Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1086

#201 | Karma Hunter | Posted 7/31/2013 9:54:40 PM | message detail
Xuxon posted...
Isaac isn't weaker than Lloyd, Keen is just turbo fodder


I honestly didn't check, but you're probably right. My overall point stands, Big Daddy+Lloyd should easily outpace Isaac+Keen.
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#202 | LeonhartFour | Posted 7/31/2013 9:55:53 PM | message detail | (edited)
Achromatic posted...
I find it absurd that people are actually trying to debate that Pikachu > Crono straight up. Like, Crono > Pikachu is not even a debate or anything.


Seriously.

If you think Crono gets less than 70% on Lloyd Irving, you might as well pick him to lose to anyone with half decent strength. Even at the peak of Lloyd's strength in 2005, Zero got 73% on Lloyd.
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#203 | LordoftheMorons | Posted 7/31/2013 9:55:58 PM | message detail
I briefly considered taking Missle over Kerrigan because I didn't think that many people cared about her and Missle is adorable, but I figured Crono would take the apathy votes. Might have pulled the trigger 1v1; oh well!
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#204 | tgs2 | Posted 7/31/2013 9:56:02 PM | message detail
Unless Magus looks like a total beast against Otacon, Crono > Pikachu lis looking mroe and more likely. Disappointing, but at least CT will be going out on a high note instead of bombing in hilarious fashion.
#205 | creativename | Posted 7/31/2013 9:56:22 PM | message detail
BlAcK TuRtLe posted...
Why would Kerrigan fall when SC2 had a Kerrigan focused expansion not 5 months ago?

I don't know anything about Starcraft, but earlier people were saying how they ruined Kerrigan's "Queen B of the universe" character. Who knows if that adversely affected her strength though. Since as everyone says, this site stopped playing games in 2006.
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#206 | LeonhartFour | Posted 7/31/2013 9:57:01 PM | message detail
Also, Pikachu is quickly threatening to drop below Fox's mark at this rate.
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#207 | Karma Hunter | Posted 7/31/2013 9:57:06 PM | message detail
Achromatic posted...
I find it absurd that people are actually trying to debate that Pikachu > Crono straight up. Like, Crono > Pikachu is not even a debate or anything. It is all about Magus being there.


Do you understand now?

This is what your sprite round has wrought.
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#208 | OrangeCrush980 | Posted 7/31/2013 9:57:14 PM | message detail
Does Lloyd doing well here prove Kratos A. > Chocobo?
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#209 | Achromatic | Posted 7/31/2013 9:58:10 PM | message detail
Also Pikachu's % is tanking hard right now. Let's fry us up some rodent...!
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#210 | LeonhartFour | Posted 7/31/2013 9:58:26 PM | message detail
tgs2 posted...
Unless Magus looks like a total beast against Otacon, Crono > Pikachu lis looking mroe and more likely. Disappointing, but at least CT will be going out on a high note instead of bombing in hilarious fashion.


Magus destroying that match is probably better news for Crono because he's going to destroy Magus pretty hard regardless of their relative strengths. Magus looking pathetic going into that match is worse for Crono than him looking good going into it.
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#211 | ExThaNemesis | Posted 7/31/2013 9:59:27 PM | message detail
Man I love the stats topic's heel-face relationship with Pikachu. We only like the thing when it's convenient (SAVE US FROM L-BLOCK). Now though? Coming up with every conceivable reason for it to lose to Crono. I'm in that boat too but I just thought this was amusing.

I think the way things are right now, Pikachu has just enough to beat Crono if Magus is in the mix. Here's hoping Magus does what he does best against Otacon tomorrow!
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#212 | superange128 | Posted 7/31/2013 9:59:39 PM | message detail
OrangeCrush980 posted...
Does Lloyd doing well here prove Kratos A. > Chocobo?


