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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1086
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Play Der Langrisser, nominate Erwin for future character battles. Never made one of these before. -- ~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~ www.gamefaqscontests.com ~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/ ~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~ http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html ~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~ http://www.thengamer.com/ http://thengamer.com/xstats ~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame ~*Character Contest Histories*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories ~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~ A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA ~*All the Match Pics*~ http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php ~*Leonhart4's Trend Charts*~ https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?hl=en&key=tOGmynfNIiNy5VukpEF-PdA&hl=en#gid=0 ~*Daily Vote Trends - An Explanation for Dummies*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Daily_Vote_Trends ~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages ~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~ SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense. Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated. --- "Hamas isn't really a terror organization." -Terran [Evil Republican] Play Der Langrisser. |
Remember when we used to open and close topics with inequalities? --- http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v516/Sensui22/1248835958206.png |
LeonhartFour posted... Got used once against Yoshi in 2006. Still didn't look good. Well, there's also the sprites Snake has in cutscenes of the game. That could be a good middle ground. --- "Hamas isn't really a terror organization." -Terran [Evil Republican] Play Der Langrisser. |
I don't know if Missile can hold on guys. Five-hundred fifty votes in an hour and half is like nothing for the swarm. --- Ace Detective in Sir Chris' Police http://img225.imageshack.us/img225/4258/1118030354863.jpg |
I'd just like, if we *must* use the sprite round, to use Snake's MGS1 model. http://nowgamer.net-genie.co.uk/siteimage/scale/480/270/305810.jpg It doesn't look great, heck it may not do much better for him. But at least it would be from the game that he's actually known for. --- sig |
SubDeity posted... LeonhartFour posted...Got used once against Yoshi in 2006. Still didn't look good. http://i2.ytimg.com/vi/uHqP3pChgrA/hqdefault.jpg I don't know if this kind of stuff is admissible. ...though I am at a loss to explain as to why I've never thought of it. --- sig |
I actually thought GBC Snake looked significantly better than Solid S***, even if it was still pretty s***ty in its own right. But Solid S*** is a hilarious tradition. I'm fine with it showing up as long as we have that silly sprite round. So long as it's not against, like, Cloud. --- Ace Detective in Sir Chris' Police http://i.imgur.com/ttDnYq8.gif |
It's hilarious until he loses to something stupid! --- "I can set you free, mate." "My freedom was forfeit long ago!" |
http://s3.vidimg.popscreen.com/original/1/eGtueWI0MTI=_o_metal-gear-solid-ghost-babel---partie-4---boomerang.jpg or maybe something like this would be more appropriate? also, why are you talking in French to Aeris Gainsborough Snake --- sig |
MGS on Game Boy is a criminally underappreciated game. --- "Hamas isn't really a terror organization." -Terran [Evil Republican] Play Der Langrisser. |
LeonhartFour posted... It's hilarious until he loses to something stupid! I might find it even more hilarious at that point, honestly. Unless it's a character I dislike, obviously. Then it's gotta go. --- Ace Detective in Sir Chris' Police http://i.imgur.com/JFhmfuV.gif |
SubDeity posted... Play Der Langrisser, nominate Erwin for future character battles. I prefer Leon myself -- Imperial path for the win. But yes, anyone who hasn't played Der Langrisser really should. There's 100% translations out there and it's IMO the best 16Bit strategy RPG along with the Shining Force games. Warsong is a great introduction to the Langrisser world. --- I pwn you all! |
From: LeonhartFour | Posted: 7/31/2013 10:40:44 PM | #008 It's hilarious until he loses to something stupid! you better be prepared! http://files.gamebanana.com/img/ico/sprays/kefka_laugh_giant.gif --- http://24.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_lxkdr0uNc91qlu5jao1_r1_400.gif |
Sending a clown to do your dirty work, eh Link --- sig |
