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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1094
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kinsho3 posted... Karma Hunter posted...kinsho3 posted...--Smurf-- posted...they got missile 2nd If you weren't there this is even less worth paying attention to. Missile started out hot from the board, but Kerrigan was already coming back before 4 chan decided to start their rally. It's really really really obvious looking at the trend charts for the match, especially since any match where Crono INCREASES from his low point by like 3% at the end of the poll tells the whole story if you know anything about how CT works in these contests. --- www.dudewheresmyfreedom.com Proud to share the same beliefs as SmartMuffin |
Yeah,
last time I'd checked the updates was around 5:30. Since then,
Catherine pushed the lead into triple digits, Neku pushed it all the way
down to single digits, and then Catherine's exploded and passed 200.
Damnit, 4chan, this match was doing just fine without any rallies! --- RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed. |
Man, never thought I'd see the day the "character" from a Japanese porno dating simulator would win a contest match. Actually, in retrospect, it's not that surprising. lol board 8 --- Game of the decade? More like Guru of the decade mirite? However, the Guru of the next decade so far is SuperNiceDog |
Karma Hunter posted... If you weren't there this is even less worth paying attention to. Missile started out hot from the board, but Kerrigan was already coming back before 4 chan decided to start their rally. It's really really really obvious looking at the trend charts for the match, especially since any match where Crono INCREASES from his low point by like 3% at the end of the poll tells the whole story if you know anything about how CT works in these contests. Dude, chill. I already conceded the point earlier. FYI, Crono still sucked in that match. --- Drop it to the floor... |
LOL, Black Turtle MAF. Also Catherine contains no pornography, you whiny loser. --- "Hamas isn't really a terror organization." -Terran [Evil Republican] Play Der Langrisser. |
BlAcK TuRtLe posted... Man, never thought I'd see the day the "character" from a Japanese porno dating simulator would win a contest match. You'd be losing pretty handily even without Catherine! --- I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword |
kinsho3 posted... Karma Hunter posted...If you weren't there this is even less worth paying attention to. Missile started out hot from the board, but Kerrigan was already coming back before 4 chan decided to start their rally. It's really really really obvious looking at the trend charts for the match, especially since any match where Crono INCREASES from his low point by like 3% at the end of the poll tells the whole story if you know anything about how CT works in these contests. I hadn't seen that when I posted. As for Crono, his performance is mostly dependent on whether you think Kerrigan boosted from SC2. He scored a touch less than Vincent did back in the day. --- www.dudewheresmyfreedom.com Proud to share the same beliefs as SmartMuffin |
Karma Hunter posted... They have more influence because the vote totals have declined so precipitously. We'd barely even notice them doing stuff if we still had the potential of pulling down day matches with 85k votes. If we were doing 12-hour matches back in 2007 or 2008, we would be having day matches getting over 100000 votes. Character Battle 2010 didn't have the same kind of vote totals compared to 2007 and 2008. If every single 12-hour match ran for 24 hours instead, the contest would have average vote totals of just 99711 votes, well below the average vote totals of 2008 (134027 votes). Those are just projections, though. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ! |
Now watch Turtle say he didn't make any mistake and that the match was decided by luck only. |
swordz9 posted... Why exactly did you think Vaas would win anyways? Because TWEYW sold 50K, and Catherine is a dating simulator. --- http://i.imgur.com/32RNLnc.gif |
I thought Neku was in some kind of KH game or something that's why I took him anyway --- www.dudewheresmyfreedom.com Proud to share the same beliefs as SmartMuffin |
He
was in the Dream Drop Distance (the KH game for 3DS). He was pretty
useless in it, but I don't get why people like Sora either so what do I
know --- I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword |
BlAcK TuRtLe posted... Man, never thought I'd see the day the "character" from a Japanese porno dating simulator would win a contest match. dangerous levels of sodium detected |
/v/ thread has broken down into arguing a lot of them are voting Neku now --- ~Zen |
addendum: there is now a "vote Neku" thread getting bumped alongside the "vote Catherine" thread --- ~Zen |
ZenOfThunder posted... addendum: there is now a "vote Neku" thread getting bumped alongside the "vote Catherine" thread this is more notable, the arguing in the Catherine thread is likely just getting her more votes <_< --- www.dudewheresmyfreedom.com Proud to share the same beliefs as SmartMuffin |
Guy
creating all those threads on /v/ seems to be Irish judging from what
he's saying, unless he's really dedicated would assume he'll be going to
bed and won't be rallying again. Natural trends probably still in
Neku's favour but seems much too late now. --- Smurf, the cream of Sonic Fanboyism. |
ZeldaTPLink posted... Now watch Turtle say he didn't make any mistake and that the match was decided by luck only. In a match where the Guru was pretty evenly split between the 3 options, you can take zero pride in getting it right. You didn't see me bragging about taking Yoshimitsu. --- Game of the decade? More like Guru of the decade mirite? However, the Guru of the next decade so far is SuperNiceDog |
That could be interesting, still think 4chan would support Catherine overall though. --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls Points: 43/54 Today's Picks: Samus and Vaas |
So
will we ever have a contest that runs a horizontal poll banner or a
mini poll on all pages, thereby increasing our votals again? We keep
hearing that site traffic is up but no one visits the home page anymore.