If Kratos A can't even beat friggin Sackboy he probably won't beat Chocobo
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#213 | Xuxon | Posted 7/31/2013 9:59:50 PM | message detail
Pikachu and Crono have already had a match and Pikachu got 46% on him. it isn't THAT absurd to think Pikachu could have won even without Magus there. i just don't think these performances show that.
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#214 | ChenKenichiFan | Posted 7/31/2013 10:00:29 PM | message detail
Why does Crono > Pikachu look more and more likely? Apart from Jigglypuff, the Pokemon have looked great.
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#215 | kinsho3 | Posted 7/31/2013 10:00:44 PM | message detail
Meh, I think Pikachu is still gonna whup Crono next round. Everything is lining up well for Pikachu to seize the moment. If not....well, I'm ****ed.
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#216 | LeonhartFour | Posted 7/31/2013 10:00:45 PM | message detail
ExThaNemesis posted...
Coming up with every conceivable reason for it to lose to Crono.


What are you talking about? Crono beats Pikachu effortlessly if Magus isn't there. It's just a fact.

And everybody rightly admitted back in 2008 that Pikachu was just in a situation of being the lesser of two evils!
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#217 | Rad Link 5 | Posted 7/31/2013 10:00:56 PM | message detail
To be fair to people debating Pikachu > Crono, the notion probably comes from how much the board talks about this idea that Chrono Trigger is dead. Crono barely loses a first round match to someone who goes on to almost beat Sephiroth, and all of a sudden he's clearly just an upper midcarder at best. It's silly, but I've even seen board regulars saying stuff along those lines, so it messes with people's expectations.
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#218 | KamikazePotato | Posted 7/31/2013 10:01:16 PM | message detail
I really wish Lloyd/Big Daddy was a 1 v 1 match. The reactions would've been amazing.
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#219 | LeonhartFour | Posted 7/31/2013 10:01:20 PM | message detail
ChenKenichiFan posted...
Why does Crono > Pikachu look more and more likely? Apart from Jigglypuff, the Pokemon have looked great.


I personally don't think Lugia's or Squirtle's performances were that great.

Well, I guess it depends on what you expected from them.
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#220 | Karma Hunter | Posted 7/31/2013 10:01:36 PM | message detail
Xuxon posted...
Pikachu and Crono have already had a match and Pikachu got 46% on him. it isn't THAT absurd to think Pikachu could have won even without Magus there. i just don't think these performances show that.


Multi-way polls can always do screwy things. Kirby beat Sonic - and he's 100% not stronger than him and never has been!

But that's not the proposition. The assertion isn't that Pikachu can win next round, it's that he's stronger than Crono straight up. His strength doesn't validate that.
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#221 | Colegreen_c12 | Posted 7/31/2013 10:03:19 PM | message detail
So apparently I have lloyd > Big daddy.

I do not remember making this pick.

but im going to take it.
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#222 | ChenKenichiFan | Posted 7/31/2013 10:04:05 PM | message detail
Chrono Trigger and its characters have been on a ten-year decline. Unless we get some consistent results that point to that decline being reversed, the logical thing to do is to assume the decline will continue. This, naturally, leads to taking more and more "pathetic" upsets over the CT crew until they give us reasons not to. I think 2008 was the last time anything from Chrono Trigger had a good win.
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#223 | ExThaNemesis | Posted 7/31/2013 10:04:12 PM | message detail
LeonhartFour posted...
ExThaNemesis posted...
Coming up with every conceivable reason for it to lose to Crono.


What are you talking about? Crono beats Pikachu effortlessly if Magus isn't there. It's just a fact.

And everybody rightly admitted back in 2008 that Pikachu was just in a situation of being the lesser of two evils!


Yeah I meant with Magus there. But that's what I mean! It'd be like the IWC rooting for (someone) just because they wanted him to beat John Cena.

Which is basically where I'm at with Link at this point. I'd cheer for Squall if that was the final match.
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#224 | Xuxon | Posted 7/31/2013 10:04:49 PM | message detail
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 8/1/2013 1:01:36 AM | #220
Xuxon posted...
Pikachu and Crono have already had a match and Pikachu got 46% on him. it isn't THAT absurd to think Pikachu could have won even without Magus there. i just don't think these performances show that.


Multi-way polls can always do screwy things. Kirby beat Sonic - and he's 100% not stronger than him and never has been!

But that's not the proposition. The assertion isn't that Pikachu can win next round, it's that he's stronger than Crono straight up. His strength doesn't validate that.

most people would equate those things if Otacon is the other character in the match
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#225 | ExThaNemesis | Posted 7/31/2013 10:05:20 PM | message detail
Yoblazer, did you give your opinion on the Yuna/Claire ass LFF in the match pic? I'm worried Chief could pull off the upset now!!

