Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1070

#101 | Articuno2001 | Posted 7/20/2013 9:21:36 PM | message detail
The current way the match is now gets me six points!

Please stay like this.
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Character Battle IX: 22/24 points, Next matches: Elizabeth, Kirby
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#102 | ZeldaTPLink | Posted 7/20/2013 9:22:48 PM | message detail | (edited)
LordoftheMorons posted...
Hoping for a minor WoW rally. Just enough to get me my 6 points.


Oh, but you are going to get them. It's just that they will come with a minus sign to the left. Cuz Poison is going to win.
#103 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 7/20/2013 9:23:36 PM | message detail
This 4chan rally is going to die down eventually and Thrall will start coming back again. 4chan rarely ever rallies more than 1000 votes in a match.
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#104 | ShatteredElysium | Posted 7/20/2013 9:24:43 PM | message detail | (edited)
I thought the whole trans thing was just an excuse they tried using during localization so they didn't have to change the game. I didn't think it was actually canon once they switched her out instead?
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Crucifying my Oracle average one match at a time
#105 | StarStormScream | Posted 7/20/2013 9:24:19 PM | message detail
-LusterSoldier- posted...
4chan rally for Poison spotted on /v/.


That explains things.
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Now Awaiting:
Tales of Xillia, Squigly patch for Skullgirls
#106 | LeonhartFour (Topic Creator) | Posted 7/20/2013 9:25:19 PM | message detail
ShatteredElysium posted...
I thought the whole trans thing was just an excuse they tried using during localization so they didn't have to change the game. I didn't think it was actually canon once they switched her out instead.


They did, but Capcom decided to stick with it as canon for North America.

Capcom is weird sometimes in that they have a different canon for North America and Japan for their games sometimes, due to "censorship" in localization.
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#107 | spooky96 | Posted 7/20/2013 9:25:27 PM | message detail
I have Elizabeth>Thrall>Poison in my Expert Challenge.

I still have hope.
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And then lost 7 matches in a row >_>
#108 | StarStormScream | Posted 7/20/2013 9:25:43 PM | message detail
ShatteredElysium posted...
I thought the whole trans thing was just an excuse they tried using during localization so they didn't have to change the game. I didn't think it was actually canon once they switched her out instead?


Yeah, it just became more or less official over the years.
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Now Awaiting:
Tales of Xillia, Squigly patch for Skullgirls
#109 | WellThoughtName | Posted 7/20/2013 9:25:53 PM | message detail
StarStormScream posted...
-LusterSoldier- posted...
4chan rally for Poison spotted on /v/.


That explains things.


18 replies in 17 minutes.

It's insignificant.
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#110 | Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 7/20/2013 9:26:01 PM | message detail
ShatteredElysium posted...
I thought the whole trans thing was just an excuse they tried using during localization so they didn't have to change the game. I didn't think it was actually canon once they switched her out instead?


Why did they have to change the game without the excuse?
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#111 | MoogleKupo141 | Posted 7/20/2013 9:26:22 PM | message detail
why does 4chan even bother, they've yet to actually affect a match
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#112 | CrushDavis | Posted 7/20/2013 9:27:18 PM | message detail
MoogleKupo141 posted...
why does 4chan even bother, they've yet to actually affect a match


All it takes is one person who cares enough to post a topic and then plenty of people will see it. Its not the coordinated efforts like they had for the Gamespot contests or anything.
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#113 | xp1337 | Posted 7/20/2013 9:27:22 PM | message detail
maybe they're trying to affect the oracle. or even more devious, crew accuracy points.
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#114 | vcharon | Posted 7/20/2013 9:27:32 PM | message detail
The problem with a WoW rally is that WoW works differently from LoL. Most players do not visit the forums at battle.net. You would have to actively rally in WoW itself and have multiple people doing so across several of the realm servers.
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#115 | ShatteredElysium | Posted 7/20/2013 9:27:38 PM | message detail
Team Rocket Elite posted...
ShatteredElysium posted...
I thought the whole trans thing was just an excuse they tried using during localization so they didn't have to change the game. I didn't think it was actually canon once they switched her out instead?


Why did they have to change the game without the excuse?


