Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1072

#201 | Karma Hunter | Posted 7/22/2013 10:41:17 PM | message detail
Foolish Alucard. He thought he had plotted this match out meticulously, made sure it took place during the night, and would coast to victory on the infallible authority of The Plan.

But he forgot one critical thing that he shared with his opponents: video game character overlap. if only he had realized
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#202 | VideoboysaysCube | Posted 7/22/2013 10:41:22 PM | message detail
ZFS posted...
VideoboysaysCube posted...
I don't know why I didn't notice the RPG/Sony overlap with Alucard and Rydia. And Falcon being the sole Nintendo character in the match is also a big deal. Feel like I should have saw this coming.


There isn't any Sony overlap between Alucard and Rydia.


Pretty sure FFIV has had ports on Sony consoles, also add to the fact her appearance in Dissidia.
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#203 | dethfdddddh | Posted 7/22/2013 10:41:35 PM | message detail
ZFS posted...
VideoboysaysCube posted...
I don't know why I didn't notice the RPG/Sony overlap with Alucard and Rydia. And Falcon being the sole Nintendo character in the match is also a big deal. Feel like I should have saw this coming.


There isn't any Sony overlap between Alucard and Rydia.


but there is long hair factor
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#204 | Rad_Dudesman | Posted 7/22/2013 10:44:25 PM | message detail | (edited)
spooky96 posted...
Looks like Alucard is getting serious.


Don't count Falcon out yet

He still has the morning vote to look forward to

Also, I like how Alucard has 2666
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#205 | 2Dover3D | Posted 7/22/2013 10:42:42 PM | message detail
Almost 400 vote lead now
#206 | ZFS | Posted 7/22/2013 10:42:43 PM | message detail
FFIV has appeared on Nintendo consoles, too! And in more frequent numbers. Falcon is the real victim of LFF here.
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#207 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 7/22/2013 10:43:03 PM | message detail
...Well that was an update alright. Jesus christ.
#208 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 7/22/2013 10:43:35 PM | message detail
+41
so much for the previous two +4 stalls
#209 | Karma Hunter | Posted 7/22/2013 10:43:38 PM | message detail
falcon, what a maroon
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#210 | LOLContests | Posted 7/22/2013 10:43:55 PM | message detail
KanzarisKelshen posted...
Julian_Caesar posted...

Again, not saying it's impossible. Just saying that Alucard better start bringing in that night vote sooner rather than later.


I think your guesses are pretty good, but let me point one thing out: Falcon doesn't have an ace morning vote. I know popular wisdom is 'morning vote is Nintendo's best hour' but that's a lie. The morning vote is the best block of gaming icons who aren't 100% nostalgia fueled (hence why it's the best hour of Sonic and Mario for instance, and not Megaman). Mid-level Nintendo is actually way more ASV focused when it derives its strength from Smash, and kind of all over the place when it doesn't.


It's the summer. There is no ASV.
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#211 | MegatokyoEd | Posted 7/22/2013 10:45:06 PM | message detail
Falcon just speared Alucard through the barricade.
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#212 | ZFS | Posted 7/22/2013 10:45:56 PM | message detail
falcon yes
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#213 | Karma Hunter | Posted 7/22/2013 10:46:15 PM | message detail
Lopen posted...
Seriously people need to stop saying this

If Alucard loses it's because he's weaker straight up. Rydia isn't doing anything here.


Doesn't this match kind of confirm no matter which way it goes that Falcon is cleanly above Alucard if the latter is struggling to win a night match?
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#214 | Julian_Caesar | Posted 7/22/2013 10:46:40 PM | message detail
KanzarisKelshen posted...
Julian_Caesar posted...

Again, not saying it's impossible. Just saying that Alucard better start bringing in that night vote sooner rather than later.


I think your guesses are pretty good, but let me point one thing out: Falcon doesn't have an ace morning vote. I know popular wisdom is 'morning vote is Nintendo's best hour' but that's a lie. The morning vote is the best block of gaming icons who aren't 100% nostalgia fueled (hence why it's the best hour of Sonic and Mario for instance, and not Megaman). Mid-level Nintendo is actually way more ASV focused when it derives its strength from Smash, and kind of all over the place when it doesn't.