The more people interested in the contest the more beneficial it is to
run them so more contests for us. I was kind of surprised it wasn't
brought in this contest with all the effort that went into the other
added contest features. As for the rallying I always hate when this thread starts down the rallying = illegitimate win train of thought. Rallying is a part of the prediction you have to figure who will be more rally-able if you will. And to be fair rallying is probably the only reason we still have contests. If it doesn't bring in people who usually don't come to Gamefaqs why would they keep giving out prizes and organizing contests? Way I see it keep the rallies coming... the more the better... and keep things interesting... Spring Contest 2k14 here we come! *crosses fingers* |
I
think you guys are overstating 4chan's role in this. Catherine is
winning in the US while Neku is winning Europe. These trends are
consistent with that - and you could make an argument that Neku would've
won a night match. --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
Is this one of the closest wire to wire matches ever though?For 7 hours the max lead was 80. --- GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~ |
BlAcK TuRtLe posted... ZeldaTPLink posted...Now watch Turtle say he didn't make any mistake and that the match was decided by luck only. So why were you being an arrogant loser about the match before it started? --- "Hamas isn't really a terror organization." -Terran [Evil Republican] Play Der Langrisser. |
Safer_777 posted... Is this one of the closest wire to wire matches ever though?For 7 hours the max lead was 80. One of but not the closest. MGS2 vs SotC maxed out at 188. --- Crucifying my Oracle average one match at a time |
Also 51% update, that's pretty huge considering the closeness all day! --- Crucifying my Oracle average one match at a time |
Im on my break now and I find catherine blew up thanks to a rally...lame. it was nice having a legit 50/50 match. --- Now Awaiting: Tales of Xillia, Squigly patch for Skullgirls |
ShatteredElysium posted... Safer_777 posted...Is this one of the closest wire to wire matches ever though?For 7 hours the max lead was 80. I think he meant before the 4chan rally, in which case it would be seeing as the lead never broke 110 |
sucks we're breaking that weird Vyse>Laharl>Neku>Catherine chain it was cool to have a tradition like that Catherine could have won next contest and kept it going --- ~Zen |
I
don't think BT was being arrogant, foolish, yes. There was no
conceivable argument to make for Vaas after Borderlands 2 characters
have bombed, especially after Handsome Jack lost to Joe. --- http://i.imgur.com/32RNLnc.gif |
Niiice Catherine pulled away. --- Die young and save yourself. Brace for the G's, and fast heel-toe work. |
ZenOfThunder posted... /v/ thread has broken down into arguing That's what they want you to think. --- RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed. |
Sorozone posted... I don't think BT was being arrogant I don't think this statement is true or has ever been true like, ever --- www.dudewheresmyfreedom.com Proud to share the same beliefs as SmartMuffin |
Well, he wasn't in that instance, he was just being dumb, a fool, not being very smart. --- http://i.imgur.com/32RNLnc.gif |
I
think you guys are overstating 4chan's role in this. Catherine is
winning in the US while Neku is winning Europe. These trends are
consistent with that - and you could make an argument that Neku would've
won a night match. In fact, Catherine is winning in 11/14 major countries with only Brazil, Philippines and Italy supporting Neku. Neku only really holds South America and Asia --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls Points: 43/54 Today's Picks: Samus and Vaas |
KamikazePotato posted... I think you guys are overstating 4chan's role in this. Catherine is winning in the US while Neku is winning Europe. These trends are consistent with that - and you could make an argument that Neku would've won a night match. The Catherine jumps are consistent with when a new thread goes up on /v/, Neku had been cutting her fast before that latest one went up. The continent divide doesn't even exist, the biggest bases in UK, Germany and France are all voting Catherine. US is very close between the two. Neku will be cutting again before the poll is out while Europe is asleep when the rally goes away, guaranteed. --- Smurf, the cream of Sonic Fanboyism. |
