GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1076
- Team Aqua Elite (37)
- Board List
- Topic List
- Track Topic
- Topic Closed
Didn anyone expected pics with Link in there?It would be unfair. --- GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~ |
-LusterSoldier- posted... charmander6000 posted...Proto Man has been gaining in the US as well. meanwhile, Ike is somehow pushing his lead back up... |
ctesjbuvf posted... So Tsunami, you believe Vincent beating Squall was because Vincent is from FFVII and there was reverse SFF? I believe that Vincent beating Squall was a 50.59%-49.41% match eight years ago. Vincent hasn't had a new game in the US since 2006, while Squall has appeared in multiple Kingdom Hearts games, Dissidia...There is absolutely no reason not to think that Squall wouldn't be able to turn that result around if they had a rematch now. --- RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed. |
I would just like to point out that not a single Fire Emblem character went below 30. Pretty solid! --- Something something something ^Poorly disguised anti-caps sig |
TsunamiXXVIII posted... Yeah, Proto should be going up at the moment because of who's going to sleep. But what about who's waking up? Proto Man's easily in third place in Australia and New Zealand right now, and a lot of Asia doesn't seem to be favoring him either. I would assume the Philippines, Indonesia, and Malaysia make up a huge bulk of Asia's votes and they're all favoring Proto Man, with Ike being almost doubled by Proto Man in those countries. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ! |
Except
as I said, the overnight vote is horribly overrated and contributes
very little to the total votes of the match. Power Hours+8am-12pm are
what's really important in night matches. Unless you're like say Mega Man, who just sucks incredibly bad in Europe. But he's kind of an aberration. The perception that FF7 rises so much at night is because the Power Hour is just SOOO horrific for it. If you completely skipped over the entire 2am-8am segment, FF7 would still be doing a drastic rise in %age. I think you are not giving the night vote enough credit. Let's use GlaDOS' match From 2-8 the match got 39% of its votes and from 8-12 it got just under 31%, let's assume a trendless morning to day and day votes get 20% more votes. Let's assume 90% of the people that voted in the first two hours re-vote in a day match and they vote 10% below the average (27%, spread throughout the day) for FFVII and from 2-8 they vote 5% above the average for FFVII, everywhere else they vote for the average. After doing some calculations the night performs better, but it's not too far from the day. --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls Points: 25/30 Today's Picks: GlaDOS and Ike |
1337gamerpr0 posted... -LusterSoldier- posted...charmander6000 posted...Proto Man has been gaining in the US as well. You're forgetting that Asia isn't the only continent over there. Look at the two main countries in Oceania--I first had a map that was from half an hour ago, then refreshed it: Australia Ike 44.38%-->45.05% Proto Man 25.44%-->23.63% Robotnik 30.18%-->31.32% New Zealand Ike 33.33%-->33.33% Proto Man 23.08%-->21.43% Robotnik 43.59%-->45.24% That's two English-speaking countries where it's morning, both of which Proto Man was already well in third place in half an hour ago and has been bleeding percentage. --- RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed. |
Well this match is all wrapped up. Another win for Nintendo. NEXT! --- Point Total: 26/26. Guru Status: Alive My Bracket Says: Night: Wheatley Day: Snake |
Australia is likely going to counter anything the Asian countries are doing. Right now Australia has Asia and Canada has the Americas, if the vote in-take for the major countries don't change the lead built in Europe will be the difference maker. --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls Points: 25/30 Today's Picks: GlaDOS and Ike |
C-Stats for Division 1 based on the lowest percentage being set to 1 Chester rounded to two decimal places. Gonna do Div 2 and 3 for fun later! Link - 6.07 C Isaac - 1.28 C Tingle - 1.00 C Raiden - 4.52 C Waluigi - 3.56 C Alan Wake - 1.00 C Yoshi - 4.01 C Solaire of Astora - 1.67 C Demi-Fiend - 1.00 C Commander Shepard - 3.28 C Captain Olimar - 1.79 C Kain - 1.00 C Tharja - 1.27 C Juliet Starling - 1.00 C Tiny Tina - 1.24 C Hero - 1.11 C Rinoa Heartilly - 1.00 C Aerith Gainsborough - 2.19 C Draven - 1.54 C Chie Satonaka - 1.00 C Jak - 1.26 C Yuri Lowell - 1.52 C Ryu - 3.23 C Face McShooty - 1.00 C Mega Man X - 6.06 C Welkin Gunther - 1.00 C Jigglypuff - 2.23 C --- http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png SuperNiceDog - 1, pjbasis - 0 |
