Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1070

#151 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 7/20/2013 9:54:50 PM | message detail
Karma Hunter posted...
Poison could win this match, people. On the power of TJF. Poison.

Breathe it in. Poison.


The Kayopolice vote too strong apparently.

(But really, while I didn't see this result coming it makes perfect sense. Poison just got announced for SF4, in front of a big hardcore gamer crowd. That had to matter somehow.)
#152 | vcharon | Posted 7/20/2013 9:57:42 PM | message detail
Well there were at least a few interesting minutes in this match, but it didn't deliver the way I thought it would.
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Still smilin'
:>
#153 | AppreciateTrees | Posted 7/20/2013 9:59:09 PM | message detail
Thank you! Haha, there are some pretty hilarious examples of TJF. And this probably ranks up there with the best of them.
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Life isn't fair, it's just fairer than death, that's all
#154 | Nanis23 | Posted 7/20/2013 10:17:12 PM | message detail
Thrall is pathetic..
Well,it has to be expected..since Warcraft 3 is pretty much dead and no one cares aboout WoW anyway
The only thing that kept WC3 alive for the last years is dead as well,as most people stopped playing the original Dota and Moved to LoL/Dota 2
#155 | Karma Hunter | Posted 7/20/2013 10:18:37 PM | message detail
Poison's x-stat value is probably going to look stellar, too (relatively), as long as things go mostly as expected - Elizabeth goes out next round with probably a muuuuuuch better picture on Kirby, Kirbs looks good against Seph, Seph goes out as well as he can probably look against Link.
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#156 | DoctorJimmy133 | Posted 7/20/2013 10:26:44 PM | message detail
Elizabeth should have a 500-vote barrier next update. Poison's momentum looks like it's totally gone.

But really, that 43-vote cut Poison had early on was terrifying.
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#157 | SonicRaptor | Posted 7/20/2013 10:32:01 PM | message detail
I really was not expecting TJF to come back with such force.
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#158 | LeonhartFour (Topic Creator) | Posted 7/20/2013 10:32:37 PM | message detail
#159 | ShatteredElysium | Posted 7/20/2013 10:43:31 PM | message detail | (edited)
Karma Hunter posted...
Poison's x-stat value is probably going to look stellar, too (relatively), as long as things go mostly as expected - Elizabeth goes out next round with probably a muuuuuuch better picture on Kirby, Kirbs looks good against Seph, Seph goes out as well as he can probably look against Link.


It's kind of a shame that she isn't facing Ness next round. According to creative's site she's currently putting up 64.6 on Thrall. 2k10 Ness is predicted to put up 64.17 against 2k10 Thrall.

Also it has Poison just above 2k10 Ken and 2k10 Akuma atm! Basically equal to Donkey Kong. That's probably going to fall though.
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Crucifying my Oracle average one match at a time
#160 | AxemRedRanger | Posted 7/20/2013 10:43:34 PM | message detail
What do the x-stats say Poison gets on Ken and Akuma and Elizabeth gets on Big Daddy if you assume consistent Thrall?

I doubt it's anything remotely sane!
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#161 | ShatteredElysium | Posted 7/20/2013 10:45:57 PM | message detail
I had just editted my post in to comment on that. It has Poison just a smidge above Akuma atm (so above Ken too). 50.5 versus Akuma and 51.5 against Ken.

It has Big Daddy beating Elizabeth 54/46.
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Crucifying my Oracle average one match at a time
#162 | ZenOfThunder | Posted 7/20/2013 10:46:18 PM | message detail
man I switched Thrall over Poison, too

good job though seriously

nice to know her weird niche fanbase came through
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~Zen
#163 | Sorozone | Posted 7/20/2013 11:02:15 PM | message detail
Should have went with my gut and put Poison in second. Ah well. Another 0.
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#164 | ShatteredElysium | Posted 7/20/2013 11:03:35 PM | message detail
AxemRedRanger posted...
What do the x-stats say Poison gets on Ken and Akuma and Elizabeth gets on Big Daddy if you assume consistent Thrall?

I doubt it's anything remotely sane!


