GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1075
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So that was some close match, huh? --- ~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~ www.gamefaqscontests.com ~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/ ~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~ http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html ~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~ http://www.thengamer.com/ http://thengamer.com/xstats ~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame ~*Character Contest Histories*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories ~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~ A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA ~*All the Match Pics*~ http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php ~*Leonhart4's Trend Charts*~ https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?hl=en&key=tOGmynfNIiNy5VukpEF-PdA&hl=en#gid=0 ~*Daily Vote Trends - An Explanation for Dummies*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Daily_Vote_Trends ~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages ~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~ SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense. Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated. --- RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed. |
creativename posted... I really doubt Digimon would have strength here. This isn't Star Wars or Marvel/DC Comics we're talking about here. ...Star Wars doesn't have strength here. That was one of my good calls from CB8. Also, who the hell actually let me make one of these topics? --- RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed. |
Thanks. I was about to start this if you didn't. Also, who else noticed that Part 1070 had a 501st post because Baseman tried to post but got it in after the thread was full? I think I remember that happening once or twice before also. |
Yeah, I noticed that. I wonder how many times that's happened. --- RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed. |
C'mon, just one update with a cut? There've been like three separate updates in the last hour where the lead only went up by 11! --- RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed. |
TsunamiXXVIII posted... creativename posted...I really doubt Digimon would have strength here. This isn't Star Wars or Marvel/DC Comics we're talking about here. You can't possibly be serious about Star Wars not having strength here. Like, that's beyond absurd. Vader and Batman woud probably be the two strongest characters around (although Vader would be highly pic-dependent as "little Ani" would be a disaster...), Han Solo and Yoda would also be very strong. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
I
wonder what the Noble Nine of "all fictional characters" would be.
Probably Batman, Spider-Man, Darth Vader, Link, and... man, there's a
lot to choose from. Goku, maybe? Would Cloud even be in it? --- ~Zen |
Goku/Vegeta would have some good strength, if this poll indicates anything about for DB here: http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/4626 --- http://i.imgur.com/32RNLnc.gif |
Only Vader and Batman will be the only ones close to Noble Nine --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls Points: 24/28 Today's Picks: Falcon and Bayonetta |
Oh, yeah, I'm sure that in an "open" contest, characters from the Star Wars movies
could do well. But I remember a lot of people thinking that the Star
Wars association was going to easily carry Darth Revan to a win over
Terra in CB8, and he didn't even come close to her. Sorry, I must've misunderstood you. Then again, can you blame me? We have absolutely no data to go on as to which properties would be strong in an "open" contest and which wouldn't. (But we actually can consider Batman a good option because Arkham Asylum did very respectably in GotD.) --- RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed. |
creativename posted... TsunamiXXVIII posted...creativename posted...I really doubt Digimon would have strength here. This isn't Star Wars or Marvel/DC Comics we're talking about here. I actually think Luke would be really close to Vader's strength, and might even exceed him, weird as it sounds. Like...when I saw Star Wars, I didn't want to be Vader. I wanted to be a Jedi, just like Luke. That sort of nostalgia counts for a lot in GameFAQS. |
Star
Wars (the 1977 movie) had been seen by 89% of the site as of 2012. I
think characters like Han Solo, Vader and Yoda would be deadly in the
right setting. For comparison, 30% had never played FFVII in 2009, and 20% had never played OoT in 2009. --- We are living our lives Abound with so much information |
TsunamiXXVIII posted... Oh, yeah, I'm sure that in an "open" contest, characters from the Star Wars movies could do well. But I remember a lot of people thinking that the Star Wars association was going to easily carry Darth Revan to a win over Terra in CB8, and he didn't even come close to her. yeah, but most people just think "who the f*** is Darth Revan" instead |
Well,
we'll never know unless we can convince Bacon to actually give us a
contest with all fictional characters. So perhaps next time, we should
rally nothing but characters with anime ties. (Start by finally getting
Umineko its representation--you came close in RR, getting
Battler/Beatrice into a vote-in, but it didn't quite pan out. Yeah,
they'll probably be weak, but for the most part, you should just be
happy to get them in. I know I've been happy just getting obscure
things in--first with IWTBTG in RR, and now the Touhou characters here.
