GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1092
- Team Aqua Elite (37)
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Although
honestly assuming Samus = Mario, Ganondorf probably didn't get SFFed at
all against Samus come to think of it judging from his match the very
next year against Vincent. That really just leaves Samus/Zelda II. Edit: Heck using the 2006 stats even if you make a pretty ridiculous adjustment (like, setting Samus = Snake), Ganondorf is still expected to get below what he scored on Samus the year before. lol rSFF --- www.dudewheresmyfreedom.com Proud to share the same beliefs as SmartMuffin |
HaRRicH posted... 1337gamerpr0 posted..."expert challenge is far more luck based"-BlAcK TuRtLe Expert bracket does not punish incorrect choices made in previous matches. You can change your vote to match the board consensus the night before the match occurs. --- Game of the decade? More like Guru of the decade mirite? However, the Guru of the next decade so far is SuperNiceDog |
BlAcK TuRtLe posted... Expert bracket does not punish incorrect choices made in previous matches. You can change your vote to match the board consensus the night before the match occurs. So it's like the Oracle? --- Harmony is peace. Peace is unity. Unity is harmony. I tell this to the King Nook. He ask me to leave. |
BlAcK TuRtLe posted... Expert bracket does not punish incorrect choices made in previous matches. You can change your vote to match the board consensus the night before the match occurs. And those two things make it more luck related... how? --- *shrug* |
nintendogirl1 posted... BlAcK TuRtLe posted...Expert bracket does not punish incorrect choices made in previous matches. You can change your vote to match the board consensus the night before the match occurs. because he's not on the leaderboard |
I
just logged on and saw Wolf's percentage for the first time today. I
assumed that the match just started before looking at Fox. Fox has no excuse for losing by the way. --- Brawl FC - 1332 8069 6690 http://i.imgur.com/OZ9aS.png |
Easier =/= more luck --- http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png SuperNiceDog - 1, pjbasis - 0 |
GloryChaos posted... I just logged on and saw Wolf's percentage for the first time today. I assumed that the match just started before looking at Fox. Being leeched by Wolf sounds like a good excuse to me. --- "Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia |
GloryChaos posted... I just logged on and saw Wolf's percentage for the first time today. I assumed that the match just started before looking at Fox. This match is essentially 50/50 if you give Fox 70-80% of Wolf's votes. --- www.dudewheresmyfreedom.com Proud to share the same beliefs as SmartMuffin |
Marisa
should have been the main Touhou character in this contest. Reimu and
Cirno should have been relagated to watching from the sidelines. --- Brawl FC - 1332 8069 6690 http://i.imgur.com/OZ9aS.png |
One
thing that is kind of luck-based about the expert challenge: If you
get a match as wrong as possible (getting all 3 1v1s wrong), you only
lose 2 points, but if you're slightly more accurate, you lose 6. |
Wooh, just woke up. Go Gary Oak! Finally making my bracket not suck after this tough division. |
GloryChaos posted... Marisa should have been the main Touhou character in this contest. Reimu and Cirno should have been relagated to watching from the sidelines. This is Character Battle (9). If the Touhou fanbase was going to nominate anyone, it would be Cirno. --- Pokemon VGC2013 BC Regional - 16th place Pokemon VGC2013 US National - 39th place |
My bracket has Catherine and I still think I chose right. When everything is fodder, go for the boobs. |
Team Rocket Elite posted... GloryChaos posted...Marisa should have been the main Touhou character in this contest. Reimu and Cirno should have been relagated to watching from the sidelines. Crap, I completely forgot about that! Seeing Touhou characters in this contest makes me feel bad since they're all relegated to getting third place. Save for that one time somebody posted a picture of being the first voter in the Reimu match. --- Brawl FC - 1332 8069 6690 http://i.imgur.com/OZ9aS.png |
http://i764.photobucket.com/albums/xx283/TeamRocketElite/CB9/ReimuR1_Vote1_zps81e45d86.png Contests would be more fun if they were first vote wins. =D --- Pokemon VGC2013 BC Regional - 16th place Pokemon VGC2013 US National - 39th place |
Team Rocket Elite posted... http://i764.photobucket.com/albums/xx283/TeamRocketElite/CB9/ReimuR1_Vote1_zps81e45d86.png CATS can actually win a contest! :O |
The only reason why I took Fox > Blue is because I figured Wolf would be SFF'd hard which would edge out a win for Fox. I was right about the SFF, but obviously not to the degree of an edge-out win. It's getting annoying seeing all my reasoning right, but never strong enough to edge out a win. --- In Oz; cruel is the usual punishment. |
