Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1089

#1 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 8/2/2013 1:15:34 PM | message detail
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6CMTXyExkeI

~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://www.thengamer.com/
http://thengamer.com/xstats

~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame

~*Character Contest Histories*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the Match Pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Leonhart4's Trend Charts*~
https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?hl=en&key=tOGmynfNIiNy5VukpEF-PdA&hl=en#gid=0

~*Daily Vote Trends - An Explanation for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Daily_Vote_Trends

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense.

Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated.
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#2 | UltimaterializerX | Posted 8/2/2013 7:53:24 PM | message detail
A fine opening post, sir.
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#3 | AlecTrevelyan006 | Posted 8/2/2013 8:07:57 PM | message detail
I'm going to lose so many testicles this contest.
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#4 | MoogleKupo141 | Posted 8/2/2013 8:11:45 PM | message detail
So... Is Gilgamesh the weakest FF character in the contest? Who would you guys take him over?
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#5 | superange128 | Posted 8/2/2013 8:13:04 PM | message detail
MoogleKupo141 posted...
So... Is Gilgamesh the weakest FF character in the contest? Who would you guys take him over?


I'd take him over CEles and Locke since Gilg at least had Dissidia
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#6 | BK_Sheikah00 | Posted 8/2/2013 8:13:45 PM | message detail
Rinoa
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#7 | kinsho3 | Posted 8/2/2013 8:28:42 PM | message detail
So I was looking at that vote-in poll that had Yoshimitsu. Dude sucked bad in that vote-in, although to his credit, he was competing with other fighting characters. But he lost to Dan Hibiki, who got murdered in his match a little while ago. Then you had Nightmare come in and disappoint a few matches later. But then again, we have no decent read on Groose.

Dammit....should I just go Groose > No Pick > Lu Bu?
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Drop it to the floor...
#8 | Articuno2001 | Posted 8/2/2013 8:32:39 PM | message detail | (edited)
I'd take Gilgamesh over all non-Dissidia FF characters in the contest, except Auron.

EDIT: and Zack. Forgot about him.
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Character Battle IX: 42/49 points, Next matches: Gilgamesh, Groose
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#9 | AlecTrevelyan006 | Posted 8/2/2013 8:30:30 PM | message detail
That post 500 is going to be the highlight of Groose's contest run.

I'm going to fail in two testicle bets today. Ugh.
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Menji has reclaimed what was his by rights. I was more of a man with his than with my own combined.
##Alec
#10 | creativename | Posted 8/2/2013 8:37:14 PM | message detail
I wasn't taking issue with U2 being a better game, just that U3 didn't matter or didn't sell as well. It sold over 6 million copies and increased awareness for Uncharted and Drake dramatically. He was in Subway commercials and everything. More than a third of the entire series sales come from U3. Just saying! Doesn't necessarily mean Drake wins, but Uncharted 3 will definitely have mattered for him.

Hmmm...you've convinced me to no pick/no pick/Steve instead of Pac-Man/Drake/Steve. I was getting more confident in Pac-Man despite Drake in my bracket, but didn't realize UC3 was something that mattered.
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#11 | DSRKVRTheDealer | Posted 8/2/2013 8:38:21 PM | message detail
Groose > Lu Bu > Yoshi a terrible EC?
#12 | Xuxon | Posted 8/2/2013 8:41:07 PM | message detail
From: Articuno2001 | Posted: 8/2/2013 11:32:39 PM | #008
I'd take Gilgamesh over all non-Dissidia FF characters in the contest, except Auron.

EDIT: and Zack. Forgot about him.

Rydia isn't in Dissidia, is she? i'd take her over him for sure.
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#13 | creativename | Posted 8/2/2013 8:41:38 PM | message detail
BK_Sheikah00 posted...
Rinoa

Rinoa isn't weak. Squall, Aeris and Tifa are the worst possible opponents for her and she drew one of them. And still almost finished above Hero, who is weak but I really doubt he's garbage.

Whether she's stronger than Locke or Celes is pretty difficult to tell...who knows how much Aeris SFFed her, but it was likely a pretty sizable amount.

DSRKVRTheDealer posted...
Groose > Lu Bu > Yoshi a terrible EC?

I'd say Lu Bu finishing last is the safest bet in the match...but if one of his opponents flops hard enough it's conceivable he might finish 2nd. Doubtful though IMO.
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#14 | Articuno2001 | Posted 8/2/2013 8:41:41 PM | message detail
I'm banking this round, I am not confident on anyone.
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Character Battle IX: 42/49 points, Next matches: Gilgamesh, Groose
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#15 | kinsho3 | Posted 8/2/2013 8:52:41 PM | message detail
Screw it, I'm going Groose > Yoshi > Lu Bu. I see this match being very similar to Tharja > Tiny Tina. You have a relatively new side character from a big-name Nintendo game matching up against a recognizable character that's expected to have fodder-like strength. On top of that, Groose has the 4chan rallying potential here.
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Drop it to the floor...
#16 | BK_Sheikah00 | Posted 8/2/2013 8:58:49 PM | message detail
Here we go!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=At52XGlZ_3Y
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#17 | pjbasis | Posted 8/2/2013 8:59:08 PM | message detail
Pretty sure groose has this now but we'll see
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#18 | Dr_Coffee | Posted 8/2/2013 8:59:26 PM | message detail
MoogleKupo141 posted...
So... Is Gilgamesh the weakest FF character in the contest? Who would you guys take him over?