You know what, screw "she's going to be weak as hell"; I'm gonna rally
my ass off for Nanoha next time around. Because why the hell not?) --- RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed. |
Kotetsu534 posted... Star Wars (the 1977 movie) had been seen by 89% of the site as of 2012. I think characters like Han Solo, Vader and Yoda would be deadly in the right setting. ...That many? I feel kind of left out. Although technically, I guess I have "seen it", I just wasn't paying the least bit of attention at the time. Now that I'm older, I want to see it so badly. --- RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed. |
If
we're doing that, we're going for Digimon, Dragon Ball Z and the like
first. We already have a couple Dragon Ball guys who could make it in
and make some noise. It makes more sense to try for things that appeal
to the GameFAQS fanbase and parlay their success into full fictional
representation than just plain nomming our obscure fan favorites and
hoping it works. |
TsunamiXXVIII posted... Kotetsu534 posted...Star Wars (the 1977 movie) had been seen by 89% of the site as of 2012. I think characters like Han Solo, Vader and Yoda would be deadly in the right setting. Go educate yourself. You'll feel like a little kid all the way and that's a good thing, trust me. The only movie that left me in the same state since has been Pacific Rim. Star Wars is really a one of a kind thing. |
Yeah. I've seen the first two movies of the prequel trilogy, and if that's the "inferior product", I can only imagine the original trilogy is amazing. ...Well, okay, the first movie of the prequel trilogy wasn't that great. But Episode II was pretty good. --- RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed. |
As a warning the Star Wars movies did not age well visually, more than the usual old movies. Of course that's only a problem if you watch movies for special effects and whatnot. --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls Points: 24/28 Today's Picks: Falcon and Bayonetta |
Hope GlaDOS kills this poll. --- We are living our lives Abound with so much information |
N sux. One last time, for the road! --- Still smilin' :> |
Vote Accepted GlaDOS 88.89% 8 Votes Cole 0% 0 Votes Ragna the Bloodedge 11.11% 1 Votes Your Pick Total Votes: 9 --- POKEFEAR |
Board vote is not pretty. GlaDOS 80% 12 Votes Cole 0% 0 Votes Ragna the Bloodedge 20% 3 Votes --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls Points: 24/28 Today's Picks: Falcon and Bayonetta |
Cole's really bad and might lose >_> --- Still smilin' :> |
GlaDOS 100% 6 Votes Your Pick Cole 0% 0 Votes Ragna the Bloodedge 0% 0 Votes |
charmander6000 posted... Only Vader and Batman will be the only ones close to Noble Nine Highly, highly doubtful. When theses contests started, Dante was a near-elite. You seriously think Dante could beat someone like, say, Wolverine? He'd have gotten creamed by Wolverine even back then. Like, badly. The depth of appeared-in-a-video-game field completely blows the video-game-origin field away. Video-game-origin only goes so deep in terms of characters that have strength. You're talking what, maybe 40 characters that would be above fodder (20% on contest winner is what I define as fodder line)? Maybe 50? There would literally be hundreds of fictional characters that would be above fodder level. There's a gazillion franchises out there. TsunamiXXVIII posted... Oh, yeah, I'm sure that in an "open" contest, characters from the Star Wars movies could do well. But I remember a lot of people thinking that the Star Wars association was going to easily carry Darth Revan to a win over Terra in CB8, and he didn't even come close to her. OK, I see then. But if you know anything at all about American culture, it's really not hard at all to figure out which ones would be the strongest. Batman would very likely be the the strongest, and I'd have taken Batman over Link at Link's peak, let alone weakened Link now after the Nolan movies made Batman more of a monster icon than ever. I think he'd spank current Link handily. Batman is essentially super-Snake. Vader is a good choice for #2, though you could debate there. People always mention DBZ - at it's peak it might have had some strength, but DBZ's days of glory are long past and I really doubt it's aged well. Those would not be top characters anymore. The top characters would mostly be comic book characters, and movie characters like Vader, Indiana Jones, perhaps Gandalf, maybe a James Bond (I don't think Bond would be that strong, just an example) etc. The single movie franchise with the most high level characters would almost surely be Star Wars. Just a ton of characters with strength - Han Solo, Yoda, Obi-Wan. Even Luke Skywalker would probably have decent strength, and he might not even be top 5 from the franchise. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
LOL Cole yay for no picking 2nd/3rd --- http://24.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_lxkdr0uNc91qlu5jao1_r1_400.gif |
LOL Cole! Struggling with Bloodedge. --- We are living our lives Abound with so much information |
cole you suck --- ... |
Man, that's a horrid board vote for Cole. Go Gladdy! --- Agent Triple Zero at your service! The artist formerly known as greatone10. |
He finally recovered. --- Still smilin' :> |
Damn it Cole this better be a terrible board vote. --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls Points: 25/30 Today's Picks: GlaDOS and Ike |
Sherlock
Holmes would be one of the strongest fictional characters imo. He is
iconic, he is referenced a ridiculous amount in every type of media, he
has popular books, tv shows, movies, and video games. He has been
portrayed by more different actors than any other fictional character.