-LusterSoldier- posted... TsunamiXXVIII posted...Yeah, Proto should be going up at the moment because of who's going to sleep. But what about who's waking up? Proto Man's easily in third place in Australia and New Zealand right now, and a lot of Asia doesn't seem to be favoring him either. ...Point conceded on the Asian vote. But Ike's almost doubling Proto Man in Australia and 60-40'ing him in New Zealand. --- RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed. |
creativename posted... The Power Hour votes matter significantly more in a night match because they represent a higher %age of total votes. This contest the day/night vote totals haven't differed as much as usual, probably because it's summer, but during most contests day matches get about 20% more votes than night matches. I have also noticed the day match vote totals have been much worse than usual. Day matches in Rivalry Rumble got 28% more votes than night matches. In this contest, day matches are getting only 19% more votes than night matches. With this contest happening in the summer, more people are able to stay up late to vote in the night matches. So the night matches are getting more votes than usual, at least in comparison to the day matches. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ! |
A lot of characters only worth 1 chester it seems. --- GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~ |
More
of a general question, not to derail all that chat on will Proto catch
Ike (I don't think he will -- I suspect the two English countries in
Oceania, both of which favor Ike over Proto by a wide margin, have more
of a presence here than SE Asia) So what's generally regarded as the toughest group of 9 to predict? For my money it's coming up soon with: 3) Shulk (16) Ratchet (25) Altair (4) Lara Croft (15) Yuri Hyuga (24) Slime (7) Kefka (12) Zack Fair (21) Ryu Hayabusa I could be way offbase here... hell, even though I'm 30/31 so far (Crash freaking Bandicoot...), I have Phoenix Wright making the top 9 ahead of Sonic, Vincent, Bowser... I figure I need at least one crazy prediction to beat all the people on this board that have this stuff down to a science! --- I pwn you all! |
The Kefka match for me. I can see it going Zack > Kefka > Ryu, Zack > Ryu > Kefka, or Ryu > Zack > Kefka No idea. I guess I wouldn't discount some bizarre Kefka > Zack result either --- A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice. |
There's
only one debatable match out of those, though it's admittedly a
three-pointer 'cause the winner steamrolls round 2. It's Ryu H. vs FF. |
As time goes on, I get more and more scared of Kefka winning that match. --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
I
actually have my bracket manufactured so that the 2nd round is Altair,
Ryu. H and Slime. And then Slime wins from standing out! Yes I know the odds of Slime even getting to round 2 aren't good, what of it. And if I had to bet money on it, I wouldn't really take Ryu H to win his match either --- A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice. |
KamikazePotato posted... As time goes on, I get more and more scared of Kefka winning that match. Here's hoping :P --- I pwn you all! |
Safer_777 posted... A lot of characters only worth 1 chester it seems. I probably could have multiplied them all by 5 safely but it's more proper this way. --- http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png SuperNiceDog - 1, pjbasis - 0 |
Kefka winning would be amazing --- Want any VNs pre-patched? PM me. List of VNs can be found by clicking on my username. |
KamikazePotato posted... As time goes on, I get more and more scared of Kefka winning that match. 2010 results are pretty clear cut on who's the stronger of the 2. Plus Zack has the intangible fact of FF7 crapping over other FF games. --- Game of the decade? More like Guru of the decade mirite? However, the Guru of the next decade so far is SuperNiceDog |
Wouldn't underrate Slime! Lara's new game will push her through, but without that, I'd take Slime. --- tune in tokyo 142.94 |
This will most likely be the closest threeway in the contest, but this might have been the most boring close match ever. --- Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. SuperNiceDog > Me |
Zylothewolf posted... This will most likely be the closest threeway in the contest, but this might have been the most boring close match ever. Screw Max, we need Zylo from Shining Force in the next contest! --- I pwn you all! |
It's a shame that Robotnik is no longer above 30%. I'd have liked all three to be. --- *2, *8,070,446 Kuroko no Basket *3, *6,495,240 Naruto |
Yeah
I see no reason to nominate a generic looking RPG character. Zylo, Bleu
and I guess even Claude (The golem in SF2) would do better because they
look different. --- Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. SuperNiceDog > Me |
45.5 updates remain, Proto Man needs 9.3 votes an update to tie. --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls Points: 25/30 Today's Picks: GlaDOS and Ike |
I