I might be willing to take that though if we can forever point to ass LFF as something that actually happened in a contest.
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#226 | creativename | Posted 7/31/2013 10:05:32 PM | message detail
LeonhartFour posted...
Magus destroying that match is probably better news for Crono because he's going to destroy Magus pretty hard regardless of their relative strengths. Magus looking pathetic going into that match is worse for Crono than him looking good going into it.

I wouldn't even try to relate anything from that match with Crono. Crono and Magus don't really seem to be correlated in strength, and no matter how strong Magus looks Crono is likely to obliterate him anyway.

The problem for Crono is that probably almost all of Magus' votes will come and his expense. But this isn't Mega Man/Zero - we've already seen Crono put 70% on Magus 1v1, and in 3-ways where everyone knows Crono needs their vote, that will be much worse. Regardless of how strong Magus is he will get SFFed and Obvious Last Place Factor'd something bad.
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#227 | GloryChaos | Posted 7/31/2013 10:05:43 PM | message detail
I want Otacon > Magus to happen just so I can see the board's reaction if Pikachu > Crono happens anyway.

I say this, but I'll be voting for Crono in that match regardless.
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#228 | Jakyl25 | Posted 7/31/2013 10:05:45 PM | message detail
ExThaNemesis posted...
LeonhartFour posted...
ExThaNemesis posted...
Coming up with every conceivable reason for it to lose to Crono.


What are you talking about? Crono beats Pikachu effortlessly if Magus isn't there. It's just a fact.

And everybody rightly admitted back in 2008 that Pikachu was just in a situation of being the lesser of two evils!


Yeah I meant with Magus there. But that's what I mean! It'd be like the IWC rooting for (someone) just because they wanted him to beat John Cena.

Which is basically where I'm at with Link at this point. I'd cheer for Squall if that was the final match.


But would you cheer for John Cena to beat Link?
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#229 | LeonhartFour | Posted 7/31/2013 10:05:52 PM | message detail
I dunno. To me, it's not really that it's Pikachu. I just don't like the idea of a Noble Niner getting punked in the second round by a guy who's clearly weaker than him because Bacon doesn't understand the concept of LFF.

Tribute to the Noble Nine my foot!
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#230 | ExThaNemesis | Posted 7/31/2013 10:06:46 PM | message detail
Rad Link 5 posted...
To be fair to people debating Pikachu > Crono, the notion probably comes from how much the board talks about this idea that Chrono Trigger is dead. Crono barely loses a first round match to someone who goes on to almost beat Sephiroth, and all of a sudden he's clearly just an upper midcarder at best. It's silly, but I've even seen board regulars saying stuff along those lines, so it messes with people's expectations.


Missingno wasn't static though (or at least you'd have a hard time convincing me he was). I don't like the idea of Sephiroth being that close to Crono.
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#231 | AxemRedRanger | Posted 7/31/2013 10:06:54 PM | message detail
ChenKenichiFan posted...
I can buy Big Daddy overperforming on Tifa because almost everything overperforms against FFVII, but he still looked better than Gordon. Fast forward three years, and Gordon (who has received absolutely nothing since 2007) looks like a stud and Big Daddy is bombing despite at least two clear poll advantages.


Portal and Half-Life 2 looked pretty good in Game of the Decade and we've also had Portal 2 since then.

And Half-Life being as weak as it was on this site back in the day compared to other sites was always slightly weird, though being consoleFAQs it did make sense. I'd expect any kind of site shift whatsoever to benefit Gordon because of that, and FFVII weakening over time probably does indicate some kind of shift.
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#232 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 7/31/2013 10:07:22 PM | message detail
GloryChaos posted...
I want Otacon > Magus to happen just so I can see the board's reaction if Pikachu > Crono happens anyway.

