Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1097

#1 | UltimaterializerX | Posted 8/7/2013 9:04:37 AM | message detail
Never underestimate the power of the Scout's Code.



~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://www.thengamer.com/
http://thengamer.com/xstats

~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame

~*Character Contest Histories*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the Match Pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Leonhart4's Trend Charts*~
https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?hl=en&key=tOGmynfNIiNy5VukpEF-PdA&hl=en#gid=0

~*Daily Vote Trends - An Explanation for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Daily_Vote_Trends

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense.

Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated.
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Make me a perfect lie.
#2 | ff6man | Posted 8/7/2013 9:05:10 AM | message detail
I wonder how many Chesters pre-rally Draven and Teemo are worth.
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#3 | Safer_777 | Posted 8/7/2013 9:06:54 AM | message detail
Get your rally on!
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#4 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/7/2013 9:11:53 AM | message detail
Jesus, Teemo, I expected bad things from you but this is really bad.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#5 | ctesjbuvf | Posted 8/7/2013 9:13:31 AM | message detail
Even without SFF it's quite impressive. I don't think it's a lot, but I think it's some. It might not be, yes, but it might also be.
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*2, *8,070,446 Kuroko no Basket
*3, *6,495,240 Naruto
#6 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/7/2013 9:14:22 AM | message detail
Updated Top 10

Top 10 Least Impressive Night Winners
1. Nathan Drake – Round 1 – 9667
2. Yoshimitsu – Round 1 – 9815
3. Elizabeth – Round 1 – 10217
4. Alucard – Round 1 – 10242
5. Tharja – Round 1 – 11016
6. Crash Bandicoot – Round 1 – 11242
7. Knuckles the Echidna – Round 1 – 11590
8. Auron – Round 1 – 11625
9. Phoenix Wright – Round 1 – 11914
10. Sora – Round 1 – 12275
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 46/58 Today's Picks: Auron and L-Block
#7 | xp1337 | Posted 8/7/2013 9:14:26 AM | message detail
The worst part of this match is that on an instinctual level I want to see a Teemo rally materialize sooner rather than later just so I can put to rest the idea of Palutena beating Teemo, but at the same time I know it's better it not happen for a while to just help solidify L-Block's position.

Such an annoying match!
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#8 | swordz9 | Posted 8/7/2013 9:14:28 AM | message detail
XD nice to see LoL characters are worth almost nothing outside of rallies.
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#9 | handsomeboy2012 | Posted 8/7/2013 9:14:45 AM | message detail
Does Teemo get anti-voted? Some don't like how Draven won last time...
#10 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/7/2013 9:15:37 AM | message detail
Teemo almost stalled Palutena already
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 46/58 Today's Picks: Auron and L-Block
#11 | Safer_777 | Posted 8/7/2013 9:16:03 AM | message detail
Come on I want to see a rally!But anyway even the hot chick is beating a rat.That is nice I guess.
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
#12 | tennisboy213 | Posted 8/7/2013 9:16:05 AM | message detail
RALLY TIME!
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POKEFEAR
#13 | LeonhartFour | Posted 8/7/2013 9:16:08 AM | message detail
Man, how does Kid Icarus have such a good board vote?
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#14 | Denzokuken | Posted 8/7/2013 9:16:26 AM | message detail
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZvCI-gNK_y4
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Character Battle IX Tingle Victory Parade - the journey is over....
#15 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 8/7/2013 9:16:30 AM | message detail
I don't think that update was rallying because L-Block still went up in percentage. Any significant rallying is going to hurt L-Block's percentage more than Palutena's.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
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#16 | OrangeCrush980 | Posted 8/7/2013 9:16:39 AM | message detail
Teemo is down by almost 700 now. lol LoL
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#17 | nintendogirl2 | Posted 8/7/2013 9:16:43 AM | message detail
I reckon Teemo needs 14000 votes rallied plus whatever rallied votes go to L-Block.
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#18 | superange128 | Posted 8/7/2013 9:17:25 AM | message detail
ILL SCOUT AHEAD
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#19 | xp1337 | Posted 8/7/2013 9:17:44 AM | message detail
nintendogirl2 posted...
I reckon Teemo needs 14000 votes rallied plus whatever rallied votes go to L-Block.

