Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1090

#301 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 8/3/2013 9:07:37 PM | message detail
Pac-Man keeps Drake's lead exactly the same on that update.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#302 | Jakyl25 | Posted 8/3/2013 9:07:55 PM | message detail
That may have literally been the funniest thing that could have happened.
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#303 | CybrMonkey | Posted 8/3/2013 9:07:55 PM | message detail
Looks like we're in for the long haul.
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Not so Gr8 anymore.
#304 | LeonhartFour | Posted 8/3/2013 9:07:58 PM | message detail
Lead didn't budge at all, in fact!
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#305 | Blairville | Posted 8/3/2013 9:08:01 PM | message detail
When I saw Drake's % drop I thought the worst! But it's just Steve.
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#306 | Qwaar | Posted 8/3/2013 9:08:09 PM | message detail
Not sure why people expected Drake to pull out a lead in that update, this may be close for some time.
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XBL Gamertag - Tiirshak
#307 | Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 8/3/2013 9:08:27 PM | message detail
Well now
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Oh SuperNiceDog's doing it again dude.
SuperNiceDog, you ain't no pimp dude
#308 | Xuxon | Posted 8/3/2013 9:08:42 PM | message detail
From: Jakyl25 | Posted: 8/4/2013 12:07:55 AM | #302
That may have literally been the funniest thing that could have happened.

i'm pretty sure Steve winning that update would have been funnier
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#309 | TheOneAboveAll | Posted 8/3/2013 9:09:15 PM | message detail
Great stall. We have ourselves a match.
#310 | AxemRedRanger | Posted 8/3/2013 9:09:36 PM | message detail
I just noticed we have our first dead guru.
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[NO BARKLEY NO PEACE]
#311 | LeonhartFour | Posted 8/3/2013 9:10:23 PM | message detail
We don't really have a good read on Drake's trends because his only match in 2010 was a day match, and his trends in 2008 when all he had was UC1 are pretty much irrelevant. Can't really tell too much from UC2's trends in GOTD either.

Pac-Man's got a pretty good morning vote and not much else.
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#312 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 8/3/2013 9:10:34 PM | message detail
AxemRedRanger posted...
I just noticed we have our first dead guru.


link to gurus?
#313 | UltimaterializerX | Posted 8/3/2013 9:10:48 PM | message detail
Drake has bracket votes. Pac-Man about to go ham.

Remember this match? http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/node/22?matchnum=2097&num=2
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#314 | LeonhartFour | Posted 8/3/2013 9:12:07 PM | message detail
No, I don't think ANYONE has made a single comparison to the Pac-Man/Ocelot match!
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#315 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/3/2013 9:12:13 PM | message detail
UltimaterializerX posted...
Drake has bracket votes. Pac-Man about to go ham.

Remember this match? http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/node/22?matchnum=2097&num=2


Pac-Man won the freeze by a lot, there.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#316 | tennisboy213 | Posted 8/3/2013 9:12:29 PM | message detail
#317 | LeonhartFour | Posted 8/3/2013 9:12:35 PM | message detail
We might have a good one on our hands.
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#318 | WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 8/3/2013 9:12:46 PM | message detail
#319 | AxemRedRanger | Posted 8/3/2013 9:12:56 PM | message detail
1337gamerpr0 posted...
AxemRedRanger posted...
I just noticed we have our first dead guru.


link to gurus?


http://thengamer.com/guru/

Two now that it just updated.
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[NO BARKLEY NO PEACE]
#320 | xp1337 | Posted 8/3/2013 9:13:00 PM | message detail
Well, this could prove quite entertaining.
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GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#321 | Dr_Football | Posted 8/3/2013 9:13:06 PM | message detail
go Pac go
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#322 | LeonhartFour | Posted 8/3/2013 9:13:14 PM | message detail
Just guessing, but I'd say Drake probably wins the night vote since Europe usually sides with Sony, but it's hard to say.
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#323 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 8/3/2013 9:13:23 PM | message detail
UltimaterializerX posted...
Drake has bracket votes. Pac-Man about to go ham.