Actually here's a silly comparison for you. Poison puts up 81% on 2k2 Terry Bogard!
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Crucifying my Oracle average one match at a time
#165 | Lopen | Posted 7/20/2013 11:05:55 PM | message detail
I really don't think this match is Poison being anything resembling strong. It's just Poison Spyroing the match to an extent since Thrall is really niche here and probably has significant overlap with Bioshock.

In fact the irony here is that if Thrall is not a total joke here I think Poison is the one who takes it not Thrall. Just needed a closer split between Elizabeth and Thrall for Poison to have a good shot, since those two aren't going to cover a good 50% of the website in exposure.
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#166 | Dilated Chemist | Posted 7/20/2013 11:12:38 PM | message detail
I have Thrall in my bracket.

Picked Elizabeth > Poison > Thrall for my Expert pick. That ugly ass pic.
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Pts: 23/24 Today's Picks: Thrall & Kirby
IX: Link-VV-BB-SS-Cloud-Sora-Samus-Mario-Zard
#167 | Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 7/20/2013 11:42:07 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of a moderator or administrator]
#168 | Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 7/21/2013 12:06:08 AM | message detail
....Offensive?

Seriously?
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#169 | Sorozone | Posted 7/21/2013 12:07:51 AM | message detail
#170 | ShatteredElysium | Posted 7/21/2013 12:14:08 AM | message detail
Wait, what...

I remember reading that post. What was remotely offensive about it? Didn't it basically just say Elizabeth had just had a huge game, Poison was announced for SF Ultra and Thrall's Cata storyline wasn't well received?
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Crucifying my Oracle average one match at a time
#171 | WellThoughtName | Posted 7/21/2013 12:17:17 AM | message detail
Mods confirmed for butthurt WoW fans.
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#172 | Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 7/21/2013 12:30:07 AM | message detail
I got modded for literally calling the Chick who is also/might be a dude, The T word in 5 letters.


Seriously
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Oh SuperNiceDog's doing it again dude.
SuperNiceDog, you ain't no pimp dude
#173 | ShatteredElysium | Posted 7/21/2013 12:35:33 AM | message detail
You got modded for stating something that is debatably true in canon and has already been stated multiple times in this topic? That's stupid.
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Crucifying my Oracle average one match at a time
#174 | BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 7/21/2013 12:49:18 AM | message detail
ShatteredElysium posted...
You got modded for stating something that is debatably true in canon and has already been stated multiple times in this topic? That's stupid.


Especially so since tranny is the name of a Board 8 member.
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#175 | Qwaar | Posted 7/21/2013 1:06:21 AM | message detail
Shoenin_Kakashi posted...
I got modded for literally calling the Chick who is also/might be a dude, The T word in 5 letters.


Seriously


If you had said transgender it probably would have been OK, but I think what you said most trans folk would consider offensive.
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#176 | LOLContests | Posted 7/21/2013 1:10:59 AM | message detail
Did you say trans? Cause that's not considered offensive by anyone that I've heard. The other word that's a nickname for transience is used as/considered a slur. Maybe the mod got confused. I would definitely contest it.
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#177 | Naomi_Diamond | Posted 7/21/2013 1:14:11 AM | message detail
I'm incredibly happy for Elizabeth, but somewhat saddened because this result means Ellie would stand a good chance at winning a match, and that isn't gonna happen.

But still, woo Elizabeth!
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#178 | Qwaar | Posted 7/21/2013 1:26:59 AM | message detail
LOLContests posted...
Did you say trans? Cause that's not considered offensive by anyone that I've heard. The other word that's a nickname for transience is used as/considered a slur. Maybe the mod got confused. I would definitely contest it.


He didn't say trans, remove the s and add ny at the end.
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XBL Gamertag - Tiirshak
#179 | SuorGenoveffa | Posted 7/21/2013 1:29:31 AM | message detail
Wow Poison yay.
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SuperNiceDog won the Guru contest super nicely!
#180 | UltimaterializerX | Posted 7/21/2013 1:45:12 AM | message detail | (edited)
Shoenin_Kakashi posted...
I got modded for literally calling the Chick who is also/might be a dude, The T word in 5 letters.