I say this, but I'll be voting for Crono in that match regardless.


if that happens, LeonhartFour to ragequit the contest confirmed
#233 | Rad Link 5 | Posted 7/31/2013 10:07:35 PM | message detail
ChenKenichiFan posted...
Chrono Trigger and its characters have been on a ten-year decline.

http://thengamer.com/xstats/ranks.php?name=Crono

Rumors of Crono's demise have been greatly exaggerated. Hell, even Frog's been fairly consistent.

http://thengamer.com/xstats/ranks.php?name=Frog

Magus, however...

http://thengamer.com/xstats/ranks.php?name=Magus

Magus definitely looked better early on.
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#234 | ExThaNemesis | Posted 7/31/2013 10:07:35 PM | message detail
Jakyl25 posted...
ExThaNemesis posted...
LeonhartFour posted...
ExThaNemesis posted...
Coming up with every conceivable reason for it to lose to Crono.


What are you talking about? Crono beats Pikachu effortlessly if Magus isn't there. It's just a fact.

And everybody rightly admitted back in 2008 that Pikachu was just in a situation of being the lesser of two evils!


Yeah I meant with Magus there. But that's what I mean! It'd be like the IWC rooting for (someone) just because they wanted him to beat John Cena.

Which is basically where I'm at with Link at this point. I'd cheer for Squall if that was the final match.


But would you cheer for John Cena to beat Link?


Depends. If it's the main event of Wrestlemania for the WWE Title? Link.

If it's in a character battle final? LET'S GO CENA
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#235 | LeonhartFour | Posted 7/31/2013 10:07:55 PM | message detail
ChenKenichiFan posted...
I think 2008 was the last time anything from Chrono Trigger had a good win.


Well, considering they haven't had a win since 2008 until this contest, that makes sense!

Unless we're counting the Games Contest, I guess.
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#236 | tgs2 | Posted 7/31/2013 10:07:57 PM | message detail
LeonhartFour posted...
tgs2 posted...
Unless Magus looks like a total beast against Otacon, Crono > Pikachu lis looking mroe and more likely. Disappointing, but at least CT will be going out on a high note instead of bombing in hilarious fashion.


Magus destroying that match is probably better news for Crono because he's going to destroy Magus pretty hard regardless of their relative strengths. Magus looking pathetic going into that match is worse for Crono than him looking good going into it.


You're probably right, but I like to think a stronger Magus means more people likely not switching over to Crono compared to a very weak Magus. It just makes more sense to me though there's tons of evidence that proves me wrong.
#237 | Karma Hunter | Posted 7/31/2013 10:08:13 PM | message detail
Xuxon posted...
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 8/1/2013 1:01:36 AM | #220
Xuxon posted...
Pikachu and Crono have already had a match and Pikachu got 46% on him. it isn't THAT absurd to think Pikachu could have won even without Magus there. i just don't think these performances show that.


Multi-way polls can always do screwy things. Kirby beat Sonic - and he's 100% not stronger than him and never has been!

But that's not the proposition. The assertion isn't that Pikachu can win next round, it's that he's stronger than Crono straight up. His strength doesn't validate that.

most people would equate those things if Otacon is the other character in the match


I wouldn't (although it would be *highly* suggestive of a 1v1, but I digress). Multiway polls can't be trusted.

That being said, Crono > Pikachu > Otacon if he gets there is about as close as a mortal lock to you can get in the format, true shutout style blowouts notwithstanding.
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#238 | LeonhartFour | Posted 7/31/2013 10:09:24 PM | message detail
1337gamerpr0 posted...
if that happens, LeonhartFour to ragequit the contest confirmed


spoilers I'm not as emotionally invested in individual outcomes as I may appear to be

And certainly not in the outcome of Chrono Trigger!

If any outcome would cause me to ragequit this year, it'd be Missingno > Squall.

I haven't gotten legitimately upset over a contest result since...Probably Master Hand > Kuja, actually.
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#239 | TheOneAboveAll | Posted 7/31/2013 10:09:56 PM | message detail
LeonhartFour posted...
ChenKenichiFan posted...
I think 2008 was the last time anything from Chrono Trigger had a good win.


Well, considering they haven't had a win since 2008 until this contest, that makes sense!

Unless we're counting the Games Contest, I guess.


Frog/Magus in Rivalry Rumble. *runs away*
#240 | Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 7/31/2013 10:10:26 PM | message detail
LeonhartFour posted...
I dunno. To me, it's not really that it's Pikachu. I just don't like the idea of a Noble Niner getting punked in the second round by a guy who's clearly weaker than him because Bacon doesn't understand the concept of LFF.

