Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1095

#401 | Safer_777 | Posted 8/6/2013 5:23:11 AM | message detail
I am all for Cloud myself.But it seems that Cloud can only win the semifinal if only Pikachu is there.If Sora is there he loses because there are 2 JRGP's characters.If Crono is there he loses for the same reason.If Pika is there however he can advance since Pika will draw the Smash votes from Snake.
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#402 | JustForFun1988 | Posted 8/6/2013 5:34:48 AM | message detail
Denzokuken posted...
I just don't see the fraud beating Link. His only 1 v 1 win of note is over a guy being antivoted so badly Tifa put up 45% on him. Can someone with such a poor record really be a character battle champion?


L-Block definitely had some noteworthy 1vs1 wins before becoming character battle champion then. Remember how L-Block trounced that pathetic good for nothing Cloud in 2004, good time.
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#403 | Swarles_Barkley | Posted 8/6/2013 5:44:22 AM | message detail
Denzokuken posted...
I just don't see the fraud beating Link. His only 1 v 1 win of note is over a guy being antivoted so badly Tifa put up 45% on him. Can someone with such a poor record really be a character battle champion? I think the fraud will be exposed horribly should he make the final 3.


This contest isn' t 1-1 either! Snake's already shown himself capable of plenty shenanigans in threeways (didn't he beat Cloud in a threeway with Link? Can't find that match for the life of me though).


Snake is also far more relevant today than Cloud or Link are; MGS5 looks absolutely amazing. Square is crumbling and LoZ is not the earth-shattering series it once was. MGS stands tall.

Lastly, I don't think Sony has ever been as popular on this site as it is now, that can' t hurt Snake.
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Hail Solid Snake, our CBIX champion!
#404 | SubDeity | Posted 8/6/2013 5:44:33 AM | message detail
Oh hey I'm on the leaderboard finally.

That's pretty cool.
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#405 | FranzyvonKarma | Posted 8/6/2013 5:56:26 AM | message detail
Oh wow Seifer is terrible.
#406 | Denzokuken | Posted 8/6/2013 5:57:42 AM | message detail
Swarles_Barkley posted...

This contest isn' t 1-1 either! Snake's already shown himself capable of plenty shenanigans in threeways (didn't he beat Cloud in a threeway with Link? Can't find that match for the life of me though).

Snake is also far more relevant today than Cloud or Link are; MGS5 looks absolutely amazing. Square is crumbling and LoZ is not the earth-shattering series it once was. MGS stands tall.


It was a fourway in 2008 between Link/Cloud/Snake/Crono. Snake got a huge bandwagon early on but lost easily to Link, and by the second half of the match (his natural strength) he dropped thousands of votes to an LFF'd Cloud. Essentially, 2008 was Snake's strongest year (MGS4, Brawl) and he still got owned by Link and Cloud.

The second paragraph is all a matter of personal perspective... I disagree with all of it myself, and I say that as a fan of the MGS series.
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#407 | Seanchan | Posted 8/6/2013 6:06:40 AM | message detail
Swarles_Barkley posted...
Denzokuken posted...
I just don't see the fraud beating Link. His only 1 v 1 win of note is over a guy being antivoted so badly Tifa put up 45% on him. Can someone with such a poor record really be a character battle champion? I think the fraud will be exposed horribly should he make the final 3.


This contest isn' t 1-1 either! Snake's already shown himself capable of plenty shenanigans in threeways (didn't he beat Cloud in a threeway with Link? Can't find that match for the life of me though).


Snake is also far more relevant today than Cloud or Link are; MGS5 looks absolutely amazing. Square is crumbling and LoZ is not the earth-shattering series it once was. MGS stands tall.

Why would MGS5 help Snake? He's not even in it. It should be helping Big Boss. People have clearly shown different voting trends for similar but not exactly the same characters.

Lastly, I don't think Sony has ever been as popular on this site as it is now, that can' t hurt Snake.