ChenKenichiFan posted... A year or two ago, I'd have figured Red Bird would be horrible fodder, my rationale being "it's GameFAQs, who even plays phone games?" Think I've grown a bit wiser since then and taken note of Angry Bird's ridiculous play rate. I'm sure just about everyone here has played it, and quite a few people have sunk their fair share of hours into the games. Couple that with the iconic look and I doubt he'll be too bad. I'd take him over Catherine. http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/4715 Almost 66% playrate for Angry Birds, but only about 25% downloaded at least one of the games. I wouldn't pick Red Bird over Jill, but I do think Red Bird will beat Mike Haggar, though. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ! |
Red
Bird > Jill is crazy. What did Jill do to deserve such disrespect? I
mean, she scored almost exactly the same percentage on Samus as
Sub-Zero did last time around, that's no joke. --- www.dudewheresmyfreedom.com Proud to share the same beliefs as SmartMuffin |
Team Rocket Elite posted... http://i764.photobucket.com/albums/xx283/TeamRocketElite/CB9/ReimuR1_Vote1_zps81e45d86.png Oh, it was you?! And that would be hilarious. Midgar Zolom would surpass Cloud. --- Brawl FC - 1332 8069 6690 http://i.imgur.com/OZ9aS.png |
Karma Hunter posted... Red Bird > Jill is crazy. What did Jill do to deserve such disrespect? A pic that makes her way less recognizable than Red Bird. |
As
said, if anything, luck is LESS of a factor in the expert challenge.
Yes, you can change your pick right up until game time. Which means you
have more data, you can make a better statistical analysis, and thus
there is less luck. Now, you COULD make the argument that it is easier to get a higher score because of all of this extra data that you have (I doubt this will end up being the case, due to the potential for LOSING points for you're wrong rather than just not gaining one, but let's go with it). However, this argument would STILL be incorrect as we don't compare "raw scores" on contests. The tenth place guy in 2004 is not better than the winner of 2002 because he only missed two or three points. There is a "curve" here. Board 8 is better at predicting contests because they make (or try to make) full use of all of the data available to them. Anything that gives you more information is an advantage. So the idea that "you can change your pick" brings in luck rather than reducing it is laughable. --- Menji has reclaimed what was his by rights. I was more of a man with his than with my own combined. ##Alec |
Oh my goodness are you kidding me? That is so obviously Jill Valentine (and who the hell on GameFAQs can't recognize Jill) it's making my head spin. Heck, the pic actually looks pretty great, it evokes MvC connotations as well. Edit: And who believes that legendary, beloved Resident Evil icon Jill Valentine is going down to 'Red Bird' on "never-play-any-recent-GameFAQs"? --- www.dudewheresmyfreedom.com Proud to share the same beliefs as SmartMuffin |
You
know, even though I see a lot of gurus complain about LinkMarioSamus, I
have to say he's more tolerable than Black Turtle at this point. --- Drop it to the floor... |
My
only complaint in that match (but it's a big one) is that SBAllen went
ahead and chose all the remaining R1 pictures before I could submit the
Jill booty pics I was planning to make. --- http://i.imgur.com/a4GuDV3.gif |
That blue beret thing and suit is pretty uniquely Jill, so yeah --- A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice. |
I think Haggar has a higher chance of beating Jill than losing to the freaking Red Bird, of all things! Haggar isn't just one of the playable characters of Final Fight/UMvC3, but a memetic legend, as well. Poison and Dan Hibiki also have notoriety or memes associated with them, but I'm bold enough to say that Haggar's memetic power is closer to Captain Falcon's than that of his fellow fighting game characters. Jill should win comfortably, but don't be TOO surprised if the Mayor of Metro City keeps it close. |
I
actually took Hagger over Jill. It was a bracket made in about a minute
mostly for fun though where I took upsets that seemed like they might
be the least bit possible. Like Slime > Lara, Lu Bu > Yoshimitsu,
and Hagger > Jill. Probably some others --- A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice. |
red sox 777 posted... By the way, I called Red's ceiling being Crono-level back in 2009! Why didn't this strength show up in the 2010 contest with those Ocelot and MMX matches!?! Blue > Red --- http://img38.imageshack.us/img38/7760/222bj.jpg |
I'm interested in seeing how Red Bird will perform. I think Jill's got this, but I'm expecting Red Bird to impress. Of course, I've been wrong about so much so far, so I guess we'll see. --- Current Let's Play: Final Fantasy II - http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3557012 Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64 |