The American playtester complained about hitting women so they turned around and said they weren't actually women. Remember this was the 80's.
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Crucifying my Oracle average one match at a time
#116 | tennisboy213 | Posted 7/20/2013 9:27:39 PM | message detail
Here we go
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POKEFEAR
#117 | CrushDavis | Posted 7/20/2013 9:27:42 PM | message detail
#118 | WellThoughtName | Posted 7/20/2013 9:27:47 PM | message detail
MoogleKupo141 posted...
why does 4chan even bother, they've yet to actually affect a match


They're not really trying.

If they really wanted to affect anything they'd rally on /b/
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"A game with amazing story and mediocre gameplay usually beats a game with amazing gameplay and mediocre story." - Vlado, Gaming Expert
#119 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 7/20/2013 9:27:50 PM | message detail
MoogleKupo141 posted...
why does 4chan even bother, they've yet to actually affect a match


They were able to affect the result of the Tharja match because it was extremely close before they stepped in to help Tharja.
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#120 | Solfadore | Posted 7/20/2013 9:28:25 PM | message detail | (edited)
Monster update for Poison here.
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#121 | DoctorJimmy133 | Posted 7/20/2013 9:27:56 PM | message detail
HOLY S***

ummmm

…

wow
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#122 | LeonhartFour (Topic Creator) | Posted 7/20/2013 9:28:12 PM | message detail
They changed it because they were worried about what American audiences would think about a bunch of guys beating up women.

So Poison became a cross-dresser instead.

also we may have a match on our hands
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#123 | ZeldaTPLink | Posted 7/20/2013 9:28:18 PM | message detail
Team Rocket Elite posted...
ShatteredElysium posted...
I thought the whole trans thing was just an excuse they tried using during localization so they didn't have to change the game. I didn't think it was actually canon once they switched her out instead?


Why did they have to change the game without the excuse?


I read there were some issues about having a woman as a playable character in a fighting game. So they changed her to a man so the media wouldn't complain.
#124 | StarStormScream | Posted 7/20/2013 9:28:39 PM | message detail
Team Rocket Elite posted...
ShatteredElysium posted...
I thought the whole trans thing was just an excuse they tried using during localization so they didn't have to change the game. I didn't think it was actually canon once they switched her out instead?


Why did they have to change the game without the excuse?


This was the early 90s, when guys beating up on women was pretty taboo
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Now Awaiting:
Tales of Xillia, Squigly patch for Skullgirls
#125 | LeonhartFour (Topic Creator) | Posted 7/20/2013 9:29:04 PM | message detail
Poison definitely spiked on that update, but Elizabeth dropped off a lot, too.
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#126 | ZeldaTPLink | Posted 7/20/2013 9:29:23 PM | message detail
Poison is now closer to first place than Thrall is to second place.
#127 | WellThoughtName | Posted 7/20/2013 9:29:44 PM | message detail
Also 4chan as a whole doesn't really like rigging Gamefaqs contests because you can't easily see tears.

No comment sections and all.

And butthurt is the only reason they even try to affect things in the first place.
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"A game with amazing story and mediocre gameplay usually beats a game with amazing gameplay and mediocre story." - Vlado, Gaming Expert
#128 | Qwaar | Posted 7/20/2013 9:31:03 PM | message detail
As someone who is trans I kind of always support Poison, and until I looked at this board I assumed she would beat Thrall, but then I saw the analysis and became worried. So atm I'm on course for 6 points...makes up for that damn Viridian loss.
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#129 | Mumei | Posted 7/20/2013 9:31:07 PM | message detail
Poison winning over Thrall is a surprise? I had no idea. But needless to say, I didn't make a bracket for the 375th contest running, so no one is threatened by this.

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#130 | LeonhartFour (Topic Creator) | Posted 7/20/2013 9:31:36 PM | message detail
Man, how bad will Poison's prediction percentage be if she manages to win this somehow?
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#131 | Karma Hunter | Posted 7/20/2013 9:31:42 PM | message detail
Poison could win this match, people. On the power of TJF. Poison.

Breathe it in. Poison.
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#132 | LeonhartFour (Topic Creator) | Posted 7/20/2013 9:32:27 PM | message detail
And Elizabeth pretty much takes everything back.
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#133 | xp1337 | Posted 7/20/2013 9:32:33 PM | message detail
LeonhartFour posted...
Man, how bad will Poison's prediction percentage be if she manages to win this somehow?

