Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1072

#101 | 2Dover3D | Posted 7/22/2013 9:51:46 PM | message detail
WellThoughtName posted...
Is it me or is Rydia cutting Alucard?

I'm not paying attention to her at all.


Nah, Alucard only gained 15 on her in the last update though.
#102 | charmander6000 | Posted 7/22/2013 9:52:10 PM | message detail
Is it me or is Rydia cutting Alucard?

I'm not paying attention to her at all.


Not yet
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 24/28 Today's Picks: Falcon and Bayonetta
#103 | Rad_Dudesman | Posted 7/22/2013 9:52:20 PM | message detail
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-L0pW3Eol6k#at=12
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The official rad dude of the Pokemon X board.
#104 | raytan7585 | Posted 7/22/2013 9:52:57 PM | message detail
FALCON PAWNNNNNNCH!!
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http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=baUY9LFlYh0 - KokorokokoroKOKOROkokoROKokoro-chan iu na
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#105 | MegatokyoEd | Posted 7/22/2013 9:52:57 PM | message detail
Alucard needs to stop running into the Lous Thesz.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
http://www.last.fm/user/crazydom
#106 | 2Dover3D | Posted 7/22/2013 9:53:08 PM | message detail
Another 35 vote gain. Falcon is getting serious now
#107 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 7/22/2013 9:54:07 PM | message detail
Tch. Nasty update. Still within margins, but it might be close.
#108 | swirIdude | Posted 7/22/2013 9:54:24 PM | message detail
WellThoughtName posted...
Is it me or is Rydia cutting Alucard?

I'm not paying attention to her at all.


She is not.
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"The people who play Final Fantasy 7 actually have lives and dont NEED polls" ~MajinUltima
SuperNiceDog: Bracket: Good, Taste: Bad
#109 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 7/22/2013 9:55:33 PM | message detail
ZenOfThunder posted...
Awww man I just finished making an alternate opening pic for an Alucard win too

http://i.imgur.com/w5BqKyQ.png


Isn't the guy in the first pic actually Hector from one of the 3D Castlevania games?
#110 | tgs2 | Posted 7/22/2013 9:55:45 PM | message detail
Falcon in full on Thesz Press mode. Rydia might actually end up costing Alucard the match by drawing away his night votes thus slowing his assault on Falcon... assuming he can recover from this.
#111 | Rad_Dudesman | Posted 7/22/2013 9:56:06 PM | message detail
Falcon wins the power hour
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The official rad dude of the Pokemon X board.
#112 | BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 7/22/2013 9:56:33 PM | message detail
I don't understand how after 10 years of contests, people still don't understand how basic trends work. Alucard will run away with this overnight and Falcon won't have enough of a day vote to win it back.
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Game of the decade? More like Guru of the decade mirite?
However, the Guru of the next decade so far is SuperNiceDog
#113 | ZenOfThunder (Topic Creator) | Posted 7/22/2013 9:56:38 PM | message detail
KanzarisKelshen posted...
ZenOfThunder posted...
Awww man I just finished making an alternate opening pic for an Alucard win too

http://i.imgur.com/w5BqKyQ.png


Isn't the guy in the first pic actually Hector from one of the 3D Castlevania games?


THEY ALL LOOK THE SAME TO ME
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~Zen
#114 | LOLContests | Posted 7/22/2013 9:57:05 PM | message detail
Yeah, Alucard's done unless he starts stalling NOW!

In a 1v1 100k vote match this would be the equivalent of a 950 or so vote lead.
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"What's the matter with bootblacking? We both like it very much!"
This is Yesmar.
#115 | 2Dover3D | Posted 7/22/2013 9:57:52 PM | message detail
BlAcK TuRtLe posted...
I don't understand how after 10 years of contests, people still don't understand how basic trends work. Alucard will run away with this overnight and Falcon won't have enough of a day vote to win it back.


