GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1082
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SINGLE-DIGIT
UPDATE ALERT! Latest--no, wait, it's not the latest any more; just had
another update--the 2:34 update had just 7 votes for Spring Breeze
Dancin', 2.82% of the update. That's actually his first update all match where he was worse than Chester's final total... --- RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed. |
TsunamiXXVIII posted... KanzarisKelshen posted...Nanis23 posted...KanzarisKelshen posted...Unless something very stupid goes on in those matches, all those have a clear not-first. Meat Boy, Steve and Celes are not winning their matches. I'd honestly feel less comfortable with Groose/Lu Bu/Yoshimitsu, because I'm not sure if the zero bracketmaker did his homework for how assy Yoshimitsu was. Fox wins. Drake is piss-weak. |
Actually let me amend that Fox wins. Pac-Man folds in the face of someone with a fanbase. |
Nanis23 posted... If we can see the % each place has,why can't we see the amount of votes...? why hide it? Probably because if we had numbers it'd make it obvious that Draven was stuffing and the powers that be don't want to be called on it. Just my theory! Oh god, the men in suits... spread the truth! --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
lopen still mad he got caught for cheating in 2007 --- i'll do rydia -Dante |
KanzarisKelshen posted... Actually let me amend that Actually let me amend that for you. Blue wins. Pac-Man is a loser. --- The Gamer In Me "Ike and Ash & Co. saw a Yoshi and didn't catch it." - Mer telling us his dream. |
Warcraft/GTA good times |
KanzarisKelshen posted... Actually let me amend that Wait, I thought we were back to pretending that Wolf was going to LFF Fox enough to allow Blue into the second round! I'm always so far behind the trends... Also, lost in all of this "how awful can Spring Breeze Dancin' do?" is that Zidane's lead over Ridley only went up by 1 at the 2:39 update. The most recent one added another 20, though, so it looks like it was just a small hiccup. It happens; he only added 4 with the 2:04 update, 5 with the 1:49 and 3 with the 1:19, but he's still won every update outright. --- RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed. |
paulg235 posted... KanzarisKelshen posted...Actually let me amend that I honestly don't want to get into this debate again so I'm just gonna leave it at this: 10%. That's all Blue needs to lose from his full 1v1 pre-SFF strength (assuming he is dead even with Red and not, y'know, like 30% worse like every 'second fiddle') to lose to a Fox suffering from the worst leech we've ever seen since Mega Man/Zero. 10%. And we're gonna see that 10% matter come game time. |
What
about 'People will see Pokemon Trainer Blue and forget which color was
the rival and which one was the main character' factor --- A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice. |
Then00bAvenger posted... What about 'People will see Pokemon Trainer Blue and forget which color was the rival and which one was the main character' factor Easy: Picsmiths submit Fox in his red Brawl color. Should make it all clear. |
Ha, Zidane is only beating Ridley by like 1% in America. --- [NO BARKLEY NO PEACE] |
Can someone please contact creativename to tell him gamefaqscontest.com graphs don't work? Though it's pretty late in the contest so I believe he already knows but doesn't care enough to fix them..but whtaver |
Pac-Man folds in the face of someone with a fanbase. Tell that to Ocelot --- Oh SuperNiceDog's doing it again dude. SuperNiceDog, you ain't no pimp dude |
Gary Oak isn't Blue so that would be misleading. --- GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~ |
Safer_777 posted... Gary Oak isn't Blue so that would be misleading. exactly --- Demyx is better than Axel. http://www.last.fm/user/crazydom |
Ridley had his first cut a few minutes ago Zidane increased the lead by alot after that,but still |
Nanis23 posted... Can someone please contact creativename to tell him gamefaqscontest.com graphs don't work? He knows. There's nothing he can do about it. Apparently some sort of upgrade made them no longer compatible. --- Crucifying my Oracle average one match at a time |
ShatteredElysium posted... Nanis23 posted...Can someone please contact creativename to tell him gamefaqscontest.com graphs don't work? I can understand having problems if he gets the info directly from the poll results But since the match updates page works fine,can't he use that data instead for the graphs? I can do that in Excel or something so it doesn't sound too hard (no idea how to do it in a website or something though!) |
Oooh, soft --- The Great GameFAQs Character Battle IX contest: 36/41 pts NP: Zidane Tribal > Ridley > Spring Breeze Dancin' |
Nanis23 posted... ShatteredElysium posted...Nanis23 posted...Can someone please contact creativename to tell him gamefaqscontest.com graphs don't work? http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/66716955/751216181 That was where he addressed it. --- Crucifying my Oracle average one match at a time |
This may sound crazy, but I only just realized Ridley is losing. I mean I've looked at the match maybe three times so far because I've been elsewhere, but the only thing I was really taking note of was how horrible Spring Breeze Dancin' was doing. Welp, that's gonna hurt my expert pick and bracket. --- Ace Detective in Sir Chris' Police |
SBD Update: Zidane's around 90.5%, and Ridley's around 88.9%. --- Current Let's Play: Final Fantasy II - http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3557012 Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64 |
So what are the odds that SBD can manage a 0-vote update in a day match? |
Chester's latest zero vote update was at 11:52 AM EST. So it can be done when the sun's up. I kind of find it hard to believe Spring Breeze Dancin' is really that much more popular than Chester. I mean just how much of this site can really have played any Goemon game, let alone the N64 one? And how many of them even remember Spring Breeze Dancin'? Maybe when it gets late SPD can pull out a zero vote update. --- Ace Detective in Sir Chris' Police http://i.imgur.com/f6vLOQY.jpg |
If SBD was named Chester he'd be doing just as badly, maybe even worse. I'm sure of it! --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
184 votes to Chester, haha then again, day match=more votes |
SBD is certainly getting some votes because of his ridiculous name. Would he lose to Tanner? --- Bracket score: 38 / Expert score: 192 |
The
slowest Time To Chester in a day match was Commander Keen's ~03:03 TTC.