I'm starting to think it's actually ideal to take a -6 in Expert Challenge here because... who wouldn't be? >_>
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GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#134 | ZeldaTPLink | Posted 7/20/2013 9:32:45 PM | message detail
LeonhartFour posted...
Man, how bad will Poison's prediction percentage be if she manages to win this somehow?


I can see less than 10 perfects surviving.
#135 | spooky96 | Posted 7/20/2013 9:32:55 PM | message detail
YAY ELIZABETH
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Pokemon Showdown Peak Ranking OU: 2004
And then lost 7 matches in a row >_>
#136 | ZeldaTPLink | Posted 7/20/2013 9:34:00 PM | message detail
Elizabeth seems to be stabilizing at 43%
#137 | Solfadore | Posted 7/20/2013 9:34:11 PM | message detail
Poison still gained 60 votes on Thrall, though.

Damn, was 11th/T-4th on Expert, too. Oh well.
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#138 | Julian_Caesar | Posted 7/20/2013 9:34:41 PM | message detail
@_@

TJF

I honestly don't think Poison has a chance in the long run. Gonna root for her anyway, just for the lulz of having a match decided so obviously by TJF and nothing else lol
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Every day the rest of your life is changed forever.
#139 | _SecretSquirrel | Posted 7/20/2013 9:36:08 PM | message detail
Man, Poison is just full of surprises.
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#140 | LeonhartFour (Topic Creator) | Posted 7/20/2013 9:37:02 PM | message detail
Chart from the day match:

Time | CATS | Ness | Locke | Votes
0:05 | 23.20% | 43.40% | 33.40% | 500
1:00 | 21.76% | 46.03% | 31.79% | 4247
2:00 | 20.66% | 48.84% | 31.02% | 3456
3:00 | 20.60% | 47.37% | 32.03% | 2932
4:00 | 21.36% | 47.77% | 30.87% | 2669
5:00 | 21.76% | 47.71% | 30.54% | 2289
6:00 | 21.12% | 47.49% | 31.39% | 2055
7:00 | 21.13% | 47.14% | 31.73% | 1992
8:00 | 21.46% | 46.97% | 31.57% | 1799
9:00 | 21.95% | 45.40% | 32.65% | 1663
10:00 | 21.70% | 45.38% | 32.92% | 1516
11:00 | 20.71% | 45.86% | 33.42% | 1511
12:00 | 19.15% | 46.28% | 34.57% | 1478

This was a pretty static (read: extremely boring) match across the board, trend-wise, until Locke got a bit of a boost with the night vote.

X-Stats:

Ness – 50.00%
Locke Cole – 40.37%
CATS – 31.04%

Ness's prediction percentage was 64.74%
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#141 | spooky96 | Posted 7/20/2013 9:37:34 PM | message detail
Oh crap dont fall Elizabeth
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Pokemon Showdown Peak Ranking OU: 2004
And then lost 7 matches in a row >_>
#142 | Sorozone | Posted 7/20/2013 9:39:04 PM | message detail
She only fell in percentage, she still won the update. If it's close near the end Elizabeth should win. She is winning comfortably in the US.
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#143 | charmander6000 | Posted 7/20/2013 9:44:10 PM | message detail
Updated Top 10, surprising 2 ties.

Top 10 Smallest Day Vote Gaps
1. Hero – 8311 vs. Rinoa Heartilly – 7503 – Round 1 – 808
2. Miles Edgeworth – 8763 vs. Agent 47 – 7350 – Round 1 – 1413
3. Chrom – 9589 vs. Heavy – 7924 – Round 1 – 1665
4. Fei Fong Wong – 6288 vs. Dan Hibiki – 4217 – Round 1 – 2071
5. Meta Knight – 7468 vs. Archer – 4767 – Round 1 – 2701
6. Yuri Lowell – 8637 vs. Face McShooty – 5691 – Round 1 – 2946
6. Locke Cole – 8787 vs. CATS – 5841 – Round 1 – 2946
8. Balthier Bunansa – 7077 vs. Jade – 3753 – Round 1 – 3324
9. Raiden – 18775 vs. Waluigi – 14794 – Round 1 – 3981
10. Professor Layton – 10587 vs. Reimu Hakurei – 6379 – Round 1 – 4208