What does Snake have to do with Big Boss' starring role in MGS5? Did I miss something?
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#408 | Ultimaphazon | Posted 8/6/2013 6:11:12 AM | message detail
Even though Snake isn't in MGS5, it should still give him a boost.
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Bracket score: 47 / Expert score: 222
#409 | LinkMarioSamus | Posted 8/6/2013 6:15:27 AM | message detail
Snake is still the face of the series, so yeah MGS5 should help him. MGS3 probably helped Snake too, at least in preventing him from losing to Bowser and allowing him to do as well against 2005 Mario as he did against 2004 Mega Man.

Eventually however, MGS fans will probably recognize Big Boss to be the face of the series, so I guess at that point Big Boss and Snake's strengths will switch around. Will be interesting to see.
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#410 | Safer_777 | Posted 8/6/2013 6:17:05 AM | message detail
So in the next match Ezio win is a lock?Lopen of the crew believes that Tails can do it.But I mean if Altair managed to win(against weaker competition of course)Ezio which is the face of the AC games he will win easily right?
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#411 | LinkMarioSamus | Posted 8/6/2013 6:20:03 AM | message detail
Tails probably gives Ezio a close match, and I wouldn't be surprised if he outright wins. Mostly going off of Pac-Man giving Nathan Drake a good fight, although Assassin's Creed is probably more popular than Uncharted and Ezio is probably more photogenic than Drake.

On a different topic, I suddenly get the feeling that Pyramid Head is going to upset Dragonborn. We've already seen two 25 seeds win anyway - why not a third?
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#412 | Safer_777 | Posted 8/6/2013 6:24:07 AM | message detail
Because nobody cares for Silent Hill games.
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#413 | Ultimaphazon | Posted 8/6/2013 6:29:37 AM | message detail
Also, I'd be shocked if Dragonborn isn't stronger than the other 3 seeds. Skyrim is huge.
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Bracket score: 47 / Expert score: 222
#414 | superCP | Posted 8/6/2013 6:39:52 AM | message detail
When do the 24-hour matches start? Divisions Finals and on?
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#415 | Safer_777 | Posted 8/6/2013 6:42:37 AM | message detail
3rd round actually.
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#416 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 8/6/2013 6:49:53 AM | message detail
Safer_777 posted...
3rd round actually.


which is the Division Finals -_-
#417 | CrushDavis | Posted 8/6/2013 6:55:47 AM | message detail
#418 | Swarles_Barkley | Posted 8/6/2013 7:04:20 AM | message detail
Seanchan posted...
Swarles_Barkley posted...
Denzokuken posted...
I just don't see the fraud beating Link. His only 1 v 1 win of note is over a guy being antivoted so badly Tifa put up 45% on him. Can someone with such a poor record really be a character battle champion? I think the fraud will be exposed horribly should he make the final 3.


This contest isn' t 1-1 either! Snake's already shown himself capable of plenty shenanigans in threeways (didn't he beat Cloud in a threeway with Link? Can't find that match for the life of me though).


Snake is also far more relevant today than Cloud or Link are; MGS5 looks absolutely amazing. Square is crumbling and LoZ is not the earth-shattering series it once was. MGS stands tall.

Why would MGS5 help Snake? He's not even in it. It should be helping Big Boss. People have clearly shown different voting trends for similar but not exactly the same characters.

Lastly, I don't think Sony has ever been as popular on this site as it is now, that can' t hurt Snake.


What does Snake have to do with Big Boss' starring role in MGS5? Did I miss something?