Tribute to the Noble Nine my foot!


Considering SBAllen's score right now, he may actually have a good idea how matches will go when he puts some effort into making his bracket. He probably does know what LFF is and either doesn't bother avoiding it or intentionally sets it up (Link/___/Mario finals).
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#241 | xp1337 | Posted 7/31/2013 10:10:31 PM | message detail
LeonhartFour posted...
I dunno. To me, it's not really that it's Pikachu. I just don't like the idea of a Noble Niner getting punked in the second round by a guy who's clearly weaker than him because Bacon doesn't understand the concept of LFF.

Tribute to the Noble Nine my foot!

Do we know he doesn't get it? I always assumed he did and it was intentional to try and generate "surprising" results. Only they aren't really surprising to us.
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#242 | Xuxon | Posted 7/31/2013 10:10:37 PM | message detail
From: LeonhartFour | Posted: 8/1/2013 1:07:55 AM | #235
ChenKenichiFan posted...
I think 2008 was the last time anything from Chrono Trigger had a good win.


Well, considering they haven't had a win since 2008 until this contest, that makes sense!

Unless we're counting the Games Contest, I guess.

there may have been something else in between then and now. i can't quite remember, though...
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#243 | LeonhartFour | Posted 7/31/2013 10:10:39 PM | message detail
#244 | Karma Hunter | Posted 7/31/2013 10:10:42 PM | message detail
I'm still legitimately upset over Snake v Pikachu and my guy won that match
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#245 | MegatokyoEd | Posted 7/31/2013 10:10:44 PM | message detail
It's so hard to fathom that Magus has fallen so far that Frog probably is stronger than him now.

How the hell did he ever pull his 2003 run off?
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#246 | ExThaNemesis | Posted 7/31/2013 10:11:14 PM | message detail
LeonhartFour posted...
1337gamerpr0 posted...
if that happens, LeonhartFour to ragequit the contest confirmed


spoilers I'm not as emotionally invested in individual outcomes as I may appear to be

And certainly not in the outcome of Chrono Trigger!

If any outcome would cause me to ragequit this year, it'd be Missingno > Squall.

I haven't gotten legitimately upset over a contest result since...Probably Master Hand > Kuja, actually.


You should try being within reach of winning the contest only for your favorite character to be upset in a match he was heavily favored to win!!
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#247 | TheOneAboveAll | Posted 7/31/2013 10:12:21 PM | message detail
MegatokyoEd posted...
It's so hard to fathom that Magus has fallen so far that Frog probably is stronger than him now.

How the hell did he ever pull his 2003 run off?


Oh what a difference hindsight can make. Remember when in 2003 everyone thought he was a massive disappointment for almost losing to Ganondorf and for getting pounded by Link? Good times...
#248 | LeonhartFour | Posted 7/31/2013 10:12:23 PM | message detail
I dunno. Maybe he gets it now. I remember someone complaining to him in a ticket about putting two L4D characters in the same vote-in poll because they're stealing each other's votes, and he legitimately didn't seem to grasp what the problem was.

Although Bacon getting it only makes setting up matches like Leon/Wesker/Oliver more egregious! If you're going to do something that silly, at least put someone in the match who can threaten to beat Leon!
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#249 | General_Zimbad | Posted 7/31/2013 10:13:07 PM | message detail
LeonhartFour posted...
I dunno. To me, it's not really that it's Pikachu. I just don't like the idea of a Noble Niner getting punked in the second round by a guy who's clearly weaker than him because Bacon doesn't understand the concept of LFF.

Tribute to the Noble Nine my foot!


I'm certain that he would understand the concept of LFF and probably made the bracket to force this match to be interesting.
#250 | LeonhartFour | Posted 7/31/2013 10:13:48 PM | message detail
ExThaNemesis posted...
You should try being within reach of winning the contest only for your favorite character to be upset in a match he was heavily favored to win!!


I was literally one match away from winning 4chan's stupid Sidekick Battle because I wrongly expected 4chan to actually pick the more humorous joke option to win the contest.
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