Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1095

#1 | ZenOfThunder | Posted 8/5/2013 7:31:18 PM | message detail
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~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://www.thengamer.com/
http://thengamer.com/xstats

~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame

~*Character Contest Histories*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the Match Pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Leonhart4's Trend Charts*~
https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?hl=en&key=tOGmynfNIiNy5VukpEF-PdA&hl=en#gid=0

~*Daily Vote Trends - An Explanation for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Daily_Vote_Trends

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense.

Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated.
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~Zen
#2 | DoctorJimmy133 | Posted 8/5/2013 7:33:27 PM | message detail
ZenOfThunder posted...
http://i.imgur.com/3BJsRgY.png

aw yeah Knuckles is going to be one happy fella
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#3 | Greyfeld | Posted 8/5/2013 8:17:55 PM | message detail
I have Kuckles>Seifer>Celes for the next match, but most of the contest crew thinks that Seifer is going to bomb. Makes me nervous, but I just can't see Seifer coming in last.
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#4 | FFDragon | Posted 8/5/2013 8:19:26 PM | message detail
I hope Seifer somehow gets SFFed by Celes into single digit percentages.
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#5 | Fayt_Esteed | Posted 8/5/2013 8:28:42 PM | message detail
Well, Neku just died while I was away...
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#6 | pjbasis | Posted 8/5/2013 8:29:39 PM | message detail
FFDragon posted...
I hope Seifer somehow gets SFFed by Celes into single digit percentages.


Why would you say such a horrible thing
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#7 | Fayt_Esteed | Posted 8/5/2013 8:42:53 PM | message detail
I'm personally convinced Seifer won't lose. What has Celes accomplished in these that's noteworthy, again...?
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"Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
#8 | Steins_Gate | Posted 8/5/2013 8:45:22 PM | message detail
#9 | pjbasis | Posted 8/5/2013 8:51:33 PM | message detail
Seifer vs. Knuckles was always the thing.

LMAO Celes
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#10 | pronouncemyname | Posted 8/5/2013 8:56:16 PM | message detail
I've got Kuckles>Seifer>Celes.

I'm also bad at predicting these things.
#11 | BK_Sheikah00 | Posted 8/5/2013 8:58:33 PM | message detail
Here's to a respectable 20%.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7xFhULStbkQ
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Hey, its that SuperNiceDog! Congrats to the Guru 2011 winner
#12 | Then00bAvenger | Posted 8/5/2013 8:58:36 PM | message detail
Knuckles didn't seem to look so hot against Cecil so who knows.

But I doubt it!
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
#13 | MegatokyoEd | Posted 8/5/2013 8:59:38 PM | message detail
I hope Celes beats the chicken wuss.
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#14 | tennisboy213 | Posted 8/5/2013 9:00:16 PM | message detail
Vote Accepted


Knuckles the Echidna
72.73%
8 Votes
Your Pick

Seifer Almasy
0%
0 Votes

Celes Chere
27.27%
3 Votes
Total Votes: 11
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POKEFEAR
#15 | ninkendo | Posted 8/5/2013 9:00:32 PM | message detail
Knuckles the Echidna
56.25%
9 Votes
Seifer Almasy
0%
0 Votes
Celes Chere
43.75%
7 Votes
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#16 | BK_Sheikah00 | Posted 8/5/2013 9:00:37 PM | message detail
Vote Accepted

Knuckles the Echidna
60.98%
25 Votes

Seifer Almasy
12.2%
5 Votes

Celes Chere
26.83%
11 Votes
Your Pick

Total Votes: 41
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Hey, its that SuperNiceDog! Congrats to the Guru 2011 winner
#17 | hylianknight3 | Posted 8/5/2013 9:00:39 PM | message detail
Knuckles the Echidna
56.38%
53 Votes
Your Pick

Seifer Almasy
14.89%
14 Votes

Celes Chere
28.72%
27 Votes
#18 | AlecTrevelyan006 | Posted 8/5/2013 9:00:49 PM | message detail
Oh Seifer...
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##Alec
#19 | CrushDavis | Posted 8/5/2013 9:00:49 PM | message detail
#20 | OrangeCrush980 | Posted 8/5/2013 9:00:53 PM | message detail
Knuckles the Echidna
66.67%
8 Votes

Seifer Almasy
0%
0 Votes

Celes Chere
33.33%
4 Votes
Your Pick
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#21 | TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 8/5/2013 9:00:54 PM | message detail
FF8 is SO ASS
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F*** BT
#22 | superange128 | Posted 8/5/2013 9:01:01 PM | message detail
haha assuming the results dont change much I had a feeling Celes would beat Seifer
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#23 | Fayt_Esteed | Posted 8/5/2013 9:01:26 PM | message detail
What in the... Dammit Seifer.
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"Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
#24 | xp1337 | Posted 8/5/2013 9:01:34 PM | message detail
Looks like switching from Seifer to Celes was a good decision!
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
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#25 | swordz9 | Posted 8/5/2013 9:01:40 PM | message detail
Vote Accepted


Knuckles the Echidna
62.5%
15 Votes


Seifer Almasy
4.17%
1 Votes
Your Pick

Celes Chere
33.33%
8 Votes
Total Votes: 24
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#26 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/5/2013 9:01:51 PM | message detail
Seifer is losing to Celes, this is a thing now
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#27 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/5/2013 9:02:15 PM | message detail
At least Seifer is recovering
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#28 | CrushDavis | Posted 8/5/2013 9:02:28 PM | message detail
After seeing Kefka beat Zack, I changed my expert bracket pick to Celes but I'm still surprised at just how weak Seifer can be
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#29 | AlecTrevelyan006 | Posted 8/5/2013 9:02:36 PM | message detail
Climbed the expert board on the no-pick woo. If only I hadn't picked Vaas in my bracket...
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Menji has reclaimed what was his by rights. I was more of a man with his than with my own combined.
##Alec
#30 | Then00bAvenger | Posted 8/5/2013 9:02:45 PM | message detail
Ouch

0 points if Seifer doesnt' catch up.