Because when you're being beaten this badly early on, you're not just going to turn the entire match on its head overnight. At best he'll do small cuts.
#116 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 7/22/2013 9:58:11 PM | message detail
Did Falcon just gain like 60 votes? Yuck, that's just nasty. Was it a surge for him or a big Alucard vote drop?
#117 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 7/22/2013 9:58:16 PM | message detail
damn 62 vote gain in that update
#118 | Karma Hunter | Posted 7/22/2013 9:58:26 PM | message detail
Look everyone, the way I see it, this match is just win-win all around. It's close, it's exciting, it's between two not-ultra-turbofodders... and if Alucard wins, we get to rejoice at Nintendo dropping a close one and with my infallible bracket being taken down another peg (how does the Kay Aitch bracket remain infallible no matter how many matches it gets wrong? one of life's beautiful mysteries).

While if Falcon wins, we get perhaps an even greater pleasure in reveling in BT being arrogantly wrong again~
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#119 | charmander6000 | Posted 7/22/2013 9:58:31 PM | message detail
Very nice Falcon
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 24/28 Today's Picks: Falcon and Bayonetta
#120 | Lopen | Posted 7/22/2013 9:58:37 PM | message detail
Game over, Alucard
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#121 | Sorozone | Posted 7/22/2013 9:59:11 PM | message detail
KanzarisKelshen posted...
Did Falcon just gain like 60 votes? Yuck, that's just nasty. Was it a surge for him or a big Alucard vote drop?


Looked like it was just as surge.
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http://i.imgur.com/32RNLnc.gif
#122 | BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 7/22/2013 9:59:20 PM | message detail
2Dover3D posted...
BlAcK TuRtLe posted...
I don't understand how after 10 years of contests, people still don't understand how basic trends work. Alucard will run away with this overnight and Falcon won't have enough of a day vote to win it back.


Because when you're being beaten this badly early on, you're not just going to turn the entire match on its head overnight. At best he'll do small cuts.


Beaten this badly? It's hardly 300 votes after the power hour. And Falcon and Alucard's trends are like night and day (pardon the pun). Quoting this for later.
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Game of the decade? More like Guru of the decade mirite?
However, the Guru of the next decade so far is SuperNiceDog
#123 | kinsho3 | Posted 7/22/2013 9:59:21 PM | message detail
Ouch....isn't the power hour supposed to be ending right about now too....?

Falcon looks like he has this match. Damn. I had him too in my bracket, but kept waffling back and forth between him and Alucard.
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Drop it to the floor...
#124 | swirIdude | Posted 7/22/2013 9:59:28 PM | message detail
KanzarisKelshen posted...
Did Falcon just gain like 60 votes? Yuck, that's just nasty. Was it a surge for him or a big Alucard vote drop?


Alucard only brought in 100 votes that update, so yes.
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"The people who play Final Fantasy 7 actually have lives and dont NEED polls" ~MajinUltima
SuperNiceDog: Bracket: Good, Taste: Bad
#125 | MegatokyoEd | Posted 7/22/2013 9:59:35 PM | message detail
Falcon is taking off as the power hour ends and Alucard is now barely gaining on Rydia these past few updates.

This is not looking good for him at all.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
http://www.last.fm/user/crazydom
#126 | BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 7/22/2013 9:59:53 PM | message detail
kinsho3 posted...
Ouch....isn't the power hour supposed to be ending right about now too....?

Falcon looks like he has this match. Damn. I had him too in my bracket, but kept waffling back and forth between him and Alucard.


Once again, 10 years of contests to draw from. Power hour usually slows down around 1:15, night vote kicks in after 2:00
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Game of the decade? More like Guru of the decade mirite?
However, the Guru of the next decade so far is SuperNiceDog
#127 | Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 7/22/2013 10:00:34 PM | message detail
BlAcK TuRtLe posted...
I don't understand how after 10 years of contests, people still don't understand how basic trends work. Alucard will run away with this overnight and Falcon won't have enough of a day vote to win it back.


