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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1097
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Auron
looked fine under the circumstances. I dunno why everyone here loves to
call for LFF in every possible situation but when Auron/Roxas LFF is
brought up (who are literally in the same game), everyone's like "eh,
probably didn't happen!" I don't understand you people! --- "Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!" "Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!" |
I can't believe that people on this board are actually trying to start the rallies themselves. Are we that obsessed with "being right"? ...Oh, right, of course we are. --- RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed. |
Like
I said yesterday, Roxas was a bad draw for Auron. L-Block definitely
has a chance, but I don't think he should be the favorite. --- I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword |
People are actually thinking L-Block can beat Auron based on this silly match? |
I
feel that Auron should have done a little better against Roxas in a
night match. It should have been a 70/30 or worse, but I'll give Auron a
little slack for having a very plain match picture. Though Ocelot didn't even look like Ocelot (I love the new MGS5 models but we've gotta assume tons of people still don't recognize them) so... --- Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer) http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif |
Well,
they're basing it more on L-Block's "potential" than anything else.
Even a slightly weakened Auron should be able to win next round. Only
way L-Block wins is via shenanigans, and we haven't seen any signs of
said shenanigans in either of its post-championship appearances. --- http://img.imgcake.com/nio/26leonpngat.png http://img.imgcake.com/nio/daigohadoupnguj.png |
ahirsch101 posted... People are actually thinking L-Block can beat Auron based on this silly match? Just saying it shouldn't be discarded as ridiculous. --- Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer) http://i.imgur.com/gdl8lcn.jpg |
I'd assume enough MGS fans have seen the MGSV trailer for it to have an impact at this point. --- http://img.imgcake.com/tumblrmb8ky9zpsk1qd3518o8250gifyd.gif http://img.imgcake.com/tumblrmb8ky9zpsk1qd3518o6250gifuv.gif |
I see what you're saying about Auron, I just wouldn't take too much from this match since I suspect Palutena is very weak. |
Speaking of Roxas, are we looking at a contest where every Kingdom Hearts character aside from Sora is eliminated in Round 1? Though I think that was guaranteed by virtue of Roxas and Riku doing so bad seeding-wise, and Axel not making it. Speaking of which... ...am I the only one who wants to see a bonus poll with snubbed veterans? It could increase their chance of making it into a future contest. If we had such a poll, I say we hold it between Liquid Snake, Ken, and Jecht. --- Currently Playing - Super Metroid, MGS4, Brawl, FFVII, Wind Waker, RE4, SOTC |
ahirsch101 posted... I see what you're saying about Auron, I just wouldn't take too much from this match since I suspect Palutena is very weak. Just you wait, L-Block will be fodderized next round (provided it even makes it there, stupid LoL). --- Currently Playing - Super Metroid, MGS4, Brawl, FFVII, Wind Waker, RE4, SOTC |
Eh, this match is over; even Palutena's placing is secure now. Draven was already making big strides three hours in. --- Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer) http://i.imgur.com/NQTthNf.jpg |
ChenKenichiFan posted... Ezio looked fine but Auron underwhelmed. L-Block will stand out like crazy next round and New Square in general hasn't done well, so I think it's fair to keep the block upset possibility open. It won't lead to anything too scary, though; Samus will just roll through the next round anyway. I was honestly starting to get scared of the possibility of Ezio beating Auron. IIRC Tails and Ocelot are pretty much equal in the 2010 x-stats, and both of them have excuses to increase since then (MGSV hype/Sonic's resurrection/old-school icons boosting). So does Ezio. I'm not switching away from Yuna in my Expert Challenge, but I honestly feel that Master Chief is going to surprise us and win. Besides, last time we bet against Halo it didn't work. Although I acknowledge that we bet against Halo because of consistent disappointments from everything related to that franchise in past contests. Never mind that 53% on Uncharted 2 doesn't exactly look all that good after Drake struggled with Pac-Man (although maybe the fact that he won at all is impressive?). --- Currently Playing - Super Metroid, MGS4, Brawl, FFVII, Wind Waker, RE4, SOTC |
Looking
at these failed rallies, I don't think there was ever any danger of
Teemo winning. Half of the posts are like "screw Teemo I'm voting for
L-Block." --- I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword |
