Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1076

#351 | spooky96 | Posted 7/24/2013 8:09:05 PM | message detail
Someone needs to shut down Protoman ._. PLEASE
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Pokemon Showdown Peak Ranking OU: 2004
And then lost 7 matches in a row >_>
#352 | BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 7/24/2013 8:09:15 PM | message detail
Man, this is gonna be close
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Game of the decade? More like Guru of the decade mirite?
However, the Guru of the next decade so far is SuperNiceDog
#353 | ChenKenichiFan | Posted 7/24/2013 8:09:17 PM | message detail
Does anyone else think that Ratchet may put the fear of god in Gurus tomorrow? I truly think he can come out and win (hell, win with breathing room at that). Consider:

- Ratchet scored a very impressive 44% on Jecht in 2010. His last contest showing was easily his best looking.
- He has some definite "Stand Out Factor" in his favor.
- Sony mascots have looked significantly better than we expected.
- LITERALLY FINISHED AHEAD OF ALTAIR IN THE 2010 X-STATS (granted, Altair was behind Link/Sonic SFF, but I still have to bring it up cuz I think this is the first time I've ever used the 2010 stats and it made me laugh)

However, here's the biggest point, one I don't think anyone else has brought up:

Our 2010 contest took place just a couple of months after Assassin's Creed II was released. Back then, the series only had two games under its belt, meaning Altair was just as big a part of the series as Ezio (if not bigger since he was the only main character for two years). Heck, there were probably people who got them confused and assumed that Altair was still the lead character or at least had some sort of presence in both games. Fast forward 3.5 years and tack o few more AC games, and Ezio is clearly the top dog. I'm not sure if Altair has had any sort of AC presence since 2007, and the voters will probably realize that. He is in line for a significant strength drop.

I'm very, VERY strongly considered taking Ratchet for the Oracle/Expert upset.
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#354 | SliceSabre | Posted 7/24/2013 8:09:39 PM | message detail
PROTOMAN KEEPS CUTTING THE LEAD BY .10% EACH UPDATE NOOO
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@w@
Gamertag: SliceSabre
#355 | superange128 | Posted 7/24/2013 8:10:15 PM | message detail
DO IT Protoman

I don't care if I lose another point I've lost so many from dumb upset picking
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#356 | TheOneAboveAll | Posted 7/24/2013 8:10:17 PM | message detail
10.5 updates remaining.
Ike leads by 195 votes.
Protoman needs to gain 18.57 votes per update to win.
#357 | Omniscientless | Posted 7/24/2013 8:10:26 PM | message detail
Karma Hunter posted...
Also, it can't help that even people that voted for Protoman (like me) kinda wanna see him lose after seeing BT <_<


Pretty sure BT predicted Proto would start making consistent cuts but it wouldn't be enough to overcome Ike's lead. So if anything you should be rooting for Protoman!
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#358 | NM4 | Posted 7/24/2013 8:10:29 PM | message detail
I love Ike but it is fun to see stuff like this.
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#359 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 7/24/2013 8:12:43 PM | message detail | (edited)
Is this it, Ike Greil? Are you going to take this beating without lifting a finger? Without a sound? Are you going to lay down and die? Stand up now! Fight for your friends! This is it! The time is now!

(Looking for good FE music now. Gotta offer something up for a CHOOSE YOUR THEME to match what Protoman is gonna get!)
#360 | hellfire104 | Posted 7/24/2013 8:12:37 PM | message detail
It really is only going to take 2 stalls or 3 subpar updates for Protoman to lose. It's gotta be nothing but huge cuts from now on.
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Point Total: 31/32. Guru Status: Alive
My Bracket Says: Night: Epona Day: Altair
#361 | AppreciateTrees | Posted 7/24/2013 8:12:42 PM | message detail
Ike will hold on :O
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#362 | TheOneAboveAll | Posted 7/24/2013 8:13:09 PM | message detail
That gain was not quite enough. It was still a gain, though, and Protoman's not out of this yet.
#363 | spooky96 | Posted 7/24/2013 8:13:13 PM | message detail
Glad to see ONLY a minor update for Protoman there.