So Spring Breeze Dancin' has the day record, already. Caim has the
worst TTC period at ~06:15, so I think that record is safe. --- Ace Detective in Sir Chris' Police http://i.imgur.com/TGppqcU.jpg |
The
board consensus of Pit>Cecil never quite made sense to me. Still
possible Pit actually has strength due to Uprising, but I'm glad I stuck
with Cecil on that one. Have a hard time seeing Uprising making Pit
that strong. KanzarisKelshen posted... I wouldn't call it logic, really. This isn't a diss, just noting that Ridley beating Zidane seems like a Samus>Mario thing. The stats can say one thing, but past contest outings never lie, and Ridley's never done anything to show that he hasn't remained the washed up hack he was in 2k5. Stats should always be tempered by the eyeball test. The problem with the Mario/Samus match is that in 2K3, Mario let *Shadow* get 45% on him. And in 2K4 he got whipped bad by Crono. Everyone who picked Samus to win was expecting that same Mario, and that's not what happened. For all the patting on the back with Mario/Samus, it is still highly questionable whether the Mario of 2K3 or 2K4 would have beaten Samus. Mario in 2K5 was a completely different beast from the start. He was on steroids that year - that year was a big shift in his favor. He shifted 7 points on Crono alone. That was also the year Luigi showed real strength for the first time. Bowser did great that year too. It was just a turning point year for the SMB franchise. There's things in these contests you can pat yourself on the back for predicting (e.g. Majora's Mask being an OoT proxy/Zelda Always Wins, and this site turning into PokeFAQs), and other things where it's just dumb luck. Kingdom Hearts Factor, L-Block, etc. The logic for picking Mario was never that he'd boost 7 points and that the whole SMB franchise would go beast-mode. Even if Mario rSFF'd Samus in 2K4, he would have needed almost all that SFF power just to barely beat her, not laid a 60/40 smackdown. So while Mario/Samus is held as the gold standard for eyeball test type logic, it doesn't really hold under scrutiny. Kotetsu534 posted... I laughed when I saw that too - there is only one (or two, if you count Chie) character in the bracket who could SFF her and she drew him. There are worse fates. She wasn't going to do anything anyway. But alas, poor Mega Man...stuck with Zero, of all people. I'm actually surprised we haven't seen more whining about Mega Man's path. Guess people are just resigned to LFF polluting results at this point. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
I'm not seeing it. SBD's actually been having better
updates recently, at least from a percentage standpoint. He had his
first update over 7% (not counting start-freeze) half an hour ago and an
even better one five minutes ago. --- RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed. |
I'd
be more upset with Mega Man's path if it didn't mean Charizard (and if
not him, likely someone else I like as much as/more than Mega Man)
advancing out of the division. --- Ace Detective in Sir Chris' Police http://i.imgur.com/DmiYe4v.gif |
Kat
is going to look hella weak. I love her game but I love Persona 4 so
much more. I think a lot of people will feel the same way --- ~Zen |
Oh, I didn't mean it was a safe bet that SPD was going to break Caim's TTC. I meant that record was safe from being broken. Now put SPD in a night match, and he probably shatters it, but alas. --- Ace Detective in Sir Chris' Police |
Actually, for all of the talk about SBD nearing Chester's level of awfulness, he's still only had one
update under Chester's overall percentage. Granted, even Chester
managed a couple of updates above 6%, but your end percent is kind of an
average update so you'd expect some equal variance on both sides and
Chester's varied all the way down to 0. --- RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed. |