"Alucard wins, let's go to sleep" isn't really as fun as treating Falcon as if he has a chance to win.
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#128 | ZenOfThunder (Topic Creator) | Posted 7/22/2013 10:00:35 PM | message detail
I've never been happier to lose all these points
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~Zen
#129 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 7/22/2013 10:00:38 PM | message detail
1337gamerpr0 posted...
damn 62 vote gain in that update


52 actually. Still good but not as good as it seemed. That said...I think it's time to bring out the big guns to announce the end of the power hour. Alucard needs to answer one question now. Is tonight The Night?
#130 | ChenKenichiFan | Posted 7/22/2013 10:01:31 PM | message detail
It's 300 votes in what are easily the worst votals we've ever seen. Back in 2007-2008, the lead would already be over a thousand, and Falcon still has a good two hours to pile it on and the morning to mount a comeback if he needs it (which he really really shouldn't). This is gg.

All hail Nintendo. Sad to see Alucard lose, but both competitors are awesome here.

Poke-domination incoming. Vincent doomed confirmed.
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#131 | kinsho3 | Posted 7/22/2013 10:02:17 PM | message detail
BlAcK TuRtLe posted...

Once again, 10 years of contests to draw from. Power hour usually slows down around 1:15, night vote kicks in after 2:00


I hope you're right, but if Falcon keeps gaining till 2:00, he'll have 500+ votes on Alucard. Alucard better have a damn good night vote in order to pull off the win here.
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Drop it to the floor...
#132 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 7/22/2013 10:02:43 PM | message detail
9 vote cut by Alucard
a start?
#133 | Karma Hunter | Posted 7/22/2013 10:03:07 PM | message detail
ChenKenichiFan posted...
It's 300 votes in what are easily the worst votals we've ever seen. Back in 2007-2008, the lead would already be over a thousand, and Falcon still has a good two hours to pile it on and the morning to mount a comeback if he needs it (which he really really shouldn't). This is gg.

All hail Nintendo. Sad to see Alucard lose, but both competitors are awesome here.

Poke-domination incoming. Vincent doomed confirmed.


I told you all

why didn't you listen
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sig
#134 | charmander6000 | Posted 7/22/2013 10:03:43 PM | message detail
Just like clockwork
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 24/28 Today's Picks: Falcon and Bayonetta
#135 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 7/22/2013 10:04:23 PM | message detail
It is. Gentlemen...

YOU ARE NOW TUNED IN

TO THE WORLD'S GREATEST

TONIGHT IS THE NIGHT!

www.gordonmcneil.com/VGCWsymphonyoftonight.mp3
#136 | BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 7/22/2013 10:04:52 PM | message detail
kinsho3 posted...
BlAcK TuRtLe posted...

Once again, 10 years of contests to draw from. Power hour usually slows down around 1:15, night vote kicks in after 2:00


I hope you're right, but if Falcon keeps gaining till 2:00, he'll have 500+ votes on Alucard. Alucard better have a damn good night vote in order to pull off the win here.


I'm gonna go out on a limb with some STUNNING PREDICTIONS:

Falcon gains inconsistently until about 1:30. They go even till about 2:00. Alucard starts cutting, and takes the lead by 4:30. Alucard gains until he hits around 700 vote lead. Falcon cuts about 200 off the lead in the morning.
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Game of the decade? More like Guru of the decade mirite?
However, the Guru of the next decade so far is SuperNiceDog
#137 | charmander6000 | Posted 7/22/2013 10:06:08 PM | message detail
^ more or less except Alucard with a smaller lead and Falcon wins
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 24/28 Today's Picks: Falcon and Bayonetta
#138 | Lopen | Posted 7/22/2013 10:06:46 PM | message detail
ChenKenichiFan posted...
It's 300 votes in what are easily the worst votals we've ever seen. Back in 2007-2008, the lead would already be over a thousand


Uhh what

It'd probably be around 600-700 votes back then. The vote totals aren't actually that bad. We'd usually get around 120-140k per 24 hours back then now we're getting around 60k per.
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#139 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 7/22/2013 10:07:57 PM | message detail
Yo Falcon, what's up? Where did those 30+ gains go?
#140 | Rad_Dudesman | Posted 7/22/2013 10:08:22 PM | message detail
Falcon has a 301 point lead
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#141 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 7/22/2013 10:08:24 PM | message detail
+19
this is getting interesting
#142 | _SecretSquirrel | Posted 7/22/2013 10:08:24 PM | message detail
There goes the 300 vote barrier.
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#143 | Lopen | Posted 7/22/2013 10:09:14 PM | message detail
That probably would've been a 30+ gain with the vote intake of half an hour ago actually.

