GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1092
- Team Aqua Elite (37)
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http://i.imgur.com/kNyBVFE.png ~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~ www.gamefaqscontests.com ~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/ ~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~ http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html ~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~ http://www.thengamer.com/ http://thengamer.com/xstats ~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame ~*Character Contest Histories*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories ~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~ A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA ~*All the Match Pics*~ http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php ~*Leonhart4's Trend Charts*~ https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?hl=en&key=tOGmynfNIiNy5VukpEF-PdA&hl=en#gid=0 ~*Daily Vote Trends - An Explanation for Dummies*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Daily_Vote_Trends ~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages ~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~ SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense. Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated. --- ~Zen |
POKEFEAR!!!!!!!!!! Blue would beat Fox 1vs1 but barely though. --- GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~ |
Safer_777 posted... POKEFEAR!!!!!!!!!! It ain't over until it is over. |
Quick, someone do the math: how many Chesters is Wolf worth? |
ZeldaTPLink posted... Quick, someone do the math: how many Chesters is Wolf worth? Anywhere from 1.5x to 3.5x. Its up to you. |
ZenOfThunder posted... http://i.imgur.com/kNyBVFE.png YES! --- Hey, its that SuperNiceDog! Congrats to the Guru 2011 winner |
Wolf around 2 Chesters...Okay didn't expect that.But this is the worst possible match combination for him. --- GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~ |
Man, a lot of people hyped up Division 6 but I only got one wrong in it. Division 3 was where I stumbled hard. --- **R.O.B.A.Z.O.I.D** |
New
thought: if Crono can do *this* to Magus (meaning SFFing Wolf as much
as Fox is), assuming a completely random proportion of 80% of Wolf's
votes going to Fox, it means that Pikachu needs to be worth, like... 48.5% on Crono naturally to win that match. That doesn't account for any rallies he might get or idiosyncracies of the format itself. Crono can't do this to Magus. --- www.dudewheresmyfreedom.com Proud to share the same beliefs as SmartMuffin |
Wolf vs Sheik in Brawl is like 60:40 Sheik at best Wolf is also better in that game anyway, so.... |
RBYAlwaysWins posted... hylianknight3 posted...Glorious. Thanks for the salute and the high praise. jacko_vdz is the main man responsible for Blue being here, but I was happy to help rally what noms I could. Blue rocks! ...I only wish I would have had the confidence to pick Blue in my main bracket. I knew that Blue had a lot of potential, and with Fox and Wolf in the same match, it seemed he would get the perfect opportunity. However, I eventually convinced myself that Fox was the safer pick, and I waffled back and forth until nominations closed, taking Fox in the end. I switched to Blue in my expert, though! And, no matter what happens to my brackets, I am very happy to see Blue winning this match! |
Can Wolf break 10%? --- GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~ |
http://i.imgur.com/kNyBVFE.png F***ing wonderful --- Die young and save yourself. Brace for the G's, and fast heel-toe work. |
Karma Hunter posted... New thought: if Crono can do *this* to Magus (meaning SFFing Wolf as much as Fox is), assuming a completely random proportion of 80% of Wolf's votes going to Fox, it means that Pikachu needs to be worth, like... 48.5% on Crono naturally to win that match. That doesn't account for any rallies he might get or idiosyncracies of the format itself. Yeah, Magus is actual good, even though he has screwed up. People ACTUALLY like Magus. I'll be voting for Magus in that match. |
Also, those of you making Blue v Fox 1v1 comparisons may want to absorb this little tidbit! Based on Fox/Lloyd from last contest and Pikachu/Lloyd from this year, Pikachu gets 53% on Fox. --- www.dudewheresmyfreedom.com Proud to share the same beliefs as SmartMuffin |
I am definitely NOT taking a constant Lloyd |
A cut --- POKEFEAR |
Power hour ended, looks like Blue won't be able to hold up much longer. |
1337gamerpr0 posted... I am definitely NOT taking a constant Lloyd There's not a lot of reason to have a radically different Lloyd other than "I want Pikachu to look stronger." --- www.dudewheresmyfreedom.com Proud to share the same beliefs as SmartMuffin |
Lloyd, Jade and Yuri have all looked impressive. Using a constant Lloyd is like using a constant Big Daddy, oh wait........ --- Zinsanity of the Helix Board |
Well I guess this is payback for Fox doubling Pikachu a decade ago lol. --- Currently Playing - Super Metroid, MGS4, Brawl, FFVII, Wind Waker, RE4, SOTC |
Tales
characters as a whole have looked stronger this year, which isn't
saying much, so Lloyd probably did get a mini boost from whatever caused
it. --- Demyx is better than Axel. http://www.last.fm/user/crazydom |
Don't tell me Fox is gonna come back now... --- Die young and save yourself. Brace for the G's, and fast heel-toe work. |
ZinsanityCraze posted... Lloyd, Jade and Yuri have all looked impressive. I like to think this is mainly due to the big drop in votes. Less casuals showing up to vote in the contest + the more dedicated fan bases sticking around the site regularly for FAQs and stuff means niche JRPG guys look better than they normally would. --- http://myanimelist.net/animelist/swordz9 |
