Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1072

#251 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 7/22/2013 11:18:21 PM | message detail
Falcon takes it right back, how nice of him
#252 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 7/22/2013 11:18:33 PM | message detail
Notably that update wasn't Falcon surging. Alucard just had a big drop in vote intake (literally less than 60 votes). He's looking good.
#253 | Rad_Dudesman | Posted 7/22/2013 11:18:35 PM | message detail
Where is your night vote now, Alucard?
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#254 | Achromatic | Posted 7/22/2013 11:19:36 PM | message detail
Man, trying to predict Alucard's plan is so hard when he doesn't mind losing in order to fulfill it. That Alucard guy, always looking towards the future...
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"When your enemies defy you, you must serve them steel and fire. When they go to their knees, however, you must help them back to their feet."
#255 | Lopen | Posted 7/22/2013 11:21:09 PM | message detail
I'm convinced Alucard's plan is to take third here

You got this Rydia I believe in you
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#256 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 7/22/2013 11:22:53 PM | message detail
Yeah I called this one, Alucard gets his cut back. If his vote intake stays steady at this level, he can bring this back.
#257 | Achromatic | Posted 7/22/2013 11:23:23 PM | message detail
Kanz you must quickly travel to the Vampire covens and get them to vote for Alucard.
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"When your enemies defy you, you must serve them steel and fire. When they go to their knees, however, you must help them back to their feet."
#258 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 7/22/2013 11:24:43 PM | message detail
Achromatic posted...
Kanz you must quickly travel to the Vampire covens and get them to vote for Alucard.


I did that already. I'm a big Alucard mark and to paraphrase Jerry 'King' Lawler, I called my friends to let them know what's going on in this awesome match. Now this is just Alucard's night, and I hope he can do what I think he can.
#259 | tennisboy213 | Posted 7/22/2013 11:26:19 PM | message detail
Come on Alucard, go for 2 in a row and make a match out of this.
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#260 | Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 7/22/2013 11:27:19 PM | message detail
So glad I no picked this

Go Mah Waifu
Go Capt

Hellsing's was always better
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#261 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 7/22/2013 11:28:27 PM | message detail
Kinda sorta stall. Creative's site is updating slow so I can't check, but I think Alucard dropped but Falcon did too. Hasn't he been super consistent for the last hour or so? This could be a sign.
#262 | GoldSlime35 | Posted 7/22/2013 11:31:43 PM | message detail
Karma Hunter posted...
GoldSlime35 posted...
This is going to play out exactly like last night. Alucard will get a few random cuts like Wheatley did, but Falcon will win easily.

I'll be falling off the leaderboard here. When I first saw the bracket I thought about taking Falcon but then I changed my mind. Ugh.


I wouldn't bet the farm on that - the groupthink is strong in us. I'm not convinced many perfects and -1s had Falcon to begin with.


I'm 42nd. There is basically no way I don't fall off. I'd need most -1s and every -2 before G to be wrong. I'm sure at least 10 of the ~150 relevant people have Falcon.
#263 | CrushDavis | Posted 7/22/2013 11:33:27 PM | message detail
#264 | Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 7/22/2013 11:34:36 PM | message detail
http://imageshack.us/a/img811/2324/1332647927902.jpg
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#265 | Karma Hunter | Posted 7/22/2013 11:34:53 PM | message detail
Yeah, I'm willing to call the match on that update.

For Rydia
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#266 | Julian_Caesar | Posted 7/22/2013 11:35:36 PM | message detail
Alucard's been holding at 65-80 votes per update for almost an hour. Falcon is starting to look that way too. At this point, unless Alucard gets 3-4 cuts in a row then it's mostly ebb-and-flow. The longer Falcon stalls for a 400-vote lead, the harder it will be for Alucard to take a safe lead come morning.

