Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1076

#251 | MegatokyoEd | Posted 7/24/2013 6:10:45 PM | message detail
AppreciateTrees posted...
anondum posted...
it's hard to imagine shulk not bombing at this point. I would go with altair even if he's old news now


I'd be afraid to even pick Shulk over Ratchet, tbh. Reyn is a fairly popular/likeable character, and he literally got dominated by Clementine

Going into this, though, I thought Xenoblade Chronicles had a solid fan base on here. Obviously I was wrong, but I can't believe I was this wrong. It really doesn't make sense to me. Maybe I'm just biased; I do own the game, and I have spent some time on the board. Also, like many others who have played it, I consider it to be the greatest jrpg of it's generation. In the end, I just overestimated how many people here actually played XC.


That's the problem with Xenoblade. Nobody has actually played it. The games playrate on this site is probably abysmal, even compared to Disgaea and Tales games.

Main reason I expected the characters to bomb.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
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#252 | Then00bAvenger | Posted 7/24/2013 6:12:02 PM | message detail
Is Shulk the protagonist?

I guess he has a chance to embarrass himself less than the other 2
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
#253 | Sorozone | Posted 7/24/2013 6:16:29 PM | message detail
Yeah, I think Xenoblade in the GOTY poll was more of a band wagon effect. If its playrate was that high its characters should be doing halfway decent.

Game might be decent in a game contest, but I don't think any of its characters are worth a damn.
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#254 | anondum | Posted 7/24/2013 6:17:05 PM | message detail
yeah that's the only reason I figured he might win before the contest started. people reallylike xenogears and shulk is the protag so I swapped altair for shulk. bad move
#255 | abdou | Posted 7/24/2013 6:17:34 PM | message detail
BlAcK TuRtLe posted...
Not_Wylvane posted...
Yeah, f*** this match.

Calling it for Ike, good night.


Feels like I'm talking to a wall here. Protoman will stall until around 9pm, then should start taking consistant cuts. I've said this 3 or 4 times since the start of the match. If you would learn to read posts, we would have less junk posts in this topic.


dude I get it you are the expert on gamefaqs contests but stop with this "LISTEN TO WHAT I SAY" no one gives a **** , people can still discuss the matches
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#256 | Lopen | Posted 7/24/2013 6:27:45 PM | message detail
How bout those consistent cuts guys.
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#257 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 7/24/2013 6:31:16 PM | message detail
Lopen posted...
How bout those consistent cuts guys.


I wouldn't say they're consistent. Protoman isn't going nearly fast enough to win. There's 30 updates left. Take his last six and he falls way short. Take his last twelve updates and he's also short. Take his last eighteen updates and again he's short. He's running out of time and has to bust out beyond killer updates to win.
#258 | Lopen | Posted 7/24/2013 6:32:33 PM | message detail
Yeah I know I'm making fun of BlACk TuRtlE

Guess I was being too subtle
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
#259 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 7/24/2013 6:32:49 PM | message detail
KanzarisKelshen posted...
Lopen posted...
How bout those consistent cuts guys.


I wouldn't say they're consistent. Protoman isn't going nearly fast enough to win. There's 30 updates left. Take his last six and he falls way short. Take his last twelve updates and he's also short. Take his last eighteen updates and again he's short. He's running out of time and has to bust out beyond killer updates to win.


he might just be mocking BT
#260 | hellfire104 | Posted 7/24/2013 6:32:53 PM | message detail
Hey....soooo Turtle....couldn't help but notice but that last 10 updates were

Proto CUTs
STALL
IKE GAINS
IKE GAINS
Proto CUTs
Proto CUTs
Proto CUTs
IKE GAINS
IKEGAINS
STALL

I think if you're going to be a jerk at least make sure you're correct.
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Point Total: 26/26. Guru Status: Alive
My Bracket Says: Night: Wheatley Day: Snake
#261 | raginbull911 | Posted 7/24/2013 6:32:57 PM | message detail
anondum posted...
yeah that's the only reason I figured he might win before the contest started. people reallylike xenogears and shulk is the protag so I swapped altair for shulk. bad move


I took Shulk which is probably the wrong choice, but I figure if any character from Xenoblade is going to make it it'll be him. That said, I doubt Altair will have the level of success he's had in previous contests. IIRC he's not even in AC3 other than a mention of his robes. I would think Ezio, Connor, and Desmond Miles would all be more successful.
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I pwn you all!
#262 | MegatokyoEd | Posted 7/24/2013 6:34:23 PM | message detail
Yeah, I think Xenoblade in the GOTY poll was more of a band wagon effect. If its playrate was that high its characters should be doing halfway decent.

