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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1078
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LeonhartFour posted... Remember, Draven only had 20% in a match with Jak and Chie. He's going to be starting from an even bigger deficit next time, and he has to deal with the fact that a lot of these LoL guys are going to be fans of MMX and Ryu as well. Yeah, unlike L-Block the problem here is that he has a really tough second-round match, and second place in the match won't be enough to progress. He has to straight-up outvote Ryu and MMX and that ain't easy. But if it's a case of just the odd link in one or two of the right places? F***ing hype. --- XIII_rocks, the cream of XIII fanboyism. |
Colegreen_c12 posted... People are entirely underestimating LoL's fanbase if they think he can't win the whole thing. If riot puts a link on their client for an hour, he will get more votes than most matches have. If that happens, i don't know if Link would even put up 20% against Draven. --- The cycle of life and death continues. We will live. And they will die. |
LinkMarioSamus posted... BlAcK TuRtLe posted...Ah crap, yesterday's match was so boring and uneventful I just naturally assumed that one of the 500 Fails of or Xenofodder characters Only if you weren't expecting it --- Game of the decade? More like Guru of the decade mirite? However, the Guru of the next decade so far is SuperNiceDog |
LeonhartFour posted... Remember, Draven only had 20% in a match with Jak and Chie. He's going to be starting from an even bigger deficit next time, and he has to deal with the fact that a lot of these LoL guys are going to be fans of MMX and Ryu as well. This actually scares me more, to be honest. Because it suggests that practically everything Draven did was pure rally strength. It doesn't make much sense because obviously a better position for Draven to not be turbofodder and still have the rally strength but I have a feeling we'd all be kind of laughing this off if Base Draven had been only trailing Jak by a little bit and got pushed over. Colegreen_c12 posted... People are entirely underestimating LoL's fanbase if they think he can't win the whole thing. If riot puts a link on their client for an hour, he will get more votes than most matches have. I never liked this take on the argument. Yeah, sure, if Riot did that it's almost certainly game over, Link included. But that's the kind of thing that I think would be true for a number of characters and never materialized. Saying, "If only 1% of the fanbase showed up, the contest would be over" is one thing. Getting them is another. If 1% of the WoW base showed up those contests would be over. This is the kind of thing I need to see to believe, because it hasn't been done yet. This format and the low votals is very helpful though. --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX |
Yeah,
unlike L-Block the problem here is that he has a really tough
second-round match, and second place in the match won't be enough to
progress. He has to straight-up outvote Ryu and MMX and that ain't easy.
But if it's a case of just the odd link in one or two of the right
places? F***ing hype. It hurts MMX/Ryu that they split the vote with each other if it was MMX/scrub things would be harder for Draven. --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls Points: 27/32 Today's Picks: Epona and Altair |
Draven's
rally potential is amazing... If a rally starting 1/3 of the way
through the match can get him 10,000 votes (?) imagine what a rally
that's been circulated and prepared for a few days could do. We really
need to keep an eye out in the days leading up to Draven's match. --- Fine! I'll go to the store and get your Goddamn drain cleaner! Character Battle IX Tingle Victory Parade - the journey is over.... |
Yeah,
honestly MMX/Ryu struck me as pretty fortunate for Draven. Unless MMX
just blows out Ryu a close match is to Draven's benefit. Are there much better R2 matches to end up in? Sure, but there are plenty of worse ones. --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX |
This
Draven talk is hilarious. Starcraft had one of the most successful
rallies ever in a contest, and it still managed to barely beat out its
opponents before bowing out to Melee. And Starcraft has a much higher
base strength than Draven ever will. --- Game of the decade? More like Guru of the decade mirite? However, the Guru of the next decade so far is SuperNiceDog |
charmander6000 posted... It hurts MMX/Ryu that they split the vote with each other if it was MMX/scrub things would be harder for Draven. Honestly, I think Draven having to face two very well known and well liked characters hurts his chances because that's two characters the potential ralliers may want to vote for instead. EVO became a bigger deal on Twitch than LoL, too. --- http://i43.tinypic.com/dgwh0.gif http://www.majhost.com/gallery/atukam/OHWD/snownd.gif |