He doesn't have to have an ace morning vote to have a better morning vote than Alucard, though.
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#215 | dethfdddddh | Posted 7/22/2013 10:47:19 PM | message detail
Does this make Magus look weaker against Otacon?
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#216 | Lopen | Posted 7/22/2013 10:47:35 PM | message detail
Yeah probably. I didn't say that if Alucard wins he's stronger, here!
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#217 | MegatokyoEd | Posted 7/22/2013 10:48:40 PM | message detail
Magus is probably even weaker now than back in 2010.

Otacon could pull it off.
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#218 | Julian_Caesar | Posted 7/22/2013 10:48:58 PM | message detail
Karma Hunter posted...
Lopen posted...
Seriously people need to stop saying this

If Alucard loses it's because he's weaker straight up. Rydia isn't doing anything here.


Doesn't this match kind of confirm no matter which way it goes that Falcon is cleanly above Alucard if the latter is struggling to win a night match?


Yeah, this.


Also, LOL Falcon gaining 40 votes at 1:45 AM. If Alucard hasn't started cutting by 2:30 he's gonna be in some trouble.
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#219 | Kibago | Posted 7/22/2013 10:49:08 PM | message detail
400+. goodnight.
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#220 | Karma Hunter | Posted 7/22/2013 10:49:47 PM | message detail
Otacon winning that match absolutely eviscerates my infallible bracket (Pikachu going so far you don't even know), but that may be the sweetest way for it to go out.
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#221 | ZFS | Posted 7/22/2013 10:50:00 PM | message detail
Otacon's not going to be anything great, so who knows. I'd feel better about Magus than I would a bottom tier MGS character, anyway.
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#222 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 7/22/2013 10:50:47 PM | message detail
Karma Hunter posted...
Otacon winning that match absolutely eviscerates my infallible bracket (Pikachu going so far you don't even know), but that may be the sweetest way for it to go out.


Pikachu>Link? :P
#223 | BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 7/22/2013 10:51:22 PM | message detail
ZFS posted...
Rydia does have more reason to overlap with Falcon than Alucard! Really, she's probably not affecting one significantly more than the other.


Final Fantasy 4 has been ported to so many systems, I think my toaster can play it. Can't really call system SFF on that.
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#224 | Karma Hunter | Posted 7/22/2013 10:51:54 PM | message detail
1337gamerpr0 posted...
Karma Hunter posted...
Otacon winning that match absolutely eviscerates my infallible bracket (Pikachu going so far you don't even know), but that may be the sweetest way for it to go out.


Pikachu>Link? :P


How the hell could I have Pikachu > Link when Mewtwo's gonna be the one in the final match
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#225 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 7/22/2013 10:53:00 PM | message detail
Mini cut spotted. Either Falcon's about to take it all back and then some, or Alucard finally awoke from his slumber.
#226 | kinsho3 | Posted 7/22/2013 10:57:26 PM | message detail
I hate being 'that guy' here, but that huge vote spike for Falcon reeked of vote stuffing. That was an abnormal spike considering the kind of updates he's been having....
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#227 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 7/22/2013 10:57:57 PM | message detail
KanzarisKelshen posted...
Mini cut spotted. Either Falcon's about to take it all back and then some, or Alucard finally awoke from his slumber.


or Falcon will just take it back and not then some
#228 | MegatokyoEd | Posted 7/22/2013 10:59:00 PM | message detail
Yeah, I'm guessing all that happens during the night is Alucard making mini cuts while Falcon slowly builds the lead.

Prove me wrong, Alucard.
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#229 | Julian_Caesar | Posted 7/22/2013 11:02:14 PM | message detail
Didn't expect Falcon to gain again this late. 16 votes, it's something...plus it's maintaining 400+. Geez.
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#230 | 2Dover3D | Posted 7/22/2013 11:03:35 PM | message detail
Two almost cuts by Rydia on Alucard... what Alucard needs to be doing now is cutting Falcon, not almost getting cut himself!
#231 | Lopen | Posted 7/22/2013 11:04:31 PM | message detail
I have this weird feeling that Rydia is going to win the night vote and the real battle is going to be Rydia vs Alucard for 2nd
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#232 | Achromatic | Posted 7/22/2013 11:05:10 PM | message detail
Huh, I think this is one of those matches that has had its outcome changed with the lower votals.