Crisis averted. --- POKEFEAR |
swordz9 posted... ZinsanityCraze posted...Lloyd, Jade and Yuri have all looked impressive. Yeah, agree with you, that's why we shouldn't use a constant Lloyd. Using a constant Yuri would mean Ryu is a low-midcarder now. --- Zinsanity of the Helix Board |
ZinsanityCraze posted... Lloyd, Jade and Yuri have all looked impressive. Using a constant Lloyd is like using a constant Big Daddy, oh wait........ Big Daddy isn't constant, he's massively overrated - people said this before the match. Lloyd is the first real Tales character we've gotten to see, Yuri and Jade don't amount to a hill of beans with how weak they are. At least wait until Kratos before calling for some crazy ToS boost. You can also adjust Lloyd up at your leisure. Unless the boost is stratospheric it's not going to make Pikachu look much different compared to Fox. --- www.dudewheresmyfreedom.com Proud to share the same beliefs as SmartMuffin |
I just realized I might get on the leaderboard after this match since I'm tied at 48. Too bad I'll be off soon, if I make it, since I picked Vaas for some reason. --- Demyx is better than Axel. http://www.last.fm/user/crazydom |
Huge cut! CAN'T LET YOU DO THAT STAR FOX --- Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer) http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif |
That was a massive cut. |
28-vote cut this time --- POKEFEAR |
Blue now no longer beating them both combined. --- Thank you, Eddie Guerrero. http://www.wwe.com/f/wysiwyg/image/2013/07/wyatt07062013.gif |
Also
if Fox can keep up what he's doing it's not gonna look like Blue's
stronger than him. Wolf is still dragging him down like a mofo. --- www.dudewheresmyfreedom.com Proud to share the same beliefs as SmartMuffin |
Karma Hunter posted... Crono can't do this to Magus. I don't know about that...Crono already put up 70% on Magus back when Magus was likely significantly stronger relative to Crono than he is now, and we know SFF gets exaggerated in multi-way polls due to Obvious Last Place Factor. I think Crono will put up at least 80% on Magus. Crono's problem is that almost all of Magus' votes will come straight frrom him. I can't see too many Magus voters voting for Pikachu in a Crono/Pikachu match. The Crono/Magus overlap is going to be not too far from 100%. Karma Hunter posted... Also, those of you making Blue v Fox 1v1 comparisons may want to absorb this little tidbit! Tales characters seem to have boosted though. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
WHAT WAS THIS CUT Seriously what |
swordz9 posted... ZinsanityCraze posted...Lloyd, Jade and Yuri have all looked impressive. this also I'd guess niche JRPG dudes look better in multi-way polls due to said dedicated fanbase |
Crono's problem is that almost all of Magus' votes will come straight frrom him. I can't see too many Magus voters voting for Pikachu in a Crono/Pikachu match. The Crono/Magus overlap is going to be not too far from 100%. I agree, I'll be voting for Magus for the next match, even if I don't vote for Magus, there's no way Pikachu is getting my vote. |
I
mean depending on the level of Tales boost you're talking, Zero needs
to be seriously concerned about Kratos Aurion! He's lost to Hayabusa in
this format. --- www.dudewheresmyfreedom.com Proud to share the same beliefs as SmartMuffin |
Karma Hunter posted... Also if Fox can keep up what he's doing it's not gonna look like Blue's stronger than him. Wolf is still dragging him down like a mofo. This I agree with. Looks like Fox will probably looking more or less equal to Blue in strength, if you give Fox the large majority of Wolf's votes and assume Blue ends up a point or two lower than where he is now. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
Zero picture is the best picture in this round |
Karma Hunter posted... I mean depending on the level of Tales boost you're talking, Zero needs to be seriously concerned about Kratos Aurion! He's lost to Hayabusa in this format. I dunno man, I wouldn't take Kratos Aurion over Ryu Hayabusa ever. --- "Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia |
If
this were a 1v1 contest, I'd still take Fox without much consideration.
Blue would lose all of his standout factor and would approach this
thing with very little bracket support. If Fox continues with these
sporadic cuts and makes the final percentages look quite close, I'd
imagine many people would feel the same. --- Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer) http://i.imgur.com/NQTthNf.jpg |
Fayt_Esteed posted... Karma Hunter posted...I mean depending on the level of Tales boost you're talking, Zero needs to be seriously concerned about Kratos Aurion! He's lost to Hayabusa in this format. Neither would I, because Kratos isn't that strong. --- www.dudewheresmyfreedom.com Proud to share the same beliefs as SmartMuffin |
Karma Hunter posted... Fayt_Esteed posted...Karma Hunter posted...I mean depending on the level of Tales boost you're talking, Zero needs to be seriously concerned about Kratos Aurion! He's lost to Hayabusa in this format. Indeed. But all the same, you might have a point... Also, it all depends on how strong Boko turns out to be. --- "Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia |
Karma Hunter posted... I mean depending on the level of Tales boost you're talking, Zero needs to be seriously concerned about Kratos Aurion! He's lost to Hayabusa in this format. Why do you say this? In the most recent contest stats Zero is at like 30% while Kratos Aurion is under 20%. And the year Zero lost to Hayabusa, Kratos Aurion got doubled by Alucard. Kratos Aurion could have boosted significantly, he's still no threat to Zero. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
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