xp1337 posted... LeonhartFour posted...Remember, Draven only had 20% in a match with Jak and Chie. He's going to be starting from an even bigger deficit next time, and he has to deal with the fact that a lot of these LoL guys are going to be fans of MMX and Ryu as well. Problem is,you can expect it only from Blizzard(Battlenet and WoW) and Valve (Steam) Since they are both giant companies that doesn't care about something like Gamefaqs Character Battle Popularity Contest it's out of the question But Riot is a small company that I can imagine them doing it I don't believe it will happen,but it's possible |
charmander6000 posted... Yeah, unlike L-Block the problem here is that he has a really tough second-round match, and second place in the match won't be enough to progress. He has to straight-up outvote Ryu and MMX and that ain't easy. But if it's a case of just the odd link in one or two of the right places? F***ing hype. But it also means that Draven's base strength will be much lower because he's up against 2 near-elites, and that a lot less of the rallied traffic will end up voting for him. --- Game of the decade? More like Guru of the decade mirite? However, the Guru of the next decade so far is SuperNiceDog |
Isn't
it possible that Altair is SFFing Ratchet a bit? AC was always promoted
more as a PS brand than everything else. PS even gets console exclusive
stuff for each game. --- Call me Mega, Megaman, X, or any variation/combination of the previously stated names. Official Liu Kang of the PS3 Mortal Kombat board. |
what if Mega Man fans crash the LoL forums beforehand :O |
Starcraft
probably did have a higher strength, but it doesn't matter. Votals are
so awfully low that LoL rallies would be more than enough to win the
contest. --- Fine! I'll go to the store and get your Goddamn drain cleaner! Character Battle IX Tingle Victory Parade - the journey is over.... |
This is like arguing Master Chief was going to beat Hayabusa because of "Xbox SFF." I don't think people understand the concept of overlap. Everyone overlaps with everyone. It's just a matter of finding a scenario where the fans of one greatly prefer him over the other, and that doesn't happen as often as people seem to think, because it's getting thrown around in virtually every match now. --- http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v516/Sensui22/1248835958206.png |
BlAcK TuRtLe posted... charmander6000 posted...Yeah, unlike L-Block the problem here is that he has a really tough second-round match, and second place in the match won't be enough to progress. He has to straight-up outvote Ryu and MMX and that ain't easy. But if it's a case of just the odd link in one or two of the right places? F***ing hype. That's the drawback, but personally I think that's a preferable situation to replacing Ryu with a scrub that allows MMX to end up somewhere around 60%+ (~20k votes) pre-rally. It comes down to how many votes you think Ryu will take from the rally to determine which situation is better. --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX |
I think that people are just paranoid because of the L-Block incident |
BlAcK TuRtLe posted... This Draven talk is hilarious. Starcraft had one of the most successful rallies ever in a contest, and it still managed to barely beat out its opponents before bowing out to Melee. And Starcraft has a much higher base strength than Draven ever will. Things are different now. People connect to each other in new ways. There are just more avenues now for an effective rally, I think. --- XIII_rocks, the cream of XIII fanboyism. |
charmander6000 posted... It's the same reason why people thought that the name Darth Revan and a lightsaber in his match pic would be enough to beat Terra, and it didn't happen. I picked Terra and never had a second thought about it. You guys were just drooling over shiny lightsabers. --- "The people who play Final Fantasy 7 actually have lives and dont NEED polls" ~MajinUltima SuperNiceDog: Bracket: Good, Taste: Bad |
swirIdude posted... charmander6000 posted...It's the same reason why people thought that the name Darth Revan and a lightsaber in his match pic would be enough to beat Terra, and it didn't happen. That's a non sequitur, not an argument. You've made plenty of picks that you didn't have a second thought about that bombed. --- sig |
The League of Draven will beat Link --- If you believe in the Lord FE7 and you accept FE7 as the Savior of video games and are 100% proud of it, put this in your sig. |
Between
the LoL subreddit (the 24th most active subreddit and 2nd most popular
gaming-related subreddit behind the default /r/gaming [3rd]), and a
potential LoL official forum thread that gets visibility, ESPECIALLY if a
