Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1071

#201 | ZinsanityCraze | Posted 7/22/2013 8:11:29 AM | message detail
Isaac's a good deal stronger than Fei Fong Wong and i wouldn't expect Snake to steal any of the Nintendo/Jrpg support from him.

66-67% is decent here
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#202 | pjbasis | Posted 7/22/2013 8:13:43 AM | message detail
I would not be surprised to see Isaac threatening 30% depending on how bad Keen is.
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#203 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 7/22/2013 8:20:13 AM | message detail
pjbasis posted...
I would not be surprised to see Isaac threatening 30% depending on how bad Keen is.


I'm not so sure about that. How many of us don't take Snake to push for a tripling on Isaac one on one? He can easily secure the doubling and go for something higher than that, so if you assume he gets 20%, 65% for Snake should be a stone cold lock IMO, minimum. Hence my thinking he can do 70% with Keen taking up three votes per update.
#204 | pjbasis | Posted 7/22/2013 8:29:06 AM | message detail
Maybe some people would but they'd be wrong.

Can't see 1v1 going much higher than 70-30.
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#205 | Safer_777 | Posted 7/22/2013 8:29:38 AM | message detail
So Crash won a match in 2013 while he has no games against 2 characters?And one of them is from GOTY 2011?Okay what is going on?How much nostalgia is on this site?
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#206 | FranzyvonKarma | Posted 7/22/2013 8:31:41 AM | message detail
Portal 2 didn't even come close to winning GOTY 2011.
#207 | --Smurf-- | Posted 7/22/2013 8:36:58 AM | message detail
Wheatley looks like following Tiny Tina and Jak in winning the US and losing the match. Marth almost belonged to that club as well.
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#208 | abdou | Posted 7/22/2013 8:59:04 AM | message detail
Snake should get 70%
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#209 | tennisboy213 | Posted 7/22/2013 9:00:17 AM | message detail
Vote Accepted


Solid Snake
55.56%
5 Votes
Your Pick

Isaac (Golden Sun)
33.33%
3 Votes

Commander Keen
11.11%
1 Votes
Total Votes: 9
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POKEFEAR
#210 | BK_Sheikah00 | Posted 7/22/2013 9:00:25 AM | message detail
Vote Accepted

Solid Snake
38.46%
5 Votes

Isaac (Golden Sun)
53.85%
7 Votes
Your Pick

Commander Keen
7.69%
1 Votes
Total Votes: 13
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#211 | spooky96 | Posted 7/22/2013 9:00:38 AM | message detail
Solid Snake
43.75%
7 Votes
Your Pick

Isaac (Golden Sun)
43.75%
7 Votes

Commander Keen
12.5%
2 Votes
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Pokemon Showdown Peak Ranking OU: 2004
And then lost 7 matches in a row >_>
#212 | eaglesarebeasts | Posted 7/22/2013 9:01:26 AM | message detail
#213 | swordz9 | Posted 7/22/2013 9:01:47 AM | message detail
Vote Accepted

Solid Snake
41.18%
7 Votes

Isaac (Golden Sun)
47.06%
8 Votes
Your Pick

Commander Keen
11.76%
2 Votes
Total Votes: 17
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#214 | Kotetsu534 | Posted 7/22/2013 9:01:47 AM | message detail
Hey Link, watch your back.
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#215 | Safer_777 | Posted 7/22/2013 9:02:27 AM | message detail
3rd vote for Keen!Yeah!
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#216 | spooky96 | Posted 7/22/2013 9:02:31 AM | message detail
Kotetsu534 posted...
Hey Link, watch your back.