Sin is the weakest. Why was he even put in the villains contest?
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#19 | lightsout06 | Posted 8/2/2013 8:59:44 PM | message detail
Don't Pursue Lu Bu!
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#20 | tennisboy213 | Posted 8/2/2013 9:00:16 PM | message detail
Vote Accepted


Groose
58.33%
14 Votes
Your Pick

Lu Bu
25%
6 Votes

Yoshimitsu
16.67%
4 Votes
Total Votes: 24
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POKEFEAR
#21 | ChenKenichiFan | Posted 8/2/2013 9:00:28 PM | message detail
Groose
70.59%
12 Votes

Your Pick
Lu Bu
17.65%
3 Votes

Yoshimitsu
11.76%
2 Votes
Total Votes: 17

IS ON THE LOOSE
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#22 | pjbasis | Posted 8/2/2013 9:00:28 PM | message detail
#23 | Crossfiyah | Posted 8/2/2013 9:00:37 PM | message detail
So far looking good.
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BUTTS
#24 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/2/2013 9:00:50 PM | message detail
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=At52XGlZ_3Y
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#25 | hylianknight3 | Posted 8/2/2013 9:00:56 PM | message detail
Groose
80%
4 Votes
Your Pick

Lu Bu
0%
0 Votes

Yoshimitsu
20%
1 Votes

whoo the groose is loose
#26 | pjbasis | Posted 8/2/2013 9:01:05 PM | message detail
#27 | Then00bAvenger | Posted 8/2/2013 9:01:07 PM | message detail
Damn Groose not even gonna give the other 2 a chance
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#28 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 8/2/2013 9:01:16 PM | message detail
Whoa, the freeze happened before the end of the first minute.
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#29 | ChenKenichiFan | Posted 8/2/2013 9:01:18 PM | message detail
#30 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 8/2/2013 9:01:18 PM | message detail
THE GROOSE

IS

LOOSE
#31 | Dr_Football | Posted 8/2/2013 9:01:28 PM | message detail
1 minute freeze boo
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#32 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 8/2/2013 9:01:31 PM | message detail
what the hell, a <1 minute freeze?
#33 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/2/2013 9:01:44 PM | message detail
Look at that Groose
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Points: 42/48 Today's Picks: Sora and Booker
#34 | hylianknight3 | Posted 8/2/2013 9:02:16 PM | message detail
KanzarisKelshen posted...
THE GROOSE

IS

LOOSE


You said it, bro.
#35 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/2/2013 9:02:21 PM | message detail
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=At52XGlZ_3Y
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#36 | pjbasis | Posted 8/2/2013 9:02:41 PM | message detail
not listening to my bracket has done my expert wonders so far
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#37 | Blairville | Posted 8/2/2013 9:02:41 PM | message detail
I'm gonna count the next update as part of the board vote. I certainly didn't expect Groose to win it! VGCW boost confirmed!?
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#38 | VideoboysaysCube | Posted 8/2/2013 9:02:44 PM | message detail
I love the way Groose is stroking his pompadour in the results page. He knows he's got this.
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#39 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 8/2/2013 9:02:46 PM | message detail
ChenKenichiFan posted...
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vZGm1_b8oY0


Excuse me Yo, I think you posted the wrong link!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=At52XGlZ_3Y

There we go! Much better!
#40 | Dr_Coffee | Posted 8/2/2013 9:02:56 PM | message detail
Next update a big Yoshimitsu increase NAMU NAMU NAMU
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#41 | VeryInsane | Posted 8/2/2013 9:03:11 PM | message detail
MoogleKupo141 posted...
So... Is Gilgamesh the weakest FF character in the contest? Who would you guys take him over?


Ramza.

D:
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#42 | kinsho3 | Posted 8/2/2013 9:03:15 PM | message detail
Things are looking mighty well for THE GROOSE
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Drop it to the floor...
#43 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/2/2013 9:03:48 PM | message detail
Hopefully Yoshi doesn't collapse
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 43/50 Today's Picks: Groose and Lee Everett
#44 | pjbasis | Posted 8/2/2013 9:04:45 PM | message detail
I have Lee in my bracket so seems like an obvious G&W win to me
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#45 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 8/2/2013 9:04:46 PM | message detail
Blairville posted...
I'm gonna count the next update as part of the board vote. I certainly didn't expect Groose to win it! VGCW boost confirmed!?


FROM AVALON

GOD ROOSTER!
#46 | WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 8/2/2013 9:05:06 PM | message detail
Wait

RIVAL?

Link vs. Groose for Rivalry Rumble 2
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#47 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/2/2013 9:05:17 PM | message detail
I have Lee in my bracket so seems like an obvious G&W win to me

Watch Meat Boy troll us all.
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 43/50 Today's Picks: Groose and Lee Everett
#48 | TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 8/2/2013 9:05:21 PM | message detail
just wait til all those chinese kiddies get tucked into bed but check GameFAQs homepage right before hitting the hay
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#49 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 8/2/2013 9:05:28 PM | message detail
Yesterday's match had the worst vote totals for any day match. It didn't even reach 26000 votes and was well behind CATS/Ness/Locke for the second worst day match.
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#50 | Then00bAvenger | Posted 8/2/2013 9:06:05 PM | message detail
whoa

We have a match
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