Remember this match? http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/node/22?matchnum=2097&num=2


so what you're saying is Pac-Man's final percentage will drop relative to the freeze
Drake wins confirmed
#324 | AlecTrevelyan006 | Posted 8/3/2013 9:13:43 PM | message detail
Drake loses, it was fun while it lasted.
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##Alec
#325 | Lopen | Posted 8/3/2013 9:13:45 PM | message detail
This is going about how I expected it to with the freeze

Drake has a slight BRACKETS edge but I think Pac has the casual bracket voters and is just more of an early vote kinda guy than Drake so yeah this one should be a drag out brawl
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#326 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 8/3/2013 9:14:14 PM | message detail
LeonhartFour posted...
We don't really have a good read on Drake's trends because his only match in 2010 was a day match, and his trends in 2008 when all he had was UC1 are pretty much irrelevant. Can't really tell too much from UC2's trends in GOTD either.

Pac-Man's got a pretty good morning vote and not much else.


Well, there is the 3-way GotY poll from 2009:

https://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=0AgBWiYjlMLwYdExtZEVhQ0Z0T01obVhoRHRwMGNhSFE&gid=1

That poll was on a weekday and showed very strong trends for Modern Warfare 2, at least. UC2 was better at night and the morning than in the day.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#327 | Acerac | Posted 8/3/2013 9:15:22 PM | message detail
lol Minecraft
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#328 | Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 8/3/2013 9:18:56 PM | message detail | (edited)
Score-Brackets-% Right
49------2------------50.00
48------21----------28.57
47------66----------36.36
46------127--------33.07
45------211--------37.44
44------204--------31.86
43------303--------24.42
42------377--------25.99
41------565--------26.02
40------679--------25.18
39------918--------24.95
38------1127------23.51
37------1257------22.99
36------1276------23.67
35------1316------23.94
34------1207------23.61
33------1024------25.29
32------808--------25.25
31------760--------26.58
30------624--------30.61
29------515--------26.99
28------350--------29.43
27------310--------31.29
26------237--------34.18
25------216--------31.48
24------160--------36.25
23------121--------31.40
22------89----------35.96
21------77----------41.56
20------56----------46.43
19------73----------43.84
18------29----------37.93
17------33----------24.24
16------22----------13.64
15------18----------44.44
14------13----------46.15
13------8------------37.50
12------9------------55.56
11------4------------75.00
10------2------------50.00
9--------3------------66.67
8--------1------------100.00
7--------2------------50.00
6--------2------------100.00
5--------15----------93.33
4--------3------------33.33
3--------4------------50.00
2--------2------------0.00
1--------7------------28.57
0--------1------------0.00

3 matches. 3 straight Guru/BOP upsets and the top tiers are taking a beating. 3 matches ago we still had -1 brackets and now we are down to the last -2 bracket. Amazingly, while the board did badly on the match, the casuals did even worse. Maybe they were relying on seeding to get them though a tough match. While the top tiers float around the high-20 and low 30s, the middle tiers dipped into the low 20s. This was a brutal match for both those with and without contest knowledge with contest knowledge only giving you a slight edge.

14 people fell off the Top 49. Als52, AsurasKordoth, Billy_Gates, Blairville, Colegreen_c12, creativename, DarkFalconX, davidponte, DiegoArmado, dimi161, Djungelurban, ElsaStegosaurus, Gandalfsam and H-O-O-H did not have Mr. Game & Watch winning.

17 people for it wrong and survived. Former second place Crossfiyah, former third place -LusterSoldier-, alblito, BakusaiTenketsu, Flock_Masta_P, Hagankefs, Jobi1, KingLionel, Luis_Sera89, NLMagic, PSU_Jer, Rainerria, RAMS, redrocket, Ringworm, VincentLauw and Abuses_J00 also did not have Mr. Game & Watch winning.