Seriously


Contest that. This site doesn't censor the word gay anymore, it certainly shouldn't be censoring the word transgendered. Just quote yesmar's post right below you, because he's gay himself and would be the first one to call anybody out for something like that.

Like, by censoring certain words they're kind of unintentionally telling the LGBT community that they're still not being treated normally. Not cool.
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#181 | IngmarBirdman | Posted 7/21/2013 1:42:41 AM | message detail
I'm not so sure about the potential x-stats for today's trio... Elizabeth / Kirby / Whoever should be a stomp for Kirby. His R1 match should really be his R2 and vice versa.
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#182 | LinkMarioSamus | Posted 7/21/2013 1:51:37 AM | message detail
My predicted percentages for next match:

Kirby - 50%
Terra - 30%
Peach - 20%
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Currently Playing - Super Metroid, MGS4, Brawl, FFVII, Wind Waker, RE4, SOTC
#183 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 7/21/2013 3:30:50 AM | message detail
Plus if Luigi somehow manages to upset Big Boss, Kirby's side of the bracket's going to look weaker.
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#184 | UltimaterializerX | Posted 7/21/2013 3:43:31 AM | message detail
Still not sure why Luigi > Big Boss is some upset. People really think Ness, of all people, is going to leech Luigi to death?
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#185 | spooky96 | Posted 7/21/2013 3:49:08 AM | message detail
I have Luigi winning. Did I do something wrong? <_<
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Pokemon Showdown Peak Ranking OU: 2004
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#186 | Safer_777 | Posted 7/21/2013 3:50:36 AM | message detail
I have Big Boss myself.But they year of Luigi will prevail.
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#187 | Denzokuken | Posted 7/21/2013 3:50:51 AM | message detail
I have Luigi too. It just doesn't seem... right to take Big Boss over him, even with Ness there. In my opinion people might be overestimating LFF.
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Character Battle IX Tingle Victory Parade - the journey is over....
#188 | Nanis23 | Posted 7/21/2013 3:59:26 AM | message detail
Ness will get SFF'd to death
Pretty much the worst case of SFF in this contest
#189 | LinkMarioSamus | Posted 7/21/2013 4:07:21 AM | message detail | (edited)
UltimaterializerX posted...
Still not sure why Luigi > Big Boss is some upset. People really think Ness, of all people, is going to leech Luigi to death?


People like me are additionally hoping for Big Boss to benefit from MGSV hype.

So far I don't think that's really the case. Also I think Luigi vs. Big Boss would have been a debated match anyway, but who the heck knows.
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Currently Playing - Super Metroid, MGS4, Brawl, FFVII, Wind Waker, RE4, SOTC
#190 | ffmasterjose | Posted 7/21/2013 4:23:53 AM | message detail
mah Internet was down for a good day because of the weather, so I missed a match or two

holy crap Ness easily pulled it off. Poor Locke
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NP: Luigi > Balthier Bunansa > Jade
#191 | Lieutenant Kettch | Posted 7/21/2013 4:31:49 AM | message detail
UltimaterializerX posted...
Still not sure why Luigi > Big Boss is some upset. People really think Ness, of all people, is going to leech Luigi to death?


I'd take Big Boss over Luigi straight up.
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#192 | TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 7/21/2013 4:36:32 AM | message detail
Ha, wake up to Thrall bombing and Poison TJFing it up, good s***

wheeee Elizabeth, at any rate, lets go Booker >Gilgamesh
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#193 | Then00bAvenger | Posted 7/21/2013 4:54:06 AM | message detail
TJF CONFIRMED
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#194 | ctesjbuvf | Posted 7/21/2013 5:34:36 AM | message detail
Yeah, Juliet simply sucked.
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#195 | Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 7/21/2013 5:49:42 AM | message detail
UltimaterializerX posted...
Shoenin_Kakashi posted...
I got modded for literally calling the Chick who is also/might be a dude, The T word in 5 letters.


Seriously


Contest that. This site doesn't censor the word gay anymore, it certainly shouldn't be censoring the word transgendered. Just quote yesmar's post right below you, because he's gay himself and would be the first one to call anybody out for something like that.