How do you suck this bad
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#31 | BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 8/5/2013 9:02:54 PM | message detail
lol seifer

How many years was he in the NRT?
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#32 | XIII_rocks | Posted 8/5/2013 9:03:13 PM | message detail
Yessss my knux
crush these jokers
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#33 | superange128 | Posted 8/5/2013 9:03:33 PM | message detail
I even took Celes in my expert just for the heck of it since I had this weird feeling about Seifer after Rinoa
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#34 | WellThoughtName | Posted 8/5/2013 9:03:34 PM | message detail
TheKoolAidShoto posted...
FF8 is SO ASS


Well, it's the worst "Golden Era" FF by far, and a case could be made about it being the worst FF period. (I guess 2, XII or XIII could be considered worst)
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#35 | ChenKenichiFan | Posted 8/5/2013 9:03:34 PM | message detail
You better move your butt you grinning idiot.

(Seifer not Knuckles, Knuckles is DA BOMB PLAYA)
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#36 | xp1337 | Posted 8/5/2013 9:04:13 PM | message detail | (edited)
Actually, the way the Expert Challenge leaderboard is seeming to let me catch up Celes winning might somehow get me on there!

How the hell am I 4 points back after the catastrophe that was Division 6? I was at least 15 points behind IIRC! And that was like 36 hours ago!
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#37 | SnoicFactor | Posted 8/5/2013 9:04:16 PM | message detail
Hell yeah knux do it baby do it!!
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nt
#38 | CrushDavis | Posted 8/5/2013 9:04:20 PM | message detail
WellThoughtName posted...
TheKoolAidShoto posted...
FF8 is SO ASS


Well, it's the worst "Golden Era" FF by far, and a case could be made about it being the worst FF period. (I guess 2, XII or XIII could be considered worst)


Its pretty insulting to XII and XIII to be put in the same category
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#39 | Acerac | Posted 8/5/2013 9:04:53 PM | message detail
Why would anyone vote for Seifer?

Honestly I'm amazed Squall maintains the strength he has...
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#40 | AlecTrevelyan006 | Posted 8/5/2013 9:05:10 PM | message detail
xp1337 posted...
Actually, the way the Expert Challenge leaderboard is seeming to let me catch up Celes winning might somehow get me on there!

How the hell am I 4 points back after the catastrophe that was Division 6? I was at least 15 points behind IIRC! And that was like 36 hours ago!


No-picking and getting 0 points on several matches has moved me onto and up the leaderboard this division.
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##Alec
#41 | BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 8/5/2013 9:05:14 PM | message detail
WellThoughtName posted...
TheKoolAidShoto posted...
FF8 is SO ASS


Well, it's the worst "Golden Era" FF by far, and a case could be made about it being the worst FF period. (I guess 2, XII or XIII could be considered worst)


8 was a great game, it just suffers from having a terrible cast. Even then, 8's cast is better than all of the games after 8.
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Game of the decade? More like Guru of the decade mirite?
However, the Guru of the next decade so far is SuperNiceDog
#42 | FFDragon | Posted 8/5/2013 9:05:23 PM | message detail
This is what you all get for not nomming Zell or Laguna tbqh.
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#43 | WellThoughtName | Posted 8/5/2013 9:05:28 PM | message detail
Not my opinion!
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#44 | ChenKenichiFan | Posted 8/5/2013 9:05:40 PM | message detail
Let's see where Seifer ends up anyway; FFVI has like the godliest board vote next to Pokemon now. It's weird that he'd be this weak after Rinoa held up quite well to Aeris (as far as FFVII vs VIII goes), so I expect a rebound.
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#45 | Steins_Gate | Posted 8/5/2013 9:06:00 PM | message detail
OK yeah maybe this is an outsider looking in thing but why in god's name did anyone go with Seifer?

He's SEIFER.
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#46 | StarStormScream | Posted 8/5/2013 9:06:10 PM | message detail
Welp, I guess we know why it took so long for not-Squall FF8 characters to get in.
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Now Awaiting:
Tales of Xillia, Squigly patch for Skullgirls
#47 | MegatokyoEd | Posted 8/5/2013 9:06:33 PM | message detail
It's amazing when you think about how much of Squall's strength must come from KH.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
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#48 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/5/2013 9:06:41 PM | message detail
For FFVIII fans

Rinoa vs. Seifer
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Points: 44/56 Today's Picks: Knuckles and Ezio
#49 | CrushDavis | Posted 8/5/2013 9:07:00 PM | message detail
Steins_Gate posted...
OK yeah maybe this is an outsider looking in thing but why in god's name did anyone go with Seifer?

He's SEIFER.


Well, with how strong Squall is, you'd think that Seifer would have some kind of strength as his rival. He always seems to do well in FF8 character popularity polls.
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#50 | Kibago | Posted 8/5/2013 9:07:04 PM | message detail
soooooo we never need to see non-Squall FF8 again

I don't know how proud I can be of Celes when she's getting doubled by an echidna right now, but woo! Break those expert brackets!
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