Uhhh
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Pokemon Showdown Peak Ranking OU: 2004
And then lost 7 matches in a row >_>
#217 | spooky96 | Posted 7/22/2013 9:03:09 AM | message detail
swordz9 posted...
Vote Accepted

Solid Snake
41.18%
7 Votes

Isaac (Golden Sun)
47.06%
8 Votes
Your Pick

Commander Keen
11.76%
2 Votes
Total Votes: 17


You voted right exactly after me.
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Pokemon Showdown Peak Ranking OU: 2004
And then lost 7 matches in a row >_>
#218 | Nanis23 | Posted 7/22/2013 9:03:12 AM | message detail
So Keen doesn't even get nostalgia votes?
#219 | vcharon | Posted 7/22/2013 9:03:13 AM | message detail
Keen going for Chester's record.
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:>
#220 | ctesjbuvf | Posted 7/22/2013 9:03:22 AM | message detail
Keen challenging Caim here.
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*2, *8,070,446 Kuroko no Basket
*3, *6,495,240 Naruto
#221 | tennisboy213 | Posted 7/22/2013 9:03:22 AM | message detail
Jesus Christ, Keen
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POKEFEAR
#222 | tennisboy213 | Posted 7/22/2013 9:05:43 AM | message detail
11 perfects left
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POKEFEAR
#223 | tgs2 | Posted 7/22/2013 9:05:46 AM | message detail
This 8% is bad, but Snake is much stronger here than in 2004 so no threat to Chester/Tanner..... yet.
#224 | Nanis23 | Posted 7/22/2013 9:05:56 AM | message detail
charmander6000 posted...

Isaac should also not have a problem taking second place. Golden Sun 3 has been released since his last appearance though that was back in late 2010 and his role in that game is small compared to the first two games so I do not expect much of a boost out of him. Still with his performances against L-Block I do not expect him to get completely crushed.


Are you kidding
I want to anti-vote him because of GS3
Such a disappointing game
#225 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 7/22/2013 9:06:14 AM | message detail
quick, someone do the electoral college version of Crash/Wheatley because this match is boring
#226 | Denzokuken | Posted 7/22/2013 9:07:02 AM | message detail
Snakey wakey. Keen is awful but Snake can't break 75%? This is the Link killer?
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Fine! I'll go to the store and get your Goddamn drain cleaner!
Character Battle IX Tingle Victory Parade - the journey is over....
#227 | Nanis23 | Posted 7/22/2013 9:07:52 AM | message detail
tennisboy213 posted...
11 perfects left


Oh yeah..RIP
I really wanted to lose it when Bayonneta beats N,but oh well
#228 | tennisboy213 | Posted 7/22/2013 9:08:35 AM | message detail
More like it
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POKEFEAR
#229 | tgs2 | Posted 7/22/2013 9:08:44 AM | message detail
Denzokuken posted...
Snakey wakey. Keen is awful but Snake can't break 75%? This is the Link killer?


There it is.
#230 | spooky96 | Posted 7/22/2013 9:08:52 AM | message detail
Denzokuken posted...
Snakey wakey. Keen is awful but Snake can't break 75%? This is the Link killer?


Nope, he's not. Delusional IS THE EXPLANATION<_<
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Pokemon Showdown Peak Ranking OU: 2004
And then lost 7 matches in a row >_>
#231 | BK_Sheikah00 | Posted 7/22/2013 9:09:09 AM | message detail
Keen checking his watch. Yes, the match has already started.
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Hey, its that SuperNiceDog! Congrats to the Guru 2011 winner
#232 | ChenKenichiFan | Posted 7/22/2013 9:09:46 AM | message detail
Whoa-ho-ho! If Snake holds this percentage, then MGS will have looked quite good in all their outings apart from maybe Raiden's. Bodes well for Snake's chances depending on who the third entrant is against Cloud.
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#233 | Denzokuken | Posted 7/22/2013 9:10:10 AM | message detail
Absurd. I think we have to start considering if Mega Man or Sonic will be able to beat Snake nowadays. He's fallen off so much.
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Fine! I'll go to the store and get your Goddamn drain cleaner!
Character Battle IX Tingle Victory Parade - the journey is over....
#234 | abdou | Posted 7/22/2013 9:10:43 AM | message detail
yeah Cloud is not getting past Snake especially if he is being hurt by Crono/Sora
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#235 | tennisboy213 | Posted 7/22/2013 9:11:06 AM | message detail
A differing of opinions ITT
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POKEFEAR
#236 | JJH777 | Posted 7/22/2013 9:11:16 AM | message detail
So anyone taking Wander to win tomorrow mornings match? He was really weak last time we saw him but I don't think N or Bayonetta will be particularly impressive and SotC's performance in GotD was amazing.
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#237 | Kotetsu534 | Posted 7/22/2013 9:11:26 AM | message detail
Wish I'd gone for Snake > Cloud right now. Need Pikachu's leeching to be super effective if Cloud's to win that, I fear.
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#238 | ChenKenichiFan | Posted 7/22/2013 9:11:53 AM | message detail
I'd have taken Snake over Cloud without a moment's thought if the third entrant in my bracket was Sora or Crono. Of course, I have Pikachu instead, so I took Cloud.
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#239 | BK_Sheikah00 | Posted 7/22/2013 9:14:03 AM | message detail
I know, dat board vote.