I like L-Block's chances there but augh I hate how I think there's a non-zero chance that happens!
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#20 | Rad Link 5 | Posted 8/7/2013 9:17:44 AM | message detail
Seeing how much everyone here loces Kid Icarus Uprising always makes me sad that I have such issues with the game's controls.
#21 | CasanovaZelos | Posted 8/7/2013 9:18:34 AM | message detail
This is the first time I've ever actually cheered L-Block on, and only for the sake of it preventing something that mirrors its own first contest.
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#22 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 8/7/2013 9:18:59 AM | message detail
handsomeboy2012 posted...
Does Teemo get anti-voted? Some don't like how Draven won last time...


Draven probably got anti-voted in his first match, LoL will only get anti-voted more now
#23 | LinkMarioSamus | Posted 8/7/2013 9:19:15 AM | message detail
Somehow I get the feeling that Teemo's rally will never come.
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#24 | xp1337 | Posted 8/7/2013 9:19:36 AM | message detail
CasanovaZelos posted...
This is the first time I've ever actually cheered L-Block on, and only for the sake of it preventing something that mirrors its own first contest.

I like to think of it more as hoping Teemo fails just the right amount, but yeah, this is a very odd position for me to be in.

I really don't like this match!
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#25 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 8/7/2013 9:20:12 AM | message detail
http://forums.na.leagueoflegends.com/board/showthread.php?t=3745392

That's the first rally I've seen so far. There are no rallies on Reddit yet.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#26 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 8/7/2013 9:20:23 AM | message detail
CasanovaZelos posted...
This is the first time I've ever actually cheered L-Block on, and only for the sake of it preventing something that mirrors its own first contest.


wow really
what's not to like about L-Block's run
#27 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/7/2013 9:20:50 AM | message detail
Draven probably got anti-voted in his first match, LoL will only get anti-voted more now

Can't get anti-voted any more when no one votes for you already.
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 46/58 Today's Picks: Auron and L-Block
#28 | vcharon | Posted 8/7/2013 9:21:08 AM | message detail
Yeah, no working rallies yet.
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Still smilin'
:>
#29 | LeonhartFour | Posted 8/7/2013 9:21:11 AM | message detail
1337gamerpr0 posted...
wow really
what's not to like about L-Block's run


It kept beating a lot of my favorite characters, for one thing!
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#30 | Nanis23 | Posted 8/7/2013 9:21:37 AM | message detail
First post should have had the teemodies stream
#31 | xp1337 | Posted 8/7/2013 9:21:44 AM | message detail
I can't imagine LoL facing notable anti-voting for a while. At least not as a reaction to its contest successes.

I really have a hard time believing anyone not from Board 8 would look at Teemo and anti-vote on the grounds that Draven rallied to victory. I'm not sure casuals would really notice that until/unless Link lost or something. Maybe MMX/Ryu.
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#32 | BK_Sheikah00 | Posted 8/7/2013 9:22:08 AM | message detail | (edited)
Yay, Pretty Palutena!

lol LoL sucks so much without rallies.
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#33 | nintendogirl2 | Posted 8/7/2013 9:22:07 AM | message detail
List of people with no shame:

SuperAngelo
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#34 | superange128 | Posted 8/7/2013 9:23:18 AM | message detail
I definitely am not someone who has lots of shame naturally

I guess people don't like rallies?
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#35 | xp1337 | Posted 8/7/2013 9:23:33 AM | message detail
1337gamerpr0 posted...
CasanovaZelos posted...
This is the first time I've ever actually cheered L-Block on, and only for the sake of it preventing something that mirrors its own first contest.


wow really
what's not to like about L-Block's run

My belief that it inspired Bacon to keep trying all these gimmick formats? Or at least for keeping 4ways around two contests longer than they should have!