Game might be decent in a game contest, but I don't think any of its characters are worth a damn.


I mean everyone knew about Operation Rainfall and was happy it got localized, whether they played it or not. I wouldn't be surprised if half its votes were from people who haven't even played it.

Not like people would need much to vote a feel good story over such "powerhouses" as Borderlands 2 and the scorned Mass Effect 3.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
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#263 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 7/24/2013 6:34:30 PM | message detail
Lopen posted...
Yeah I know I'm making fun of BlACk TuRtlE

Guess I was being too subtle


Oh sorry, I kinda just zone out anything Turtle says. When you just slide past his posts you don't get jabs made at his expense!
#264 | Lopen | Posted 7/24/2013 6:34:51 PM | message detail
Honestly BlAck TUrtlE is probably the only guy on the board in contention for making as many wrong calls as I have. His attitude's always pretty funny with that in mind.
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
#265 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 7/24/2013 6:36:44 PM | message detail
Lopen posted...
Honestly BlAck TUrtlE is probably the only guy on the board in contention for making as many wrong calls as I have. His attitude's always pretty funny with that in mind.


Hey, I resent that! I make LOADS of awful calls!
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RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed.
#266 | Achromatic | Posted 7/24/2013 6:38:51 PM | message detail
Remember new guys: it is natural to not give a **** about what Turtle says, we all stopped caring awhile ago when he gets a stick up his ass.
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"When your enemies defy you, you must serve them steel and fire. When they go to their knees, however, you must help them back to their feet."
#267 | Lopen | Posted 7/24/2013 6:39:19 PM | message detail
Sorry bud you've got some work to do to get on our level. You're a promising prospect though one day you too will be a legendary prediction botcher.
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
#268 | Janus5000 | Posted 7/24/2013 6:40:32 PM | message detail
are there even enough votes left for a comeback

360 isn't much but with how little is coming in I feel like a comeback would have to approach legendary status
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#269 | CrushDavis | Posted 7/24/2013 6:40:46 PM | message detail
Is it safe to assume that Robotnik is hurting Protoman more here? I wonder who'd win a 1v1 between Ike and Protoman.
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#270 | Achromatic | Posted 7/24/2013 6:41:07 PM | message detail
Also I totally forget what I have in my oracle for the next match but what I do know is that I want Epona to either lose horribly, win barely, or win in such a disgustingly huge fashion that the horse starts getting hype.
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"When your enemies defy you, you must serve them steel and fire. When they go to their knees, however, you must help them back to their feet."
#271 | raginbull911 | Posted 7/24/2013 6:42:23 PM | message detail | (edited)
Ike just gained 3... consistent* cuts, ladies and gents.
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I pwn you all!
#272 | Achromatic | Posted 7/24/2013 6:42:06 PM | message detail
CrushDavis posted...
Is it safe to assume that Robotnik is hurting Protoman more here? I wonder who'd win a 1v1 between Ike and Protoman.


Depends on who you talk to. Some say Sonic is more nintendo than anything these days, others would point out that protoman and Robotnik fill similar roles in their series, to a point.
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"When your enemies defy you, you must serve them steel and fire. When they go to their knees, however, you must help them back to their feet."
#273 | raginbull911 | Posted 7/24/2013 6:43:48 PM | message detail
Achromatic posted...
CrushDavis posted...
Is it safe to assume that Robotnik is hurting Protoman more here? I wonder who'd win a 1v1 between Ike and Protoman.


Depends on who you talk to. Some say Sonic is more nintendo than anything these days, others would point out that protoman and Robotnik fill similar roles in their series, to a point.


Robotnik and Proto both appeal to the nostalgic platformer fan as well, whereas Ike dominates the RPG niche here, not to mention the Smash factor.
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I pwn you all!
#274 | BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 7/24/2013 6:45:19 PM | message detail
Lopen posted...
Honestly BlAck TUrtlE is probably the only guy on the board in contention for making as many wrong calls as I have. His attitude's always pretty funny with that in mind.