Poor Alucard.
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#233 | Steins_Gate | Posted 7/22/2013 11:06:28 PM | message detail
#234 | anondum | Posted 7/22/2013 11:08:13 PM | message detail
this is all part of the Plan
#235 | ExThaNemesis | Posted 7/22/2013 11:08:58 PM | message detail
Not sticking a fork in the plan just yet, but Alucard needs to get a move on. Where's Edouble when you need him
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#236 | JustForFun1988 | Posted 7/22/2013 11:09:02 PM | message detail
BlAcK TuRtLe posted...
It's almost as if these contest noobs can't read.

Alucard won't start consistant cuts until 2:00am. The fact that Falcon has been unable to extend his lead in 40 minutes should be pretty telling.

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#237 | GoldSlime35 | Posted 7/22/2013 11:10:47 PM | message detail
This is going to play out exactly like last night. Alucard will get a few random cuts like Wheatley did, but Falcon will win easily.

I'll be falling off the leaderboard here. When I first saw the bracket I thought about taking Falcon but then I changed my mind. Ugh.
#238 | Karma Hunter | Posted 7/22/2013 11:12:35 PM | message detail
GoldSlime35 posted...
This is going to play out exactly like last night. Alucard will get a few random cuts like Wheatley did, but Falcon will win easily.

I'll be falling off the leaderboard here. When I first saw the bracket I thought about taking Falcon but then I changed my mind. Ugh.


I wouldn't bet the farm on that - the groupthink is strong in us. I'm not convinced many perfects and -1s had Falcon to begin with.
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#239 | 2Dover3D | Posted 7/22/2013 11:12:43 PM | message detail
well theres a healthy cut
#240 | Rad_Dudesman | Posted 7/22/2013 11:12:47 PM | message detail
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FFtw7qW7Vcw
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#241 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 7/22/2013 11:13:34 PM | message detail
Huh...a cut over ten votes? What is this sorcery?
#242 | Lightning Strikes | Posted 7/22/2013 11:13:37 PM | message detail
But I thought Nintendo had weakened!
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#243 | Lopen | Posted 7/22/2013 11:14:06 PM | message detail
Rydia almost cut Falcon there

Rydia's totally winning an update at some point in the night
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#244 | Achromatic | Posted 7/22/2013 11:14:07 PM | message detail
Yeah this isn't going to involve Alucard gaining a massive amount this is more going to be about if Falcon can avoid shaving his %s a lot.
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#245 | 2Dover3D | Posted 7/22/2013 11:14:14 PM | message detail
Rydia almost cut Falcon too... only a 1 vote difference.
#246 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 7/22/2013 11:14:14 PM | message detail
GoldSlime35 posted...
This is going to play out exactly like last night. Alucard will get a few random cuts like Wheatley did, but Falcon will win easily.

I'll be falling off the leaderboard here. When I first saw the bracket I thought about taking Falcon but then I changed my mind. Ugh.


random cut #1 or the start of a trend?
#247 | Julian_Caesar | Posted 7/22/2013 11:14:35 PM | message detail
Achromatic posted...
Huh, I think this is one of those matches that has had its outcome changed with the lower votals.


Normally I'd agree, but Alucard's best time (even in a 24-hour match) has always been this early-morning/late-night vote. Whereas Falcon isn't getting the benefit of afternoon-evening votes which would surely go in his favor.

The match isn't over, in fact I have a gut feeling that this is going to be a true barnburner at the end. But Alucard should have gotten a huge boost with this being a night vote; if he doesn't crush Falcon beyond the hope of a morning comeback, I think it's safe to say that Falcon is just a straight-up stronger character.
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#248 | ShatteredElysium | Posted 7/22/2013 11:16:22 PM | message detail | (edited)
Main reason I took Alucard is because I remembered him beating Falcon twice before. I just completely forgot who the opposition were in those matches >_>
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#249 | DoctorJimmy133 | Posted 7/22/2013 11:16:58 PM | message detail
Assuming nothing insane happens, this is the biggest surprise win of the contest so far for me. I took Alucard without a second thought.
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#250 | izNotPerfect | Posted 7/22/2013 11:17:09 PM | message detail
ShatteredElysium posted...
Main reason I took Alucard is because I remembered him beating Falcon twice before. I just completely forgot who the opposition were in those matches >_>

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