Just sayin.
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#144 | LOLContests | Posted 7/22/2013 10:09:37 PM | message detail
Falcon gains inconsistently until about 1:30. They go even till about 2:00. Alucard starts cutting, and takes the lead by 4:30. Alucard gains until he hits around 700 vote lead. Falcon cuts about 200 off the lead in the morning.

Alucard still has a chance now, but if Falcon keeps gaining until 1:30 no way. If that's the case, Falcon''s lead would be in the neighborhood of 1300/1400 votes on a Base 100k scale. 10 years of contest knowledge, plus actual data:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/572228-western-contest/53171617

tells us that Alucard pulling off a comeback of that magnitude in any time frame would be an accomplishment, let alone doing so in two and half hours in the middle of the night.
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"What's the matter with bootblacking? We both like it very much!"
This is Yesmar.
#145 | MegatokyoEd | Posted 7/22/2013 10:10:38 PM | message detail
I have my doubts that Alucard will go on a rampage once the real night vote kicks in. All Falcon has to do is stall him out until the morning.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
http://www.last.fm/user/crazydom
#146 | Lopen | Posted 7/22/2013 10:10:57 PM | message detail
LOLContests posted...
Falcon gains inconsistently until about 1:30. They go even till about 2:00. Alucard starts cutting, and takes the lead by 4:30. Alucard gains until he hits around 700 vote lead. Falcon cuts about 200 off the lead in the morning.

Alucard still has a chance now, but if Falcon keeps gaining until 1:30 no way. If that's the case, Falcon''s lead would be in the neighborhood of 1300/1400 votes on a Base 100k scale. 10 years of contest knowledge, plus actual data:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/572228-western-contest/53171617

tells us that Alucard pulling off a comeback of that magnitude in any time frame would be an accomplishment, let alone doing so in two and half hours in the middle of the night.


I think Falcon getting 1000 votes on his lead in 20 minutes would be amazing and I approve of your theory
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No problem!
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#147 | BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 7/22/2013 10:11:07 PM | message detail
LOLContests posted...
Falcon gains inconsistently until about 1:30. They go even till about 2:00. Alucard starts cutting, and takes the lead by 4:30. Alucard gains until he hits around 700 vote lead. Falcon cuts about 200 off the lead in the morning.

Alucard still has a chance now, but if Falcon keeps gaining until 1:30 no way. If that's the case, Falcon''s lead would be in the neighborhood of 1300/1400 votes on a Base 100k scale. 10 years of contest knowledge, plus actual data:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/572228-western-contest/53171617

tells us that Alucard pulling off a comeback of that magnitude in any time frame would be an accomplishment, let alone doing so in two and half hours in the middle of the night.


Falcon was up 300 votes with the full first hour, easily his best time against Alucard. How is he going to magically gain 1000 votes on top of that with a half hour of reduced power hour strength?
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Game of the decade? More like Guru of the decade mirite?
However, the Guru of the next decade so far is SuperNiceDog
#148 | Lopen | Posted 7/22/2013 10:12:38 PM | message detail
(Keep in mind I know you said "base 100k scale" but you do realize that that's only going to multiply his lead by around 1.7 or so right)
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#149 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 7/22/2013 10:12:43 PM | message detail
What's that? Another little gain? WHAT'S THAT FALCON? CAN'T HANDLE THE NIGHT?
#150 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 7/22/2013 10:12:46 PM | message detail
+15 votes for falcon
now at 316