find it hard to believe that FF fans would take a minor character like
Zack over Kefka, even if he is from 7. Hoping for some weird sff there. |
Then00bAvenger posted... The Kefka match for me. I can see it going Zack > Kefka > Ryu, Zack > Ryu > Kefka, or Ryu > Zack > Kefka There are a couple key unknowns going into this match that make it so difficult- if and by how much FFVII really has weakened, and just how the FF overlap will fall. I don't think either factor alone would be enough to really damage Zack's chances but the possibility of both a drop and Kefka leeching some votes has me a little nervous Ryu can squeak past him. That is assuming Ryu has stayed constant which I think he has due to his being a ninja. Keeping my Expert pick though. |
Got
a weird feeling in my gut that Altair > Zack/Ryu, but Kefka >
Altair although Kefka won't make it to round 2 which is sad. |
it's hard to imagine shulk not bombing at this point. I would go with altair even if he's old news now |
Time for Protoman to start that comeback mirite --- A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice. |
Down to 399... Ike pls. --- I pwn you all! |
Ike don't do this --- ... |
Yeah, a bit worried for Ike here. Proto is winning all of the west coast here. It'll be close. --- http://i.imgur.com/32RNLnc.gif |
I'm getting pretty nervous. I just want Ike to stall for the rest of the match. --- http://i.imgur.com/6OHUIst.jpg |
tgs2 posted... Got a weird feeling in my gut that Altair > Zack/Ryu, but Kefka > Altair although Kefka won't make it to round 2 which is sad. wat --- Game of the decade? More like Guru of the decade mirite? However, the Guru of the next decade so far is SuperNiceDog |
I held my vote this whole time and just voted Proto Man merely for the sake of a more entertaining match. --- Surskit Hi! I like shorts! They're comfy and easy to wear! |
Division 2, now with fancier unit symbols. Bolded are the only absolute values we have now. Sonic the Hedgehog - 4.90¢ Fei Fong Wong - 1.49¢ Dan Hibiki - 1.00¢ Lucina - 5.19¢ Dracula - 8.76¢ Caim - 1.00¢ Professor Layton - 1.67¢ Barret Wallace - 2.66¢ Reimu Hakurei - 1.00¢ Phoenix Wright - 2.29¢ Marth - 1.84¢ Nightmare - 1.00¢ KOS-MOS - 3.38¢ Dunban - 1.00¢ Vincent Valentine - 5.04¢ Chester - 1.00¢ Mewtwo - 23.30¢ Zero - 4.18¢ Chrom - 1.21¢ The Boss - 1.85¢ Heavy - 1.00¢ Garrus Vakarian - 3.70¢ Sub-Zero - 4.51¢ Frank West - 1.00¢ Bowser - 2.51¢ Archer - 1.00¢ Meta Knight - 1.57¢ --- http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png SuperNiceDog - 1, pjbasis - 0 |
charmander6000 posted... I think you are not giving the night vote enough credit. Let's use GlaDOS' match I don't know where you're getting those numbers for FF7? Is that just made up? No need when we have actual data. And yes, FF7 would do a bit better during the day but the main thing isn't night/day, it's 12 hour/24 hour. That was my point. Cloud got 54% on Samus from 8am-12pm. And what he did get from 2am-8am? Just over 54%. Yet despite getting over 54% for 10 of the 12 hours of the match, he finished below 53%! A measly 2 hours cause a shift of over a full percentage point. Because the Power Hours are so important when it comes to anti-voted or bandwagon/joke entities. Or just Nintendo entities in general, as Falcon showed us just recently - his Power Hour fooled people into thinking that he had the match because Alucard is bad during the day, but freakin' Alucard beat him in the day vote because the day vote isn't as Nintendro-centric as the first two hours. Falcon's Power Hour strength was a mirage. One I also fell for myself, I was quite surprised to see Alucard taking the day vote. But in retrospect it was simply that Falcon's strength was a mirage created by the Power Hour(s). His "normal" strength is just a bit lower than Alucard's, so when we entered the neutral time of the day vote, Alucard - the stronger entrant - took advantage. And my other point was debunking this false notion that FF7 rises because of the night vote - the dead vote isn't when FF7 makes it's gains, it's *any* non-Power Hours segment that FF7 makes it's gains. Even when faced with ASV beasts like Zelda and Pokemon - FF7 used to have a top tier ASV, but it's very mediocre now - FF7 still doesn't really decrease in overall %age, despite getting destroyed in the ASV vote. Because it's climbing back from such a chasm that the "rise to heaven" trend chart cannot be stopped - only stalled. But Cloud was actually losing the first 2 hours to Samus outright, and those two hours accounted for over *30%* of the total votes in that match. If you skipped 2am-8am completely Cloud's %age would simply rise quicker since votes come in much faster after 8am. Anyway, yeah...I hope this debunks that Samus beats Cloud in a day match once and for all. Can't believe that notion is still around after getting debunked so many times. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