On top of all that he is just an awesome extremely high quality
character (in the original novels at least) and I think the type of
character that this site likes. --- If you believe that Abed is the true Messiah and you are 100% proud of it make this your signature. |
3 minute freeze today. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ! |
Sherlock
Holmes would be one of the strongest fictional characters imo. He is
iconic, he is referenced a ridiculous amount in every type of media, he
has popular books, tv shows, movies, and video games. He has been
portrayed by more different actors than any other fictional character.
On top of all that he is just an awesome extremely high quality
character (in the original novels at least) and I think the type of
character that this site likes. After seeing Dracula I doubt it. --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls Points: 25/30 Today's Picks: GlaDOS and Ike |
creativename posted... charmander6000 posted...Only Vader and Batman will be the only ones close to Noble Nine Nah, I don't buy this. At this point I think we could easily hit 64 characters who would match the Boss Fodder Line without a sweat, and probably push 70 or even 80. Sure, all-fictional characters would be great, but it's not like our field is that weak. I have more respect for the lasting impact of gaming's experiences than that. |
I doubt Holmes would be that strong, but A Study in Scarlet is pretty beast (alas, that's the only one I've read yet). |
Assuming a constant Wander Bayonetta gets 47.31% against Captain Falcon --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls Points: 25/30 Today's Picks: GlaDOS and Ike |
Literally had a free game on PSN for every user Literally has a game that's free on PS+ Literally is in PlayStation All-Stars... Twice Literally in all of Sony's PlayStation commercials Literally has badass lightning in his match picture Literally a good series with a decent play-rate and great reviews Literally had huge marketing campaigns for both games Literally can't keep up with Ragna the Bloodedge --- ~Zen |
You guys overestimate fictional characters, outside of the big names they are going to flop to your expectations. --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls Points: 25/30 Today's Picks: GlaDOS and Ike |
charmander6000 posted... Sherlock Holmes would be one of the strongest fictional characters imo. He is iconic, he is referenced a ridiculous amount in every type of media, he has popular books, tv shows, movies, and video games. He has been portrayed by more different actors than any other fictional character. On top of all that he is just an awesome extremely high quality character (in the original novels at least) and I think the type of character that this site likes. Dracula is not close to Holmes and if you think he is you need to go out more. The vampire fiction genre (subgenre?) is not dominated by Bram Stoker ripoffs and hasn't been in any of our lifespans. But mystery? What bigger face is there for mystery than the man with the pipe and the hat that goes 'Elementary, My Dear Watson'? Nobody. Sherlock is huge. HUGE. Huge enough that he literally has two, possibly three TV series going on RIGHT NOW, even. |
KanzarisKelshen posted... I actually think Luke would be really close to Vader's strength, and might even exceed him, weird as it sounds. Like...when I saw Star Wars, I didn't want to be Vader. I wanted to be a Jedi, just like Luke. That sort of nostalgia counts for a lot in GameFAQS. No way does Luke even approach Vader in strength. He kinda has Tidus-syndrome. Han Solo would for sure be stronger as well. Yoda probably, but that's debatable. JJH777 posted... Sherlock Holmes would be one of the strongest fictional characters imo. He is iconic, he is referenced a ridiculous amount in every type of media, he has popular books, tv shows, movies, and video games. He has been portrayed by more different actors than any other fictional character. On top of all that he is just an awesome extremely high quality character (in the original novels at least) and I think the type of character that this site likes. Modern audiences do not care about Sherlock Holmes. Robert Downey Jr., the actor who has played him, probably beats Holmes in a hypothetical poll. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