Guru champion and GOTD almost winner
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Game of the decade? More like Guru of the decade mirite?
However, the Guru of the next decade so far is SuperNiceDog
#275 | raginbull911 | Posted 7/24/2013 6:45:46 PM | message detail
Ike +13 last update!
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I pwn you all!
#276 | BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 7/24/2013 6:46:35 PM | message detail
Also, over the last hour, Proto Man has reduced the lead, but like I mentioned, it probably won't be enough to do anything but make the match closer.
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Game of the decade? More like Guru of the decade mirite?
However, the Guru of the next decade so far is SuperNiceDog
#277 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 7/24/2013 6:46:36 PM | message detail
BlAcK TuRtLe posted...
Lopen posted...
Honestly BlAck TUrtlE is probably the only guy on the board in contention for making as many wrong calls as I have. His attitude's always pretty funny with that in mind.


Guru champion and GOTD almost winner


almost doesn't count
#278 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 7/24/2013 6:46:47 PM | message detail
I would argue they don't hurt each other at all, actually. Their voting blocks just don't match. Protoman is a Power Hour character, Robotnik is a morning voter, and Ike is an ASVer. They have a near-perfect spread of all the important blocks and little overlap.
#279 | BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 7/24/2013 6:47:17 PM | message detail
1337gamerpr0 posted...
BlAcK TuRtLe posted...
Lopen posted...
Honestly BlAck TUrtlE is probably the only guy on the board in contention for making as many wrong calls as I have. His attitude's always pretty funny with that in mind.


Guru champion and GOTD almost winner


almost doesn't count


Not a single person on the board had Majora > Brawl. If Brawl had won that match I would've won the contest.
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Game of the decade? More like Guru of the decade mirite?
However, the Guru of the next decade so far is SuperNiceDog
#280 | KamikazePotato | Posted 7/24/2013 6:47:18 PM | message detail
I don't think anyone is hurting anyone very much here. There's massive overlap between the three in general.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#281 | Achromatic | Posted 7/24/2013 6:47:42 PM | message detail
over the last hour Protoman reduced the lead...by 5.
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"When your enemies defy you, you must serve them steel and fire. When they go to their knees, however, you must help them back to their feet."
#282 | Achromatic | Posted 7/24/2013 6:48:30 PM | message detail
BlAcK TuRtLe posted...
1337gamerpr0 posted...
BlAcK TuRtLe posted...
Lopen posted...
Honestly BlAck TUrtlE is probably the only guy on the board in contention for making as many wrong calls as I have. His attitude's always pretty funny with that in mind.


Guru champion and GOTD almost winner


almost doesn't count


Not a single person on the board had Majora > Brawl. If Brawl had won that match I would've won the contest.


But...you didn't, so no one really cares.

Basically no one cares about what you did in a gameFAQs contest because you are such an unbearable ****.
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"When your enemies defy you, you must serve them steel and fire. When they go to their knees, however, you must help them back to their feet."
#283 | SliceSabre | Posted 7/24/2013 6:49:21 PM | message detail
I'm going to be so pissed if Protoman is able to rally in the last couple hours.
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#284 | Lopen | Posted 7/24/2013 6:49:31 PM | message detail
Yeah? In 2007 I was 2nd in Guru and 6th on the leaderboard

Even broken clocks are right for one contest!
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#285 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 7/24/2013 6:53:57 PM | message detail | (edited)
Or, to sum it up in some popular wisdom that is topical to the upcoming match...close only counts in horseshoes and handgrenades.

...And speaking of which, that might apply to me soon as well. Right now, only two perfect gurus remain, and each of us picked a different character to take this match. No matter what happens (unless Niko beasts lol) there will be one last perfect guru standing afterward. Should be a hell of a ride.
#286 | Achromatic | Posted 7/24/2013 6:53:33 PM | message detail
I wonder who the all time leader in guru is now.
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"When your enemies defy you, you must serve them steel and fire. When they go to their knees, however, you must help them back to their feet."
#287 | KamikazePotato | Posted 7/24/2013 6:55:08 PM | message detail
It's kind of funny that a lot of people thought the dealbreaker of this match was that it was Ike in a day match when it's looking like he would've done better at night. The deep night Europe block would've been his best time.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#288 | Lopen | Posted 7/24/2013 6:57:26 PM | message detail
For the record I think Robotnik is probably hurting Protoman slightly more than Ike.