Haggar's going to get destroyed in that poll, sad as it is to say. Also, "Everyone's played Angry Birds" isn't an argument for Red Bird being worth anything. Just because you know who it is doesn't mean you care enough to vote for it (Hey there, Pac-Man). I mean, everyone's played Tetris, too, but it's not like if you put a Tetris piece in the contest, it'd win the whole thi--oh --- "Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!" "Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!" |
watch out Link, Red Angry Bird gunning for ya --- F*** BT |
Personally, I can't help but think that all this talk of Jill going down to Red Bird is just preposterous. --- "Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia |
kinsho3 posted... You know, even though I see a lot of gurus complain about LinkMarioSamus, I have to say he's more tolerable than Black Turtle at this point. Watching LMS argue is hilarious. While Turtle is just a jerk. |
Steve
is a less recognizable character than Red Bird, in a less casual and
less played game than Angry Birds, who got doubled by Pac-Man. Going off
this, Red Bird should be a stronger character, though Angry Birds is
more hated than Minecraft due to its abundance. It's not touching Jill,
but Haggar is probably beatable, especially if he's total garbage. --- Harmony is peace. Peace is unity. Unity is harmony. I tell this to the King Nook. He ask me to leave. |
Picking Red Bird to do anything on a site populated by relatively hardcore gamers sounds ridiculous to me. Hardcore gamers hate Angry Birds. --- Demyx is better than Axel. http://www.last.fm/user/crazydom |
DoctorJimmy133 posted... Steve is a less recognizable character than Red Bird, in a less casual and less played game than Angry Birds, who got doubled by Pac-Man. Going off this, Red Bird should be a stronger character, though Angry Birds is more hated than Minecraft due to its abundance. It's not touching Jill, but Haggar is probably beatable, especially if he's total garbage. Really, it's probably easier to find a person who played Angry Birds than one who played Zelda. The thing is the most popular game on Facebook. Of course, being known doesn't exactly translate in popularity, but since they are going as far as sell angry birds plushies and make cartoons, I'd say Angry Birds characters are pretty likable. But it's hard to gauge the popularity of this thing on gameFAQs, because this site seems to be some kind of bubble where the mainstream taste doesn't mean anything. So who knows. I have Red Bird on my bracket, but I'm not sure I would pick him again if I had the chance... |
I
guess I just picked him on principle. I love Angry Birds and I wanted
to see if the hardcore are hardcore enough to reject him. Let's see... |
I'd
hope that Jill has the strength to put a painful tripling on Haggar, so
if Red Bird and the mayor are duking it out for second place, that
smells just rosy for Jill's percentage. --- http://i.imgur.com/a4GuDV3.gif |
Haggar is well-liked. He has a better chance of beating Jill than Red Bird. |
Haggar
is well liked, but his games aren't that well played. "Haggar has
memes" isn't going to get him as many votes as you might think! --- http://gifsoup.com/view4/2077316/thane-dance-o.gif http://gifsoup.com/view1/1334641/pop-that-collar-o.gif |
Ugh, the more I think about it, the more I can't decide who's more likely to not get last out of Haggar and Red Bird... --- "Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia |
Haggar does have Marvel and we just saw Poison, whether it was all TJF or not who knows, do relatively well. --- Demyx is better than Axel. http://www.last.fm/user/crazydom |
Poison doesn't look as good after Booker got killed by Gilgamesh. Elizabeth is really weak as well. --- Pokemon VGC2013 BC Regional - 16th place Pokemon VGC2013 US National - 39th place |
Team Rocket Elite posted... Poison doesn't look as good after Booker got killed by Gilgamesh. Elizabeth is really weak as well. That's still more than enough to beat Red Bird to me. I expect him to be ridiculously weak. Maybe others think differently. --- Demyx is better than Axel. http://www.last.fm/user/crazydom |
I was probably living under a rock or something but Red Bird was the only one of the three that I didn't recognize. --- A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice. |
Let's talk about something nicer, like Jill's percentage ceiling for that match. Do I hear 60%? --- Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer) http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif |
I can easily see Angry Bird putting up 25-30% on recognisability alone without breaking a sweat. I have trouble seeing Haggar get up that high. --- *shrug* |
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