Score-Brackets-% Right 29------9------------77.78 28------73----------83.56 27------269--------75.46 26------530--------68.30 25------774--------63.31 24------1256------64.33 23------1613------63.61 22------1926------64.38 21------1917------63.07 20------1746------60.31 19------1496------61.23 18------1068------58.71 17------775--------54.97 16------539--------52.13 15------359--------51.81 14------275--------50.18 13------214--------50.93 12------130--------46.15 11------83----------44.58 10------68----------35.29 9--------39----------33.33 8--------25----------52.00 7--------16----------31.25 6--------10----------50.00 5--------6------------50.00 4--------4------------25.00 3--------3------------0.00 2--------18----------11.11 1--------7------------0.00 0--------6------------0.00 An easy win for Bayonetta but even near the top some people had trouble with the match. We end up lsoing 2 of the last 9 perfects. Still the top tiers did much better than the rest of the field and the prediction percentage falls from low 80s to low 60s just by going from the -1s to the -4s. The decline from there is pretty slow, though. 8 people fell off the Top 49. ramprevs, Ayvuir, BZer0, Cloud_Link32145, DailyFacade7, dimi161, Final_Eclipse and Flock_Masta_P did not have Bayonetta winning. 1 person got it wrong and survived. Hagankefs also did not have Bayonetta winning. --- Pokemon VGC2013 BC Regional - 16th place Pokemon VGC2013 US National - 39th place |
There's always the "remastered" versions if visual effects matter. |
I think there would be a very big dropoff between the top tier fictional characters and the rest. But you've got Wolverine, Spiderman and Batman who could all possibly beat Link. I expect nothing from Superman though. He would probably bomb compared to expectations. And then you've got the Star Wars onslaught. Vader, Yoda, Obi-Wan, Han, Boba Fett and Luke could all probably be high midcarders at worst. --- Demyx is better than Axel. http://www.last.fm/user/crazydom |
Im back on the leaderboard :) --- https://pbs.twimg.com/media/BMcwhStCYAAr-mC.jpg Dallas Cowboys and Mavs |
creativename posted... KanzarisKelshen posted...I actually think Luke would be really close to Vader's strength, and might even exceed him, weird as it sounds. Like...when I saw Star Wars, I didn't want to be Vader. I wanted to be a Jedi, just like Luke. That sort of nostalgia counts for a lot in GameFAQS. I don't feel that way Creative. I just...I don't feel it. Luke is the guy I wanted to be when I was a little kid, swinging my lightsaber around. Not Yoda, not Ben Kenobi, Luke. That kind of nostalgia is an extremely hard to find thing, but Luke has it. Vader might be stronger, but I'd bet you good money it's more of a Kefka/Terra thing than Auron/Tidus. |
ZenOfThunder posted... Literally had a free game on PSN for every user I feel bad for Cole. There's really nothing he can do or anything he's done wrong. New characters just struggle... I guess he can say that he's at least not Nathan Hale, but yeah. --- Still smilin' :> |
I
honestly don't get how Cole can be so piss-weak. Literally close to
Ragna. LITERALLY CLOSE TO RAGNA. Can't even a freakin' hundred votes on
him! That's just pathetically weak! I'd take N to double these jobbers! |
Updated Top 10 Top 10 Smallest Day Vote Gaps 1. Hero 8311 vs. Rinoa Heartilly 7503 Round 1 808 2. Miles Edgeworth 8763 vs. Agent 47 7350 Round 1 1413 3. Chrom 9589 vs. Heavy 7924 Round 1 1665 4. Fei Fong Wong 6288 vs. Dan Hibiki 4217 Round 1 2071 5. N 8892 vs. Wander 6714 Round 1 2178 6. Meta Knight 7468 vs. Archer 4767 Round 1 2701 7. Yuri Lowell 8637 vs. Face McShooty 5691 Round 1 2946 7. Locke Cole 8787 vs. CATS 5841 Round 1 2946 9. Kirby 15109 vs. Terra Branford 11893 Round 1 3216 10. Balthier Bunansa 7077 vs. Jade 3753 Round 1 3324 Top 5 Least Popular Day Polls 1. Ness vs. Locke Cole vs. CATS Round 1 27607 2. Vincent Valentine vs. KOS-MOS vs. Dunban Round 1 30485 3. Luigi vs. Balthier Bunansa vs. Jade Round 1 30674 4. Bayonetta vs. N vs. Wander Round 1 30900 5. Bowser vs. Meta Knight vs. Archer Round 1 31013 Top 5 Least Impressive Day Winners 1. Ness Round 1 12979 2. The Boss Round 1 14690 3. Morrigan Aensland Round 1 14988 4. Kirby Round 1 15109 5. Bayonetta Round 1 15294 Top 10 Most Impressive Day Losers 1. Waluigi Round 1 14794 2. Terra Branford Round 1 11893 3. KOS-MOS Round 1 10944 4. Professor Layton Round 1 10587 5. Captain Olimar Round 1 9829 6. Chrom Round 1 9589 7. N Round 1 8892 8. Locke Cole Round 1 8787 9. Miles Edgeworth Round 1 8763 10. Yuri Lowell Round 1 8637 Top 10 Least Predictable Matches 1. Draven vs. Jak vs. Chie Satonaka Round 1 38.19% 2. Crash Bandicoot vs. Wheatley vs. Tommy Vercetti Round 1 40.90% 3. Tharja vs. Tiny Tina vs. Juliet Starling Round 1 42.49% 4. Morrigan Aensland vs. Miles Edgeworth vs. Agent 47 Round 1 45.15% 5. Barret Wallace vs. Professor Layton vs. Reimu Hakurei Round 1 51.28% 6. Alucard vs. Captain Falcon vs. Rydia Round 1 51.46% 7. The Boss vs. Chrom vs. Heavy Round 1 52.99% 8. Sub-Zero vs. Garrus Vakarian vs. Frank West Round 1 58.54% 9. Bayonetta vs. N vs. Wander Round 1 61.00% 10. Vincent Valentine vs. KOS-MOS vs. Dunban Round 1 61.03% --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls Points: 25/30 Today's Picks: GlaDOS and Ike |
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