Nanis23 posted... What I do know is that not having Magus in the next round won't matter I don't see Magus and Crono's strength as being tied at the hip. Magus stinking up the joint doesn't necessarily mean Crono will. Karma Hunter posted... Although as a very slight topic shift I'm absolutely floored even after all this time that the Dissidia games could do so much for these characters. Makes you wonder what Square could do if they ever got their act together. Yeah, I was surprised at Dissidia's impact as well, just being a portable game for a portable device that wasn't close to being Gameboy popular. If Square had made a console Dissidia, the impact would likely have been very large. Nanis23 posted... I can understand having problems if he gets the info directly from the poll results I was using a library called Image_Graph. That library updated, and now for some reason the old code doesn't work. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
Karma Hunter posted... Oh man, Zidane looks like the favorite according to the guru stats... which is quite surprising to me, considering what Ridley's projected to be at. We all just think that Cloud performance was fraudulent or no one wants to trust Ridley? Nah, I just figured Ike would beat Ridley every single time, so why pick Ridley > Zidane? Plus, it's Ridley. Who cares about Ridley? --- http://img.imgcake.com/leonhjpguz.jpg |
I
had a hard time seeing people actually go Ride,y over Zidane. Just
didn't make much sense to me that people would prefer a boss fight to a
PS FF character. --- tune in tokyo 142.94 |
Trend chart for the night match: Time | Squirtle | Ramza | Denton | Votes 0:05 | 65.82% | 25.03% | 9.15% | 787 1:00 | 61.04% | 28.73% | 10.23% | 5141 2:00 | 59.80% | 28.37% | 11.83% | 3169 3:00 | 58.96% | 28.84% | 12.20% | 2271 4:00 | 58.13% | 27.22% | 14.64% | 1844 5:00 | 57.38% | 27.34% | 15.28% | 1518 6:00 | 60.44% | 26.13% | 13.43% | 1370 7:00 | 58.55% | 27.74% | 13.71% | 1561 8:00 | 58.44% | 28.11% | 13.45% | 1754 9:00 | 57.91% | 28.33% | 13.76% | 1984 10:00 | 59.99% | 28.29% | 11.72% | 2057 11:00 | 60.33% | 27.44% | 12.24% | 2125 12:00 | 59.42% | 28.25% | 12.34% | 2124 Squirtle peaks early, Ramza stays steady, Denton gets the night vote. Nothin' to see here, folks. X-Stats: Squirtle – 50.00% Ramza Beoulve – 32.07% JC Denton – 17.30% Squirtle's prediction percentage was 76.51% --- "I can set you free, mate." "My freedom was forfeit long ago!" |
Breeze got a 4 votes update Chester got a few 0 and Caim got a few 2...but this is new low for Breeze I think |
TsunamiXXVIII posted... charmander6000 posted...Tharja is by far the weakest in round 2 with only unrallied Draven possibly being weaker. --- Currently Playing - Super Metroid, MGS4, Brawl, FFVII, Wind Waker, RE4, SOTC |
LeonhartFour posted... Karma Hunter posted...Oh man, Zidane looks like the favorite according to the guru stats... which is quite surprising to me, considering what Ridley's projected to be at. We all just think that Cloud performance was fraudulent or no one wants to trust Ridley? that only makes this result that much more depressing if you consider Zidane is probably losing if he doesn't have Dissidia --- sig |
charmander6000 posted... Tharja is by far the weakest in round 2 with only unrallied Draven possibly being weaker. For now, yes. But you have to remember that Groose/Lu Bu/Yoshimitsu is still a thing. Groose might be able to combine joke character status and Legend of Zelda to come up with something vaguely resembling strength, but I doubt it, in which case we actually get a non-Street Fighter, non-Mortal Kombat fighting game character in Round 2. (...yes, I know, we already have one of those. How many people even realize that Morrigan's original game was also a fighter? How many care? Most of them know her from MvC, and she's the queen of TJF.) --- RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed. |
To
the question about Draven getting anti-voted, there's very little doubt
in my mind it happened and will happen. People who don't play LoL seem
to have an unnatural amount of hate for the game (probably because of
it's popularity). --- I pwn you all! |
Do not doubt Lu Bu! |
Karma Hunter posted... that only makes this result that much more depressing if you consider Zidane is probably losing if he doesn't have Dissidia I choose to ignore this fact. Also Theatrhythm boost! --- http://i.imgur.com/M7vKB.gif |
Groose got that match for sure --- tune in tokyo 142.94 |
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