Top 5 Least Popular Day Polls
1. Ness vs. Locke Cole vs. CATS – Round 1 – 27607
2. Vincent Valentine vs. KOS-MOS vs. Dunban – Round 1 – 30485
3. Luigi vs. Balthier Bunansa vs. Jade – Round 1 – 30674
4. Bowser vs. Meta Knight vs. Archer – Round 1 – 31013
5. Morrigan Aensland vs. Miles Edgeworth vs. Agent 47 – Round 1 – 31101

Top 10 Lowest Day Individual Votes
1. Dunban – Round 1 – 3233
2. Jade – Round 1 – 3753
3. Alan Wake – Round 1 – 4152
4. Dan Hibiki – Round 1 – 4217
5. Archer – Round 1 – 4767
6. Kain – Round 1 – 5491
7. Face McShooty – Round 1 – 5691
8. CATS – Round 1 – 5841
9. Fei Fong Wong – Round 1 – 6288
10. Reimu Hakurei – Round 1 – 6379

Top 5 Least Impressive Day Winners
1. Ness – Round 1 – 12979
2. The Boss – Round 1 – 14690
3. Morrigan Aensland – Round 1 – 14988
4. Vincent Valentine – Round 1 – 16308
5. Aerith Gainsborough – Round 1 – 16445

Top 10 Most Impressive Day Losers
1. Waluigi – Round 1 – 14794
2. KOS-MOS – Round 1 – 10944
3. Professor Layton – Round 1 – 10587
4. Captain Olimar – Round 1 – 9829
5. Chrom – Round 1 – 9589
6. Locke Cole – Round 1 – 8787
7. Miles Edgeworth – Round 1 – 8763
8. Yuri Lowell – Round 1 – 8637
9. Hero – Round 1 – 8311
10. Heavy – Round 1 – 7924

Top 10 Least Predictable Matches
1. Draven vs. Jak vs. Chie Satonaka – Round 1 – 38.19%
2. Tharja vs. Tiny Tina vs. Juliet Starling – Round 1 – 42.49%
3. Morrigan Aensland vs. Miles Edgeworth vs. Agent 47 – Round 1 – 45.15%
4. Barret Wallace vs. Professor Layton vs. Reimu Hakurei – Round 1 – 51.28%
5. The Boss vs. Chrom vs. Heavy – Round 1 – 52.99%
6. Sub-Zero vs. Garrus Vakarian vs. Frank West – Round 1 – 58.54%
7. Vincent Valentine vs. KOS-MOS vs. Dunban – Round 1 – 61.03%
8. Phoenix Wright vs. Marth vs. Nightmare – Round 1 – 64.74%
8. Ness vs. Locke Cole vs. CATS – Round 1 – 64.74%
10. Spyro the Dragon vs. Clementine vs. Reyn – Round 1 – 65.40%
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 19/22 Today's Picks: Big Boss and Ness
#144 | ZFS | Posted 7/20/2013 9:45:01 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
#145 | ZFS | Posted 7/20/2013 9:45:01 PM | message detail
Nice show from Elizabeth. Haven't even played BioShock Infinite, and she got my vote here. Poison and Thrall are some competition alright.
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#146 | ZeldaTPLink | Posted 7/20/2013 9:48:38 PM | message detail
4 vote cut for Elizabeth. Poison is still fighting.
#147 | AppreciateTrees | Posted 7/20/2013 9:49:09 PM | message detail
What's TJF??

I'm sorry, I'm a newb.
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#148 | ZeldaTPLink | Posted 7/20/2013 9:49:30 PM | message detail
AppreciateTrees posted...
What's TJF??

I'm sorry, I'm a newb.


The Jug Factor.
#149 | DoctorJimmy133 | Posted 7/20/2013 9:49:42 PM | message detail
AppreciateTrees posted...
What's TJF??

I'm sorry, I'm a newb.

http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/TJF
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#150 | Ngamer64 | Posted 7/20/2013 9:51:06 PM | message detail
Here's TJF

http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/TJF

Check some of these other weird things we say while you're there!

http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages
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