You're late robo
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Pokemon Showdown Peak Ranking OU: 2004
And then lost 7 matches in a row >_>
#364 | izNotPerfect | Posted 7/24/2013 8:13:39 PM | message detail
WE LIKE IKE
WE LIKE IKE
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#365 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 7/24/2013 8:13:57 PM | message detail
YES! THAT'S IT! ONE MORE IKE! POWER UP THE AETHER! Just one more!
#366 | vcharon | Posted 7/24/2013 8:13:59 PM | message detail
Ike's been stalling like that for a while now. Generally after that, Protoman has a big update. If he has one this next time, it isn't over. If Ike stalls this run again, it probably is.
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Still smilin'
:>
#367 | BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 7/24/2013 8:14:04 PM | message detail
Omniscientless posted...
Karma Hunter posted...
Also, it can't help that even people that voted for Protoman (like me) kinda wanna see him lose after seeing BT <_<


Pretty sure BT predicted Proto would start making consistent cuts but it wouldn't be enough to overcome Ike's lead. So if anything you should be rooting for Protoman!


Holy crap, someone paying attention. High five!
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Game of the decade? More like Guru of the decade mirite?
However, the Guru of the next decade so far is SuperNiceDog
#368 | KamikazePotato | Posted 7/24/2013 8:14:15 PM | message detail
We're at the point where a stall shoots up the Votes-per-update Proto needs. He can probably only afford one or two more of those.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#369 | TheOneAboveAll | Posted 7/24/2013 8:14:52 PM | message detail
It's back up to 19.9 votes per update, by the way. I did say I'd call it at 20...
#370 | Karma Hunter | Posted 7/24/2013 8:16:04 PM | message detail
BT cowardly hedging so that he can gloat in any eventuality

I've never seen this before
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sig
#371 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 7/24/2013 8:18:15 PM | message detail | (edited)
SELECT YOUR THEME

Ike: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KZ_ySubJbhA

VS.

Protoman: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cKAWlZGe18M

It all comes down to this. LET'S GO!
#372 | KamikazePotato | Posted 7/24/2013 8:16:50 PM | message detail
My prediction: votes are cast
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#373 | izNotPerfect | Posted 7/24/2013 8:17:00 PM | message detail
KanzarisKelshen posted...
SELECT YOUR THEME

Ike: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BC4sggBVWUc

thanks brah
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If you believe in Jesus Christ and are 100% proud, put this in your sig.
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#374 | Julian_Caesar | Posted 7/24/2013 8:17:51 PM | message detail
Karma Hunter posted...
BT cowardly hedging so that he can gloat in any eventuality

I've never seen this before


Dang. Does Turtle have everyone's number in this topic THAT bad? Hell I disagreed with him about Falcon/Alucard but I'm not ashamed to admit he was right about Falcon's disappointing morning vote. Although let's be fair, nobody predicted (or could have predicted) that Alucard would actually win with the morning vote.
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#375 | tennisboy213 | Posted 7/24/2013 8:17:53 PM | message detail
Not enough, Proto Man!
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POKEFEAR
#376 | izNotPerfect | Posted 7/24/2013 8:18:07 PM | message detail
NOT ENOUGH PROTO MAN

Calling it.
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#377 | Then00bAvenger | Posted 7/24/2013 8:18:09 PM | message detail
Welp

Oh well at least Protoman should take it under 100.
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#378 | vcharon | Posted 7/24/2013 8:18:16 PM | message detail
That might do it.
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Still smilin'
:>
#379 | KamikazePotato | Posted 7/24/2013 8:18:37 PM | message detail
Julian_Caesar posted...
Karma Hunter posted...
BT cowardly hedging so that he can gloat in any eventuality

I've never seen this before


Dang. Does Turtle have everyone's number in this topic THAT bad?


Most of us have been dealing with Turtle for years.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#380 | spooky96 | Posted 7/24/2013 8:18:47 PM | message detail
All the best prototype NOW!

gg.
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Pokemon Showdown Peak Ranking OU: 2004
And then lost 7 matches in a row >_>
#381 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 7/24/2013 8:19:14 PM | message detail
izNotPerfect posted...
KanzarisKelshen posted...
SELECT YOUR THEME

Ike: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BC4sggBVWUc

thanks brah


Added a new one that is more directly related to Ike after I saw this reply. Either works since one is HIS theme and the other is his people's theme...and that'd be us.
#382 | Karma Hunter | Posted 7/24/2013 8:19:24 PM | message detail
Julian_Caesar posted...
Karma Hunter posted...
BT cowardly hedging so that he can gloat in any eventuality

I've never seen this before


Dang. Does Turtle have everyone's number in this topic THAT bad? Hell I disagreed with him about Falcon/Alucard but I'm not ashamed to admit he was right about Falcon's disappointing morning vote. Although let's be fair, nobody predicted (or could have predicted) that Alucard would actually win with the morning vote.


Go ahead and pull me up his brave predictions that Alucard would be a champ with the morning vote.

I'll wait.

