vs. Big Daddy – 23.45% - Round 1 – 0.17%
2. Alucard – 36.32% vs. Captain Falcon – 35.95% - Round 1 – 0.37%
3. Ike – 35.81% vs. Proto Man – 35.26% - Round 1 – 0.55%
4. Tharja – 36.21% vs. Tiny Tina – 35.35% - Round 1 – 0.86%
5. Viewtiful Joe – 25.65% vs. Handsome Jack – 24.20% - Round 1 – 1.45%
6. Missile – 19.26 vs. Sarah Kerrigan – 17.74% - Round 1 – 1.52%
7. Captain Viridian – 13.51% vs. Peacock – 11.60% - Round 1 – 1.91%
8. Catherine – 39.84% vs. Neku Sakuraba – 37.87% - Round 1 – 1.97%
8. Tom Nook – 29.82% vs. Pyramid Head – 27.85% - Round 1 – 1.97%
10. Hero – 25.76% vs. Rinoa Heartilly – 23.26% - Round 1 – 2.50%

Top 10 Smallest Night Vote Gaps
1. Lloyd Irving – 6223 vs. Big Daddy – 6177 – Round 1 – 46
2. Alucard – 10242 vs. Captain Falcon – 10139 – Round 1 – 103
3. Tharja – 11016 vs. Tiny Tina – 10753 – Round 1 – 263
4. Captain Viridian – 3128 vs. Peacock – 2685 – Round 1 – 443
5. Tom Nook – 7496 vs. Pyramid Head – 7000 – Round 1 – 496
6. Nathan Drake – 9667 vs. Pac-Man – 8974 – Round 1 – 693
7. Isaac – 4443 vs. Tingle – 3463 – Round 1 – 980
8. Crash Bandicoot – 11242 vs. Wheatley – 9702 – Round 1 – 1540
9. Cole – 5783 vs. Ragna the Bloodedge – 4240 – Round 1 – 1543
10. Sandbag – 4769 vs. Isaac Clarke – 3193 – Round 1 – 1576

Top 10 Least Impressive Night Winners
1. Nathan Drake – Round 1 – 9667
2. Yoshimitsu – Round 1 – 9815
3. Elizabeth – Round 1 – 10217
4. Alucard – Round 1 – 10242
5. Dragonborn – Round 1 – 10638
6. Tharja – Round 1 – 11016
7. Crash Bandicoot – Round 1 – 11242
8. Knuckles the Echidna – Round 1 – 11590
9. Auron – Round 1 – 11625
10. Phoenix Wright – Round 1 – 11914
---
BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 48/60 Today's Picks: Dragonborn and M Chief
#35 | ExThaNemesis | Posted 8/8/2013 9:16:38 AM | message detail
lmao Chief.

Where you at, Turtle?
---
Die young and save yourself.
Brace for the G's, and fast heel-toe work.
#36 | Karma Hunter (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/8/2013 9:17:58 AM | message detail
Oh and I'll take my knocks, I was stupidly dead wrong on this match. Chief has reached entirely new levels of suck, and the Xbone has to be at least somewhat to blame.
---
www.dudewheresmyfreedom.com
Proud to share the same beliefs as SmartMuffin
#37 | MarioSuperstar | Posted 8/8/2013 9:18:13 AM | message detail
The only bad thing about this match is that I don't get the same feeling I had when taking Sub-Zero, Ryu H., or Frog over him in the past. Sub-Zero/MC was the lowest predicted percentage 1v1 wise at one point.. and I felt pretty unique.

Now that the board actually favored against him.. :(
---
"i am pretty sure 3-year old children would generate more thoughtful discussion than board 8 on any topic of sexism" - Naye745
#38 | MegatokyoEd | Posted 8/8/2013 9:18:47 AM | message detail
Yuna doesn't even really look good here.

This is just Chief sucking ass. GameFAQS increasingly insular voting base + Xbone hatred = Chief reaching new levels of suck.
---
Demyx is better than Axel.
http://www.last.fm/user/crazydom
#39 | Karma Hunter (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/8/2013 9:19:31 AM | message detail
MarioSuperstar posted...
The only bad thing about this match is that I don't get the same feeling I had when taking Sub-Zero, Ryu H., or Frog over him in the past. Sub-Zero/MC was the lowest predicted percentage 1v1 wise at one point.. and I felt pretty unique.

Now that the board actually favored against him.. :(


Uh, don't act like Frog > MC wasn't ridiculously favored by the board. MC beating Frog would have been by far our biggest humiliation at the hands of the casuals.
---
www.dudewheresmyfreedom.com
Proud to share the same beliefs as SmartMuffin
#40 | spooky96 | Posted 8/8/2013 9:20:02 AM | message detail
I'll now always call him Master Chef seeing how pathetic he is doing.
---
I have Cloud winning this contest, which means I'll beat most of you...
Nawt gonna happen >_>
#41 | ZeldaTPLink | Posted 8/8/2013 9:20:09 AM | message detail
LOL MIcrosoft
#42 | ExThaNemesis | Posted 8/8/2013 9:21:19 AM | message detail
Yeah, Frog > MC was heavily favored by the board.

Sub-Zero > MC was just a fantastic pick though. I think Leon is the one that got me to even think about that match and I was so happy I picked it right.
---
Die young and save yourself.
Brace for the G's, and fast heel-toe work.
#43 | pjbasis | Posted 8/8/2013 9:21:23 AM | message detail
My expert needed these 6 points
---
http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png
SuperNiceDog - 1, pjbasis - 0
#44 | ChenKenichiFan | Posted 8/8/2013 9:22:25 AM | message detail
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_r0n9Dv6XnY

I really love this as Master Chief's contest theme song. Given Game Fuel and all, it just fits.
---
Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
http://i.imgur.com/gdl8lcn.jpg
#45 | alexjones555 | Posted 8/8/2013 9:22:35 AM | message detail
surprised but glad that Yuna is winning this, she has far more depth as a character than master chief.
#46 | swordz9 | Posted 8/8/2013 9:23:17 AM | message detail
Yuna is killing this. Didn't Black Turtle say Master Chief would be stomping here? XFD
---
http://myanimelist.net/animelist/swordz9
#47 | ctesjbuvf | Posted 8/8/2013 9:23:30 AM | message detail
MarioSuperstar posted...
Sub-Zero/MC was the lowest predicted percentage 1v1 wise at one point.. and I felt pretty unique.


Only when it comes to round 1 matches. It never was otherwise.
---
*2, *8,070,446 Kuroko no Basket
*3, *6,495,240 Naruto
#48 | AlecTrevelyan006 | Posted 8/8/2013 9:23:45 AM | message detail
Karma Hunter posted...
Oh and I'll take my knocks, I was stupidly dead wrong on this match. Chief has reached entirely new levels of suck, and the Xbone has to be at least somewhat to blame.


Yeah, toss me in here too.

I still thought Yuna was the favorite but I thought Chief had a good chance.

"Oops"
---
Menji has reclaimed what was his by rights. I was more of a man with his than with my own combined.
##Alec
#49 | ZFS | Posted 8/8/2013 9:25:05 AM | message detail
Chief never made much sense here. Just didn't seem like a good pick with the Xbox problems and the smaller votes.
---
tune in tokyo 142.94
#50 | Haste_2 | Posted 8/8/2013 9:25:13 AM | message detail
Boycott this topic to 500!

I think Yuna's performance looks good, actually. She's doubling Claire so far, and Rikku was only expected to get 60% on Claire in that female bracket. Of course, Claire could be much weaker now.
---
"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those! It could be fun! So... what is a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."