I think it's a measure of respect for Alucard's night vote that we're not calling this match right now.
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#267 | Julian_Caesar | Posted 7/22/2013 11:37:34 PM | message detail
Damn. 230 AM and Falcon is still climbing?
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#268 | CrushDavis | Posted 7/22/2013 11:38:07 PM | message detail
#269 | Lopen | Posted 7/22/2013 11:39:30 PM | message detail
Rydia going for the 750 vote comeback I can feel it
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#270 | Karma Hunter | Posted 7/22/2013 11:41:18 PM | message detail
Lopen posted...
Rydia going for the 750 vote comeback I can feel it


You realize based on my back of the envelope calculations and the fact that Kay Aitch has no idea to do math that this is gonna be equivalent to a 15000 vote comeback
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#271 | Sorozone | Posted 7/22/2013 11:41:27 PM | message detail
Eh, yeah I was holding out hope on Alucard, but this over.
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#272 | Rad_Dudesman | Posted 7/22/2013 11:42:36 PM | message detail
Yeah, Falcon's got 500+

This is over.
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#273 | CrushDavis | Posted 7/22/2013 11:42:53 PM | message detail
#274 | Achromatic | Posted 7/22/2013 11:43:33 PM | message detail
Okay now that I am aware that Alucard isn't going to win go Rydia.
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#275 | Julian_Caesar | Posted 7/22/2013 11:43:44 PM | message detail
500 vote lead and rising????

I think this one's over. Time for bed.
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Every day the rest of your life is changed forever.
#276 | Karma Hunter | Posted 7/22/2013 11:44:09 PM | message detail
And those 14 votes Rydia cut are actually the equivalent of 182 votes!
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#277 | WellThoughtName | Posted 7/22/2013 11:44:32 PM | message detail
Go Rydya, you can do it bb gurl
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#278 | JustForFun1988 | Posted 7/22/2013 11:46:37 PM | message detail
Where's Turtle now, condescending others with his 10 years of contest knowledge.
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#279 | Achromatic | Posted 7/22/2013 11:48:35 PM | message detail
Considering Turtle has kicked major ass before I am willing to give him some benefit over not getting every single match right in a new format.
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"When your enemies defy you, you must serve them steel and fire. When they go to their knees, however, you must help them back to their feet."
#280 | ChenKenichiFan | Posted 7/22/2013 11:49:21 PM | message detail
Yesterday I said we're probably not due for anything interesting for a good 10 days. lol me
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#281 | Lopen | Posted 7/22/2013 11:49:56 PM | message detail
Sure, Rydia needs to cut 15000 votes, but Alucard and Falcon already know they've got a 10000 vote gap between each other so they're not even going to try.

So you take Rydia's 15000 votes she needs, but then cut that by 1/3 because it's a three way match. Then you add Alucard's 10000 votes, and add Captain Falcon's 10000 votes, and Rydia beats Alucard by 15000 votes. But then you realize that Alucard was only behind Captain Falcon by 10000 votes, so you take those 10000 votes from Rydia's 15000 votes, and suddenly Rydia is beating the field by 5000 votes.

SHMOA JOE... THE NUMBERS DON'T LIE.
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#282 | Achromatic | Posted 7/22/2013 11:51:43 PM | message detail
ChenKenichiFan posted...
Yesterday I said we're probably not due for anything interesting for a good 10 days. lol me


Yeah now THAT was a curse worthy of the show.

I am curious what is going to be the first upset that actually has major implications on future rounds.
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"When your enemies defy you, you must serve them steel and fire. When they go to their knees, however, you must help them back to their feet."
#283 | Karma Hunter | Posted 7/22/2013 11:52:44 PM | message detail
Speaking of interesting matches, can someone tell me if anyone knows or cares about whatever the hell N is?

Because if people vote for it over Bayonetta's beautifully hair-wrapped thick ass I'm not sure if I can follow these contests anymore
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#284 | Achromatic | Posted 7/22/2013 11:54:20 PM | message detail
N is a character from Black/White.

I am a huge Pokemon fan, never considered voting for him.
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"When your enemies defy you, you must serve them steel and fire. When they go to their knees, however, you must help them back to their feet."
#285 | Rad_Dudesman | Posted 7/22/2013 11:56:20 PM | message detail
Karma Hunter posted...
Speaking of interesting matches, can someone tell me if anyone knows or cares about whatever the hell N is?