I also objected on the grounds it wasn't a character, but whatever! This argument is 6 years old now.
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#36 | ctesjbuvf | Posted 8/7/2013 9:23:34 AM | message detail
L-Block beat the favorite characters of a lot of us.

Annoying at first, but ended up being the best thing.
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*2, *8,070,446 Kuroko no Basket
*3, *6,495,240 Naruto
#37 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 8/7/2013 9:23:46 AM | message detail
I did find this Teemo rally on Reddit, but the topic creator linked to the wrong page to vote in the match:

http://www.reddit.com/r/leagueoflegends/comments/1jw28n/vote_for_teemo_save_an_orphan/
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#38 | LordoftheMorons | Posted 8/7/2013 9:23:49 AM | message detail
One Teemo rally on Reddit, but the guy who did it is dumb and linked to http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll instead of the actual poll
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#39 | LeonhartFour | Posted 8/7/2013 9:24:54 AM | message detail
superange128 posted...
I guess people don't like rallies?


rallies are teh lame
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#40 | Rad Link 5 | Posted 8/7/2013 9:25:55 AM | message detail
L-Block could beat my own mother in a poll, and I'd still love it.


Hell, it could even beat someone I like!
#41 | xp1337 | Posted 8/7/2013 9:26:13 AM | message detail
Yeah, I don't like rallies either but I think I've got myself into that argument more than once this contest so I don't know if I feel like doing it again.
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#42 | swordz9 | Posted 8/7/2013 9:27:12 AM | message detail
I don't like L-Block's run because I don't think non-characters should be in.
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#43 | LeonhartFour | Posted 8/7/2013 9:27:18 AM | message detail
ctesjbuvf posted...
L-Block beat the favorite characters of a lot of us.

Annoying at first, but ended up being the best thing.


Nah, I think L-Block winning resulted in us keeping a bad format for longer than we should have because WHOO UNPREDICTABILITY

There are a lot of better things that have happened to this contest than L-Block.
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#44 | BK_Sheikah00 | Posted 8/7/2013 9:28:12 AM | message detail
So where does this put Palutena? High fodder?
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#45 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 8/7/2013 9:28:15 AM | message detail
swordz9 posted...
I don't like L-Block's run because I don't think non-characters should be in.


so why is Link winning most of them *rimshot*
#46 | Nanis23 | Posted 8/7/2013 9:29:10 AM | message detail
-LusterSoldier- posted...
http://forums.na.leagueoflegends.com/board/showthread.php?t=3745392

That's the first rally I've seen so far. There are no rallies on Reddit yet.


That last post on the first page
Those people alter our contests..?
#47 | LeonhartFour | Posted 8/7/2013 9:29:49 AM | message detail
BK_Sheikah00 posted...
So where does this put Palutena? High fodder?


Nah, she's probably upper-middle level for fodder depending on where L-Block is from last contest. She wouldn't beat anyone of consequence based on this performance so far.
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#48 | CasanovaZelos | Posted 8/7/2013 9:29:56 AM | message detail
I just found L-Block boring from the beginning. It tore the contest up, but in a way that would only lessen the impact of any future contest. It essentially came down to exploiting the format of the contest. And L-Block is in no way a character, and its inclusion was a dumb one-off joke that for some reason gained traction. If we could get a legitimate character doing the same thing L-Block did, that'd be amazing. Draven and Teemo are not the characters that deserve that, though.
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#49 | Nanis23 | Posted 8/7/2013 9:30:51 AM | message detail
OH MY GOD MASSIVE TEEMO CUT
Na,i'm just kidding
#50 | superange128 | Posted 8/7/2013 9:31:31 AM | message detail
CasanovaZelos posted...
I just found L-Block boring from the beginning. It tore the contest up, but in a way that would only lessen the impact of any future contest. It essentially came down to exploiting the format of the contest. And L-Block is in no way a character, and its inclusion was a dumb one-off joke that for some reason gained traction. If we could get a legitimate character doing the same thing L-Block did, that'd be amazing. Draven and Teemo are not the characters that deserve that, though.


Draven and Teemo at least have personality/dialogue/full manual non-random control
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