Like, by censoring certain words they're kind of unintentionally telling the LGBT community that they're still not being treated normally. Not cool.


I did

Mod said "No that word is offensive"
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Oh SuperNiceDog's doing it again dude.
SuperNiceDog, you ain't no pimp dude
#196 | LinkMarioSamus | Posted 7/21/2013 6:25:29 AM | message detail
Lieutenant Kettch posted...
UltimaterializerX posted...
Still not sure why Luigi > Big Boss is some upset. People really think Ness, of all people, is going to leech Luigi to death?


I'd take Big Boss over Luigi straight up.


For what it's worth:

Luigi (2010c) has a strength of 34.47 against Base Link.
Big Boss (2010c) has a strength of 33.09 against Base Link.

Luigi 52.00% 29,891
Big Boss 48.00% 27,590
TOTAL VOTES 57,481
Luigi wins with 52.00% of the vote!
A 2,301 vote margin of victory.

If you believe that Luigi has remained stagnant (quite possible, despite the "Year of Luigi") and Big Boss boosts from MGSV hype, it's possible.
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#197 | Then00bAvenger | Posted 7/21/2013 6:32:51 AM | message detail | (edited)
So what are the chances of Peach beating Terra.

I went with Terra because of Kirby's presence(and I have a feeling that's a popular move) but counting on Terra to beat anyone but fodder feels bad.

I'd feel better if it was another Mario character in the match instead of just another Nintendo character
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
#198 | ctesjbuvf | Posted 7/21/2013 6:33:50 AM | message detail
I'd take Luig without a second thought in a 1v1 match against Big Boss, just like I'd pick Mario against Snake, but that'll never happen since Snake always has to beat FFVII to get to Link and not Mario/Samus. Year of Luigi has definietely boosted Luigi. How the hell would Luigi's Mansion 2, New Super Luigi U and Mario & Luigi: Dream Team all released recently not boost that? My only doubt comes from Ness, but I still think Luigi should be able to pull it off regardless of Ness being there. Ness will probably get SSF hammered to death more than pulling Luigi down, though I wont be too surprised if he manages to hold Luigi back enough for Big Boss to slip through.
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#199 | LinkMarioSamus | Posted 7/21/2013 6:41:15 AM | message detail
ctesjbuvf posted...
I'd take Luig without a second thought in a 1v1 match against Big Boss, just like I'd pick Mario against Snake, but that'll never happen since Snake always has to beat FFVII to get to Link and not Mario/Samus. Year of Luigi has definietely boosted Luigi. How the hell would Luigi's Mansion 2, New Super Luigi U and Mario & Luigi: Dream Team all released recently not boost that? My only doubt comes from Ness, but I still think Luigi should be able to pull it off regardless of Ness being there. Ness will probably get SSF hammered to death more than pulling Luigi down, though I wont be too surprised if he manages to hold Luigi back enough for Big Boss to slip through.


Uh, maybe MGSV hype is a much bigger deal than any of those? I dunno, I acknowledge that Luigi should have probably been the favorite. It's three games vs. a trailer and an LFF assist, when the latter is starting from further back.
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Currently Playing - Super Metroid, MGS4, Brawl, FFVII, Wind Waker, RE4, SOTC
#200 | LinkMarioSamus | Posted 7/21/2013 6:42:50 AM | message detail
Then00bAvenger posted...
So what are the chances of Peach beating Terra.

I went with Terra because of Kirby's presence(and I have a feeling that's a popular move) but counting on Terra to beat anyone but fodder feels bad.

I'd feel better if it was another Mario character in the match instead of just another Nintendo character


Dude, it's Peach. Who seriously cares about her? She would probably get SFFd big-time by any major Nintendo character, and unfortunately for her Kirby fits that description. Additionally, Terra kinda stands out in the match pic.

The point about picking Terra to be anyone but fodder feeling bad would have been fine before 2010, but afterwards no thank you.
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Currently Playing - Super Metroid, MGS4, Brawl, FFVII, Wind Waker, RE4, SOTC