Edit: Actually 50% of the brackets with a score of 10 got it right, not 0.
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#329 | Blairville | Posted 8/3/2013 9:17:12 PM | message detail
Lopen posted...
This is going about how I expected it to with the freeze

Drake has a slight BRACKETS edge but I think Pac has the casual bracket voters and is just more of an early vote kinda guy than Drake so yeah this one should be a drag out all star battle royal.


fixed
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Haman Korn! You're the source of all kernels in this world! Your time has come! -Cornille
You've made a poor choice for your final popping place! -Haman Korn
#330 | LeonhartFour | Posted 8/3/2013 9:17:40 PM | message detail
Look at Steve's percentage go
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#331 | BK_Sheikah00 | Posted 8/3/2013 9:17:52 PM | message detail
Nice, Drake.
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#332 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 8/3/2013 9:18:45 PM | message detail
I'm trying to investigate whether Steve is getting a rally or not. So far, it doesn't seem like I've identified any Minecraft rallies yet.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#333 | Kibago | Posted 8/3/2013 9:18:46 PM | message detail
there we go.
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Leafs / Raptors / Blue Jays / TFC / Argos / Tottenham
We'll get 'em next year.
#334 | BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 8/3/2013 9:18:47 PM | message detail
LeonhartFour posted...
Just guessing, but I'd say Drake probably wins the night vote since Europe usually sides with Sony, but it's hard to say.


Gonna have to agree with Leon here. Feeling pretty good about Drake here.
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Game of the decade? More like Guru of the decade mirite?
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#335 | Lopen | Posted 8/3/2013 9:18:57 PM | message detail
*headdesk
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
#336 | BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 8/3/2013 9:19:51 PM | message detail
Also, back in the top 10 Guru and top 15 Leaderboard. Let's stay there this time.
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Game of the decade? More like Guru of the decade mirite?
However, the Guru of the next decade so far is SuperNiceDog
#337 | Xuxon | Posted 8/3/2013 9:19:53 PM | message detail
From: -LusterSoldier- | Posted: 8/4/2013 12:18:45 AM | #332
I'm trying to investigate whether Steve is getting a rally or not. So far, it doesn't seem like I've identified any Minecraft rallies yet.

you should start one in all the places you're looking
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#338 | CybrMonkey | Posted 8/3/2013 9:20:03 PM | message detail
Steve makin me feel good about Creeper
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Not so Gr8 anymore.
#339 | Ytterbium_70 | Posted 8/3/2013 9:20:34 PM | message detail
McPvP is at QuakeCon, and that stream has 1-2 million followers at its peak. I don't know of a server quite as popular
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#340 | LeonhartFour | Posted 8/3/2013 9:21:12 PM | message detail
CybrMonkey posted...
Steve makin me feel good about Creeper


...In what way exactly?
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#341 | vcharon | Posted 8/3/2013 9:21:47 PM | message detail
Yeah, I don't see how this is "good" for Minecraft. Drake and Pac-Man are borderline fodder.
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Still smilin'
:>
#342 | Lopen | Posted 8/3/2013 9:22:09 PM | message detail
Maybe he means feel good about Creeper not winning his match

Cause that totally makes sense to me!
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#343 | Dr_Football | Posted 8/3/2013 9:22:25 PM | message detail
yesssssss Pac-Man
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#344 | DoctorJimmy133 | Posted 8/3/2013 9:22:32 PM | message detail
Yowie zowie! We have a great match!
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#345 | LeonhartFour | Posted 8/3/2013 9:23:00 PM | message detail
Drake locked up in a UC3 grapple with Pac-Man

Better hurry and finish the job before Steve kills him because he can't disengage the QTE
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#346 | CybrMonkey | Posted 8/3/2013 9:23:32 PM | message detail
LeonhartFour posted...
CybrMonkey posted...
Steve makin me feel good about Creeper


...In what way exactly?


People thought he would get like 10%. I figured Creeper would be some amount times Steve plus jokes in strength.
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Not so Gr8 anymore.
#347 | Kotetsu534 | Posted 8/3/2013 9:23:39 PM | message detail
Pac-Man gotta make some moves now cause I don't think the night vote's gonna go against Sony boy Drake.
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#348 | ExThaNemesis | Posted 8/3/2013 9:23:45 PM | message detail
wakawakawakawaka

come on Pac-Man.

Feeling good about maybe making it through this division only missing two matches.
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#349 | Kibago | Posted 8/3/2013 9:23:46 PM | message detail
now all we need is the last four updates of the match to be double digits-single digits-double digits-single digits.
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Leafs / Raptors / Blue Jays / TFC / Argos / Tottenham
We'll get 'em next year.
#350 | Xuxon | Posted 8/3/2013 9:24:20 PM | message detail
Creeper should be a lot stronger than Steve and his competition isn't any better
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