Cloud's the one who actually needs Snake out of the way, not Link --- http://24.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_lxkdr0uNc91qlu5jao1_r1_400.gif |
Xuxon posted... Cloud's the one who actually needs Snake out of the way, not Link so it's a conspiracy, makes sense damn the Clinktriots --- sig |
Kefka beating Solid S*** would be my second favorite contest result of all-time. Plus it potentially sets up Cloud vs Kefka vs Sora. That is just a hell of a semi-final. --- Ace Detective in Sir Chris' Police http://img24.imageshack.us/img24/106/bestgamesofalltimer.png |
Xuxon posted... Cloud's the one who actually needs Snake out of the way, not Link yeah, because Draven will take out Link anyway ;) |
Solid S*** still won against the likes of Frog and Bowser in his worst years. He'll be fine unless the battle image is a GIF of Kefka laughing while his laugh is constantly playing on the main page. --- Current Let's Play: Final Fantasy II - http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3557012 Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64 |
Rad Link 5 posted... Kefka beating Solid S*** would be my second favorite contest result of all-time. No. We've been over this. It sets up Cloud/Kefka/Crono, which puts Crono in the finals. Against Link and Mario. |
From: Rad Link 5 | Posted: 7/31/2013 10:49:56 PM | #017 Kefka beating Solid S*** would be my second favorite contest result of all-time. it could also potentially set up Cloud vs Kefka vs Pikachu which could potentially set up a Link vs 2 Pokemon final in his easiest win yet --- http://24.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_lxkdr0uNc91qlu5jao1_r1_400.gif |
Lloyd or Big Daddy? --- Hey man, LlamaGuy did encrypt the passwords. With what? ROT-13? -CJayC |
Big Daddy should easily beat Lloyd. |
Time for Starcraft to pull one of the most epic rallies these contests have ever seen. 530 votes in 1 hour. |
Link vs Pikachu vs Charizard would be the final to end all finals. I can't think of a final with an abnormality-to-rage ratio closer to 1. --- Ace Detective in Sir Chris' Police http://i.imgur.com/8UgInPO.gif |
Rad Link 5 posted... Draven vs Pikachu vs Charizard would be the final to end all finals. fixed |
Believe
it or not, that would skewer the ratio way more in abnormality's favor
than rage compared to Link being there. Link brings the abnormality down
and jacks up the rage both on the "oh god Link wins again, and this
time he wins easily thanks to Pokemon LFF" and the "oh god NINTENDOFAQS
NINTENDOFAQS" fronts. --- Ace Detective in Sir Chris' Police http://img215.imageshack.us/img215/7972/tokidoandi3.jpg |
If Draven gets there, Link and Sephiroth have already gone down and the final is merely a formality. There would be a ton of rage. More than Link would cause. I'm fairly sure of it. --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX |
xp1337 posted... If Draven gets there, Link and Sephiroth have already gone down and the final is merely a formality. There would be a ton of rage. More than Link would cause. I'm fairly sure of it. Pokemon rally leads to Pikachu winning by 1 vote, the best final ever |
I'd consider this a decent round for BROno. --- LM |
If Draven beats Link the contest ends right there. Nothing would stop him at that point. Honestly, Draven losing in the finals would probably register as the biggest upset to ever occur for me. I can't really imagine the circumstances you would need for that to happen (with the only exception being another LoL character there... so, what, Teemo?) --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX |
so what % does Pikachu need to pull to have a chance next round, with and without Magus |
Teemo is much more popular with the general LoL fanbase than Draven is --- The King of Kings http://img18.imageshack.us/img18/9971/744sptp062727c1tyrekeem.jpg |
TyrekeEvans13 posted... Teemo is much more popular with the general LoL fanbase than Draven is I wouldn't know! But that's kind of secondary to my point. A LoL character, whether it be Draven or Teemo, would cause more rage than Link winning. And if Draven beats Link, that has essentially been assured. We could have a Draven/Teemo/Whoever final and I'd expect the "Whoever" to place 3rd! --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX |
xp1337 posted... TyrekeEvans13 posted...Teemo is much more popular with the general LoL fanbase than Draven is FF/LoZ/MGS/Mario/everything else fanbase combines to vote for either Cloud or Snake |
Based on 2010 xsts, Crono would get like 50.58% against Lloyd and Big Daddy. So better than that without Magus there. I don't know how bad Magus hurts him, so I won't hazard a guess on that. --- Ace Detective for Hire |