Karma Hunter posted... Sorozone posted...I don't think BT was being arrogant which statement is more often true: BT is not arrogant or LMS is not clueless |
--Smurf-- posted... KamikazePotato posted...I think you guys are overstating 4chan's role in this. Catherine is winning in the US while Neku is winning Europe. These trends are consistent with that - and you could make an argument that Neku would've won a night match. Yeah, let's not be in denial here. They were even(with Neku maybe even having a slight advantage at the time), then Catherine jumps out to a 300+ vote lead literally within 5 minutes of the rally thread going up. --- A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice. |
And
yeah rallies are one of those things that you just take as part of the
contest. It would be remiss of me to impugn Catherine for a rally when
I'm going to be rallying hardcore everywhere I can if Snake makes the
finals >_> --- www.dudewheresmyfreedom.com Proud to share the same beliefs as SmartMuffin |
Obviously we need to go petition on reddit and Kotaku to get Neku into the lead. --- http://img218.imageshack.us/img218/3156/couchpotatocat.gif |
Catherine going for 400 now. This can't be all rally right? --- http://myanimelist.net/animelist/swordz9 |
--Smurf-- posted... Guy creating all those threads on /v/ seems to be Irish judging from what he's saying, unless he's really dedicated would assume he'll be going to bed and won't be rallying again. Natural trends probably still in Neku's favour but seems much too late now. Heh, this match has already gotten more votes from Ireland than all of the other day matches in this contest so far. Raiden/Waluigi/Alan Wake had a 102 votes from Ireland and this match is already up to 123 votes from Ireland and there's still about 3 hours left in the match. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ! |
The
Catherine rally topic is arguably the most active one on /v/ right now,
it's getting seen by a ton of people. There isn't a lot of reason for
Catherine to start exploding her lead now, so probably. --- www.dudewheresmyfreedom.com Proud to share the same beliefs as SmartMuffin |
400-chan'd --- Leafs / Raptors / Blue Jays / TFC / Argos / Tottenham We'll get 'em next year. |
BlAcK TuRtLe posted... ZeldaTPLink posted...Now watch Turtle say he didn't make any mistake and that the match was decided by luck only. This is exactly wrong. When the guru is close to unanimous it's super easy to just go along with the consensus pick; you don't have to think at all. When it's a tossup, you have to think it out yourself. --- I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword |
oh, and Cat's got 51% on him now, too. --- Leafs / Raptors / Blue Jays / TFC / Argos / Tottenham We'll get 'em next year. |
Pointless
trend: Catholic countries are almost all backing Neku. Catholic Germany
is backing Neku and Protestant Germany is backing Catherine, even! In
Ireland, the Republic is going hard for Neku while the Protestant North
goes for Catherine. Weird. --- "Hamas isn't really a terror organization." -Terran [Evil Republican] Play Der Langrisser. |
SubDeity posted... Pointless trend: Catholic countries are almost all backing Neku. Catholic Germany is backing Neku and Protestant Germany is backing Catherine, even! In Ireland, the Republic is going hard for Neku while the Protestant North goes for Catherine. I wouldn't really trust Northern Ireland's results because they are messed up (along with Scotland, Wales, and most parts of England). I reported this problem to Bacon, but he doesn't want to fix the incorrect results because it would be take too much effort. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ! |
Hmmm... BTW, not wanting to slog through all the topics, did you ever post about the average estimated votals we get from the top 10-20 countries? --- "Hamas isn't really a terror organization." -Terran [Evil Republican] Play Der Langrisser. |
To
do something like that, I would need to use 24-hour polls to calculate
this stuff. 12-hour polls can have a very big separation in vote totals
between day and night for some countries, especially those in Asia and
Oceania. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ! |
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