(but it'll be pretty long because they don't exist)
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#383 | tgs2 | Posted 7/24/2013 8:19:42 PM | message detail
Ike's probably getting a last minute rally to stall.
#384 | Karma Hunter | Posted 7/24/2013 8:20:17 PM | message detail
"rally"
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sig
#385 | BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 7/24/2013 8:20:19 PM | message detail
Karma Hunter posted...
BT cowardly hedging so that he can gloat in any eventuality

I've never seen this before


What the hell are you talking about hedging? At 12:30pm I posted that Proto will likely attempt a comeback but fall just short.
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Game of the decade? More like Guru of the decade mirite?
However, the Guru of the next decade so far is SuperNiceDog
#386 | hellfire104 | Posted 7/24/2013 8:20:24 PM | message detail
once the required votes per update goes about 25, its officially over. Protoman hasn't really been able to manage cuts larger than that.


Right now we're looking at about 21.9 required per update. Still hope but unlikely.
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Point Total: 31/32. Guru Status: Alive
My Bracket Says: Night: Epona Day: Altair
#387 | TheOneAboveAll | Posted 7/24/2013 8:20:51 PM | message detail
Votes per update is up to 21.65. Just to make sure I'm not calling it early, I'll call it as long as Protoman doesn't bring it under 20 this update. But if he does he's still alive.
#388 | izNotPerfect | Posted 7/24/2013 8:23:00 PM | message detail
4 vote cut

Not gonna happen.
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If you believe in Jesus Christ and are 100% proud, put this in your sig.
Steam ID: hookd_on_foniks | I play lots of TF2 when I have nothing to do...
#389 | spooky96 | Posted 7/24/2013 8:23:03 PM | message detail
Yeah now I really don't expect anything from Protoman.
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Pokemon Showdown Peak Ranking OU: 2004
And then lost 7 matches in a row >_>
#390 | Qwaar | Posted 7/24/2013 8:23:10 PM | message detail
Yeah that's it.
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#391 | Kotetsu534 | Posted 7/24/2013 8:23:19 PM | message detail
Proto Man just let the lead get too big. If he'd kept it around 300 at a maximum he'd likely have been able to reel Ike in. As for Ike.. well, he lucked out. He had everything going in his favour and Proto Man just ran short of votes to cut with. Talk about looking bad in victory. Heck, if he didn't have the Bracket/Expert vote who knows what happens.
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#392 | charmander6000 | Posted 7/24/2013 8:23:28 PM | message detail
At this rate Proto Man may not even get this under 100
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Points: 25/30 Today's Picks: GlaDOS and Ike
#393 | TheOneAboveAll | Posted 7/24/2013 8:23:28 PM | message detail
Protoman just couldn't do enough this last hour. Now it's over. Votes per update is up to 24.
#394 | SliceSabre | Posted 7/24/2013 8:23:37 PM | message detail
BlAcK TuRtLe posted...
Karma Hunter posted...
BT cowardly hedging so that he can gloat in any eventuality

I've never seen this before


What the hell are you talking about hedging? At 12:30pm I posted that Proto will likely attempt a comeback but fall just short.

I hate admitting but he is being honest as I was the one he said it to.
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#395 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 7/24/2013 8:23:49 PM | message detail
And I think that seals it. AETHER!
#396 | DoctorJimmy133 | Posted 7/24/2013 8:24:09 PM | message detail
This is f***ing awesome.

I really want Proto to get to -1 on Ike at the final update.
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#397 | Kibago | Posted 7/24/2013 8:24:22 PM | message detail
i think Protoman can still get it under 100, but yeah, it's done.
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#398 | hellfire104 | Posted 7/24/2013 8:24:48 PM | message detail
After that bad cut, it just jumped to 24.3. It there is one more bad cut, I'm calling this one.
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Point Total: 31/32. Guru Status: Alive
My Bracket Says: Night: Epona Day: Altair
#399 | Kotetsu534 | Posted 7/24/2013 8:26:55 PM | message detail
Re: Altair tomorrow. I'm consider going with the upset too. Something's off with that guy. He 60/40's Liquid in 2010 then comes back with a 25-seed? I think his problem is two-fold - firstly that Ezio is the "AC guy" now, through and through, cooler and newer, and secondly his series just isn't the hot stuff it was back in 2010 - bit of sequelitis going on there. Ratchet has always looked (to me) decidedly stronger than Crash and Jak, and they both did fine. Ratchet's 44% on Jecht puts him at something in the high 40s on Phoenix Wright in 2010. If this was Phoenix/Altair/Shulk, I think a lot of people would be calling for the upset...
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#400 | KamikazePotato | Posted 7/24/2013 8:28:18 PM | message detail
I hope Ratchet wins tomorrow. Altair sucks.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.