From: xp1337 | #034 TyrekeEvans13 posted...Teemo is much more popular with the general LoL fanbase than Draven is Well it would essentially be odd as it would basically mean outside forces decided a GFs contest single-handedly. I myself have Teemo winning the whole thing thanks to contest format and GameFAQs in general having a dying population. --- The King of Kings http://img18.imageshack.us/img18/9971/744sptp062727c1tyrekeem.jpg |
If
Link has already gone down then I have to assume the rally is at full
force. I can't really take seriously the proposition that it just fails
after that. How do you beat Link and then screw up against Cloud/Snake
on a bigger stage? Even with LFF I don't see it! --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX |
The
best chance for Draven to win his next match is to have a higher base
strength in his next match so he has a better chance of using the
rallies to upset MMX and Ryu. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ! |
From: xp1337 | Posted: 7/31/2013 11:30:10 PM | #031 Honestly, Draven losing in the finals would probably register as the biggest upset to ever occur for me. I can't really imagine the circumstances you would need for that to happen (with the only exception being another LoL character there... so, what, Teemo?) Magikarp --- http://24.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_lxkdr0uNc91qlu5jao1_r1_400.gif |
xp1337 posted... If Link has already gone down then I have to assume the rally is at full force. I can't really take seriously the proposition that it just fails after that. How do you beat Link and then screw up against Cloud/Snake on a bigger stage? Even with LFF I don't see it! counter rallies? or just snap the rally at the source |
xp1337 posted... If Link has already gone down then I have to assume the rally is at full force. I can't really take seriously the proposition that it just fails after that. How do you beat Link and then screw up against Cloud/Snake on a bigger stage? Even with LFF I don't see it! It could happen. Link's not that far ahead of the field anymore, and you can't rally unlimited amounts of votes. It may just be that with two LoL entries there's not enough to go around against GameFAQs fighting back against a united front. --- sig |
If
the final is Draven/Temmo/(Cloud or Snake) I imagine most of the
internet that cares about these contests will be pissed and take
advantage of the LoL SFF to maybe sneak in a second place finish, but
that poll is eclipsing 300k if both LoL champions make it especially if
Riot decides to add a "prize" for the winning champion. |
Ugh, more LoL rally discussion. Back to playing Persona 4 --- http://img571.imageshack.us/img571/9919/leonhart.png |
LeonhartFour posted... Ugh, more LoL rally discussion. wait a minute I started this tangent with that joke post NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO |
don't be a party pooper leon lol is gonna score 80% on link --- Ace Detective for Hire |
Karma Hunter posted... xp1337 posted...If Link has already gone down then I have to assume the rally is at full force. I can't really take seriously the proposition that it just fails after that. How do you beat Link and then screw up against Cloud/Snake on a bigger stage? Even with LFF I don't see it! I can see Cloud/Snake pulling into 2nd, though I'd personally be very uneasy about taking that pick, but first? I just have to believe that if Cloud/Snake was putting up a credible threat to win that the rally would abandon one character for the other. Maybe I'm wrong, but at this phase I'm envisioning extremely high votals plus a bandwagon effect that just crushes the remaining competition even further down from where things stood after Link fell. I don't think it just levels off after Link loses, I expect the floodgates to burst and Sephiroth and Cloud/Snake to be the victims of it. But hopefully this is all just a nightmare hypothetical that will never leave the confines of bizarre "what ifs"! --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX |
LeonhartFour posted... Ugh, more LoL rally discussion. I can't help it! I find the topic morbidly fascinating! i can stop if it's a problem. --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX |
Rallying discussion is lame because rallying is lame. But I've got P4, so knock yourselves out if you want to talk about it! --- "Why must we always choose between certain death and probable death?" "I'm in an epic battle to the death, FIGURE IT OUT YOURSELF!" |
Crono making a late push for 63 |
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