I hate hate hate hate hate this match seriously This is the most annoying match so far (and i'm mad as far as it's possible to be mad at internet poll!) I think most of the anti-Draven posts in those topics are mine and I really don't believe he can advance past Ryu and X (and I would bet my account he will finish last in a 4 ways with them even if we throw Zero in) But even then,I can't believe Teemo is getting owned so bad here Even if half of the rallied votes of LoL were given to L-Block I would expect Teemo to at least...beat Palutena Now about those rallied votes...the current votals for this match is 11664 which is the second highest votals ine last 10 day matches (the first being Missile match which was..kinda rallied too) Then there was the Zidane match with 11443 which was legit Anyway the average votals for this timespan in the last 10 day matches is...10939 Which would mean we are talking about 725 rallied votes (at max) so far...yay...(6% of the votes..) |
LinkMarioSamus posted... I was honestly starting to get scared of the possibility of Ezio beating Auron. It ain't going to happen. --- Zinsanity of the Helix Board |
LinkMarioSamus posted... ChenKenichiFan posted...Ezio looked fine but Auron underwhelmed. L-Block will stand out like crazy next round and New Square in general hasn't done well, so I think it's fair to keep the block upset possibility open. It won't lead to anything too scary, though; Samus will just roll through the next round anyway. Tails went through Kratos and Charizard. His 2k10 value is drastically higher than all his previous values. --- Crucifying my Oracle average one match at a time |
LoL: messing with your expert picks by NOT rallying #mindgames |
Oh right, trend chart for the night match: Time | Auron | Ocelot | Roxas | Votes 0:05 | 46.92% | 31.63% | 21.44% | 471 1:00 | 44.59% | 33.09% | 22.32% | 5008 2:00 | 44.19% | 33.56% | 22.25% | 2831 3:00 | 44.05% | 33.09% | 22.86% | 2200 4:00 | 44.52% | 33.56% | 21.92% | 1779 5:00 | 46.05% | 32.37% | 21.58% | 1455 6:00 | 46.27% | 32.89% | 20.84% | 1435 7:00 | 44.93% | 35.13% | 19.94% | 1449 8:00 | 48.92% | 31.33% | 19.75% | 1711 9:00 | 46.18% | 34.26% | 19.56% | 1897 10:00 | 46.57% | 32.37% | 21.06% | 1999 11:00 | 47.51% | 31.59% | 20.90% | 1928 12:00 | 45.73% | 31.22% | 23.06% | 1826 Auron does better in the second half of the match. Ocelot does better in the first half. Roxas suffers a bit during the Europe vote but recovers a little with the late morning vote. Not a lot of movement overall though. X-Stats: Auron – 50.00% Revolver Ocelot – 41.94% Roxas – 32.10% Auron's prediction percentage was 54.66% --- http://www.gifsoup.com/view/593815/frasier-and-niles-dance-o.gif |
6000 vote barrier activated consider it called |
ShatteredElysium posted... Tails went through Kratos and Charizard. His 2k10 value is drastically higher than all his previous values. Huh you're right? He's actually higher in the adjusted stats than in the raw stats, strangely enough. Those stats have Ocelot a smidge above Tails, on further inspection. Factor in a possible Ocelot boost and...there goes Ezio's chances of pulling off the upset. Makes me remember all that Ezio > Zelda talk way back when. --- Currently Playing - Super Metroid, MGS4, Brawl, FFVII, Wind Waker, RE4, SOTC |
LinkMarioSamus posted... Makes me remember all that Ezio > Zelda talk way back when. All that non-existent Ezio > Zelda talk. Well, there was one dude who argued hardcore for it, I think, but no one took him seriously. --- http://media.tumblr.com/tumblr_lo22vfguji1qzxr43.gif |
Let us hope that Draven fares better. --- GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~ |
Safer_777 posted... Let us hope that Draven fares worse. |
Oh man, I vaguely remember the Ezio > Zelda lone ranger. Who the heck was it? --- Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer) http://i.imgur.com/gdl8lcn.jpg |
Teemo's
trolling has transcended League of Legends. He's performing so poorly
to convince everyone to put Draven in last in their expert bracket. --- I pwn you all! |
Oh screw this match\ Any chance for Tom Nook>Dragonborn? |
ChenKenichiFan posted... Oh man, I vaguely remember the Ezio > Zelda lone ranger. Who the heck was it? Yeah, I can't remember either. Didn't he do an account bet over the match or something? I guess he followed through with it! --- http://www.gifsoup.com/view/593815/frasier-and-niles-dance-o.gif |
ChenKenichiFan posted... Oh man, I vaguely remember the Ezio > Zelda lone ranger. Who the heck was it? It was Curt. --- Die young and save yourself. Brace for the G's, and fast heel-toe work. |
So Teemo actually was rallied and it... hardly did anything? Just more evidence that Draven was vote stuffed imhhhho. We'd better hope Bacon actually does something when he's stuffing against non jobbers because with these vote totals and Ryu not totally rolling over for MMX he could definitely roll over that match too given that evidence supports that it's not actually rallying. --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
Oh yeah, it was Curt. Just now realizing I haven't seen him in forever unless he's on an alt I'm unaware of. --- http://www.gifsoup.com/view/593815/frasier-and-niles-dance-o.gif |
LeonhartFour posted... Oh yeah, it was Curt. He changes accounts frequently. Last time I saw him he was on the name 'BleedingRed'. --- Die young and save yourself. Brace for the G's, and fast heel-toe work. |
Lopen posted... So Teemo actually was rallied and it... hardly did anything? MMX to SFF Ryu into the ground come on MMX do it |
From: Lopen | Posted: 8/7/2013 3:43:56 PM | #230 So Teemo actually was rallied and it... hardly did anything? i wouldn't even be surprised if it was just a guy who picked Draven in round 1 and won't bother stuffing him anymore --- http://24.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_lxkdr0uNc91qlu5jao1_r1_400.gif |