But 12 minutes in, Chester had 96 votes.
13 minutes in, Keen has 95.

Better look out for those 0 vote updates!
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#240 | ZinsanityCraze | Posted 7/22/2013 9:14:21 AM | message detail
Impressive performance from Snake, Isaac has always been halfway decent in these contests.
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#241 | BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 7/22/2013 9:14:52 AM | message detail
Oh wow, got last match wrong, but still landed on the leaderboard. Can't wait to see the prediction rates for yesterday. Perfects got DESTROY'D
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#242 | BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 7/22/2013 9:16:52 AM | message detail
ZinsanityCraze posted...
Impressive performance from Snake, Isaac has always been halfway decent in these contests.


Not sure how much we can read into this. Isaac is fodder, but not turbofodder. Golden Sun has likely fallen off a bit too.
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Game of the decade? More like Guru of the decade mirite?
However, the Guru of the next decade so far is SuperNiceDog
#243 | --Smurf-- | Posted 7/22/2013 9:17:31 AM | message detail
Why all the drama? This is pretty much the figure everyone expected from Snake, it's not impressive or poor.
For Link to not win it was always going to be about Link collapsing rather than someone else rising.
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#244 | ChenKenichiFan | Posted 7/22/2013 9:20:14 AM | message detail
I still consider Cloud the big favorite if Pikachu sneaks his way in. I think people underestimate how much of Snake's popularity stems from Nintendo/Smash. Remember, before the enormous 2006 Brawl reveal, Snake was getting 57/43'd by Mega Man and almost dropping matches to Bowser. Snake - not Crono, Sonic, or Mega Man - was the "weakest link" of the Noble 9 who would finally drop the streak. The year after MGS3, Snake turned a 43% loss against Mega Man to a 43% loss against Mario. A decent enough improvement, but after the Brawl trailer, he turned that 43% loss to Mega Man into a 55% win. Smash is easily the biggest thing he's ever gotten in the timeframe of these contests, and that advantage will get diluted against the rat. Cloud is the perfect choice to take advantage of too much Nintendo lovin.
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#245 | BK_Sheikah00 | Posted 7/22/2013 9:22:28 AM | message detail
Who do you think would hurt Link more in the final? Mario or Charizard?
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#246 | ChenKenichiFan | Posted 7/22/2013 9:25:01 AM | message detail
I'd say Charizard. There is no doubt in my mind that if he needed to, Link could turn up the heat and triple Mario.

Link - 45%
Cloud - 40%
Mario - 15%

Not sure if a Pokemon in the finals would lay down as easily.
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http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif
#247 | vcharon | Posted 7/22/2013 9:25:03 AM | message detail
Charizard definitely hurts more. Link has always buried Mario and made him look foolish.
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Still smilin'
:>
#248 | Kibago | Posted 7/22/2013 9:28:35 AM | message detail
attn: Cloud
Pikachu and Charizard are your only chance to win this year
befriend them
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Leafs / Raptors / Blue Jays / TFC / Argos / Tottenham
We'll get 'em next year.
#249 | Nanis23 | Posted 7/22/2013 9:31:12 AM | message detail
Oh god I don't know who gave that dr.Pizza topic but that was pure gold
#250 | BK_Sheikah00 | Posted 7/22/2013 9:31:42 AM | message detail
Link sent Pikachu to do the dirty work for him back in 2008. It would be hilarious if the Pokemon suddenly turned on their Master this contest.
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