I'll admit this is a good point. I didn't even think of this, I've always considered Snake's and Big Boss' strengths to be intertwined. They are clones after all. This is particularly glaring in MGS3 but MGS5 should still do good things for Snake.
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Hail Solid Snake, our CBIX champion!
#419 | Lieutenant Kettch | Posted 8/6/2013 7:22:35 AM | message detail
Seifer is doing better than I expected. He's a completely unlikeable, mostly non-playable character. Figured he would be lower.
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#420 | TheOneAboveAll | Posted 8/6/2013 7:35:35 AM | message detail
Are we even sure of Tails>Bomberman? With low votals and a dedicated fanbase, they could be close. They did put up similar numbers on Squall and Auron back in the day. This match could honestly conceivably end in any order.
#421 | Qwaar | Posted 8/6/2013 7:44:48 AM | message detail
Can't afford to drop points in this match after losing in the last 2.
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#422 | Kibago | Posted 8/6/2013 7:44:50 AM | message detail
and she's up to 40% on Knuckles.
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#423 | MegatokyoEd | Posted 8/6/2013 8:01:57 AM | message detail
How close do we think this ends up one-on-one?

The fact that Celes could have given Knux a scare, if not outright beat him, is amazing.
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#424 | Fayt_Esteed | Posted 8/6/2013 8:06:38 AM | message detail
MegatokyoEd posted...
How close do we think this ends up one-on-one?

The fact that Celes could have given Knux a scare, if not outright beat him, is amazing.


I'm starting to think it's somewhere in the vein of 55/45 or something.
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#425 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/6/2013 8:07:12 AM | message detail
Match LVIII: (2) Ezio Auditore da Firenze vs. (17) Miles “Tails” Prower vs. (26) Bomberman

Previous Contest

Ezio Auditore da Firenze – 2010
59.71% against Simon Belmont
37.89% against Zelda

Miles “Tails” Prower – 2010
39.02% against Kratos

Bomberman – 2007
23.90% against Magus, Phoenix Wright and Crash Bandicoot

Analysis

I feel people are a bit too confident in this match. Ezio should win, but I get the sense that people expect him to steamroll the competition. While Altair seems noticeably weaker this contest Ezio may be able to avoid some of that drop as he appeared in a few things since 2010 and even though the series has moved to another character Ezio is still considered to be the favourite among fans.

Tails had one of his more impressive matches when we last saw him doing well against a Kratos who had God of War III coming out. Personally I felt Tails over-performed in that match, but there really is no reason to believe so. Still a normal powered Tails would still be the favourite over Bomberman.

Bomberman has shown in the past that he has some strength almost winning over Phoenix Wright, but that was back in 2007. Bomberman has not really had much since we last saw him and since he is not Pac-Man I do not see him retaining his old strength. If he is as strong as we last saw him I would give him a chance over Tails though.

Ezio should win, but do not expect a blowout. While Tails may come close I do not see him threatening the upset. I also feel Bomberman will be a shell of his formal self, but there is a chance that he may make a move on second.

charmander6000’s Bracket: Ezio Auditore da Firenze > Miles “Tails” Prower and Bomberman

charmander6000’s Prediction: Ezio Auditore da Firenze – 40.25%, Miles “Tails” Prower – 34.17%, Bomberman – 25.58%
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Points: 44/56 Today's Picks: Knuckles and Ezio
#426 | Kibago | Posted 8/6/2013 8:08:17 AM | message detail
MegatokyoEd posted...
How close do we think this ends up one-on-one?

The fact that Celes could have given Knux a scare, if not outright beat him, is amazing.


right now, she'd need about 83% of Seifer's votes to pass Knuckles. that's too high. I could see her getting around 70% of them, which would put her at 47% on Knuckles
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#427 | pjbasis | Posted 8/6/2013 8:15:38 AM | message detail
I stand by that Seifer and Celes minimally overlap
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#428 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/6/2013 8:48:22 AM | message detail
Denzo's big anti-Snake - not MGS - anything he says can be safely ignored. ("48% on Cloud? frauuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuud") The traditional Cloud/Sephiroth proportion lines up almost perfectly via Snake.