Riot employee happens to make a post in it which drives traffic because
of their tracker, Draven has ridiculous rally potential. People really
shouldn't underestimate the LoL fanbase. Draaaaaaaaaaaven.. --- I pwn you all! |
LeonhartFour posted... charmander6000 posted...It hurts MMX/Ryu that they split the vote with each other if it was MMX/scrub things would be harder for Draven. I think this is a tad misleading considering EVO is the biggest fighting game tournament in the world, and it was barely beating random LoL pros that were streaming regular games. If League was running their biggest tournament I don't think EVO would be leading in viewers or be very close. Not that any of this matters in the long run --- http://img.imgcake.com/KommunistKoala/koalajpgehsa.jpg http://img.imgcake.com/KKpngat.png |
I
think people are still living under a rock if they truly underestimate
the magnitude of their rallying potential. Times have changed, there are
a lot more outlets, forums, stream channels, live chat, etc these days
for them to work on. Even a random piece of LoL footage on youtube would
garner 1-200k views within a day. --- Zinsanity of the Helix Board |
Twitch/Reddit
isn't what is going to be giving Teemo and Draven any super rally
strength, it's Riot. Twitch is more likely to vote Ryu against Draven
because FGC stream monsters are rooted in everything there. |
tgs2 posted... Twitch/Reddit isn't what is going to be giving Teemo and Draven any super rally strength, it's Riot. Twitch is more likely to vote Ryu against Draven because FGC stream monsters are rooted in everything there. Weekly FGC tournaments (The Runback, Big Two being the two most popular) get 15k viewers on a good day. Big tournaments like CEO and Final Round usually get 30-50k viewers, and they happen every few months. LoL Streamers like TheOddOne, Dyrus, Imaqtpie, and Scarra routinely get 30k-50k viewers just to watch them play. Riot's weekly LCS started 20 minutes ago, a game hasn't even started yet, and there are 92k viewers. They routinely get 130k+ viewers on Twitch and an extra 30k on Youtube, and that's not even taking into account Korean streaming platforms. Know that raise your dongers stuff that pervades every Twitch channel right now? Where do you think it started? HINT: It wasn't an FGC stream. EVO was super hype, but Riot's LCS pull that viewer count FOUR TIMES A WEEK. You're nuts if you think the Twitch/Reddit vote would go to Ryu. --- I pwn you all! |
Am
I the only one to notice that Draven could potentially benefit from STF
in Round 2? It's a Western character against two anime dudes. --- Currently Playing - Super Metroid, MGS4, Brawl, FFVII, Wind Waker, RE4, SOTC |
The
issue isn't whether they are capable it's whether they will. Husky and
Day9 could rally Starcraft to great strengths as well, but they don't. --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls Points: 27/32 Today's Picks: Epona and Altair |
xp1337 posted... LeonhartFour posted...Remember, Draven only had 20% in a match with Jak and Chie. He's going to be starting from an even bigger deficit next time, and he has to deal with the fact that a lot of these LoL guys are going to be fans of MMX and Ryu as well. That's right. As I was so fond of pointing out a few days ago even though it was completely irrelevant, Draven was getting killed early on. Literally lost an update by over 100 votes to Chie Satonaka. Took all of about an hour and 20 minutes for Draven to be in third place by over 1000 votes. It took almost twice as long for Chie to fall 1000 votes behind Jak than it took her to build up a 1000-vote lead over Draven! Which brings us to the other scary part about this--because of how long it took for Draven to get going, Chie still ended up with a very respectable 39.42% on him. Can you imagine something from Persona actually having a good X-stat value? But yeah, the one saving grace is that Draven faces a tough round 2 battle. That's why I'm worried about Epona--she's actually got a rather favorable Round 2 battle in that Fire Emblem always collapses against other Nintendo and GLaDOS looked really weak. Seriously, Ragna the Bloodedge got almost 23% on her. Anyone remember the past performances of these guys and their games? http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/3695 http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/4049 http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/4069 http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/4481 Um...yeah. Note that three out of those four polls are vote-ins, too. This is the first time anything from either series has even made a contest in which the field was decided solely on nominations. --- RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed. |
Changing
topic, I just discovered decisive proof that Niko dropped in strength.