Like, just the era split here. If you replace Robotnik with a new guy like say Ezio and Ezio gets the same exact percentage I feel like Protoman would win. I really felt this upset was in trouble immediately as I saw Robotnik with 30% moreso than Ike in the lead.
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#289 | foxhead84 | Posted 7/24/2013 7:02:50 PM | message detail
Buffalo Bills... 4 straight time almost Super Bowl winner
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Congratulation to SuperNiceDog. Guru Champ and Rivalry Rumble Master
#290 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 7/24/2013 7:03:31 PM | message detail
foxhead84 posted...
Buffalo Bills... 4 straight time almost Super Bowl winner


San Antonio Spurs...almost 2013 NBA champs
#291 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 7/24/2013 7:13:25 PM | message detail
Damnit, there goes my top 5. Missed someone completely when checking earlier and Robotnik's collapsing percentage only helps everyone else while it kills me.

Well, almost everyone else.
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RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed.
#292 | Then00bAvenger | Posted 7/24/2013 7:23:19 PM | message detail
Protoman is on track to take the lead... if he can keep it up
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
#293 | charmander6000 | Posted 7/24/2013 7:24:46 PM | message detail
Proto Man needs about 15 votes an update to catch up.
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 25/30 Today's Picks: GlaDOS and Ike
#294 | TheOneAboveAll | Posted 7/24/2013 7:26:04 PM | message detail
19.5 updates left.
Ike has a lead of 294.
ProtoMan needs to gain 15.1 votes per update to win.
#295 | Then00bAvenger | Posted 7/24/2013 7:26:54 PM | message detail
Yeah, a couple stalls and he's probably sunk but hey. It could happen
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
#296 | Lopen | Posted 7/24/2013 7:28:01 PM | message detail
See now someone who'd paid attention to Duke/Ike/Gordon/other guy trends from 2007 would've actually predicted Protoman to start making cuts at 10est not 9est. But who am I to tell BlACK tuRtLe how to analyze trends.
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
#297 | charmander6000 | Posted 7/24/2013 7:29:37 PM | message detail
Yeah unless Proto Man really kicks it into high gear, the best he can do is make it even closer than what it currently is.
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 25/30 Today's Picks: GlaDOS and Ike
#298 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 7/24/2013 7:31:17 PM | message detail
Okay, okay: Ike's max lead of 480 would be good for #3 all-time in non 1v1 format in closest wire-to-wire matches, behind Tales of Symphonia > God of War in the 2009 games contest and Tharja > Tiny Tina earlier this contest. (Also eighth in any format, but for some reason we keep the records for 1v1s and multi-ways completely separate on the wire-to-wire wiki page, except for the "closest wire-to-wire matches where the loser never took the lead"). Furthermore, if Proto Man is unable to take the lead at any point, it would be the closest wire-to-wire match in any format in which the loser never took the lead, breaking the record set by MGS3 > SotC in GotD by 35 votes.

That's cool. But did you know that Ike > Robotnik might also appear on those lists? Ike's lead over Robotnik is just 1820 at the moment, though each update seems to increase this. 1864 would be #42 among non-1v1s (we keep the top 50), while it'd be #24 in any format for "never took the lead past the first hour" (only keep top 25 there). Given how much time's left in the match...the lead need only reach 2061 to avoid the top 25 closest matches where the loser never led, but 2184 to avoid the top 50 closest non 1v1 matches. It might actually make it. (Note: There has to be something at stake to make a "closest matches" list--epic struggles for third place in fourways aren't listed, so neither will battles for second place here. But it is possible for a match to appear more than once due to multiple simultaneous battles--before the current contest began, the Oblivion > Symphonia > God of War > San Andreas match was in the top 50 closest non-1v1 wire-to-wire matches three times, for Symphonia > God of War, Symphonia > San Andreas, and Oblivion > Symphonia--the last of these is no longer among the top 50.)
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RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed.
#299 | GloryChaos | Posted 7/24/2013 7:34:05 PM | message detail | (edited)
Protoman will catch up soon, right guys?

Does Protoman even appear in that Archie comics Sonic x Megaman crossover?
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#300 | nkansas13 | Posted 7/24/2013 7:34:53 PM | message detail
Looking grim for Protoman. He made it exciting down the stretch, though.