And MGS3 boosted Snake significantly. People either don't know or don't care that the badass guy who's called 'Snake' the entire game and looks just like Snake isn't actually Solid Snake. Snake's going to boost from MGS5.
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#429 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/6/2013 8:57:04 AM | message detail
Btw, this next match is a snakebite getting ready to happen depending on how powerful GoW3-fueled Kratos (and base Charizard) were. Let's see!
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#430 | tennisboy213 | Posted 8/6/2013 9:00:15 AM | message detail
Vote Accepted


Ezio Auditore da Firenze
30%
3 Votes

Miles "Tails" Prower
50%
5 Votes
Your Pick

Bomberman
20%
2 Votes
Total Votes: 10
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#431 | hylianknight3 | Posted 8/6/2013 9:00:29 AM | message detail
Ezio Auditore da Firenze
16.67%
1 Votes

Miles "Tails" Prower
50%
3 Votes

Bomberman
33.33%
2 Votes
Your Pick
#432 | raytan7585 | Posted 8/6/2013 9:01:10 AM | message detail | (edited)
Ezio Auditore da Firenze
26.67%
4 Votes

Miles "Tails" Prower
53.33%
8 Votes

Bomberman
20%
3 Votes
Your Pick

Total Votes: 15
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#433 | TheOneAboveAll | Posted 8/6/2013 9:00:47 AM | message detail
Go Tails go!
#434 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/6/2013 9:00:48 AM | message detail
Go Tails
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 44/56 Today's Picks: Knuckles and Ezio
#435 | paulg235 | Posted 8/6/2013 9:00:56 AM | message detail
Vote Accepted
Ezio Auditore da Firenze
27.27%
3 Votes
Miles "Tails" Prower
54.55%
6 Votes
Your Pick
Bomberman
18.18%
2 Votes
Total Votes: 11
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#436 | superange128 | Posted 8/6/2013 9:00:59 AM | message detail
**** I had Tails for the longest time and switched back
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#437 | legendmusketeer | Posted 8/6/2013 9:00:59 AM | message detail
Yeah Tails!
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#438 | tennisboy213 | Posted 8/6/2013 9:01:04 AM | message detail
GO TAILS!
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#439 | CrushDavis | Posted 8/6/2013 9:01:14 AM | message detail
#440 | Qwaar | Posted 8/6/2013 9:01:28 AM | message detail
Please tell me this isn't going to happen to me for a third match in a row.
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#441 | Safer_777 | Posted 8/6/2013 9:01:34 AM | message detail
13th vote for Ezio.But he is losing?Man...
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#442 | Fayt_Esteed | Posted 8/6/2013 9:01:36 AM | message detail
Ezio Auditore da Firenze
41.3%
19 Votes


Miles "Tails" Prower
43.48%
20 Votes


Bomberman
15.22%
7 Votes

Ouch Bomberman
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#443 | HaRRicH | Posted 8/6/2013 9:01:41 AM | message detail
Is MGS5's lead being referred to as Snake, too? I could see him boosting either way even though it's not him, but what they refer to him as may make a difference.
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#444 | Ultimaphazon | Posted 8/6/2013 9:01:49 AM | message detail
This contest. This ****ing contest.
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Bracket score: 47 / Expert score: 222
#445 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/6/2013 9:01:52 AM | message detail
Curse you 1 minute freeze

At least Tails stayed in the lead for 1 update
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 44/56 Today's Picks: Knuckles and Ezio
#446 | paulg235 | Posted 8/6/2013 9:01:54 AM | message detail
I would stand in line for this result!
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#447 | eaglesarebeasts | Posted 8/6/2013 9:02:34 AM | message detail
#448 | TheOneAboveAll | Posted 8/6/2013 9:02:44 AM | message detail
Fun as this was with the one-minute freeze, I think Tails has some great early board love. I feel like at the first update Ezio will start running away with this. It's fun while it lasts, though.
#449 | XIII_rocks | Posted 8/6/2013 9:02:49 AM | message detail
What is this
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#450 | Fayt_Esteed | Posted 8/6/2013 9:03:03 AM | message detail
Hot damn, Tails. Surprising for someone who was so weak in the 4-ways...
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