Put it this way: Would you expect Epona to be on the same level as
Zelda and Ganondorf, or Mordin to be equal to John Price? That's the
truth if you assume a constant Niko. We won't know the truth for sure until next round, but common sense tells enough. --- Currently Playing - Super Metroid, MGS4, Brawl, FFVII, Wind Waker, RE4, SOTC |
When was this topic taken over by obnoxious LoL fans again? --- "i am pretty sure 3-year old children would generate more thoughtful discussion than board 8 on any topic of sexism" - Naye745 |
John who --- A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice. |
MarioSuperstar posted... When was this topic taken over by obnoxious LoL fans again? I'd rather read that than posts by LMS though he keeps posting anyway --- http://img.imgcake.com/KommunistKoala/koalajpgehsa.jpg http://img.imgcake.com/KKpngat.png |
Well
now I'm going to attempt to plug many a previous result into the 2010
stats and see how things work out. Or not. It just isn't fun. --- Currently Playing - Super Metroid, MGS4, Brawl, FFVII, Wind Waker, RE4, SOTC |
Keep the results to yourself though. It'll help your future chances. --- http://www.miscupload.com/upload/452457071929141623517416.gif |
So are all of the FFVII anti votes going to Prinny tomorrow night? --- https://pbs.twimg.com/media/BMcwhStCYAAr-mC.jpg Dallas Cowboys and Mavs |
Prinny's gonna do better on Cloud than he did on Ike. Just because FFVII must always find new and exciting ways to disappoint. |
Is Prinny > Armstrong the consensus? --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls Points: 27/32 Today's Picks: Epona and Altair |
charmander6000 posted... Is Prinny > Armstrong the consensus? I would think so since Armstrong is limited to one game that while well-liked doesn't seem like it was a HUGE seller or anything. There's probably a bunch of Metal Gear fans who didn't buy it since it wasn't a stealth game --- Want any VNs pre-patched? PM me. List of VNs can be found by clicking on my username. |
FranzyvonKarma posted... Prinny's gonna do better on Cloud than he did on Ike. Ike>Cloud Ike>Snake round 3 confirmed |
superange128 posted... charmander6000 posted...Is Prinny > Armstrong the consensus? This plus RacistFAQs --- https://pbs.twimg.com/media/BMcwhStCYAAr-mC.jpg Dallas Cowboys and Mavs |
Score-Brackets-% Right 32------6------------83.33 31------52----------92.31 30------178--------91.57 29------336--------80.06 28------480--------72.50 27------745--------61.21 26------1155------58.44 25------1577------55.99 24------1795------51.64 23------1787------52.21 22------1724------50.35 21------1379------48.08 20------1125------48.36 19------795--------49.31 18------596--------43.46 17------424--------47.41 16------322--------50.93 15------234--------44.02 14------177--------51.98 13------105--------42.86 12------76----------43.42 11------57----------33.33 10------35----------45.71 9--------24----------45.83 8--------17----------29.41 7--------6------------33.33 6--------7------------0.00 5--------3------------33.33 4--------4------------0.00 3--------4------------0.00 2--------16----------0.00 1--------7------------14.29 0--------6------------0.00 Very high support for Epona in the top tiers but a perfect bracket still bites the dust. Once again there's fast drop of in prediction percentage from the 90s to the low 60s before slowing down and levelling off. 4 people fell off the Top 49. jtye2000, neoboman, Panthera and SoLoRiGiNaToR did not have Epona winning the match. 1 person got it wrong and survived. KanzarisKelshen also did not have Epona winning the match. --- Pokemon VGC2013 BC Regional - 16th place Pokemon VGC2013 US National - 39th place |
*looks at pics* Dear lord, Kefka is winning. --- Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer) http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif |
lightsout06 posted... superange128 posted...charmander6000 posted...Is Prinny > Armstrong the consensus? racism against whites damn gamefaqs --- Fast Falcon ate my bracket for dinner in the guru contest. |
Looking at the picture Prinny looks more likely to win, assuming we get the same one we saw in 2010. --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls Points: 27/32 Today's Picks: Epona and Altair |
Team Rocket Elite posted... Score-Brackets-% Right 6 perfect and 6 zero... who's gonna fail first... --- Congratulation to SuperNiceDog. Guru Champ and Rivalry Rumble Master |
cant tell that the dude is white with that pic for the bracket --- https://pbs.twimg.com/media/BMcwhStCYAAr-mC.jpg Dallas Cowboys and Mavs |
lightsout06 posted... cant tell that the dude is white with that pic for the bracket Are we looking at the same picture? |
charmander6000 posted... Looking at the picture Prinny looks more likely to win, assuming we get the same one we saw in 2010. Prinny>Cloud confirmed :P |
Can slime beat TJF? --- GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~ |
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