Lopen posted... So Teemo actually was rallied and it... hardly did anything? The Reddit rallies for this match didn't take off. Also my impression from reading the few posts in them is that a lot of LoL players don't actually like Teemo, so he might not even be drawing the majority of the rallied votes. --- I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword |
If you actually read the Draven rally topics most people were saying "screw you I'm voting for Jak" in them too. --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
1337gamerpr0 posted... Lopen posted...So Teemo actually was rallied and it... hardly did anything? Am I the only one who thinks that Draven will benefit from standing out like a sore thumb against two anime-inspired characters? It isn't even necessarily Capcom LFF or anything - if you replace one of those two with Frank West or Jill Valentine, I stop considering that. Street Fighter and Mega Man just feel like close-together series to me though, and it isn't just because of consistent Street Fighter references in the Mega Man X games (yes I know about that). --- Currently Playing - Super Metroid, MGS4, Brawl, FFVII, Wind Waker, RE4, SOTC |
Yeah but it was more in a "I really like Jak" kind of way and not in a "I'm antivoting this little b****** " way. --- I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword |
Yeah,
I think Draven was vote stuffed to be honest. Even if Teemo isn't that
well liked, these rallies for it can't even save him from being the very
worst of fodder at this point. --- Still smilin' :> |
Lopen posted... If you actually read the Draven rally topics most people were saying "screw you I'm voting for Jak" in them too. this is true, but I don't think Draven gets anti-voted like Teemo |
At least Teemo will give us something to adjust Draven by in the X-Stats...! --- http://i.imgur.com/kCpvD.gif |
And
yeah I've said this before but it's not like Draven is some beloved
figure in the LOL community. He has a meme but the meme's almost a
backhanded insult to him out of being annoyed because he's overused.
He's less love-hate than Teemo but anyone saying he's universally liked
is uninformed about LOL or just delusional. --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
(I'm not discounting the possibility of stuffing, but I think Draven would have at least beat Chie anyway) --- I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword |
Changing
subject, you guys think Mint and Rue from Threads of Fate would be the
weakest Square characters to ever set foot in a contest if they happened
to make it in at some point? --- Currently Playing - Super Metroid, MGS4, Brawl, FFVII, Wind Waker, RE4, SOTC |
Yeah
this is making Draven's round 1 performance very hard to believe. It's
very hard to get a rally to make as much difference as in Draven's match
and then you look at how terrible Teemo is doing........ To bring about the Draven swing you need a rabid fanbase and surely if the LoL fanbase cares that much to rally that amount of votes for him then Teemo would be the same. Biggest red flag is how Draven completely dominated Europe and then you look at Teemo today and he SUCKS there. Jak won 40>31 in the US so Europe must of swung that match and then suddenly they dont care at all about LoL in this match? |
Man I am excited for Dragonborn tonight. What would you guys need to see from him in order to make him a favorite in Round 2 (against the FF girls, mind. If it's Chief there instead I realize he's probably got no chance). --- Die young and save yourself. Brace for the G's, and fast heel-toe work. |
50% at least. Probably more like 60% since he's against two fodder characters. --- Currently Playing - Super Metroid, MGS4, Brawl, FFVII, Wind Waker, RE4, SOTC |
I
don't buy it. A Draven stuffer would have had to be extremely
persistent AND smart to do things the way he did. Draven began with
healthy percentage cuts, then elevated to stalls, then began cutting
Jak's lead to shreds, and then only gradually slowed his tornado once he
got the lead. The stuffer would have needed to stuff with normal rally
trends in mind - which is intelligent as hell - and would have also
needed to keep the effort going for nine consecutive hours, as Draven
continued to gain until the very end. That's some George Romero s***. I now really want this to be George Romero. --- http://i.imgur.com/a4GuDV3.gif |
Fr0zoN posted... Yeah this is making Draven's round 1 performance very hard to believe. It's very hard to get a rally to make as much difference as in Draven's match and then you look at how terrible Teemo is doing........ Teemo hasn't had any big rallies take off. If they don't take off they're useless. Draven had a huge one that reached the front page of the LoL subreddit where it was seen by a ton of people. The Teemo ones never got anywhere close to the front page. --- I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword |
If
Draven was being stuffed than the person doing so went to a lot of
trouble to make sure that the proxy servers he was using were in a wide
variety of countries. I mean I don't know how exactly vote stuffing
would work, but I doubt that the person rallying would have been able to
get votes "from" virtually every country in Europe, without trying to
do so. --- "What's the matter with bootblacking? We both like it very much!" This is Yesmar. |
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