Match XXXIII: (8) Epona vs. (11) Mordin Solus vs. (20) Niko Bellic Previous Contest Epona – N/A N/A Mordin Solus – N/A N/A Niko Bellic – 2010 32.79% against Jill Valentine Analysis While I am not a huge believer that Epona will have massive strength she should be able to win this match with relative ease. Sure she is literally a horse, but if literally a block and literally an optional character can do well so can she. She is recognizable to Zelda fans and people liked her when she could talk in Twilight Princess. With that said I struggle to imagine her being much stronger than Midna, the current fourth strongest Zelda character, but for a match like this it will be enough. I originally had Niko over Mordin in the expert challenge, but after watching the performances of Garrus and Tommy Vercetti the prediction has been rightfully flipped. While Garrus looked decent against Sub-Zero he is considered the strongest side character of the series and I do not believe that the others will show similar strength. Of course after watching Tommy Vercetti flop Mordin will likely have the strength to defeat Niko Bellic. Sure you could blame it on last place factor, but Tommy still lost to Crash and I have no reason to believe that Niko is any stronger. After getting doubled by Jill in 2010 and with the series moving to the next Grand Theft Auto this is likely to be Niko’s final contest. There was some mild whining after Sub-Zero won over Garrus so one can only imagine the board when a horse wins over a character from their series. Epona could flop and lose this match, but I feel she is known and liked well enough to avoid that fate, as for next round unless she really kills the characters I doubt she can pull off the upset. charmander6000’s Bracket: Epona > Mordin Solus and Niko Bellic charmander6000’s Prediction: Epona – 46.47%, Mordin Solus – 30.34%, Niko Bellic – 23.19% --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls Points: 25/30 Today's Picks: GlaDOS and Ike |
stop sucking you dumb robot --- Current Let's Play: Final Fantasy II - http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3557012 Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64 |
anondum posted... it's hard to imagine shulk not bombing at this point. I would go with altair even if he's old news now I'd be afraid to even pick Shulk over Ratchet, tbh. Reyn is a fairly popular/likeable character, and he literally got dominated by Clementine Going into this, though, I thought Xenoblade Chronicles had a solid fan base on here. Obviously I was wrong, but I can't believe I was this wrong. It really doesn't make sense to me. Maybe I'm just biased; I do own the game, and I have spent some time on the board. Also, like many others who have played it, I consider it to be the greatest jrpg of it's generation. In the end, I just overestimated how many people here actually played XC. --- Life isn't fair, it's just fairer than death, that's all |
-LusterSoldier- posted... I have also noticed the day match vote totals have been much worse than usual. Day matches in Rivalry Rumble got 28% more votes than night matches. In this contest, day matches are getting only 19% more votes than night matches. With this contest happening in the summer, more people are able to stay up late to vote in the night matches. So the night matches are getting more votes than usual, at least in comparison to the day matches. Ah, my bad - so in a normal contest it's 25%-30% increase over the night vote, and for this one it's 20%. Thanks. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
AppreciateTrees posted... anondum posted...it's hard to imagine shulk not bombing at this point. I would go with altair even if he's old news now Xenoblade was always going to be a weaker version of Tales. I'm surprised anyone expected any of the characters to be on-par with even Lloyd. --- http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png RIP Paul Bearer. Ohhhh nooooo. :( |
Is it just me or in the last 3 updates was Ike +399, +397, and +398.. talk about a stall. --- I pwn you all! |
Yeah, f*** this match. Calling it for Ike, good night. --- Current Let's Play: Final Fantasy II - http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3557012 Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64 |
Not_Wylvane posted... Yeah, f*** this match. Feels like I'm talking to a wall here. Protoman will stall until around 9pm, then should start taking consistant cuts. I've said this 3 or 4 times since the start of the match. If you would learn to read posts, we would have less junk posts in this topic. --- Game of the decade? More like Guru of the decade mirite? However, the Guru of the next decade so far is SuperNiceDog |
wow now you're just doing it on purpose --- http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png SuperNiceDog - 1, pjbasis - 0 |
- Team Aqua Elite (37)
- Board List
- Topic List
- Track Topic
- Topic Closed