Because if people vote for it over Bayonetta's beautifully hair-wrapped thick ass I'm not sure if I can follow these contests anymore


He's a human character from Pokemon Black/White
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#286 | Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 7/22/2013 11:56:57 PM | message detail
There's only one thing that came good from N, and thats Ash's Charizard coming back.

and somehow going toe to toe with a Legendary Dragon, going with the "I got this" look
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#287 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 7/22/2013 11:57:08 PM | message detail
Lopen posted...
There were no matches of this caliber in the Rivalry Rumble because literally no one gave a crap about the Rivalry Rumble.

I do think that matches would probably get a bit less than 60k if ran 24 hours just because of front loaded votes and people double dipping but nothing would dip to 40k bad. I'm sure a lot of people just didn't vote in the rivalry rumble because it was a dumb gimmick


I don't think the low vote totals in Rivalry Rumble had anything to do with the fact it was a bad contest. This contest is getting even less votes than the Rivalry Rumble even though there is more hype for this contest. Although non-contest vote totals have dropped by about 20% since the end of 2011.
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#288 | swirIdude | Posted 7/23/2013 12:00:35 AM | message detail
Here comes Alucard!
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SuperNiceDog: Bracket: Good, Taste: Bad
#289 | Lopen | Posted 7/23/2013 12:01:05 AM | message detail
If N wins his first round match Pokemon is going to run over this entire bracket. You can't get many more negatives attached to a Pokemon character than you have with N

- Is a human
- Is from a game late in the series
- Is a pretty polarizing character in his own right
- Arguably not even the most important human character in his game
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#290 | Karma Hunter | Posted 7/23/2013 12:01:18 AM | message detail
People if we're going to shove in every useless Pokemon related tangential thing into the contest why not just make an all Pokemon contest

It'll probably get the vote totals up too come to think of it
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#291 | swirIdude | Posted 7/23/2013 12:02:53 AM | message detail
I'd support an all Pokemon contest.

Blastoise for the upset, people!
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"The people who play Final Fantasy 7 actually have lives and dont NEED polls" ~MajinUltima
SuperNiceDog: Bracket: Good, Taste: Bad
#292 | hellfire104 | Posted 7/23/2013 12:05:48 AM | message detail
3 straight cuts for Alucard, which means a huge Captain Falcon boost is coming in one of the next 2 updates.
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Point Total: 26/26. Guru Status: Alive
My Bracket Says: Night: Wheatley Day: Snake
#293 | Karma Hunter | Posted 7/23/2013 12:09:10 AM | message detail
How will people possibly decide between riveting matches such as Bill (Pokemon Form) and Professor Juniper
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#294 | Karma Hunter | Posted 7/23/2013 12:10:14 AM | message detail
On an unrelated note, this match still apparently exists
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#295 | hellfire104 | Posted 7/23/2013 12:11:54 AM | message detail
And another cut by Alucard into Falcon's lead. Next update is a big gain for Falcon. Calling it.
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Point Total: 26/26. Guru Status: Alive
My Bracket Says: Night: Wheatley Day: Snake
#296 | Qwaar | Posted 7/23/2013 12:13:20 AM | message detail
hellfire104 posted...
And another cut by Alucard into Falcon's lead. Next update is a big gain for Falcon. Calling it.


Um..no?
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#297 | Denzokuken | Posted 7/23/2013 12:13:27 AM | message detail
lol

go Alucard
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#298 | tennisboy213 | Posted 7/23/2013 12:14:09 AM | message detail
These are some fairly large cuts here.
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#299 | hellfire104 | Posted 7/23/2013 12:14:29 AM | message detail
Never been happier to be wrong. Maybe there is a plan after all. So assuming this is FINALLY the night vote, how long does it last until Falcon starts taking it back in the morning?
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Point Total: 26/26. Guru Status: Alive
My Bracket Says: Night: Wheatley Day: Snake
#300 | PSI_NESS | Posted 7/23/2013 12:14:41 AM | message detail
Darn I wish I could stay up to watch the rest of this match. Go Go Alucard.
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